• Title/Summary/Keyword: 시스템 다이내믹스

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Analysing the Impact of City-County Consolidation on Promotion Practices of Local Government Employees : Application of System Dynamics (시군통합이 자치단체 공무원 승진에 미치는 영향분석 : 시스템다이내믹스의 적용)

  • Choi, Young-Chool
    • Korean System Dynamics Review
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    • v.8 no.1
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    • pp.117-149
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    • 2007
  • This paper aims to analyse the impact of city-county consolidation on promotion practices of local government employees, using system dynamics approach. The cases employed in this study are Cheongju City and Cheongwon County which reached the referendum stage twice but without success. While the idea of consolidating two neighbouring local governments via a merger sounds enticing, some opponents argue that consolidation may cause some problems on the part of local government employees, emphasizing that consolidation could lengthen actual time period needed for local government employees' promotion. The majority of the existing literature on city-county consolidation, however, tends to describe the most successful cases, focusing on the achievements it has made or the political processes associated with it. With this in mind, this paper attempts to identify the impacts of consolidation on the local government employees' promotion time period, utilizing system dynamics approach. It concludes that consolidation could rather shorten the time period of promotion of local government employees concerned from the long term perspective.

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A Study on the Application of System Dynamics to Overcome BSC Limitations (BSC의 한계 극복을 위한 시스템다이내믹스의 활용)

  • Jo, Hyun-Woong;Yeon, Seung-Joon;Kim, Sang-Wook
    • Korean System Dynamics Review
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    • v.8 no.1
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    • pp.211-227
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    • 2007
  • Like the saying "You can't manage what you can't measure," performance measurement is considered as one of the most important management activities for the organizations in either private or public sector. Performance measurement, however, has thus far relied too much on financial statements. Realizing the importance of a more scientific and comprehensive performance measurement, many organizations have adopted several different systems in order to objectively estimate their balanced performance results. The Balanced Scorecard (BSC) has become a popular means to measure performance. But the BSC has also received some criticisms. In this paper four limitations in the use of the BSC are discussed : BSCs focus on unidirectional causality, are unable to distinguish delays between actions and their impacts on performance, integrate insufficiently strategy with operational measures, and lead to internal biases. We propose a system dynamics approach with causal loop diagram(CLD) to develop a Dynamic BSC in order to overcome these limitations. The results suggest that developing a BSC with system dynamics is a promising approach to supplement existing BSC frameworks.

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A Study on the Potentials of System Dynamics as a Tool to Understand the Community Welfare Practice (지역사회복지실천 이해 도구로서 시스템 다이내믹스의 가능성에 관한 고찰)

  • Cho, Sungsook
    • Korean System Dynamics Review
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    • v.14 no.1
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    • pp.89-104
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    • 2013
  • This study aims to explore the potentials of System Dynamics as a tool to understand the community welfare practice by paying attention to the strengths of System Dynamics to complement the weaknesses of the theories and studies of the community welfare practice. The contents of this study are as follows. First, it draws the limitations of its theories and studies by reviewing the literatures related. Second, it outlines the characteristics of the community welfare practice process as well as the strengths of System Dynamics as a tool to understand the community welfare practice. Third, it presents a causal loop model of System Dynamics applied to the community welfare practice process. Lastly, it concludes with the suggestions and implications of the key research findings. This study is expected to be a basic study to highlight the potentials of System Dynamics as a tool to understand the community welfare practice.

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Analysis of Mega Event effect using System Dynamics : Application in Millennial Anniversary of the Tripitaka Koreana (시스템다이내믹스를 이용한 메가이벤트 개최 효과 분석: 대장경문화축전에의 적용)

  • Park, Gyung-Yeol;Choi, Seung-Dam;Kim, Dong-Hwan
    • Korean System Dynamics Review
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    • v.14 no.1
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    • pp.31-53
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    • 2013
  • The purpose of this study is to explain the impact of hosting mega event using the system dynamics and to establish the model for analysis of the impact of hosting mega event. The results are as follows. First, the growth of inbound tourists have influenced long term effect. Second, the export has increased for a limited period only after the hosting mega event, but the increase in export returned to the previous state in terms of economic impact of mega event. Third, nation brand has been improved for a limited period only such as the economical impact in terms of socio-cultural impact of mega event. Last, citizenship consciousness has been improved after hosting mega event. Further researches have to be carried out to modify and reinforce the model.

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System Dynamics Model for Analyzing and Forecasting the National Energy-Economy-Environment(3E) Changes under Levying of Carbon Tax (탄소세 부과에 따른 국내 에너지-경제-환경(3E) 변화 분석 및 예측을 위한 시스템다이내믹스 모델 개발)

  • Song, Jae-Ho;Jeong, Suk-Jae;Kim, Kyung-Sup;Park, Jin-Won
    • Korean System Dynamics Review
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    • v.7 no.2
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    • pp.149-170
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    • 2006
  • In this paper, an energy-economy-environment dynamic simulation model was developed to using system dynamics methodology. It describes current energy-economy-environment systems and forecasts changes caused by levying of carbon tax. The model is composed of three modules: an energy module, an economic module and an environmental module. Variables are interrelated in each module, and three modules are linked by several linkage variables. Setting up the linkage variables is an important factor for the composition of the model. The simulation result shows a change of the national GDP, usage of energy, and $CO_2$ emissions under levying and reinvestment of carbon tax considering various scenarios for the charging cost.

