• Title/Summary/Keyword: 변수별 효과

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Effect of Climate Change on the Tree-Ring Growth of Pinus koraiensis in Korea (기후변화가 잣나무의 연륜생장에 미치는 영향 분석)

  • Lim, Jong Hwan;Chun, Jung Hwa;Park, Ko Eun;Shin, Man Yong
    • Journal of Korean Society of Forest Science
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    • v.105 no.3
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    • pp.351-359
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    • 2016
  • This study was conducted to analyze the effect of climate change on the tree-ring growth of Pinus koraiensis in Korea. Annual tree-ring growth data of P. koraiensis collected by the $5^{th}$ National Forest Inventory were first organized to analyze yearly growth patterns of the species. When tree-ring growth data were analyzed through cluster analysis based on similarity of climatic conditions, five clusters were identified. Yearly growing degree days and standard precipitation index based on daily mean temperature and precipitation data from 1951 to 2010 were calculated by cluster. Using the information, yearly temperature effect index(TEI) and precipitation effect index(PEI) by cluster were estimated to analyze the effect of climatic conditions on the growth of the species. Tree-ring growth estimation equations by cluster were developed by using the product of yearly TEI and PEI as independent variable. The tree-ring growth estimation equations were applied to the climate change scenarios of RCP 4.5 and RCP 8.5 for predicting the changes in tree-ring growth by cluster of P. koraiensis from 2011 to 2100. The results of this study are expected to provide valuable information necessary for estimating local growth characteristics of P. koraiensis and for predicting changes in tree-ring growth patterns caused by climate change.

Estimation of Economic Effects on Overseas Oil and Gas E&P by Macroeconomic Model of Korea (거시경제모형을 이용한 해외석유가스개발사업의 경제적 효과 추정 연구)

  • Kim, Ji-Whan;Chung, Woo Jin;Kim, Yoon Kyung
    • Environmental and Resource Economics Review
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    • v.23 no.1
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    • pp.133-156
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    • 2014
  • In general, quantity results of empirical analysis using model shows how much big performance policy has. Therefore this is useful to evaluate a policy. This paper composed macro economic model based on Bank of Korea's quarterly model and annual model, that estimates performance of overseas oil and gas development project to Korean economy in aspect of quantity. In this model, we estimated each effect in real GDP, current account, unemployment rate, CPI and exchange rate carried by recovered amount from overseas oil and gas development project. The recovered amount was evaluated in currency coming from oil and gas acquired from overseas oil and gas development project. Macro economic model of this paper benchmarked macro model composed by Bank of Korea(1997, 2004, 2012). We reviewed model robustness using statistical suitability of each equation and historical simulation for from 1994 to 2011. The recovered amount of overseas oil and gas development project has positive effect in every macro economic index except CPI and exchange rate. Economic effect to macro economic index become bigger with time because the recovered amount of overseas oil and gas development project are increasing until now. Although empirical results of economic effects in every year from the recovered amount of overseas oil and gas development project are different, as of 2011, empirical results showed that the recovered amount of overseas oil and gas development project increase 2.226% and 0.401% in current account and real GDP respectively. And it also decrease 0.489%p in unemployment rate. Exchange rate to US dollars also decrease in amount of 0.379%.

Income Inequality Decomposed by Age, Period and Cohort Effects: A Comparison of the Capital and Non-Capital Regions (연령, 시간, 코호트효과를 고려한 소득 불평등: 수도권과 비수도권 간 비교)

  • Jeong, Jun Ho
    • Journal of the Economic Geographical Society of Korea
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    • v.23 no.2
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    • pp.166-181
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    • 2020
  • This paper attempts to compare and analyze the intensity, trend, and regional gap of income inequality, capitalizing upon the Age-Period-Cohort model which considers age, time and cohort effects, with the 1998-2018 Korea Labor Panel (KLIPS) survey data for respondents living in the Capital and Non-Capital Regions. The main analysis results are as follows. First, in the case of both cohort and age effects, those in their 50~60s, including the so-called baby boomers and '386 generation' living in the Capital Region, have relatively lower income inequality effect compared to that of other age groups and cohorts in the Non-Capital Region. Second, the micro-individual characteristics cannot be ignored to account for a regional gap in income inequality, but rather the effects of structural and institutional omitted variables and the social discrimination effects of individual characteristics variables are more significant in explaining it. Overall, intra-and inter-cohort income inequalities appear to overlap.

