• Title/Summary/Keyword: 추정가능한 함수

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Variable Selection Theorem for the Analysis of Covariance Model (공분산분석 모형에서의 변수선택 정리)

  • Yoon, Sang-Hoo;Park, Jeong-Soo
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.15 no.3
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    • pp.333-342
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    • 2008
  • Variable selection theorem in the linear regression model is extended to the analysis of covariance model. When some of regression variables are omitted from the model, it reduces the variance of the estimators but introduces bias. Thus an appropriate balance between a biased model and one with large variances is recommended.

Assessment of Noah land surface model-based soil moisture using GRACE-observed TWSA and TWSC (GRACE 관측 TWSA와 TWSC를 활용한 Noah 지면모형기반 토양수분 평가)

  • Chun, Jong Ahn;Kim, Seon Tae;Lee, Woo-Seop;Kim, Daeha
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.53 no.4
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    • pp.285-291
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    • 2020
  • The Noah 3.3 Land Surface Model (LSM) was used to estimate the global soil moisture in this study and these soil moisture datasets were assessed against satellite-based and reanalysis soil moisture products. The Noah 3.3 LSM simulated soil moistures in four soil layers and root-zone soil moistures defined as a depth-weighted average in the first three soil layers (i.e., up to 1.0 m deep). The Noah LSM soil moisture products were then compared with a satellite-based soil moisture dataset (European Space Agency Climate Change Initiatives (ESA CCI) SM v04.4) and reanalysis soil moisture datasets (ERA-interim). In addition, the five major basins (Yangtze, Mekong, Mississippi, Murray-Darling, Amazon) were selected for the assesment with the Gravity Recovery and Climate Experiment (GRACE)-based Total Water Storage Anomaly (TWSA) and TWS Change (TWSC). The results revealed that high anomaly correlations were found in most of the Asia-Pacific regions including East Asia, South Asia, Australia, and Noth and South America. While the anomaly correlations in the Murray-Darling basin were somewhat low, relatively higher anomaly correlations in the other basins were found. It is concluded that this study can be useful for the development of soil moisture based drought indices and subsequently can be helpful to reduce damages from drought by timely providing an efficacious strategy.

미국 제지 및 판지산업에서의 비가격 펄프와 폐지의 대체가능성 측정

  • Lee, Myeong-Heon;Ma, Hwan-Ok
    • Environmental and Resource Economics Review
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    • v.5 no.1
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    • pp.67-86
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    • 1995
  • 제지 및 판지산업에서 생산원료로 사용되고 있는 펄프가 폐지와 대체가능하다면 폐지의 의무사용량을 늘이는 정책은 매립지문제 뿐만 아니라 산림자원보호와 공해방지 측면에서 효과적인 방안이 될 수 있다. 일반적으로 미국의 제지 및 판지공장에서 사용되는 펄프는 수직적으로 합병된 펄프공장에서 지급되어 중간재로서의 펄프의 시장가격이 존재하지 않기 때문에 펄프와 폐지의 대체탄력성을 측정하기 위하여 펄프량을 이윤이 극대화되는 수준으로 고정시킨 후, 제약이윤함수(制約利潤函數)를 추정한 결과, 펄프와 폐지는 대체가능한 것으로 나타났다.

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Estimation of Structural Deformed Shapes Using Limited Number of Displacement Measurements (한정된 계측 변위를 이용한 구조물 변형 형상 추정)

