• Title/Summary/Keyword: 이항로짓모형

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A Study on the Optimal City Park Planning by Using Social Welfare function (사회후생함수를 이용한 최적 도시공단 계획에 관한 연구)

  • 서주환
    • Journal of the Korean Institute of Landscape Architecture
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    • v.16 no.3
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    • pp.1-6
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    • 1989
  • The current linear programming model as for city park planning has the following intrinsic constraints. First of all, it cannot explicity consider choice behaviors of people. Secondly, the objective function of linear programming model cannot sufficiently intergrate satisfactions of people. In order to overcome these weak points of linear programming model, the following extensions have been made in this paper. First of all, bionominal and multinominal logit models based upon logit models, utility maximization of people have been constructed, Secondly, based upon logit models, social welfare function has been constructed in order to aggregate satisfactions of people. By doing this, intrinsic oonstraints of linear programming model have been successfully overcome. In the future research, empirical study of the model developed in this paper will be necessary. By doing this, the construction of optimal investment plan for city parks will be possible.

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Parameter estimation for the imbalanced credit scoring data using AUC maximization (AUC 최적화를 이용한 낮은 부도율 자료의 모수추정)

  • Hong, C.S.;Won, C.H.
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.29 no.2
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    • pp.309-319
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    • 2016
  • For binary classification models, we consider a risk score that is a function of linear scores and estimate the coefficients of the linear scores. There are two estimation methods: one is to obtain MLEs using logistic models and the other is to estimate by maximizing AUC. AUC approach estimates are better than MLEs when using logistic models under a general situation which does not support logistic assumptions. This paper considers imbalanced data that contains a smaller number of observations in the default class than those in the non-default for credit assessment models; consequently, the AUC approach is applied to imbalanced data. Various logit link functions are used as a link function to generate imbalanced data. It is found that predicted coefficients obtained by the AUC approach are equivalent to (or better) than those from logistic models for low default probability - imbalanced data.

Access and Egress Patterns of Travel to a Regional Railway Station Based on Transit Smart Card Data (Case study: Seoul Station during Chuseok Holiday) (명절기간 중 서울역 철도 이용객의 접근통행 특성 연구)

  • Eom, Jin Ki;Lee, Jun;Lee, Kwang-Seop
    • Journal of the Korean Society for Railway
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    • v.16 no.1
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    • pp.59-64
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    • 2013
  • This study analyzed passenger access and egress travel patterns related to a Korean regional railway station (Seoul station), then developed a binomial logit model. This model referred to bus and metro mode of access and egress during a national holiday (Chuseok 2009); obtained from transit smart card data. The results showed that 99% of passengers getting access to, or egress from, the regional railway station did so using less than two transfers, and that most passengers were more likely to choose a metro. However, the passengers that made access or egress trips near Seoul Station were more likely to take a bus. From the results of the mode choice model, it was found that the impact of travel time was greater than that of travel cost, in the choices made for both access and egress. Interestingly, the impact of travel time is much greater in choosing the mode of egress.

Estimation Study of Willingness to Pay for Low-Floor Seat Buses Introduction (저상 좌석버스 도입에 대한 지불의사금액 추정 연구)

  • Dong Jun Choi;Yongju Yi;Jeong Ah Jang
    • The Journal of The Korea Institute of Intelligent Transport Systems
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    • v.22 no.6
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    • pp.66-76
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    • 2023
  • The government recently implemented policies to improve transportation for the disabled passengers. On the other hand, metropolitan public transport still lacks adequate services for these individuals. Many new cities lack urban rail lines and focus on high-floor buses for expansion. Wheelchair users can only access to double-decker low-floor seat express buses for intercity travel. This study examined the necessity and rationale for introducing low-floor seat buses by estimating the user's willingness to pay through a contingent valuation method. Two methods for eliciting the willingness to pay were adopted: open-ended and dichotomous choice questions. The binomial logit model was used to estimate the willingness to pay. The results indicated that the general public is willing to pay an additional 126.7 Korean won, while the disabled passengers are willing to pay an additional 117.5 Korean won. When translated into annual economic benefits, this amounts to approximately 35 billion Korean won.

