• Title/Summary/Keyword: 이항변수방법

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The Relationship between Violation of Designated Lane Usage and Accident Severity on Freeways (고속도로 지정차로제 위반과 교통사고 심각도와의 관계분석: 화물차량을 대상으로)

  • Kim, Joo-Hee;Lee, Soo-Beom;Kim, Da-Hee;Hong, Ji-Yeon
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.30 no.3
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    • pp.119-127
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    • 2012
  • For traffic safety, it is imperative for motorists to secure their clear view and to maintain a similar speed with others while driving in a lane. Large-sized vehicles at lower speeds, however, are likely to increase the risk of accident when they share a lane with cars. Although to overcome this complication the Korean Road Traffic Act established rules for the safe use of roads, the reality is that the rules are seldom observed strictly. In this light, this study was designed to analyze the severity of truck-involved accidents, thereby providing justification for the need of truck-designated lanes and thus contributing to measuring road safety more precisely. A binomial logistic regression model was applied to analyze the severity of truck-involved accidents. The analysis showed that several variables affect the severity of truck-involved accidents on freeways; i.e., violation against the rule of truck-designated lanes, weather, difference between daytime and nighttime, and parking on road shoulder. Moreover, the strong enforcement will be needed to make motorists observe the rule, because a Wald statistical test showed that the violation against the rule of truck-designated lanes has the largest influence on the severity.

An Empirical Study on the Measurement of Clustering and Trend Analysis among the Asian Container Ports Using the Variable Group Benchmarking and Categorical Variable Models (가변 그룹 벤치마킹 모형과 범주형 변수모형을 이용한 아시아 컨테이너항만의 클러스터링측정 및 추세분석에 관한 실증적 연구)

  • Park, Rokyung
    • Journal of Korea Port Economic Association
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    • v.29 no.1
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    • pp.143-175
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    • 2013
  • The purpose of this paper is to show the clustering trend by using the variable group benchmarking(VGB) and categorical variable(CV) models for 38 Asian ports during 9 years(2001-2009) with 4 inputs(birth length, depth, total area, and number of crane) and 1 output(container TEU). The main empirical results of this paper are as follows. First, clustering results by using VGB show that Shanghai, Qingdao, and Ningbo ports took the core role for clustering. Second, CV analysis focusing on the container throughputs indicated that Singapore, Keelong, Dubai, and Kaosiung ports except Chinese ports are appeared as the center ports of clustering. Third, Aqaba, Dubai, Hongkong, Shanghai, Guangzhou, and Ningbo ports are recommended as the efficient ports for the target of clustering. Fourth, when the ports are classified by the regional location, Dubai, Khor Fakkan, Shanghai, Hongkong, Keelong, Ningbo, and Singapore ports are the core ports for clustering. On the whole, other ports located in Asia should be clustered to Dubai, Khor Fakkan, Shanghai, Hongkong, Ningbo, and Singapore ports. The policy implication of this paper is that Korean port policy planner should introduce the VGB model, and CV model for clustering among the international ports for enhancing the efficiency of inputs and outputs.

The Policy of Industry-University Network Building and the Firm Networking: A Focus on the Daegu-Gyeongbuk Region (정부의 산.학.연 네트워크 형성 정책과 기업의 네트워킹 활동 - 대구.경북 지역을 중심으로 -)

  • Choi, Kyung-Hee
    • Journal of the Economic Geographical Society of Korea
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    • v.15 no.3
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    • pp.404-423
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    • 2012
  • This study is aimed at exploring the impact of the characteristics of the firms on firm's networking. We develop a framework theorizing firm's networking according to sales, size, research facility, the percentage of R&D staff to total employees, the percentage of R&D investment to total sales, the number of the certification, the intention of attending seminars, the experience of participating in the government subsidy program. The results of the analysis show that research capacity, openness to a variety of information source, the experience of participating in the government subsidy program are significant in determining the firm's networking. The government needs to encourage the firms to improve their research capacity, and to train the coordinators to help the firms get higher openness to a variety of information source, use the government subsidy program.

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Analysis of Bus Accidents Influential Factors on Bus Exclusive Lane in Seoul (Bus Median Lane and Bus Curb Lane Defined) (서울시 버스전용차로구간의 버스사고 영향요인 분석 연구 (중앙전용차로 및 가로변전용차로 구분))

  • Lim, Jun-Beom;Hong, Ji-Yeon;Chang, Il-Jun;Park, Jun-Tae
    • International Journal of Highway Engineering
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    • v.14 no.2
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    • pp.145-155
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    • 2012
  • At present, Seoul City is putting the bus exclusive lane system into practice according to mass transit revitalization policy. Starting with the installation of roadside bus exclusive lane in the past, at present, even the road sections for central- lane bus exclusive lane system are on the increase. The purpose of this research is to analyze the factors giving impacts on bus accident on central bus exclusive lane and roadside bus exclusive lane. In case of the central bus exclusive lane, the 6 variables, such as the number of bus routes, number of access & entrance to central lanes patterns, whether the stop line of central lanes retreats or not, separated distance between the stop line of central lanes and crosswalks, traffic volume, and number of bus routes stopping at bus stops on reversible lanes, were found to have a significant influence on bus accidents. In case of roadside bus exclusive lane sections, the four variables such as the number of right-turn bus routes, whether to be chronic illegal parking & stopping, time for the walk signal, and forms of land use, etc. were found to have a significant influence on bus accident.

