• Title/Summary/Keyword: 선택적 추론

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Epistemological Implications of Scientific Reasoning Designed by Preservice Elementary Teachers during Their Simulation Teaching: Evidence-Explanation Continuum Perspective (초등 예비교사가 모의수업 시연에서 구성한 과학적 추론의 인식론적 의미 - 증거-설명 연속선의 관점 -)

  • Maeng, Seungho
    • Journal of Korean Elementary Science Education
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    • v.42 no.1
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    • pp.109-126
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    • 2023
  • In this study, I took the evidence-explanation (E-E) continuum perspective to examine the epistemological implications of scientific reasoning cases designed by preservice elementary teachers during their simulation teaching. The participants were four preservice teachers who conducted simulation instruction on the seasons and high/low air pressure and wind. The selected discourse episodes, which included cases of inductive, deductive, or abductive reasoning, were analyzed for their epistemological implications-specifically, the role played by the reasoning cases in the E-E continuum. The two preservice teachers conducting seasons classes used hypothetical-deductive reasoning when they identified evidence by comparing student-group data and tested a hypothesis by comparing the evidence with the hypothetical statement. However, they did not adopt explicit reasoning for creating the hypothesis or constructing a model from the evidence. The two preservice teachers conducting air pressure and wind classes applied inductive reasoning to find evidence by summarizing the student-group data and adopted linear logic-structured deductive reasoning to construct the final explanation. In teaching similar topics, the preservice teachers showed similar epistemic processes in their scientific reasoning cases. However, the epistemological implications of the instruction were not similar in terms of the E-E continuum. In addition, except in one case, the teachers were neither good at abductive reasoning for creating a hypothesis or an explanatory model, nor good at using reasoning to construct a model from the evidence. The E-E continuum helps in examining the epistemological implications of scientific reasoning and can be an alternative way of transmitting scientific reasoning.

A Tool for Implementation of Expert System with Knowledge Management System (지식관리 시스템을 수반한 전문가 시스템 구축 도구)

  • 서의현
    • Journal of Intelligence and Information Systems
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    • v.9 no.3
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    • pp.49-63
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    • 2003
  • This paper proposes and implements a tool for the development of efficient and reliable expert system. In the expert system the inference is executed, based on the knowledges stored in the knowledge base of specific domain. To acquire the reliable results of inference, the expert system requires the facilities which can access the various kinds of knowledge and maintain the consistency and accuracy of knowledge. In this context this paper implemented the knowledge management system which maintains the consistency and accuracy of knowledge, adding selectively the knowledges without error to the knowledge base by verifying their error before the knowledges are added to the knowledge base. At the same time this paper made the expert system call and use the procedural knowledge and the declarative knowledge in the data base so that it might use the various kinds of knowledge in the process of inference.

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An Analysis of Abductive Reasoning on the Inquiry of Scientists and Elementary School Gifted Children in Science (과학자와 초등과학영재의 탐구에서 나타난 귀추적 추론 분석)

  • Jeong, Sun-Hee;Choi, Hyun-Dong;Yang, Il-Ho
    • Journal of The Korean Association For Science Education
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    • v.31 no.6
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    • pp.901-919
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    • 2011
  • The purpose of this study was to analyze abductive reasoning on the inquiry of scientists and elementary school gifted children in science. Subjects for this study were eight scientists and eight elementary school gifted children in science studying in the Academy of Gifted Child Education in Science affiliated with Seoul National University of Education. As a result, abductive reasoning on the scientific inquiry of scientists and gifted children showed the three stages of generating hypotheses, designing the experiments, and interpreting the results. The abductive reasoning in each stage characterized the five types as complex abduction, analogical abduction, observation-based abduction, logic-based abduction, selective abduction. The sub-reasoning process of the abductive reasoning of gifted children in science differed in some ways from that of scientists. First, for most scientists, representing a method or representing a casual explican appeared after searching for the characteristics of variables but for gifted children in science, searching for the characteristics of variables appeared after representing a method. Second, scientists tend to rely on logic-based abduction but gifted children in science tend to rely on observationbased abduction. Third, scientists reason by the similar rate in three steps: generating the hypothesis, designing the experience, interpreting the results. On the other hand, most gifted children in science reason about designing the experience.

