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http://dx.doi.org/10.14578/jkfs.2016.105.3.351

Effect of Climate Change on the Tree-Ring Growth of Pinus koraiensis in Korea  

Lim, Jong Hwan (Center for Forest and Climate Change, National Institute of Forest Science)
Chun, Jung Hwa (Forest Ecology Division, National Institute of Forest Science)
Park, Ko Eun (Center for Forest and Climate Change, National Institute of Forest Science)
Shin, Man Yong (Department of Forest, Environment, and System, Kookmin University)
Publication Information
Journal of Korean Society of Forest Science / v.105, no.3, 2016 , pp. 351-359 More about this Journal
Abstract
This study was conducted to analyze the effect of climate change on the tree-ring growth of Pinus koraiensis in Korea. Annual tree-ring growth data of P. koraiensis collected by the $5^{th}$ National Forest Inventory were first organized to analyze yearly growth patterns of the species. When tree-ring growth data were analyzed through cluster analysis based on similarity of climatic conditions, five clusters were identified. Yearly growing degree days and standard precipitation index based on daily mean temperature and precipitation data from 1951 to 2010 were calculated by cluster. Using the information, yearly temperature effect index(TEI) and precipitation effect index(PEI) by cluster were estimated to analyze the effect of climatic conditions on the growth of the species. Tree-ring growth estimation equations by cluster were developed by using the product of yearly TEI and PEI as independent variable. The tree-ring growth estimation equations were applied to the climate change scenarios of RCP 4.5 and RCP 8.5 for predicting the changes in tree-ring growth by cluster of P. koraiensis from 2011 to 2100. The results of this study are expected to provide valuable information necessary for estimating local growth characteristics of P. koraiensis and for predicting changes in tree-ring growth patterns caused by climate change.
Keywords
tree-ring growth; growing degree days; standard precipitation index; climate change scenario; Pinus koraiensis;
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