The Journal of The Korea Institute of Intelligent Transport Systems (한국ITS학회 논문지)

The Korea Institute of Intelligent Transport Systems (한국ITS학회)
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A Study on the Influencing Factors of the Sales and Surplus Companies of the Townbuses in Seoul

서울시 마을버스 매출액 및 흑자업체의 영향요인에 대한 연구

  • Jang, Jae-min (Korea Institute for Urban Policy) ;
  • Shin, Sung-il (Dept. of Transportation System, Seoul Research Institute) ;
  • YI, Yong-ju (TOD-based Sustainable City Transportation Research Center, Ajou University)
  • 장재민 (한국도시정책연구소) ;
  • 신성일 (서울연구원 교통시스템연구실) ;
  • 이용주 (아주대학교 TOD기반 지속가능 도시.교통연구센터)
  • Received : 2022.06.13
  • Accepted : 2022.07.11
  • Published : 2022.08.31
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Abstract

Unlike the semi-public system of city buses, Seoul's townbus are operated on a private operating system, which is poor condition to the changes in the environment. Sales decreased due to a decrease in the number of passengers due to COVID-19 and a demand for conversion due to the advent of competitive transportation methods, and the financial support of Seoul Metropolitan Government is continuously increasing. In this study, to analyze the characteristics of townbus operated by a private operating system, the townbus sales and surplus companies were analyzed by what factors were affected. For the analysis data, townbus financial statements of Seoul in 2018 were used, and townbus sales and surplus companies were applied as dependent variables, and townbus operation system, satisfaction survey, humanities and social variables, and subway and public bicycle characteristics were applied as independent variables. As a result of the analysis, the sales is affected by operating hours per vehicle, in-vehicle safety, the number of households, the number of elderly people, and public bicycle variables, and surplus companies are affected by in-vehicle safety, reliability, and public bicycle variables. In particular, public bicycles, a competitive means of transportation, had an impact on industry sales, and the townbus business environment is expected to become more difficult as time goes by. The industry is seeking self-rescue measures, and Seoul is required to strengthen financial support so that townbus can operate stably.

서울시 마을버스는 시내버스의 준공영제와는 달리 민영제로 운영되므로 시대적인 환경변화에 열악한 상태이다. 코로나19로 인한 이용객수 감소, 경쟁교통수단 등장으로 인한 수요 이탈 등으로 매출액은 감소되며, 서울시의 재정지원금은 지속적으로 증가되고 있다. 이번 연구는 민영제로 운영되는 마을버스 특성분석을 위해 마을버스 매출액 및 흑자업체의 영향 요인에 대하여 분석하였다. 분석자료는 2018년 서울시 마을버스 재무제표를 활용하였고, 마을버스 대당 매출액 및 흑자업체를 종속변수로, 마을버스 운행계통, 만족도조사, 인문사회변수, 지하철 및 공공자전거 특성을 독립변수로 적용하였다. 분석결과 대당 매출액은 대당운행시간, 차내 안전성, 세대수, 고령자수, 공공자전거 변수가, 흑자업체는 차내 안전성, 신뢰성, 공공자전거 변수가 영향을 미치는 것으로 도출되었다. 특히 경쟁교통수단인 공공자전거가 업계매출에 영향을 미치고 있었으며, 마을버스 경영환경은 시간이 지날수록 어려운 환경이 예상되므로 업계는 자구책을 강구하며, 서울시는 마을버스가 안정적으로 운행될 수 있도록 재정지원 강화가 요구된다.

Keywords

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