Ontology-based Grid Resource Selection System (온톨로지 기반의 그리드 자원선택 시스템)

  • Noh, Chang-Hyeon;Jang, Sung-Ho;Kim, Tae-Young;Lee, Jong-Sik
    • Journal of the Korea Society of Computer and Information
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    • v.13 no.3
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    • pp.169-177
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    • 2008
  • Grid resources are composed of various communication networks and operation systems. When a grid system searches and selects grid resources, which meet requirements of a grid user, existing grid resource selection systems are limited due to their storage methods for resource information. In order to select grid resources suitable for requirements of a grid user and characteristics of data, this paper constructs an ontology for grid resources and proposes an ontology-based grid resource selection system. This system provides an inference engine based on rules defined by SWRL to create a resource list. Experimental results comparing the proposed system with existing grid resource selection systems, such as the Condor-G and the Nimrod-G, verify the effectiveness of the ontology-based grid resource selection system with improved job throughput and resource utilization and reduced job loss and job processing time.

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Goal Inference of Behavior-Based Agent Using Bayesian Network (베이지안 네트워크를 이용한 행동기반 에이전트의 목적추론)

  • 김경중;조성배
    • Proceedings of the Korean Information Science Society Conference
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    • 2002.10d
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    • pp.349-351
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    • 2002
  • 베이지안 네트워크는 변수들간의 원인-결과 관계를 확률적으로 모델링하기 위한 도구로서 소프트웨어 사용자의 목적을 추론하기 위해 널리 이용된다. 행동기반 로봇 설계는 반응적(reactive) 행동 모듈을 효과적으로 결합하여 복잡한 행동을 생성하기 위한 접근 방법이다. 행동의 결합은 로봇의 목표, 외부환경, 행동들 사이의 관계를 종합적으로 고려하여 동적으로 이루어진다. 그러나 현재의 결합 모델은 사전에 설계자에 의해 구조가 결정되는 고정적인 형태이기 때문에 환경의 변화에 맞게 목표를 변화시키지 못한다. 본 연구에서는 베이지안 네트워크를 이용하여 현재 상황에 가장 적합한 로봇의 목표를 설정하여 유연한 행동선택을 유도한다. Khepera 이동로봇 시뮬레이터를 이용하여 실험을 수행해 본 결과 베이지안 네트워크를 적용한 모델이 상황에 적합하게 목적을 선택하여 문제를 해결하는 것을 알 수 있었다.

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Traffic Rout Choice by means of Fuzzy Identification (퍼지 동정에 의한 교통경로선택)

  • 오성권;남궁문;안태천
    • Journal of the Korean Institute of Intelligent Systems
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    • v.6 no.2
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    • pp.81-89
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    • 1996
  • A design method of fuzzy modeling is presented for the model identification of route choice of traffic problems.The proposed fuzzy modeling implements system structure and parameter identification in the eficient form of""IF..., THEN-.."", using the theories of optimization theory, linguistic fuzzy implication rules. Three kinds ofmethod for fuzzy modeling presented in this paper include simplified inference (type I), linear inference (type 21,and proposed modified-linear inference (type 3). The fuzzy inference method are utilized to develop the routechoice model in terms of accurate estimation and precise description of human travel behavior. In order to identifypremise structure and parameter of fuzzy implication rules, improved complex method is used and the least squaremethod is utilized for the identification of optimum consequence parameters. Data for route choice of trafficproblems are used to evaluate the performance of the proposed fuzzy modeling. The results show that the proposedmethod can produce the fuzzy model with higher accuracy than previous other studies -BL(binary logic) model,B(production system) model, FL(fuzzy logic) model, NN(neura1 network) model, and FNNs (fuzzy-neuralnetworks) model -.fuzzy-neural networks) model -.

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Development of an Approximate Cost Estimating Model for Bridge Construction Project using CBR Method (사례기반추론 기법을 이용한 교량 공사비 추론 모형 구축)

  • Kim, Min-Ji;Moon, Hyoun-Seok;Kang, Leen-Seok
    • Korean Journal of Construction Engineering and Management
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    • v.14 no.3
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    • pp.42-52
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    • 2013
  • The aim of this study is to present a prediction model of construction cost for a bridge that has a high reliability using historical data from the planning phase based on a CBR (Case-Based Reasoning) method in order to overcome limitations of existing construction cost prediction methods, which is linearly estimated. To do this, a reasoning model of bridge construction cost by a spreadsheet template was suggested using complexly both CBR and GA (Genetic Algorithm). Besides, this study performed a case study to verify the suggested cost reasoning model for bridge construction projects. Measuring efficiency for a result of the case study was 8.69% on average. Since accuracy of the suggested prediction cost is relatively high compared to the other analysis methods for a prediction of construction cost, reliability of the suggested model was secured. In the case that information for detailed specifications of each bridge type in an initial design phase is difficult to be collected, the suggested model is able to predict the bridge construction cost within the minimized measuring efficiency with only the representative specifications for bridges as an improved correction method. Therefore, it is expected that the model will be used to estimate a reasonable construction cost for a bridge project.

