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Study on Changes in Military Negotiations under the Kim Jeong-eun Regime through Working-Level Talks for Gaeseong Industrial Complex (김정은시대 개성공단 실무회담 분석을 통한 군사협상 변화 연구)

  • Lee, Sung Choon
    • Convergence Security Journal
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    • v.13 no.5
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    • pp.3-10
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    • 2013
  • This study is trying to suggest the continuity and changes that would be made in inter-Korean military negotiations in the future under the Kim Jeong-eun regime by analyzing the recent inter-Korean Working-Level Talks for Gaeseong Industrial Complex based on 'anti-Japanese guerilla style negotiation model, the military negotiation model under Kim Jeong-il era. Especially, through analysis of the inter-Korean Working-Level Talks for Gaeseong Industrial Complex, it is verified that behavior similar to that in the military talks in the past is found even in the economic negotiations. Such analysis leads to an assumption that negotiations under the Kim Jeong-eun regime would be made within the category of the military negotiations under the Kim Jeong-il era. Fundamentally North Korea will change but try to achieve its objectives in the military talks within the existing frame of strategic culture rather than changing it. Such phenomenon will continue for some time. In the future inter-Korean military talks, however, North Korea will try to change its behavior to cope with its financial difficulties. Accordingly, the South Korea's government will have to have paradigm shift toward inter-Korean military negotiations. Especially, Kim Jeong-eun's studying abroad in the past will make him change in the negotiations. At this moment, the South Korean government must make continuous efforts to induce dialogue and negotiation. In order to induce the North Korea to change, the development of economic norm logic with the united front applied in the strategic culture of military negotiation and the formation of a value system in the North Korea's military negotiation policy makers will lead to the creation of a new military negotiation framework.

Impact Analysis of Economic Fluctuation of Saudi Arabia on Korean Overseas Construction Business (사우디아라비아의 경제변동이 한국의 해외건설 수주에 미치는 영향분석)

  • Jeon, Jae-Keun;Lee, Suk-Won;Kim, Jae-Jun
    • Korean Journal of Construction Engineering and Management
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    • v.17 no.2
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    • pp.39-48
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    • 2016
  • According to the order receipt report over the past 10 years the overseas construction business total trades were 54.05% and 68.09% done by the Middle East and other industrial facilities respectively. In the Middle East based on data collected in 2014 the country with most overseas construction business is Saudi Arabia with 34.10%, and the industrial facility occupies the larger share with 56%. Overseas construction business is suffering from a reduction in work orders in the Middle East because of the recent oil price reduction. At this point of view, it is necessary to consider economy fluctuation for the diversification of construction type and work orders. This study analyzed, focusing in Saudi Arabia how the economical fluctuations of nations of progress can affect overseas construction business' trade orders. The analysis results demonstrated that most construction types depends on GDP, investment fund. Also industrial facility can be substituted with Architecture and civil engineering. This work is expected to be used as a basis for trade order amount maintenance and construction type diversification.

A Study on the Influencing Factors of Forest Trail Guide's Organizational Commitment: Focused on the Job Motivation (숲길체험지도사의 조직몰입 영향 요인에 관한 연구: 직무동기를 중심으로)

  • Ha, Siyeon;Lee, Yeonhee;Eom, Munseol;Jang, Jin
    • Journal of Korean Society of Forest Science
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    • v.105 no.4
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    • pp.496-504
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    • 2016
  • As people's interest in forest trail increases, it has reached a critical time to extend forest trail program. This study clarifies correlation between two variables, organizational commitment and job motivation and identifies the variations in organizational commitment level for job motivation so that the forest trail programs attain its object and meet users' satisfaction. As a result, first, job motivation can be divided into 'personal satisfaction', 'work value', and 'external reward and recognition'; the biggest motivation is 'personal satisfaction', followed by 'work value' and 'external reward and recognition'. Second, job motivation has a positive correlation with organizational commitment. Especially 'personal satisfaction' and 'external reward and recognition' have a positive impact on the organizational commitment. To sum up, the personal satisfaction has a greater impact on organizational commitment than other factors. Therefore, it is needed to draw up measures to increase their personal satisfaction like making them have self esteem from forest trail guide.

Effect of Perceived Relational Supports on Entrepreneurial Motivation of Korean and Chinese University Students: Focused on mediating role of self-efficacy (지각된 관계적 지원이 한·중 대학생의 기업가적 동기에 미치는 영향: 자기효능감의 매개효과를 중심으로)

