• Title/Summary/Keyword: 파생상품

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Expiration Day Effects in Korean Stock Market: Wag the Dog? (한국 주식시장에서의 만기일효과: Wag the Dog?)

  • Park, Chang-Gyun;Lim, Kyung-Mook
    • KDI Journal of Economic Policy
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    • v.25 no.2
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    • pp.137-170
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    • 2003
  • Despite the great success of the derivatives market, several concerns were expressed regarding the additional volatilitystemming from program trading during the expiration of derivatives. This paper examines the impact of the expiration of the KOSPI 200 index derivatives on cash market of Korea Stock Exchange(KSE). The KOSPI 200 index derivatives market has a unique settlement price determination process. The settlement price for the expiration of derivatives is determined by call auction during the last 10 minutes after the trades for matured derivatives are finalized. We analyze typical expiration day effects such as price, volatility, and volume effects. With high frequency data, we find that there are strong expiration day effects in the KSE and try to interpret the results with the unique settlement procedures of the KOSPI 200 cash and derivatives markets.

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Option Pricing and Sensitivity Evaluation Methodology: Improvement of Speed and Accuracy (옵션 가치 및 민감도 평가 방법: 속도와 정확도 개선에 대한 고찰)

  • Choi, Young-Soo;Oh, Se-Jin;Lee, Won-Chang
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.15 no.4
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    • pp.563-585
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    • 2008
  • This paper presents how to improve the efficiency and accuracy in the pricing and sensitivity evaluation for derivatives, since the need for the evaluation of complicated derivatives is increased. The Monte Carlo(MC) simulation using the quasi random number instead of pseudo random number can improve the elapsed time and accuracy for the valuation of European-type derivatives. However, the quasi MC simulation method has its limit for applying it in the multi-dimensional case such as American-type and path-dependent options due to the increased correlation between dimensions as the dimension of random numbers is increased. In order to complement this problem, we develop a modified method in which correlation values are controlled to be below a pre-specified value. Thus, this method is applicable for the pricing of either derivatives ill which underlying assets or risk factors are several or derivatives having path-dependent or early redemption property. Furthermore, we illustrate that it is important to take an appropriate grid interval for the use of finite difference method(FDM) by applying the FDM to one example of non-symmetrical butterfly spreads.

Effects of Electricity Future Trading on Spot Market Volatility (전력선물거래의 시장영향 분석)

  • Kim Byung Woo
    • Proceedings of the KIEE Conference
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    • summer
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    • pp.652-653
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    • 2004
  • 일반적으로 선물거래를 포함한 파생상품의 존재는 현물시장을 불안정하게 하는 것으로 알려져 있다. 본고에서 호주의 선물거래소 및 NSW시장 가격데이터를 통해 전력선물거래가 현물시장의 가격변동성에 미치는 영향을 분석한 결과 선물거래가 증가할수록 1주 정도의 시차를 두고 변동성이 감소하는 것으로 나타났다. 이는 전력선물거래가 전력시장의 유동성을 증가시켜 가격을 안정화시킨다는 견해를 뒷받침한다.

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Performance Comparison of Reinforcement Learning Algorithms for Futures Scalping (해외선물 스캘핑을 위한 강화학습 알고리즘의 성능비교)

  • Jung, Deuk-Kyo;Lee, Se-Hun;Kang, Jae-Mo
    • The Journal of the Convergence on Culture Technology
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    • v.8 no.5
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    • pp.697-703
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    • 2022
  • Due to the recent economic downturn caused by Covid-19 and the unstable international situation, many investors are choosing the derivatives market as a means of investment. However, the derivatives market has a greater risk than the stock market, and research on the market of market participants is insufficient. Recently, with the development of artificial intelligence, machine learning has been widely used in the derivatives market. In this paper, reinforcement learning, one of the machine learning techniques, is applied to analyze the scalping technique that trades futures in minutes. The data set consists of 21 attributes using the closing price, moving average line, and Bollinger band indicators of 1 minute and 3 minute data for 6 months by selecting 4 products among futures products traded at trading firm. In the experiment, DNN artificial neural network model and three reinforcement learning algorithms, namely, DQN (Deep Q-Network), A2C (Advantage Actor Critic), and A3C (Asynchronous A2C) were used, and they were trained and verified through learning data set and test data set. For scalping, the agent chooses one of the actions of buying and selling, and the ratio of the portfolio value according to the action result is rewarded. Experiment results show that the energy sector products such as Heating Oil and Crude Oil yield relatively high cumulative returns compared to the index sector products such as Mini Russell 2000 and Hang Seng Index.

A Comparison of Admission Controls of Reservation Requests with Callable Products (임의상환가능 상품 도입하의 예약 요청 승인 방법 비교)

  • Lee, Haeng-Ju
    • Journal of Digital Convergence
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    • v.17 no.9
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    • pp.127-133
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    • 2019
  • A callable product is one of service derivatives using options to generate demand and reduce risk. This paper compares two booking admission controls for callable products, the online and the batch admission controls. To this end, the paper computes the optimal booking policy by using the backward dynamic programming and the stochastic optimization method. Intuitively, the provider should outperform under the batch control by utilizing demand information. The contribution of the paper is to show that the two controls are equivalent in terms of the booking strategy and the expected profit, which enables the provider to keep its current control method. The paper develops the closed-form solutions for the three fare classes. The future work is to extend the result to the model with complicated fare structures.

