• Title/Summary/Keyword: 여객

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Forecasting Model of Air Passenger Demand Using System Dynamics (시스템다이내믹스를 이용한 항공여객 수요예측에 관한 연구)

  • Kim, Hyung-Ho;Jeon, Jun-woo;Yeo, Gi-Tae
    • Journal of Digital Convergence
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    • v.16 no.5
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    • pp.137-143
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    • 2018
  • Korea's air passenger traffic has been growing steadily. In this paper, we propose a forecasting model of air passenger demand to ascertain the growth trend of air passenger transportation performance in Korea. We conducted a simulation based on System Dynamics with the demand as a dependent variable, and international oil prices, GDP and exchange rates as exogenous variables. The accuracy of the model was verified using MAPE and $R^2$, and the proposed prediction model was verified as an accurate prediction model. As a result of the demand forecast, it is predicted that the air passenger demand in Korea will continue to grow, and the share of low cost carriers will increase sharply. The addition of the Korean transportation performance of foreign carriers in Korea and the transportation performance of Korean passengers due to the alliance of airlines will provide a more accurate forecast of passenger demand.

A Study on Improvements of Incheon International Passenger Port Management System (인천항 국제여객부두 관리체계 개선에 관한 연구)

  • Lee, Kyong-Han;Lee, Jong-Phil;Go, Dong-Hun
    • Journal of Korea Port Economic Association
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    • v.37 no.3
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    • pp.35-53
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    • 2021
  • Over the past 20 years, Korea's number of international passengers and freight transportation records has increased by 8.6% per year, respectively. However, despite the development of sea lanes and increased voyages, there have been constant calls for improving the inefficient management of international passenger ports. Hence, this paper presents improvements and further directions for international passenger port management. Focusing on the Incheon International passenger port as a representative case study, the main results show that the most important, urgent, possible measures for improving the port management include (i) the expansion of customs personnel and implementation of a 24-hours customs clearance system in operation, (ii) installation of buffer facilities between the ferry and ferry cargo and establishment of hinterland specialized in car ferry freight in a facility, and (iii) clear standards for cost-bearing subjects and limitation of high cost related to terminal use in institution. These results imply the need for government policy access and investment reflecting stakeholder opinions at various levels, such as operation, facilities, institution, and so forth, for efficient management of international passenger ports.

A Study on the Activation of Coastal Passenger Routes in Korea: At a Management Level in the "P" Car-ferry Liner (우리나라 연안여객항로의 활성화에 관한 연구 -P선사의 진해-거제항로를 중심으로-)

  • Kim, Myung-Jae
    • Journal of Korea Port Economic Association
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    • v.22 no.3
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    • pp.97-140
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    • 2006
  • The purpose of this study is to activate Korea's coastal passenger shipping by improvement of the deterrent factors on the basis of field data collected in order to help stimulate it and enhance its competitiveness. As the representative model of this study, the "P" car-ferry liner was chosen, whereby various deterrent factors were observed in the course of the SWOT analysis and through the questionnaires. The major deterrent factors in summary were inflexible government regulations for additional ship operation, disadvantages of taxes policy, port facility shortages, non-allowing of ship's night operation, complicated and inflexible ship's operation controls by the concerned authorities, unreasonable divisions of steaming areas, and existences of obstacles on the ship's running routes, etc. which considered all are important to activate the liners.

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International Passenger Train Service in the Corridor between Seoul and Beijing (서울↔베이징간 국제 여객열차 운영의 수익성에 관한 연구)

  • Kim, Seon-Ho
    • Journal of the Korean Society for Railway
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    • v.7 no.2
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    • pp.163-172
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    • 2004
  • 올해(2004년) 연말로 예정된 남북철도 연결이 동북아 지역의 물적교류에 미칠 영향에 관한 연구는 TSR, TCR. TMGR, TMR에 관한 연구와 함께 국내에 이미 상당한 수준 축척 되었지만 물적교류와 함께 동북아 교류협력에 또 한축을 이루고 있는 인적교류 즉 여객수송에 관한 연구는 거의 없는 실정이다. 본 연구에서는 인구가 조밀하고 경제성장속도가 빠른 서울↔북경 축에 국제 여객열차를 운행할 경우를 가정하여 기존의 항공$.$해운에서 철도로의 수요 전환량을 실제 설문조사를 통하여 구하고 이를 수송할 열차운행 계획을 세운다. 나아가 국제 여객열차 운영자의 입장에서 예상수입 및 비용을 현실성 있게 분석하고 수익성 여부도 유동성, 순현재 가치, 내부수익율 세가지로 검토하여 한$.$중간 국제 여객열차 운행의 가능성을 검증한다.