Query Term Expansion and Reweighting using Term Co-Occurrence Similarity and Fuzzy Inference (용어 발생 유사도와 퍼지 추론을 이용한 질의 용어 확장 및 가중치 재산정)

  • Kim, Ju-Yeon;Kim, Byeong-Man
    • Journal of KIISE:Software and Applications
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    • v.27 no.9
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    • pp.961-972
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    • 2000
  • 본 논문에서는 사용자의 적합 피드백을 기반으로 적합 문서들에서 발생하는 용어들과 초기 질의어간의 발생 빈도 유사도 및 퍼지 추론을 이용하여 용어의 가중치를 산정하는 방법에 대하여 제안한다. 피드백 문서들에서 발생하는 용어들 중에서 불용어를 제외한 모든 용어들을 질의어로 확장될 수 있는 후보 용어들로 선택하고, 발생 빈도 유사성을 이용한 초기 질의어-후보 용어의 관련 정도, 용어의 IDF, DF 정보를 퍼지 추론에 적용하여 후보 용어의 초기 질의어에 대한 최종적인 관련 정도를 산정 하였으며, 피드백 문서들에서의 가중치와 관련 정도를 결합하여 후보 용어들의 가중치를 산정 하였다. 본 논문에서는 성능을 평가하기 위하여 KT-set 1.0과 KT-set 2.0을 사용하였으며, 성능의 상대적인 평가를 위하여 Dec-Hi 방법, 용어 분포 유사도를 이용한 방법, 퍼지 추론을 이용한 방법들을 정확률-재현률을 사용하여 평가하였다.

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표적 마케팅을 위한 CBR 시스템의 유사 임계치 및 커버리지의 동시 최적화 모형

  • An, Hyeon-Cheol
    • 한국경영정보학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 2007.11a
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    • pp.605-610
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    • 2007
  • 사례기반추론(CBR)은 많은 장점으로 인해, 생산, 재무, 마케팅 등의 분야의 다양한 경영의사결정문제 해결에 적용되어 왔다. 그러나, 효과적인 CBR 시스템을 설계, 구축하기 위해서는 연구자가 직관적으로 설정해야 할 많은 변수들이 존재한다. 본 연구에서는 이러한 CBR의 여러 설계요소들 중, '결합할 유사사례의 선택' 과 관련해, CBR이 보다 개선된 형태로 경영문제 해결에 응용될 수 있는 모형을 제시하고 있다. 본 연구의 제안모형은 결합할 유사사례를 선택하는 기준으로 특정 사례수(k-NN)나 유사도의 상대적 비율을 사용하는 기존의 CBR과 달리 0에서 1사이의 값을 갖는 절대적 유사 임계치를 적용하고 있다. 다만, 절대적 유사 임계치를 사용할 때, 그 값이 작아질 경우 예측결과의 생성이 과도하게 이루어지지 않을 수 있는 문제를 해결하기 위해, 커버리지를 모형에 함께 반영하여 사용자가 원하는 수준의 커버리지는 유지한 상태에서 가장 효과적인 유사 사례를 찾아, 추론을 수행할 수 있도록 설계하였다. 제안모형을 검증하기 위해, 본 연구에서는 이 모형을 실제 인터넷 쇼핑몰의 고객 발굴 사례에 적용해 보았다. 이를 통해, 제안모형의 적용가능성을 확인하고, 향후 추가연구가 요구되는 개선방향을 고찰해 보았다.

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Fuzzy Reasoning based Selection Operator for Genetic Algorithm (퍼지 추론 기반의 유전알고리즘 선택 연산자)

  • Seo, Gi-Seong;Hyeon, Su-Hwan
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Intelligent Systems Conference
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    • 2007.11a
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    • pp.112-115
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    • 2007
  • 본 논문은 퍼지추론을 통해 개체의 유사성과 적합도의 종합적 평가를 이용한 유전알고리즘의 선태연산자를 제안한다. 단일 집단을 가상적으로 임의의 n 개의 개체군을 나누고, 개체의 적합도와 유사도에 기반한 퍼지추론을 통해, 효율적인 계층화를 구성하고자 한다. 동시에 점진형(steady-state) 진화방식과 결합시켜 계층화된 군집내에서 개체들이 조기에 수렴하는 현상을 방지해 줄 수 있도록 하고, 적은 개체를 이용하여 효율적인 진화가 가능하도록 구현하였다. 2가지 기만적 문제에 대해서 다른 선태 연산자들의 결과와 비교하였으며, 만족할만한 성능을 얻었다.

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