• Title/Summary/Keyword: 순서형 프로빗 모형

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Development of Bicycle Level of Service Model from the User's Perspective Using Ordered Probit Model (순서형 프로빗 모형을 이용한 이용자 중심의 자전거 서비스 수준 모형 개발)

  • Lee, Gyeo-Ra;Rho, Jong-Ki;Kang, Kyung-Woo
    • The Journal of The Korea Institute of Intelligent Transport Systems
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    • v.8 no.2
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    • pp.108-117
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    • 2009
  • The South Korean government is looking for a solution to the ever-growing problems of traffic congestion, and surging international oil prices: the use of the humble bicycle to get to places. However, Many people feel inconvenient using bicycle because of the insufficient bicycle infrastructure and lack of the safety and connectivity between existing pathways. In this study, bicycle level of service model using ordered probit model is developed considering safety, convenience, connectivity, and factors that affect bicycle LOS. The ordered probit model would be recommended for the research which relates in choice, preference and strength etc. Bicycle level of service criteria is calculated by applying this model reflecting bicyclist's point of view. The model which develops from this research which accomplishes a bicycle level of service evaluation and represent alternative solution to encourage bicyclist. It is believed that the proposed model would be greatly utilized in bicycle network planning, bicycle road and facility alternatives testing, projects funding priority.

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Characteristics and Severity of Side Right-Angle Collisions at Signalized Intersections (신호교차로의 측면직각 층돌사고 특성과 심각도)

  • Park, Jeong-Soon;Park, Gil-Soo;Kim, Tae-Young;Park, Byung-Ho
    • International Journal of Highway Engineering
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    • v.10 no.4
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    • pp.199-211
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    • 2008
  • This study deals with the side right-angle collisions of 4-legged signalized intersections in Cheongju. The goals are to analyze the characteristics of accidents and to find out the accident factors that affect severity using ordered probit model. In pursuing the above, the study uses the data of 580 side right-angle collisions occurred at the 181 intersections(2004-2005). The analyses show that more accidents were occurred in the nighttime and in going straight. The main cause was analyzed to be the red-light violation. Also, the main results of modeling are the following, First, the likelihood ratio index is 0.094 and t-ratio values that explain goodness of fit are significant. Second, minor road traffic volumes, minor road lanes, major road left-turn lanes, major road left-turn signal, major road yellow signal time, cross angle, major and minor road speed limits are significant factors affecting crash severities at signalized intersections.

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Factors Influencing Crash Severity by the Types of Bus Transportation Services Using Ordered Probit Models (순서형 프로빗 모형을 이용한 버스 운송사업 유형 별 사고심각도 영향요인 분석)

  • YOON, Sangwon;KHO, Seung-Young;KIM, Dong-Kyu
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.36 no.1
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    • pp.13-22
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    • 2018
  • Buses, one of the representative public transportation modes, are divided into a vareity of service types according to the purpose of operation, operating distance, and management agencies. Although bus-involved crashes may cause large amount of damage due to the higher number of passengers boarded on a bus, prior research has little focused on crash severity according to bus service types. This study aims to investigate factors influencing crash severity in bus-involved crashes and to present policy implications to reduce crash severity by bus service type. To do this, bus-involved crash data from the Traffic Accident Analysis System (TAAS) during five-year period are used. Ordered probit models for three types of bus service, i.e., city bus, suburban and express buses, and charter buses, are estimated to analyze the factors of accident severity. The results show that there are significant differences of factors affecting crash severity among the types of bus services while speed and road surface influence all the types of buses. In case of local buses, time of day, roadway alignment, and installation of a traffic signal are found to be statistically significant factors. Seat belt and road class have significant effects on injury severity of the intercity and express buses. Chartered buses have time of day, driving experience, seatbelt, traffic signal, and day of week as the significant factors. The results of this study are expected to contribute to the reduction of the crash severity by each bus service type.

njury Severity Analysis of Cyclists in Two Wheeler to Taxi Crashes: An Application of Vehicle Black Box Data in Incheon, Korea (차량 블랙박스 자료를 활용한 택시-이륜차 사고에서의 이륜차 이용자 사고 심각도 분석)

  • Kim, Seonjung;Chung, Younshik
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.38 no.6
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    • pp.917-923
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    • 2018
  • In recent, technological advancement including a vehicle black box (VBB) has led to reducing such underreporting issues and errors of crash data. The objective of this study is to analyze the injury severity of cyclists on taxi-to-two wheeler crashes based on the accurate crash data collected from the VBB in taxi. This study defined the two wheelers as bicycle and motorcycle. To perform this study, we used the VBB data collected from taxis operating in Incheon, South Korea for a two-year period (2010-2011). An ordered probit model was applied to analyze the injury severity in crashes. As a result, new injury severity factors were found: increase of the crash speed of taxi, damage of crash-involved vehicles (i.e., taxi and/or two wheeler), not standing of cyclists after crash, and second or third impact of cyclists after first crash.

Prioritizing Freeway Segments for Variable Speed Limit (VSL) Operations based on Traffic Safety (교통안전을 고려한 고속도로 가변제한속도 운영구간 우선순위 결정 연구)

  • Choi, Sae-Ro-Na;Lee, Kee-Yong;Oh, Cheol
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.30 no.3
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    • pp.57-70
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    • 2012
  • Variable speed limit(VSL) is a useful speed management tool for alleviating traffic congestion and enhancing traffic safety. The purpose of this study is to identify promising freeway segments for safety enhancement through VSL operations. An ordered probit model was adopted to capture factors affecting freeway crash severity that can be used to support decision making for selecting the promising segments. Pseudo elasticity and marginal effects, which are outcomes of the ordered probit analysis, were used to determine priority of promising segments for traffic safety. The results of this study would be useful in installing VSL systems and developing traffic control and operations strategies in practice.