Demand Pattern of the Global Passengers: Sea and Air Transport (글로벌 여객의 해상과 항공운송에 대한 수요패턴)

  • Mo, Soo-Won
    • Journal of Korea Port Economic Association
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    • v.27 no.1
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    • pp.1-11
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    • 2011
  • The main purpose of this paper is to estimate the impact of exchange rate and economic business activity on the passengers' demand for international transportation. The demand pattern depends upon the transport vehicles that the global passengers take. The global passengers' demand for transportation is modelled as exchange rate, industrial production and seasonal dummy variables. The seasonality is found in both water and air, but the former is far greater than the latter. All series span the period January 1990 to December 2008. The empirical results of this paper reveal that the income elasticity of sea transport is greater than that of air one, all of which are positive. The study also shows that the exchange rate has an significant impact on the demand for air transport, whereas it is insignificant in water transport. The impulse response function indicates that passengers increase steadily before peaking seven to eight months after the shocks to economic business activity and decline very slowly to its pre-shock level. The air passengers also respond negatively to the shocks in exchange rate and the impacts of exchange rate shock seem to decrease relatively slowly, while the water passengers respond positively after six months. The industrial production shocks remain above equilibrium for more than twenty four months, while the exchange rate shocks remain below equilibrium for more than twenty four months. Boosted by improved economic conditions worldwide, international tourism has recovered faster than expected from the impacts of the global financial crisis and economic recession of late 2008 and 2009. These facts suggest that the demand of global water transport has the high possibility of growing steadily and continuously.

Developing the New Work Load Unit of Airport Based on the Relative Value of Cargo and Passenger (화물과 여객의 상대적 가치를 기준으로 하는 새로운 공항 처리량단위(WLU) 개발 연구)

  • BAEK, Sora;PARK, Yonghwa;LIM, Cheolhyun
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.35 no.5
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    • pp.434-446
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    • 2017
  • This study was carried out to suggest new indicators to be used at airports. Generally, passengers and cargo will be handled at the airport, and the airport will achieve revenues through them. However, all airports can not have the same distribution of passenger and cargo throughput. When comparing and analyzing several airports, a uniform result can be expected only if a unit airport throughput indicator is applied. The 'Work Load Unit' is an indicator that integrates passengers and cargo into one, and assumes that the value of one passenger is equivalent to the cargo volume of 100kg. The existing WLU was set up based on the experience at the airport rather than being established through reasonable grounds or analysis, so there was a lot of controversy. The purpose of this study is to overcome these limitations and to suggest new index. In this study, we applied a method to compare the relative value of cargo and passenger to airport revenue. In order to analyze cargo value and passenger value, airport revenues are classified into aircraft operation related revenues, passenger handling related revenues, and commercial revenues. A total of 50 airports were selected, including 14 airports in Asia, 18 airports in Europe and 18 airports in North America. According to the final analysis results, it is concluded that the cargo is equivalent to 280kg of cargo based on the contribution of one passenger averagely. This is higher than the value of 100Kg cargo per passenger.

The Origin/Destination Analysis of Container Cargo in International Passenger Terminals - Focused on Incheon Port - (국제여객터미널의 컨테이너화물 기종점 분석 - 인천항을 중심으로 -)

  • Moon, Gwang-Suk;Yoo, Hong-Sung;Kim, Youn-Sung;Lee, Dong-Won
    • Journal of Korea Port Economic Association
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    • v.27 no.2
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    • pp.195-215
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    • 2011
  • The purpose of this article is to provide data to be utilized for marketing to attract future container cargo to the Korea-China Car Ferry Service and to estimate container traffic for the development of the International Passenger Terminal to be newly built in the Incheon Southern Port. An analysis of container traffic through the Passenger Terminal of Incheon Port showed that the container throughput of Incheon Port comprised 20% of traffic. The export cargo traffic in the International Passenger Terminal, 71.4%, or 111,698 TEU of 156,284 TEU in total, was brought from metropolitan areas. To increase the container traffic of the car ferry service currently concentrated on the metropolitan areas, more endeavor is required to strengthen marketing competence to attract container traffic to other regions apart from the metropolitan areas as well as provide general services.

