• Title/Summary/Keyword: 최종가중치

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Prioritization of locations for permeable pavement considering future climate scenarios (미래 기후시나리오에 따른 투수성포장 시설 우선순위 선정)

  • Chae, Seung Taek;Choi, Hyuk Su;Chung, Eun-Sung
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2021.06a
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    • pp.364-364
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    • 2021
  • 최근 지구온난화에 따른 홍수 및 가뭄 재해의 피해는 심각해졌다. 그러므로 미래 재해로 인한 피해를 완화시키기 위한 수자원 계획 수립 및 관리의 중요성이 높아지고 있다. 전지구모형(General Circulation Model, GCM)은 기후 변화 연구에서 기후 요인의 변동을 조사하는데 널리 사용되어지고 있다. 본 연구에서는 기후 변화 시나리오를 고려하여 도시유역의 소유역 별 투수성포장 시설의 우선순위를 산정했다. 기후 변화 시나리오에는Representative Concentration Pathway(RCP)와 Shared Socioeconomic Pathway(SSP) 시나리오가 사용되었으며 CMIP5와 CMIP6의 GCM을 고려하였다. GCM을 이용하여 산정된 미래 월 강수량은 분위사상(Quantile Mapping)법의 비모수변환(Non-Parametirc Transformation)법 중 하나인 스플라인 평활(Smoothing Spline) 방법을 사용하여 편이보정 되었다. 연구대상지는 목감천 유역이 선정되었으며, 27개의 소유역에 대해 투수성포장 시설의 우선순위를 산정되었다. 우선순위 산정을 위한 평가 기준들은 Driving force-Pressure-State-Impact-Response(DPSIR) 모형을 기반으로 산정 되었다. 평가기준에 따른 27개의 소유역에 대한 값들은 통계청 및 국가수자원관리종합정보시스템(WAMIS), 편이보정 된 미래 강수량과 Storm Water Management Model(SWMM)을 이용한 유출분석 결과를 통해 도출했다. 평가기준들의 객관적 가중치 산정을 위해 엔트로피 방법을 이용했다. 최종적으로 목감천 소유역 별 투수성포장 시설의 우선순위 산정에는 다기준의사결정기법 중 하나인 TOPSIS방법을 사용했다. 산정 결과 DPSIR 모형을 기반으로 수문학적 요소에 큰 가중치를 부여한 경우 하류보다는 상류 유역에서 높은 우선순위를 확인했으며, 각 요소별 동일한 가중치를 주었을 때 하류 유역에 높은 우선순위가 집중되었다.

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Research on Insurance Claim Prediction Using Ensemble Learning-Based Dynamic Weighted Allocation Model (앙상블 러닝 기반 동적 가중치 할당 모델을 통한 보험금 예측 인공지능 연구)

  • Jong-Seok Choi
    • The Journal of Korea Institute of Information, Electronics, and Communication Technology
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    • v.17 no.4
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    • pp.221-228
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    • 2024
  • Predicting insurance claims is a key task for insurance companies to manage risks and maintain financial stability. Accurate insurance claim predictions enable insurers to set appropriate premiums, reduce unexpected losses, and improve the quality of customer service. This study aims to enhance the performance of insurance claim prediction models by applying ensemble learning techniques. The predictive performance of models such as Random Forest, Gradient Boosting Machine (GBM), XGBoost, Stacking, and the proposed Dynamic Weighted Ensemble (DWE) model were compared and analyzed. Model performance was evaluated using Mean Absolute Error (MAE), Mean Squared Error (MSE), and the Coefficient of Determination (R2). Experimental results showed that the DWE model outperformed others in terms of evaluation metrics, achieving optimal predictive performance by combining the prediction results of Random Forest, XGBoost, LR, and LightGBM. This study demonstrates that ensemble learning techniques are effective in improving the accuracy of insurance claim predictions and suggests the potential utilization of AI-based predictive models in the insurance industry.