A Study on Providing Real-Time Route Guidance Information by Variable Massage Signs with Driver Behavior (운전자 행태를 고려한 VMS의 실시간 경로안내 정보제공에 관한 연구)

  • Lee, Chang-U;Jeong, Jin-Hyeok
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.24 no.7 s.93
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    • pp.65-79
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    • 2006
  • The ATIS(Advance Traveler Information System), as one part of ITS, is a system aiming to disperse traffic volume on transportation networks by providing traffic information to transportation users on pre-trip and en-route trips. One of tools in ATIS is usage of VMS(Variable Message Signs). It provides to the drivers with direct information about state of processing direction. which is considered as the most effective method in ATIS. The purposes of providing VMS information are classified two categories. One is to provide simple information to drivers for their convenience. The other is to manage traffic demand to improve transportation network performance. However, for more effective and reliable VMS information, several strategies should be taken into account. The main VMS management strategy is "Traffic Diversion Strategy for minimum delay" when traffic congestion or incident are occurred. For effective operation. firstly. reasonable diversion traffic volume is determined by network traffic condition Secondly, it is necessary to make providing information strategy which reflects driver response behavior for controling diversion traffic volume. This paper focuses on the providing real-time route guidance information by VMS when congestion is occurred by the incidents. This sturdy estimates time-dependent system optimal diversion rate that inflects travel time and queue lengths using traffic flow simulation model on base Cellular Automata. In addition, route choice behavior models are developed using binary logit model for traffic information variable by traffic system controller. Finally, this study provides time-dependent VMS massage contents and degree of providing information in order to optimize the traffic flow.

Factors Affecting on Suicidal Ideation in Public Assistance Recipients (공공부조 수급자의 자살생각 영향요인)

  • Lee, Ju Hyun;Kim, Min Ji;Lee, Byeong Hui;Noh, Jin-Won
    • The Journal of the Korea Contents Association
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    • v.15 no.8
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    • pp.366-374
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    • 2015
  • This study investigated what factors would affect suicidal ideation of the people who have received public assistance. For the purpose, the survey results of the 7th year(2012) of Korea Welfare Panel Study, which were conducted by Korea Institute for health and Social Affairs and Social Welfare Research Institute of Seoul National University, were used for analysis. In order to figure out the level of influence on the suicidal ideation, a binary logistic regression analysis using a binary logistic model was used as an analysis method. As a result, it was found that when the subjects are middle school graduates, and if they are married, there are low suicidal ideation. Also, the higher their self-esteem is and the higher their satisfaction with public assistance, the lower there they have suicidal ideation. Furthermore, it was proved that if they have depression, or in middle age, they have high possibility of suicidal ideation. It was proved that satisfaction with public assistance also can have influence on the suicidal ideation of the poor class, not only physical and psychological factors. Therefore, measuring the satisfaction of the recipients with public assistance can be one of the significant factors that affects suicidal ideation.

Empirical Examination of Determinants Affecting Safety Incidents in Building Construction (건축공사 안전사고에 대한 현장 요인별 영향력 분석)

  • Hur, Youn-Kyoung;Lee, Seung-Woo;Yoo, Wi-Sung;Song, Tae-Geun
    • Journal of the Korea Institute of Building Construction
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    • v.23 no.5
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    • pp.583-593
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    • 2023
  • For a holistic and precise assessment of safety benchmarks within a construction venture, it's paramount to delineate between the intrinsic features of the construction and its real-time, on-site performance metrics. In this study, we delved into genuine accident instances to discern the interplay between these construction attributes and on-ground performance determinants in relation to safety mishaps, employing the binomial logit analytical framework. Our scrutiny underscored that construction expenditure profoundly modulates the likelihood of fatal occurrences. Notably, variables pertinent to on-site safety protocols wielded considerable influence over both fatal mishaps and accidents implicating multiple personnel. These revelations intimate that while ascertaining the safety quotient of a construction initiative, a mere classification and recalibration based on fiscal dimensions can elucidate much. Yet, a comprehensive safety appraisal necessitates transcending quantitative indices, such as frequency of mishaps or casualty rates, to encapsulate the multifaceted interventions and strategies adopted at the construction locale.