Acoustic design principles and the acoustical performance analysis of Incheon International Airport (인천국제공항의 음향설계원리 및 성능분석)

  • Haan, Chan-Hoon
    • The Journal of the Acoustical Society of Korea
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    • v.38 no.3
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    • pp.275-282
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    • 2019
  • In airport terminal, aural information is transmitted during 24 hours a day including announcement, background music and emergency control. So, clear sound is mostly necessary to transmitted to the passengers in airports. IIA (Incheon International Airport) is one of the largest airports accommodating 45 million people a year which have been built since 2001. There are currently three passenger terminals including Terminal 1 & 2, and boarding concourse. The $2^{nd}$ passenger terminal is under construction to expand the spaces which will be finished in 2020. The present work aims to explain the design principles of both architectural acoustics and electo-acoustics which have been applied to all the terminal buildings in IIA including ticketing counter, great hall, departure concourse and transportation center. Also, the acoustical performances of those spaces were examined. As a result, acoustic standards for airport were suggested. Architectural concepts for designing ceiling spaces and sound absorption treatments were suggested. Also, electro-acoustic design principles were commented.

Analyzing Passenger Arrival Behavior Based on the Spent Time for Airport Access (공항접근시간에 따른 여객의 공항도착 행태분석)

  • 오성열;김원규;박용화
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.21 no.4
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    • pp.17-27
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    • 2003
  • In general, an airport access system has influenced on airport terminal operation. The congestion and delay in service facilities at an airport are definitely depended on the patterns of passenger arrival behavior and time spent in a terminal. Therefore, it is necessary to analyze the passenger arrival behavior at an airport to improve the operations at passenger terminal. Passenger arrival patterns to an airport are mainly depended on factors such as the length of access time. reliability of access time. and provision of transport modes, etc. The focus of this paper is to estimate the relationship between the length of access time and passenger's total time spent to board aeroplane. For this, passenger surveys were conducted at the Gimpo International Airport for a large airport and Sacheon Airport for a small size airport. The mathematical relationship between arrival time at an airport prior to the scheduled time of departure(STD) and access time spent was then estimated. It is considered that the results of this study can be used to reduce congestion and delays, thereby to improve the efficiency of the passenger services at the airports.

Relationship Identification of Diffusion Effect on High-speed Rail Demand Increase (확산효과를 통한 고속철도의 여객수요 증가현상에 관한 연구)

  • Kim, Junghwa;Ryu, Ingon;Choi, Keechoo;Lee, Myunghwan
    • Journal of the Korean Society for Railway
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    • v.19 no.4
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    • pp.539-546
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    • 2016
  • It is over 12 years since the launch of Korea Train eXpress (KTX) services. Demand for the KTX has been on the increase continuously but few studies have been produced related to this phenomenon. KTX passenger demand has been constantly increasing due to influencing factors such as the expansion of network, rise of oil prices, etc. In this study, our main focus is to verify that there are other types of elements that are causing an increase in KTX demand; our approach looks at changes in social and psychological aspect that have occurred due to the reduction of travel time and cost, as well as the imposition of a five-day workweek. In other words, we considered diffusion theory in the marketing area, which affects product selection and purchasing attitudes, as a key factor that is causing passenger demand to increase. That is to say that it is hypothesized that the demand for travel on the KTX has increased due to the train's utility, which is spread by the diffusion effect Therefore, the Bass diffusion model was applied to explain the dramatic increase in KTX passenger demand. Based on this foundation, it was also discussed how certain marketing strategies that incorporate the diffusion effect should be considered variously for sustainable management of rail transportation, while considering a steady passenger demand.