Determining Relative Weights of Criteria for Evaluating National Quarantine Station by the Analytic Hierarchy Process (AHP방법을 적용한 국립검역소 평가 준거의 가중치 결정)

  • Jeong, Mun-Yong;Lee, Moo-Sik;Kim, Dae-Kyung;Yoo, In-Sook
    • Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
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    • v.11 no.1
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    • pp.335-340
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    • 2010
  • In accordance with the increasing possibility that the new and reoccurring epidemics continuously appearing abroad flow into Korea, it is very important to evaluate the efficiency of quarantine management projects of National Quarantine Station. This study adopted the pairwise comparison approach using the analytical hierarchy process(AHP) that has been recognized with its scientific adequacy for allocating the weight, the relative importance of evaluation components. AHP technique is evaluated to be distinguished in measuring the impact by making hierarchy of, simplifying and systemizing the complicated multi-criteria decision making problems. The weights by evaluation indexes were 0.2 in the organization evaluation field and 0.8 in the service and program field. The quarantine business showed the highest value, 0.45, in the service and program field. The indexes were classified into the upper category (organization evaluation field, service and program evaluation field) and lower category (input/process/result/quarantine field, inspection field, hygiene management field, pathogenic organ investigation and monitoring field, epidemics prevention promotion/education field). The evaluation indexes that were finally selected were applied to the actual businesses in National Quarantine Station. Next, the minimum evaluation indexes were selected and so the evaluation system on the businesses in National Quarantine Station was more systemized.

A Study on Site Evaluation Process for Thalassotherapy Complex (해양치유단지 조성을 위한 입지평가프로세스에 관한 연구)

  • Lee, Han-Seok;Doe, Guen-Young;Kang, Young-Hun
    • Journal of Navigation and Port Research
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    • v.43 no.3
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    • pp.219-230
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    • 2019
  • The objective of this study is to suggest the evaluation method, the evaluation index and items, and evaluation criteria for rational and systematic evaluation of the thalassotherapy complex site. Evaluation items and indicators are determined based on overseas cases of thalassotherapy complex, the central governments' thalassotherapy business policy, and the local governments business plan. 3 major evaluation items, 8 middle evaluation items, 5 small evaluation items and 26 evaluation indexes are selected as evaluation items. The evaluation criterion for each evaluation index is then determined. As per the evaluation process, first, weights are assigned to the evaluation items by an evaluation committee composed of experts. Secondly, each committee member assigns a weight and a score to each evaluation indicator for evaluation score calculation. This score is then multiplied by the weight of the evaluation item to determine the final score for each evaluation index. The ultimate scores of all the evaluation indexes are then added to the evaluation score of each committee member. Lastly, the arithmetic mean of the evaluation scores of all committee members becomes the final evaluation result of a site.

Assessment of the vulnerability of groundwater level management in Nakdong river basin (낙동강 유역 지하수위 관리 취약성 평가)

  • Yang, Jeong-Seok;Lee, Jae-Beom;Kim, Il-Hwan
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.50 no.12
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    • pp.815-825
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    • 2017
  • Groundwater management vulnerability was assessed using TOPSIS (Techniques for Order Performance by Similarity to Ideal Solution) for 21 administrative districts in Nakdong river basin. Ten indicators were selected for 21 administrative districts in the Nakdong river basin by collecting natural, human, and social data sets. The selected indicators were standardized using rescale method, and each indicator was weighted by considering the questionnaire of expert group. The results of the weights determination survey showed that the annual average groundwater level index was 0.157 and this is the highest value. The annual average precipitation index was 0.154 and the annual groundwater recharge index was 0.152. The lowest weighted index was 0.043 for population density. Finally, the result of assessment of groundwater management vulnerability showed that Sangju-si was the most vulnerable to groundwater management among 21 administrative districts in Nakdong river basin because the annual average precipitation, annual average groundwater recharge, and annual average groundwater use indicators were highly vulnerable. The second and the third vulnerable regions were Yecheon-gun and Haman-gun respectively. The assessment of groundwater management vulnerability for the five major river basins in Korea can be a essential basis for the establishment of groundwater management policy.