Risk Management Strategies Using Futures and Options for Importing Crude Oil (원유수입을 위한 선물 및 옵션 활용 위험관리 전략)

  • Yun, Won-Cheol;Sonn, Yang-Hoon
    • Environmental and Resource Economics Review
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    • v.18 no.1
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    • pp.139-158
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    • 2009
  • With the sample of Middle East crude oil imported to South Korea, this study empirically analyzes the effectiveness of the risk management strategies using derivatives such as futures and options. Assuming the hedging period of one to twelve months, it considers a spot purchasing strategy, 1 : 1 futures hedge strategy, OLS-based minimum-variance futures hedge strategy, buying call option strategy, and collar transaction strategy. According to the ex-ante result, using the derivatives of futures or options makes lower the procurement costs when the crude oil prices is increasing. With the hedging period less than or equal to six months, the hedging strategy using futures turns out to be superior in terms of procurement cost reduction and hedging effectiveness improvement. In contrast, the hedging strategies of buying call option and collar transaction would generate better results when the hedging program last over six months.

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A Study on Exporting Small & Medium Enterprises Based on Accident Types of Derivatives Transactions: Focus on Exporting Small & Medium-Sized Enterprises with KIKO Currency Option (파생상품의 투자 리스크 요인 분석을 통한 중소수출 기업의 환리스크 관리 방안 - KIKO를 통해 살펴본 국내 중소제조업체를 중심으로 -)

  • Cho, Young-Hun
    • Journal of Arbitration Studies
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    • v.26 no.1
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    • pp.89-105
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    • 2016
  • 2008 began with the American financial crisis which gave way to the liquidity crisis (Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac) situation in which 'the withdrawal of investment initiated from the insufficiency of the U.S. subprime mortgage loan companies', 'the large size loss situation of the financial company (Bear Stearns) due to the American structured bond insufficiency' and the second half opening part national debt mortgage company. Within the American financial crisis was propagated the crisis of international derivatives. Due to this, the withdrawal of foreign investment progressed in the interior of a country with the considerable. By the end of 2007, the exchange rate fluctuation was absorbed in the domestic financial circle on the belief the potentiality of the domestic financial market had been growing drastically through the expansion of the foreign currency debt according to this and it came to the defence but while the exchange rate jumped up to the dollar shortage according to the international crisis, the small and medium companies making the banks and exchange rate-related derivatives contract were going bankrupt due to the derivatives loss. The small and medium factories establish the bank exchange rate-related derivatives has nose (KIKO), pivot (PIVOT), and snowball (Snowball) etc. at that time and the damage which it is the KIKO grasped at 6 end of the months in 2008 caused by reaches to 1 thousand billion 4 thousand hundred million dollars. Small and medium companies in which the dollar which it has to denounce among small and medium companies bearing the KIKO contract in fact with the Knock-In generation city bank exceeds the amount of sales were known to be 68 enterprises among 480 enterprises. This paper departs in this awareness of a problem and tries to look into the risk factor of the derivatives, including nose and study the essential ring risk management plan of small and medium manufacturer.

A Study on the Creation Proceed of Cartoon Market through Genre-mixed Knowledge-Cartoon (장르융합형 지식만화의 만화시장 창출과정에 관한 연구)

  • Lee, Yong-Hun
    • Cartoon and Animation Studies
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    • s.27
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    • pp.51-78
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    • 2012
  • The types of cartoon market are classified with publishing cartoon(a cartoon magazine & comics) and webtoon. The revitalization of the cartoon market makes cartoonist create many cartoons. By studying many methods for the revitalization of the cartoon market, this paper argues the expanded methods of comics market which is a sort of publishing cartoon market. The expanded methods of comics market are two kinds, one is the revitalization of the comics market and the other is the creation of the comics market. This paper focuses on Genre-mixed Knowledge-Cartoon in order to extend the cartoon market. Also, After studying the Creation Proceed of cartoon market through Genre-mixed Knowledge-Cartoon, we would like to develope the New Creation Model of Cartoon Market. We selected three case(the Real Estate Agency expressed as Cartoon, Let's find an answer in sided figure blank, miraculous English grammar) for this study. With this, we analyzed the case that the matters for analysis is the essential particulars of plan-publishing-distribution's proceed. As a result, we found out the possibility of new cartoon market's creation through Genre-mixed Knowledge-Cartoon. For that reason, we was able to develop 'the New Creation Model of Cartoon Market through Genre-mixed Knowledge-Cartoon'. This paper provides the possibility about the New Creation Model of Cartoon Market through Genre-mixed Knowledge-Cartoon. With this, we will make many plans for creation of Genre-mixed Knowledge-Cartoons. Therefore, This plans will help cartoonists to create the Genre-mixed cartoons.

시뮬레이션을 이용한 주가연계상품(ELS)의 성과 추정

  • Min, Jae-Hyeong;Gu, Gi-Dong
    • Proceedings of the Korean Operations and Management Science Society Conference
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    • 2004.05a
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    • pp.730-733
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    • 2004
  • 본 연구에서는 넉아웃 옵션(Knock-out option)이 내재된 주가연계상품(ELS)의 성과를 시뮬레이션을 이용하여 추정한다. 옵션과 기초자산을 결합하여 구성되는 ELS는 상품개발 시점에서 그 수익구조가 결정되며, 실현수익률은 미래의 시장흐름에 의하여 결정된다. 현재 ELS는 옵션가격의 결정, 수익구조의 결정, 그리고 수익률 추정이라는 개별 과정이 각각 옵션발행자, 상품개발자, 고객관리자 등에 의하여 별도로 이루어지고 있는 실정이다. 본 연구에서는 이러한 개별 과정을 통합한 시뮬레이션 모형을 구축한 후, 이 모형의 결과(옵션가격, 수익구조, 실현수익률)를 기존 관행의 결과와 비교하여 본 연구에서 제안한 시뮬레이션 모형의 유용성을 제안한다. 분석 대상은 국내 장외파생상품 및 ELS의 기준이 되는 KOSPI 200 지수로 1990년 1월 3일부터 2002년 12월 30일까지의 1일 자료를 이용한다.

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