  • Yang, Jun Hwan
    • Asia-Pacific Journal of Business Venturing and Entrepreneurship
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    • v.10 no.3
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    • pp.1-13
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    • 2015
  • Strong ties such as family members, relatives and close friends have been widely acknowledged as a vital factor when a potential entrepreneur attempts to initiate entrepreneurial activity. Recent theoretical arguments focus that family social capital, a form of social capital, that is embedded in family relationships can contribute to venture creation as well as to the development of competitive advantage for established firms. Meantime, there have been arguments that the most dominant single entrepreneurial ethnic group in the world is the Chinese people, while the People's Republic of China is widely recognized as fast growing economic power that is driven by entrepreneurial ventures in a large scale. This study tests the effect of perceived relational supports typically being provided by family members, close relatives and friends on forming self-efficacy and entrepreneurial motivation of university students by using samples collected from 4 Korean Universities(Wonkwang, Baekseok, Soongsil and Dankook university) and Guangzhou University in China. The mediating of self-efficacy was also tested to gain better understanding of the role of the variable. The results of the study suggest that 1) both self-efficacy and entrepreneurial motivation are influenced positively by the perceived relational supports, 2) self-efficacy of university students affects their entrepreneurial motivation positively, 3) self-efficacy is appeared to be mediated partially for China in between perceived relational supports and entrepreneurial motivation, but the same variable is exhibited a full mediation in the same path of the research model for Korea, which was a distinction between the students of two countries in this study. Discussion and practical implication on the results are provided.

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Development of Stochastic Decision Model for Estimation of Optimal In-depth Inspection Period of Harbor Structures (항만 구조물의 최적 정밀점검 시기 추정을 위한 추계학적 결정모형의 개발)

  • Lee, Cheol-Eung
    • Journal of Korean Society of Coastal and Ocean Engineers
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    • v.28 no.2
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    • pp.63-72
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    • 2016
  • An expected-discounted cost model based on RRP(Renewal Reward Process), referred to as a stochastic decision model, has been developed to estimate the optimal period of in-depth inspection which is one of critical issues in the life-cycle maintenance management of harbor structures such as rubble-mound breakwaters. A mathematical model, which is a function of the probability distribution of the service-life, has been formulated by simultaneously adopting PIM(Periodic Inspection and Maintenance) and CBIM(Condition-Based Inspection and Maintenance) policies so as to resolve limitations of other models, also all the costs in the model associated with monitoring and repair have been discounted with time. From both an analytical solution derived in this paper under the condition in which a failure rate function is a constant and the sensitivity analyses for the variety of different distribution functions and conditions, it has been confirmed that the present solution is more versatile than the existing solution suggested in a very simplified setting. Additionally, even in that case which the probability distribution of the service-life is estimated through the stochastic process, the present model is of course also well suited to interpret the nonlinearity of deterioration process. In particular, a MCS(Monte-Carlo Simulation)-based sample path method has been used to evaluate the parameters of a damage intensity function in stochastic process. Finally, the present stochastic decision model can satisfactorily be applied to armor units of rubble mound breakwaters. The optimal periods of in-depth inspection of rubble-mound breakwaters can be determined by minimizing the expected total cost rate with respect to the behavioral feature of damage process, the level of serviceability limit, and the consequence of that structure.

A study on the user's emotional change when they are using a product by using emotional word logging software (감성어휘 로깅 소프트웨어를 이용한 제품 사용중 사용자의 감성변화 연구)

  • Jeong, Sang-Hoon;Lee, Kun-Pyo
    • Science of Emotion and Sensibility
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    • v.9 no.spc3
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    • pp.167-177
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    • 2006
  • In this study, we developed a tool for measuring user's emotions expressed while using a product in the natural and accessible environment for the design field. Also, using emotional word logging software VideoTAME, we measured a user's emotions expressed while using a product. In the testing module of VideoTAME, participants evaluate their emotional changes through playing and watching the video clips of their performing tasks in the experiment room. In the analyzing module, the researchers replay the results created by participants during the experiment and analyze the results using Microsoft Excel. In this research, we have asked users to examine their emotional changes while watching the recorded video clip of them in the experiment room performing a series of tasks using a cellular phone. In this experiment, there were no big differences in the representative emotions expressed for each characteristics of task. The reason for this can be assumed it is because of the emotional changes occurred while facing specific situations when performing a task rather than the task itself. If more data is collected and concrete statistical analysis is done, it is expected that we can clarify what effect a product's usability has on user's emotions.

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Weathering Impact for Rock Properties and Material Characteristics of Concretes Used Stone Pagoda of the Mireuksaji Temple Site, Iksan, Korea (익산 미륵사지 석탑에 사용된 콘크리트의 재료학적 특성과 석재의 풍화에 미치는 영향)

  • Lee Dong-Sik;Lee Chan-Hee;Kim Ji-Young
    • Economic and Environmental Geology
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    • v.39 no.3 s.178
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    • pp.285-299
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    • 2006
  • The Mireuksaji stone pagoda in Iksan is the largest stone pagoda existing in Eastern Asia. It was assumed that originally it had been established in the shape of nine-storied pagoda but as time went by only six-storied pagoda remained partially due to collapsing, repair and reconstruction. According to the reference, we can't make sure when its modification happened. The form that the pagoda is having now, was modified with concrete by the Japanese during the 1910s. The materials mixed in concrete were mixture of Portland cement, all sorts of stone, sand, and a little bit of new building stone, additive and compound. And also these materials were applied to cultural assets without any experiment at the time of 1910s as maintenance, which are still used recently. To prevent the change of its shape, the west side, south side and the north side which is partially destructed was rebuilt and reinforced with concrete and some of the deformed parts were also filled. The amounts of concrete used were about 200 tons. Such method had prevented the pagoda from destructing, however, by choosing a wrong repair method, its surface of the stone has secondary contaminants and precipitation caused by concrete. This kind of contamination speeds up the weathering which accelerates the aging mechanism of the stone to make it even harder to revive the absence of historical nature. Therefore, we are to find the best cleaning method to remove the secondary hazard contaminants.