Identification of Factors Affecting the Crash Severity and Safety Countermeasures Toward Safer Work Zone Traffic Management (공사구간 교통관리특성을 고려한 고속도로 교통사고 심각도 영향요인 분석 및 안전성 증진 방안)

  • YOON, Seok Min;OH, Cheol;PARK, Hyun Jin;CHUNG, Bong Jo
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.34 no.4
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    • pp.354-372
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    • 2016
  • This study identified factors affecting the crash severity at freeway work zones. A nice feature of this study was to take into account the characteristics of work zone traffic management in analyzing traffic safety concerns. In addition to crash records, vehicle detection systems (VDS) data and work zone historical data were used for establishing a dataset to be used for statistical analyses based on an ordered probit model. A total of six safety improvement strategies for freeway work zones, including traffic merging method, guidance information provision, speed management, warning information systems, traffic safety facility, and monitoring of effectiveness for countermeasures, were also proposed.

An Analysis of the Effects of Water Pollution on Life Satisfaction in Korea (한국의 수질오염이 생활만족도에 미치는 영향에 대한 분석)

  • Kim, Soo Jung;Kang, Sung Jin
    • Journal of Environmental Impact Assessment
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    • v.25 no.2
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    • pp.124-140
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    • 2016
  • Using the Korea Labor Institute Panel Study(KLIPS), this study investigates the impacts of water pollution on life satisfaction in Korea. Panel random-effects ordered probit model is used to consider the ordered property of life satisfaction data and heterogeneity of panel data. The proxy variables to reflect the degree of water pollution are biochemical oxygen demand(BOD) and total phosphorus(TP). In addition to the environmental variables above, other determinants used in various studies on life satisfaction such as economic, social, and demographic characteristics are included. Estimation results show that water pollution is negative and significant for life satisfaction. Other indicators such as income, age, house ownership, gender, education are positively related while urban residence and own business are shown to be negatively related.

Air Pollution and Life Satisfaction in Korea (한국의 대기오염과 생활만족도)

  • Kang, Sung Jin;Kim, Soo Jung
    • Environmental and Resource Economics Review
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    • v.21 no.4
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    • pp.893-920
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    • 2012
  • This study is to investigate causal relationship between individual life satisfaction and air pollution, using ordered probit model with the KLIPS panel dataset for 1998-2008. As determinants, both individual economic and socio-demographic characteristics are considered. Empirical results show that the degree of air pollution has negative effects on individual life satisfaction. The effects of other variables are similar to those of existing studies. This study found that life satisfaction increases along with income increase. However, at a certain point, the increase of life satisfaction becomes smaller even with an increase in income, indicating non-linear effect. It implies that the Easterlin's paradox can be applied to Korea's case. The increase of the other person's income measured by income per capita in the region where respondent resides has negative effects on life satisfaction. On the other hand, a person who has married, own house, stayed healthy, and highly been educated is likely to have higher life satisfaction. Additionally, a person with many household members, urban resident, unemployed or self-employed are negatively correlated with life satisfaction.

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Evaluation Criteria for Appropriateness of Bicycle Riding Path Considering Cyclist's Trip Purposes (자전거 이용자의 통행목적을 고려한 주행경로 적정성 평가지표 개발)

  • Kim, Eui-Jin;Kim, Dong-Kyu
    • The Journal of The Korea Institute of Intelligent Transport Systems
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    • v.15 no.4
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    • pp.12-25
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    • 2016
  • The purpose of this study is providing an evaluation criteria for appropriateness of bicycle riding path considering trip purpose based on cyclist's response of importance and satisfaction. The survey presents a quantified criteria of evaluating appropriateness of the bicycle path by investigating difference of impotance and satisfaction between two purposes among 5 selected influence factors about bicycle lane and bicycle parking facility, and in case of commuting purpose, information of destination is additionally considered. All the influence factors are analyzed by Analytical Hierarchy Process (AHP) which yields importance. For the factors which have a huge difference between two purposes, evaluation criteria using a GIS Data of respondent's path and satisfaction of each factors is developed, and other factors are made it by reviewing literature. The importance analyzed by AHP and evaluation criteria can provide a path based LOS for cyclist, and this information can be improved through user's response from app or search engine in the future. and by considering individual's evaluation, it can provide individually specified information.

Analyzing the Characteristics of Trip Chaining Activities of the Elderly in Seoul Metropolitan Area (수도권 고령자의 통행사슬 특성에 관한 연구)

  • Lee, Hyangsook;Choo, Sangho;Kim, Jiyoon
    • The Journal of The Korea Institute of Intelligent Transport Systems
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    • v.13 no.2
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    • pp.68-79
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    • 2014
  • This paper analyzes the characteristics of trip chaining activities of elderly and explores temporal and spatial distribution. The research also estimates ordered probit model and binary logistic model to investigate various factors affecting trip chaining and mode choice patterns. We utilized household survey data for elderly conducted in 2006 and 2010 in Seoul metropolitan area. Research results indicate that trip chaining showed an increasing trend and simple trip chaining counts for more than 85%. GIS mapping expressed spatial distribution of trip departure and arrival areas, particularly showing regional changes in job-related trips. We also found that more factors influence trip chaining in 2010, compared with 2006, and travel cost is more sensitive than travel time in determining travel mode. The research contributes to establish transportation policies based on travel behavior of elderly in a upcoming super-aged society.