A Graphical Method of Checking the Adequacy of Linear Systematic Component in Generalized Linear Models (일반화선형모형에서 선형성의 타당성을 진단하는 그래프)

  • Kim, Ji-Hyun
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.15 no.1
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    • pp.27-41
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    • 2008
  • A graphical method of checking the adequacy of a generalized linear model is proposed. The graph helps to assess the assumption that the link function of mean can be expressed as a linear combination of explanatory variables in the generalized linear model. For the graph the boosting technique is applied to estimate nonparametrically the relationship between the link function of the mean and the explanatory variables, though any other nonparametric regression methods can be applied. Through simulation studies with normal and binary data, the effectiveness of the graph is demonstrated. And we list some limitations and technical details of the graph.

A Study on Change of Travel Patterns According to Public Transportation Reform (A Case Study of Gyeongsan City) (대중교통체계 개편에 따른 대중교통 이용자들의 통행패턴 변화에 관한 연구 (경산시를 사례로))

  • Yun, Dae-Sik;Park, Hyeon-Cheol
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.28 no.1
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    • pp.51-61
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    • 2010
  • The main objective of this paper is to analyze change of travel patterns according to public transportation reform. The paper uses data collected from Gyeongsan City. So far few researches, especially using before-and-after individual travel survey, have been conducted on analyzing effects of public transportation reform. For this research, some descriptive statistical analyses and statistical hypotheses tests were conducted. Furthermore, some empirical logit models were estimated for analyzing the individual effects of the public transportation reform. Finally, some important foundings, policy implications, and limitations of this research are discussed.

Comparing the performance of likelihood ratio test and F-test for gamma generalized linear models (감마 일반화 선형 모형에서의 가능도비 검정과 F-검정 비교연구)

  • Jo, Seongil;Han, Jeongseop;Lee, Woojoo
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.31 no.4
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    • pp.475-484
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    • 2018
  • Gamma generalized linear models are useful for non-negative and skewed responses. However, these models have received less attention than Poisson and binomial generalized linear models. In particular, hypothesis testing for the significance of regression coefficients has not been thoroughly studied. In this paper we assess the performance of various test statistics for gamma generalized linear models based on numerical studies. Our results show that the likelihood ratio test and F-type test are generally recommended and that the partial deviance test should be avoided in practice.

Graphical regression and model assessment in logistic model (로지스틱모형에서 그래픽을 이용한 회귀와 모형평가)

  • Kahng, Myung-Wook;Kim, Bu-Yong;Hong, Ju-Hee
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.21 no.1
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    • pp.21-32
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    • 2010
  • Graphical regression is a paradigm for obtaining regression information using plots without model assumptions. The general goal of this approach is to find lowdimensional sufficient summary plots without loss of important information. Model assessments using residual plots are less likely to be successful in models that are not linear. As an alternative approach, marginal model plots provide a general graphical method for assessing the model. We apply the methods of graphical regression and model assessment using marginal model plots to the logistic regression model.

Extraction of Hazardous Freeway Sections Using GPS-Based Probe Vehicle Speed Data (GPS 프로브 차량 속도자료를 이용한 고속도로 사고 위험구간 추출기법)

  • Park, Jae-Hong;Oh, Cheol;Kim, Tae-Hyung;Joo, Shin-Hye
    • The Journal of The Korea Institute of Intelligent Transport Systems
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    • v.9 no.3
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    • pp.73-84
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    • 2010
  • This study presents a novel method to identify hazardous segments of freeway using global positioning system(GPS) based probe vehicle data. A variety of candidate contributing factors leading to higher potential of accident occurrence were extracted from the probe vehicle dataset. The research problem was defined as a classification problem, then a well-known classifier, bayesian neural network was adopted to solve the problem. A binary logistic regression technique was also used for selecting salient input variables. Test results showed that the proposed method is promising in extracting hazardous freeway sections. The outcome of this study will be effectively used for evaluating the safety of freeway sections and deriving countermeasures to prevent accidents.

Hyper-Geometric Distribution Software Reliability Growth Model : Generalizatio, Estimation and Prediction (초기하분포 소프트웨어 신뢰성 성장 모델 : 일반화, 추정과 예측)

  • Park, Jung-Yang;Yu, Chang-Yeol;Park, Jae-Hong
    • The Transactions of the Korea Information Processing Society
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    • v.6 no.9
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    • pp.2343-2349
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    • 1999
  • The hyper-geometric distribution software reliability growth model (HGDM) was recently developed and successfully applied to real data sets. The HGDM considers the sensitivity factor as a parameter to be estimated. In order to reflect the random behavior of the test-and-debug process, this paper generalizes the HGDM by assuming that the sensitivity factor is a binomial random variable. Such a generalization enables us to easily understand the statistical characteristics of the HGDM. It is shown that the least squares method produces the identical results for both the HGDM and the generalized HGDM. Methods for computing the maximum likelihood estimates and predicting the future outcomes are also presented.

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