An Approximate Reconstruction of NPT for Synchronized Data Broadcasting (동기화된 데이터방송을 위한 근사적인 NPT 재구성 기법)

  • 정문열;김용한;백두원
    • Journal of Broadcast Engineering
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    • v.9 no.1
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    • pp.83-90
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    • 2004
  • DVB-MHP recommends that NPT(normal play time) be used as the times of stream events. NPT is the local time within an event(TV program). But we found that commercial transport stream (TS) generators and middlewares for DVB-MHP settop boxes are not ready to support the use of NPT by applications. In particular, TS generators do not create NPT reference descriptors needed to reconstruct NPT at the TV receiver. This situation is undesirable because program providers cannot experiment with the idea of synchronized applications. So we have implemented a TS generator that inserts NPT reference descriptors to TS and MyGetNPT API to approximately reconstruct NPT. STC (system time clock) is needed to reconstruct NPT, but Xlets are not allowed to read it. So, we approximate STC by using PCR (program clock reference) and the Java system tune. In this method, the stream generator extrats PCRs from an existing TS and inserts them into null TS packets in the form of MPEG sections, which can be read by Xlets. Because PCRs are displaced into new positions in TS, their values should be adjusted based on the time intervals between the original positions and the new positions. We implemented a synchronized application by using our TS generator and MyGetNPT API, where the task of stream events are to display graphic images. We found that graphic images are displayed where 240 ㎳ from their intended time, where 240ms is a human tolerance for the synchronization skew between graphic image and video.

Analysis on Characteristics of Radiosonde Sensors Bias Using Precipitable Water Vapor from Sokcho Global Navigation Satellite System Observatory (속초 GNSS 가강수량을 이용한 라디오존데 센서별 편향 분석)

  • Park, Chang-Geun;Cho, Jungho;Shim, Jae-Kwan;Choi, Byoung-Choel
    • Korean Journal of Remote Sensing
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    • v.32 no.3
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    • pp.263-274
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    • 2016
  • In this study, we compared the Precipitable Water Vapor (PWV) data derived from the radiosonde observation at Sokcho observatory and the PWV data at Sokcho Global Navigation Satellite System (GNSS) observatory provided by Korea Astronomy and Space Science Institute, for the summer of 2007~2014, and analyzed the radiosonde diurnal and rainfall-dependent bias according to radiosonde sensor types. In the scatter diagram of the daytime and nighttime radiosonde PWV data and GNSS PWV data, dry bias was found in the daytime radiosonde observation as known in the previous study and dry bias of RSG-20A sensor was larger than other sensors. Overall, the tendency that the wet bias of the radiosonde PWV increased as GNSS PWV decreased and the dry bias of the radiosonde PWV increased as GNSS PWV increased. The quantitative analysis of the bias and error of the radiosonde PWV data showed that the mean bias decreased in the nighttime except for 2007, 2008 summer. In comparison for summer according to the presence or absence of rainfall, RS92-SGP sensor showed the highest quality.

A Prediction Model for the Development of Cataract Using Random Forests (Random Forests 기법을 이용한 백내장 예측모형 - 일개 대학병원 건강검진 수검자료에서 -)

  • Han, Eun-Jeong;Song, Ki-Jun;Kim, Dong-Geon
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.22 no.4
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    • pp.771-780
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    • 2009
  • Cataract is the main cause of blindness and visual impairment, especially, age-related cataract accounts for about half of the 32 million cases of blindness worldwide. As the life expectancy and the expansion of the elderly population are increasing, the cases of cataract increase as well, which causes a serious economic and social problem throughout the country. However, the incidence of cataract can be reduced dramatically through early diagnosis and prevention. In this study, we developed a prediction model of cataracts for early diagnosis using hospital data of 3,237 subjects who received the screening test first and then later visited medical center for cataract check-ups cataract between 1994 and 2005. To develop the prediction model, we used random forests and compared the predictive performance of this model with other common discriminant models such as logistic regression, discriminant model, decision tree, naive Bayes, and two popular ensemble model, bagging and arcing. The accuracy of random forests was 67.16%, sensitivity was 72.28%, and main factors included in this model were age, diabetes, WBC, platelet, triglyceride, BMI and so on. The results showed that it could predict about 70% of cataract existence by screening test without any information from direct eye examination by ophthalmologist. We expect that our model may contribute to diagnose cataract and help preventing cataract in early stages.