Weighted Census Transform and Guide Filtering based Depth Map Generation Method (가중치를 이용한 센서스 변환과 가이드 필터링 기반깊이지도 생성 방법)

  • Mun, Ji-Hun;Ho, Yo-Sung
    • Journal of the Institute of Electronics and Information Engineers
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    • v.54 no.2
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    • pp.92-98
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    • 2017
  • Generally, image contains geometrical and radiometric errors. Census transform can solve the stereo mismatching problem caused by the radiometric distortion. Since the general census transform compares center of window pixel value with neighbor pixel value, it is hard to obtain an accurate matching result when the difference of pixel value is not large. To solve that problem, we propose a census transform method that applies different 4-step weight for each pixel value difference by applying an assistance window inside the window kernel. If the current pixel value is larger than the average of assistance window pixel value, a high weight value is given. Otherwise, a low weight value is assigned to perform a differential census transform. After generating an initial disparity map using a weighted census transform and input images, the gradient information is additionally used to model a cost function for generating a final disparity map. In order to find an optimal cost value, we use guided filtering. Since the filtering is performed using the input image and the disparity image, the object boundary region can be preserved. From the experimental results, we confirm that the performance of the proposed stereo matching method is improved compare to the conventional method.

A Development of Evaluation Indicators for Performance Improvement of Horticultural Therapy Garden (원예치료정원의 성능개선을 위한 평가지표 개발)

  • Ahn, Je-Jun;Park, Yool-Jin
    • Journal of the Korean Institute of Traditional Landscape Architecture
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    • v.36 no.4
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    • pp.113-123
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    • 2018
  • The purpose of this research is to develop evaluation indicators forperformance improvement of horticultural therapy garden. In order to achieve a therapeutic purpose, the gardening activity held by the trained horticultural therapist. Moreover, horticultural therapy is 'a medical model' for the treatment and basic premise of the research was set, as horticultural therapy garden is characterized area to support activities of patients and horticultural therapist functionally and efficiently. For this study, three times of Delphi and AHP techniques were proceeded to export panels who were recruited by purposive sampling. Through these techniques, it was possible to deduct the evaluation indicator which maximizes the performance of the horticultural therapy garden. The evaluation items were prioritized by typing and stratification of the indicator. The results and discussions were stated as followings. Firstly, a questionnaire of experts was conducted to horticultural therapists and civil servants who were in charge of horticultural therapy. As results(horticultural therapists: 87.8%, civil servants: 75.2%), It is possible to conclude that both positions have the high recognition and agreed on the necessity of horticultural therapy. Secondly, Delphi investigation was conducted three times in order to develop the evaluation indicator for performance evaluation. After Delphi analysis, total 34 of evaluation elements to improve the performance of the horticultural therapy garden by reliability and validity analysis results. Thirdly, AHP analysis of each evaluation indicator was conducted on the relative importance and weighting. Moreover, the results showed 'interaction between nature and human' as the most important element, and in order of 'plan of the program', 'social interaction', 'sustainable environmental', and 'universal design rule', respectively. On the other hand, the exports from the university and research institute evaluated the importance of 'interaction between nature and human', while horticultural therapists chose 'plan of the program' as the most important element. Fourthly, the total weight was used to develop weight applied evaluation indicator for the performance evaluation of the horticultural therapy garden. The weight applying to evaluation index is generally calculated multiply the evaluation scores and the total weight using AHP analysis. Finally, 'the evaluation indicator and evaluation score sheet for performance improvement of the horticultural therapy garden' was finally stated based on the relative order of priority between evaluation indicators and analyzing the weight. If it was deducted the improvement points for the efficiency of already established horticultural therapy garden using the 'weight applied evaluation sheet', it is possible to expand it by judging the importance with the decision of the priority because the item importance decided by experts was reflected. Moreover, in the condition of new garden establishment, it is expected to be helpful in suggesting ways for performance improvement and in setting the guidelines by understanding the major indicators of performance improvement in horticultural therapy activity.