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Understanding of the Hepatitis B virus via System Dynamics Model (만성 B형간염환자의 재발 방지 및 삶의 질 향상을 위한 시스템 다이내믹스 모델 개발)

  • Paik, Seung-Woon;Choi, Eun-Ok;Kim, Keum-Soon;Yi, Myung-Sun;Kwak, Sang-Man
    • Korean System Dynamics Review
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    • v.7 no.2
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    • pp.215-226
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    • 2006
  • A conceptual system dynamics model is developed to represent the dynamic mechanism between the number of hepatitis B virus and the defense system of the body. The simulation results shows that the model behaves within the reasonable ranges. The developed conceptual model is a first attempt to quantify the dynamic mechanisms of the hepatitis B virus, where only feedback structures are considered without bio-organism data. The next step would be to incorporate the model with bio-organism theory and to carry out case studies to identify personal characteristics. Since the current model is a conceptual model where quantitative results are not based on the sound background, the usage is limited only within the qualitative basis. It could be a effective educational tool for the patients. It also shows what-to-do lists in order to be used for forecast purposes.

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System Dynamic Approaches on Land-Price Volume in Land according to Population of Aging Society (시스템다이내믹스를 활용한 고령화 사회 인구에 따른 지목별 토지거래량에 관한 연구)

  • Choi, Hae-Ok
    • Korean System Dynamics Review
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    • v.16 no.1
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    • pp.75-91
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    • 2015
  • The price-volume in land by land categories is evaluated with dynamic approaches in the era of aging society This research tries to investigate in the respect of major factors such as real estate, macro-economics, and population that is simulated by land categories. The system dynamics approaches on price-volume in land are forecasted until 2020 using the data in the period of 2000-2014. In regard to methodologies, this research adopted system dynamics to evaluate the relationships between price-volume in land and aging society. The meaningful results have been found during the last over 10 year's analysis as the dynamic relations with major factors. Regarding land categories, this research tries to overcome former research limitations. As an implication from the price-volume in land, it confirmed that the multifaceted aspects show that system dynamics approach effectively simulated them by price-volume in land with the population of aging society.

System Dynamics Modeling for FDA Regulation Effect of Pharmaceutical Industry (제약산업에서 FDA규제 영향에 관한 시스템 다이내믹스 모델링: FDA규제가 R&D비용에 미치는 영향을 중심으로)

  • Ko, Seong-Pil;Choi, Jeong-Hwan;Nam, Dong-Wok;Lee, Jeong-Dong
    • Korean System Dynamics Review
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    • v.13 no.4
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    • pp.57-80
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    • 2012
  • This research studies effect of FDA regulations in pharmaceutical industry on new drug development. System dynamics is implemented to demonstrate dynamic relationship between FDA regulations and R&D costs, firm's profits, sales. This research is focused on clinical trials of new medical entity process 50~60% portion of total development cost. Simulation results say that firm's profit is more sensitive to increasing the regulation than alleviating the regulation and effect of regulation policy make different result depending on the intensity of regulation and policy direction. Our simulation model provides the instrumental means for the policy makers and strategic decision in pharmaceutical industry.

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System Dynamics Modeling for the Generic Structure of Economic Growth and the Sustainable Endogenous Growth Theory (경제성장에 대한 본원적 구조와 지속가능 내생적 성장이론에 대한 시스템 다이내믹스 모델링)

  • Jeon, Dae-Uk;Kim, Ji-Soo
    • Korean System Dynamics Review
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    • v.10 no.1
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    • pp.5-32
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    • 2009
  • This paper revisited the key advances on System Dynamics modeling about traditional macro-economic models and economic growth structures, and then tries to elaborate a new model based on the endogenous growth theory that incorporates new growth factors, relevant to knowledge/technology as well as the Environment, into traditional growth models. Accordingly, the new model augments the acceleration and multiplier loops and the balancing ones representing market clearing mechanism with a simple numerical example. The authors thus provides macroeconomic System Dynamics analysts with a milestone to model macro-economic structures reflecting on traditional and cutting-edge theories on sustainable economic growth and general equilibrium modeling.

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A System Dynamics Model for Growth Prediction of Low Birth Weight Infants (시스템다이내믹스를 이용한 저출생체중아의 성장예측모형)

  • Yi, Young-Hee
    • Korean System Dynamics Review
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    • v.11 no.3
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    • pp.5-31
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    • 2010
  • The purpose of this study is to develop a system dynamics model for growth prediction of low birth weight infants(LBWIs) based on nutrition. This growth prediction model consists of 9 modules; body weight, height, carbohydrate, protein, lipid, micronutrient, water, activity and energy module. The results of the model simulation match well with the percentiles of weights and heights of the Korean infants, also with the growth records of 55 LBWIs, under 37 weeks of gestational age, whose weights are appropriate for their gestational age. This model can be used to understand the current growth mode of LBWIs, predict the future growth of LBWIs, and be utilized as a tool for controlling the nutrient intake for the optimal growth of LBWIs in actual practice.

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