  • Choi, Junho;Kim, Seungjun;Han, Seungryong;Kang, Youngjong
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.33 no.4
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    • pp.1295-1302
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    • 2013
  • The structural deformed shape is important information to structural analysis. If the sufficient measuring points are secured at the structural monitoring system, reasonable and accurate structural deformation shapes can be obtained and structural analysis is possible using this deformation. However, the accurate estimation of the global structural shapes might be difficult if sufficient measuring points are not secure under cost limitations. In this study, SFSM-LS algorithm, the economic and effective estimation method for the structural deformation shapes with limited displacement measuring points is developed and suggested. In the suggested method, the global structural deformation shape is determined by the superposition of the pre-investigated structural deformed shapes obtained by preliminary FE analyses, with their optimum weight factors which lead minimization of the estimate errors. 2-span continuous bridge model is used to verify developed algorithm and parametric studies are performed. By the parametric studies, the characteristics of the estimation results obtained by the suggested method were investigated considering essential parameters such as pre-investigated structural shapes, locations and numbers of displacement measuring points. By quantitative comparison of estimation results with the conventional methods such as polynomial, Lagrange and spline interpolation, the applicability and accuracy of the suggested method was validated.

Confidence Interval Estimation of the Earthquake Magnitude for Seismic Design using the KMA Earthquake Data (기상청 지진 자료를 이용한 내진설계 지진규모의 신뢰구간 추정)

  • Cho, Hong Yeon;Lee, Gi-Seop
    • Journal of Korean Society of Coastal and Ocean Engineers
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    • v.29 no.1
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    • pp.62-66
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    • 2017
  • The interest on the potential earthquake magnitude and the request on the earthquake-resistant design examination for coastal structures are emerged because of the recently occurred magnitude 5.8 earthquake in Gyeoung-Ju, Korea. In this study, the magnitude and its confidence intervals with the return periods are estimated using the KMA earthquake magnitude data (over 3.5 and 4.0 in magnitude) by the non-parametric extreme value analysis. In case of using the "over 4.0" data set, the estimated magnitudes on the 50- and 100-years return periods are 5.81 and 5.94, respectively. Their 90% confidence intervals are estimated to be 5.52-6.11, 5.62-6.29, respectively. Even though the estimated magnitudes have limitations not considering the spatial distribution, it can be used to check the stability of the diverse coastal structures in the perspective of the life design because the potential magnitude and its confidence intervals in Korea are estimated based on the available 38-years data by the extreme value analysis.

Evaluation of life Expectancy of Power System Equipment Using Probability Distribution (확률분포를 이용한 전력설비의 기대여명 추정)

  • Kim, Gwang-Won;Hyun, Seung-Ho
    • Journal of the Korean Institute of Illuminating and Electrical Installation Engineers
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    • v.22 no.10
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    • pp.49-55
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    • 2008
  • This paper presents a novel evaluation method of life expectancy of power system equipment. The life expectancy means expected remaining lifetime; it can be usefully utilized to maintenance planning, equipment replacement planning, and reliability assessment. The proposed method is composed of three steps. Firstly, a cumulative probability for future years is evaluated for targeted age year. Secondly, the cumulative probability is modeled by well-blown cumulative distribution function(CDF) such as Weibull distribution. Lastly, life expectancy is evaluated as the mean value of the model. Since the model CDF is established in the proposed method, it can also evaluate the probability of equipment retirement within specific years. The developed method is applied to examples of generators of combined cycle power plants to show its effectiveness.

Target Doppler Detection for Active Sonar in Multipath Environment (능동 소나에서 다중경로를 고려한 표적 도플러 검출)

  • Jin Hae-Dong;Yun Kyung-Sik;Park Do-Hyun;Lee Kyun-Kyung
    • Proceedings of the Acoustical Society of Korea Conference
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    • autumn
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    • pp.277-280
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    • 2000
  • 수중환경에서 표적의 탐지 성능을 향상시키기 위하여 능동 소나에서는 높은 시간-대역폭곱의 파형들을 사용하며 대표적인 것으로 LFM 펄스를 들 수 있다 LFM 펄스를 사용하여 표적까지의 거리와 표적의 속도를 추정하는 방법으로는 모호함수를 사용하는 방법과 deconvolution 방법 및 FR-기반 기법 등이 있다. 이러한 기법중 모호함수 사용 방법과 deconvolution 방법은 능동 소나의 운용 주파수 대역에서 많은 연산량이 요구되므로 실제 시스템에 적용하기에는 제약을 받는다. 그리고 다른 기법에 비해 적은 연산량을 가지는 FFT-기반 상관관계 기법은 실제 시스템에 적용이 가능하지만 다중경로에 의한 성능 저하를 가지고 있다. 본 논문에서는 적은 연산량을 가지는 FFT-기반 기법을 보완하여 다중경로에 적용 가능한 새로운 탐지기를 제안한다.