The Impact of Bilateral Free Trade Agreements on International Trade Volume of Bulk Shipment at the Port of Busan in Korea : Focusing on Korea's FTA with Chile, Peru, Singapore, India, and United States (대한민국 FTA체결에 따른 부산항 벌크물동량 영향분석 : 칠레, 페루, 싱가포르, 인도, 미국을 중심으로)

  • Lee, Kyong Han;Park, Ju Dong
    • Journal of Korea Port Economic Association
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    • v.32 no.3
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    • pp.83-94
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    • 2016
  • The primary purpose of this study is to analyze the impact of bilateral Free Trade Agreements on international trade volume of bulk shipment at the port of Busan in Korea using the Gravity Model. Most recently, the total of 15 Korea's FTAs have been enforced since Korea-Chile FTA in 2004 and more than 50 countries became member of Korea's FTAs. Therefore, aggregated trade volume of Korea's FTA members out of the total trade volume in Korea increased from 25% in 2011 to 67% in 2015. Five Korea's bilateral FTA members are concerned as experimental group while top 10 foreign countries base on trade volume of bulk shipment are applied to the model as control group and panel data was used in this study. According to the results, bilateral FTA, GDP and population have positive impacts on trade volume of bulk shipment at the port of Busan. On the other hand, distance between Korea and its trade partner has negative impact. In examining Hausman test and LR test, the random effect model is statistically more appropriate than the fixed effect model for this study.

A Causal Model of Life Satisfaction among the Elderly Persons: Focused on Mediating Effects of Social Participation Activities (노인들의 삶의 만족도에 대한 인과모형 연구: 유형별 사회참여활동의 매개효과를 중심으로)

  • Hur, Jun-Soo;Cho, Seung-Ho
    • The Journal of the Korea Contents Association
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    • v.17 no.1
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    • pp.673-691
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    • 2017
  • This study was to examine the causal relationships among extraneous variables, social participation, and life satisfaction among the elderly persons. This study analyzed 4014 elderly persons out of 2010 KLoSA. The path analysis and mediating effects were examined by AMOS. Except educational level, family income, health status, functional capacities, K-MMSE, and CES-D10 were direct effects on the life satisfaction among the elderly persons. The mediating effects of causal meeting activities, leisure activities, and membership based activities were significant on life satisfaction. This study proposed implications of improving life satisfaction for the elderly through utilizing of social participation activities.

Educational effect of Disital-storytelling technique: A Systematic Review (디지털스토리텔링기법의 교육적 효과에 대한 체계적 문헌고찰)

  • Seo, Hee-Kyung
    • Journal of Korea Game Society
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    • v.19 no.1
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    • pp.37-46
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    • 2019
  • As the development of IT technology and Web services have changed recently, education environment combined with high-tech digital content is becoming a new trend with the demands of educational consumers. In Korea, however, there is no systematic discussion on the issue, and there is not enough evidence to verify the effectiveness of the research. Therefore, we will systematically analyze the educational effects of Digital Storytelling to create an educational environment that meets the new horizon of intelligent web and personalized service provision in the Web3.0 era, In this study, 12 domestic experimental studies that verify the educational effects of digital storytelling were systematically analyzed, compared with overseas cases, and proposed development plans in the Web3.0 era.

Analysis of Sensitivity according to Design factors in Detention Basin with Side Weir (강변저류지 설계인자별 유량계수의 민감도 분석)

  • Hong, Sang-Jin;Kim, Seo-Jun;Lee, Jin-Ho;Yoon, Byung-Man
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2011.05a
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    • pp.153-153
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    • 2011
  • 강변저류지 설계를 위해 주로 사용되고 있는 방법은 1차원 부정류 수치모형인 HEC-RAS의 Storage 기법이다. HEC - RAS의 Storage 기법을 이용할 경우 설계자는 유입부 설계제원과 저류용량 외에 두 개의 매개변수를 결정해 주어야 한다. 하나는 하천의 조도계수이며, 다른 하나는 횡월류 위어의 유량계수이다. 그 중 횡월류 위어 유량계수는 강변저류지 홍수조절효과에 직접적으로 영향을 주는 저류량과 관련되어 있다. 따라서 저류량을 결정하기 위한 유량계수는 기존 연구자들에 의해 다양한 산정식들이 제시되어 있다. 하지만 횡월류 유량계수가 동일한 흐름 조건에서도 산정식별로 차이를 보이고 있어서, 설계자가 어떤 유량계수를 선택하느냐가 매우 중요하다. 따라서 본 연구에서는 홍수시 발생 가능한 유량계수의 범위를 결정한 후 설계 인자별로 유량계수의 변화에 따른 강변저류지 홍수조절효과를 분석하였다. 분석 결과 유량계수에 따라 크게는 최대홍수량 대비 약 5 ~ 6% 정도의 차이를 보였다. 이는 가장 작게 산정된 홍수조절효과의 범위가 약 15 ~ 20% 정도인 것과 비교하면 큰 차이를 보이는 것으로 확인하였다. 따라서 강변저류지 홍수조절효과 산정시 발생 가능한 다양한 유량계수를 적용하여 보수적으로 설계하는 것이 바람직할 것으로 판단된다.