An Estimation and Decomposition of CO2 Emissions Change in Korea Industry, 1990~2000 Using a Hybrid Input-Output Model and Structural Decomposition Analysis (환경 혼합 산업연관모형을 이용한 산업별 이산화탄소 배출량 추정과 변화 요인 분석)

  • Choi, Han Joo;Lee, Kihoon
    • Environmental and Resource Economics Review
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    • v.15 no.1
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    • pp.27-50
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    • 2006
  • We estimate $CO_2$ emissions in Korea industry, 1990 and 2000 using a commodity- by-industry IO model ($CO_2$ hybrid IO mode]). Estimated $CO_2$ emissions in industries include both $CO_2$ emissions from direct and indirect consumption. The results show that total $CO_2$ emissions has increased by 51.6 million TC (Tonne of Carbon) from 64.4 million TC in 1990 to 115.5 million TC in 2000. By applying the structural decomposition analysis technique, we decompose change of $CO_2$ emissions in Korea industry between the period 1990~2000. In the decomposition, we figure out two contributing factors, changes in $CO_2$ coefficient and changes in final demand. The latter is further decomposed as growth effects and structural effects. We also estimated each factor's contribution to the changes in $CO_2$ emissions in industries between 1990~2000. The analysis can be used as a useful resource for policy makers in improving the effectiveness of $CO_2$ emissions mitigation policy.

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A Evaluation Model of AHP Results Using Monte Carlo Simulation (Depending on the Case Studies of Road and Rail) (몬테카를로 시뮬레이션을 통한 AHP결과 해석모형개발 (도로 및 철도부문 사례를 중심으로))

  • Sul, You-Jin;Chung, Sung-Bong;Song, Ki-Han;Chon, Kyung-Soo;Rhee, Sung-Mo
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.26 no.4
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    • pp.195-204
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    • 2008
  • Multi-Criteria Analysis is one method for optimizing decisions that include numerous characteristics and objective functions. The Analytic Hierarchy Process (AHP) is used as a general Multi-Criteria Analysis considering many critical issues. However, since validation procedures for the decision reliability of AHP valuers had been left off existing methodologies, a new methodology including such validation procedures is required to make more reliable decisions. In this research, idea decision results are derived using Monte Carlo Simulation in cases where AHP valuers do not have expertise in the specific project, and these results are compared with the results derived from experts to develop a new analysis model to make more reliable decisions. Finally, this new analysis is applied to various field case studies of road and rail carried out by the Korea Development Institute (KDI) between 2003 and 2006 to validate the new analysis model. The study found that approximately 20% of decisions resulting from the existing methodology are considered prudent. In future studies, the authors suggest analyzing the correlation between initial weights and final results since final results are enormously influenced by the initial weight.

A Study on deducting evaluation items for rock cut slope using delphi survey (델파이조사를 통한 암반비탈면 평가항목 도출 연구)

  • Suk, Jae-Wook
    • Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
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    • v.16 no.4
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    • pp.2828-2836
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    • 2015
  • Evaluation items were deducted by based on literature materials to supplement the evaluation system of rock cut-slope in national road. Delphi survey of experts were conducted to review the final evaluation items. As a result of reviewing the significance through stepwise multiple linear regression, all of deducted items were statistically significant because these had lower P-value than 0.05. And It was confirmed that the items were selected appropriately as they had relatively similar levels of the weight. In consideration of CVR and reliability both suggested items and existing items, the exclusible items was selected and new items can complement existing evaluation system were added. Finally 18 rock cut-slope evaluation items was deducted.