The Estimation of the Demand of Newly Married Couples for Public Rental Housing in Chungnam (충남 신혼부부의 공공임대주택 수요 추정과 정책적 함의)

  • Hong, Sung-Hyo;Im, Jun-Hong
    • Land and Housing Review
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    • v.13 no.1
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    • pp.11-22
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    • 2022
  • This paper estimates the demand of newly married couples for public rental housing in Chungnam. This research attempts to overcome data limitations by linking survey data with administrative data for analysis. First, the results of a binary logit model that analyzes newly married couples' intention to move into public rental housing, based on the Chungnam Social Survey 2019, reveal that residential location, educational level, housing type, and tenure type have a statistically significant effect. By combining the estimated coefficients with another dataset, the statistics of newly married couples for administration purposes acquired from Statistics Korea, this research estimates the demand for public rental housing among the newly married couples in Chungnam. The estimation results show that the total demand for public rental housing in Chungnam is 11,424 units among 43,705 newly married couples. The total demand of 21,685 newly married couples who occupy rental housing is estimated to be 9,436 units. The policy for providing public rental housing to newly married couples in Chungnam aims to increase their fertility rates. Hence, further research should be followed up to evaluate the effect of the supply of public rental housing on fertility rates. Also, a research method should be developed to control for possible endogeneity between the demand for public rental housing and childbirths.

A Study on the Influencing Factors of the Sales and Surplus Companies of the Townbuses in Seoul (서울시 마을버스 매출액 및 흑자업체의 영향요인에 대한 연구)

  • Jang, Jae-min;Shin, Sung-il;YI, Yong-ju
    • The Journal of The Korea Institute of Intelligent Transport Systems
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    • v.21 no.4
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    • pp.115-124
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    • 2022
  • Unlike the semi-public system of city buses, Seoul's townbus are operated on a private operating system, which is poor condition to the changes in the environment. Sales decreased due to a decrease in the number of passengers due to COVID-19 and a demand for conversion due to the advent of competitive transportation methods, and the financial support of Seoul Metropolitan Government is continuously increasing. In this study, to analyze the characteristics of townbus operated by a private operating system, the townbus sales and surplus companies were analyzed by what factors were affected. For the analysis data, townbus financial statements of Seoul in 2018 were used, and townbus sales and surplus companies were applied as dependent variables, and townbus operation system, satisfaction survey, humanities and social variables, and subway and public bicycle characteristics were applied as independent variables. As a result of the analysis, the sales is affected by operating hours per vehicle, in-vehicle safety, the number of households, the number of elderly people, and public bicycle variables, and surplus companies are affected by in-vehicle safety, reliability, and public bicycle variables. In particular, public bicycles, a competitive means of transportation, had an impact on industry sales, and the townbus business environment is expected to become more difficult as time goes by. The industry is seeking self-rescue measures, and Seoul is required to strengthen financial support so that townbus can operate stably.

Why can't Newly-Married Household be independent of their Parents Household? (신혼부부 가구는 왜 독립적이지 못하는가? - 주거경제적 요인을 중심으로 -)

  • Park, Jonghoon;Lee, Seongwoo
    • Journal of the Korean Regional Science Association
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    • v.33 no.3
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    • pp.31-47
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    • 2017
  • The purpose of this study is to identify determinants of economic aid regarding housing and cost of living for the newly-married households. This study applied the binary logit model to figure out the determinants of economic aid from their parents for the households. With utilizing the Newly-Married Housing Survey data in 2015, this study found that housing characteristics and level of housing expenditure leads to the economic aid from their parents. In particular, the housing price and transportation condition increase probability the financial aid from parents when the newly-married household starts their housing career. In addition, this study found that the items of housing expenditure increase the probability of economic aid for their cost of living. To improve the independence of newly-married household, the government should adopt the housing policy for stable housing price and alleviate the burden of housing expenditure. The significance of this study is analyzing the economic aid from their parents on newly-married household regarding housing economic issues and suggest the policy for independence of living from their parents.