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Optimization of Mutual Information for Multiresolution Image Registration (다해상도 영상정합을 위한 상호정보 최적화)

  • Hong, Helen;Kim, Myoung-Hee
    • Journal of the Korea Computer Graphics Society
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    • v.7 no.1
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    • pp.37-49
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    • 2001
  • We propose an optimization of mutual information for multiresolution image registration to represent useful information as integrated form obtaining from complementary information of multi modality images. The method applies mutual information as cost function to measure the statistical dependency or information redundancy between the image intensities of corresponding pixels in both images, which is assumed to be maximal if the images are geometrically aligned. As experimental results we validate visual inspection for accuracy, changning initial condition and addictive noise for robustness. Since our method uses the native image rather than prior feature extraction, few user interaction is required to perform the registration. In addition it leads to robust density estimation and convergence as applying non-parametric density estimation and stochastic multiresolution optimization.

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A Recursive Estimation Algorithm for FIR System Using Higher Order Cumulants (고차 큐뮬런트를 이용한 FIR 시스템의 회귀 추정 알고리듬)

  • Kim, Hyoung-Ill;Yang, Tae-Won;Jeon, Bum-Ki;Sung, Koeng-Mo
    • The Journal of the Acoustical Society of Korea
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    • v.16 no.3
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    • pp.81-85
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    • 1997
  • In this paper, a recursive estimation algorithm for FIR systems is proposed using the 3rd and 4th order cumulants. To obtain the Overdetermined Recursive Instrumental Variable(ORIV) method type algorithm, we transform the 3'th and 4'th order cumulant relationship to a certain matrix form which is consist of only output data. From the matrix form, we induce the proposed algorithm procedure following the ORIV method. The proposed algorithm provides improved estimation accuracy with smaller data and can be applied to a time varying system as well. In addition, it reduces the estimation error due to the additive Gaussian noise compared to conventional 2'rd order based algorithms since it only uses higher than 2'rd order cumulant. Simulation results are presented to compare the performance with other HOS-based algorithms.

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Sampling Error Problem on Rainfall Observation Using Satelite (인공위성을 이용한 강우관측과 관측오차)

  • 유철상
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 1997.05a
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    • pp.186-191
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    • 1997
  • 인공위성을 이용한 강우관측은 지상에서의 강우관측과는 달리 넒은 지역의 관측을 가능하게 하고 또한 해양에서의 강우까지도 관측할 수 있다는 장점이 있다. 그러나 이러한 강우관측도 몇가지 문제점을 포함하고 있는데 그 하나로서 관측오차 문제를 들 수 있다. 이것은 관측된 강우가 공간적으로는 연속이지만 시간적으론 불연속이기 때문에 발생하는 구조적인 문제로서 강우의 시간적-공간적 통계특성과 관측계획에 따라 각각 다르게 정량화 된다. 본 논문에서는 인공위성을 이용한 강우 관측시 발생하는 관측오차의 추정식을 소개하고 두개의 다차원 강우모형을 사용하여 적용해 보았다. 현재까지의 관측오차 추정은 강우의 2차원 통계특성만을 고려하기 때문에 모형의 매개변수들이 이 특성에 맞추어 적절히 추정된 경우, 모델에 따른 차이는 크지 않은 것으로 밝혀졌다. 앞으로 이러한 단점은 2차원 이상의 통계특성을 고려하는, 궁극적으로는 강우의 확률밀도함수를 고려할 수 있는 관측오차 추정식의 개발을 통해 개선될 수 있을 것이다.

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