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A Study on the Demand for Timber in South Korea - with an Emphasis on the Long-term Forecasts - (우리나라의 목재수요(木材需要)에 관한 연구(硏究) - 장기수요전망(長期需要展望)을 중심으로 -)

  • Youn, Yeo Chang;Kim, Eui Gyeong
    • Journal of Korean Society of Forest Science
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    • v.81 no.2
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    • pp.124-138
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    • 1992
  • This study was carried out to estimate long-term demand functions, and to project consumption of roundwood to the year 2030, using time series data for the period 1970-1990. Especially, the unique features of this study are in the estimation of demand functions for roundwood by species group and by end-use with help of dummy variables. It also, attempts to show how dummy variables can be utilized for improving the estimation result. The result of this study reveals that hardwood roundwood consumption is being substituted by softwood roundwood due to the rapid increase in the relative price of softwood, and this trend is expected to continue in the near future. The consumption of roundwood by mining industry is projected to fall as the coal :mining is expected to decline. The parametric estimates of timber demand function by species group and by end-use indicate that the demand for timber in Korea is more responsive to the performance of domestic economy as a whole, represented by GDP in this study, than to other variables such as own and substitute prices. The effects of population growth and substitute prices could not be determined.

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Impact for Financial Performance of Small & Medium-Sized Firms by Maintenance Period of IMS Certification (IMS 인증유지기간이 경영성과에 미치는 영향)

  • Kim, Kyung-Ihl;Kim, Ki-Suk
    • Journal of Convergence Society for SMB
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    • v.2 no.2
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    • pp.21-26
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    • 2012
  • This paper analyzes business performance that together influence firms to adopt IMS, which is the standard primarily concerned with an IMS. We predict that the firm's financial characteristics will also influence the IMS adoption in our analses. This study tests three hypotheses on management performance of adoption of IMS. The main findings are as follows. The first hypotheses is supported in terms of debt ratio, fixed assets to net worth and fixed liabilities, net sales groth rate respectively at the 1%, 5%, and 5% significance level. The second hypotheses is supportrf in terms of gross margin on sales and total assets turnover at the respective rates of 1% and 10% significance level. The third hypotheses is supported in terms of current ratio, debt ratiom fixed assets to net worth and fixed liabilities at the respective rates of 10% and 1% significance level.

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An analysis on the difference in banking app usability by elderly age - Focusing on the PACMAD model - (고령층 연령에 따른 뱅킹앱 사용성 인식에 대한 차이 분석 -PACMAD 모델을 중심으로-)

  • Hyun Suk Joung
    • Journal of Korea Society of Industrial Information Systems
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    • v.28 no.2
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    • pp.61-75
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    • 2023
  • This study aims to evaluate the usability of a banking app that is frequently used by the elderly. To this end, the usability PACMAD(People At the Center of Mobile Application Development) model that can be used in mobile was explained and the usability evaluation was empirically verified for the elderly over 60 years of age. For this study, descriptive statistics and variance analysis were conducted using SPSS 25.0 for 165 elderly people who had experience using banking apps. Looking at the analysis results of this study, efficiency, satisfaction, and effectiveness showed relatively high scores, and learnability, memorability, error, and cognitive load showed relatively low scores. In addition, in the verification of differences by age, it was confirmed that there were differences in all variables by age. These results suggest that the elderly's usability evaluation of banking apps and differences by age could be confirmed, but there is also a limitation that comparison with the general public is difficult because the age is limited to the elderly.