• Journal of the Society of Disaster Information
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• v.17 no.1
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• pp.165-175
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• 2021

Purpose: The purpose of this study is to quantitatively present the carbon dioxide(CO₂) emission change according to the application of autonomous driving technology at the network level for waste vehicles in the metropolitan area. Method: The target year was set to 2030, and the analysis method estimated the carbon dioxide (CO₂) emissions for each road link through user equilibrium assignment when unapplied scenario. The application scenario performed traffic assignment using route data on the premise that the group was running in accordance with the application of autonomous driving technology to waste vehicles. In addition, the other means estimated the carbon dioxide emissions through user balance allocation by reflecting the results of the waste vehicle allocation. Result: As a result of the analysis, carbon dioxide(CO₂) emissions were found to be reduced by about 56.9ton/day from the national network level, and the Seoul metropolitan area was analyzed to be reduced by about 54.7ton/day. Conclusion: This study quantitatively presented environmental impacts among various social effects that autonomous driving technology will bring, and in the future, development of various analytical methodologies and related studies should be continuously conducted.

• Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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• v.33 no.4
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• pp.495-503
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• 2000

In this study the average air temperature in April at Taegu city is analyzed and forecasted by applying an intervention model of stochastic analysis. As it is unavailable to get the data of carbon dioxide emission from a city in Korea, the points of intervention have been decided from the analysis of the data observed to be the years of 1947 and 1970. As a result of the study the mean temperature of April in Taegu city is shown to increase for a long time in the future and will also remain 0.015$^{\circ}C$/year even after 70 years from now. Even though the air temperature changes in the future will vary depending on the future exhaustion of carbon dioxide, a significant increase of air temperature cannot be avoided if the emission of carbon dioxide continues at today's level.

• Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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• 2023.05a
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• pp.279-279
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• 2023

최근 온실가스의 배출량이 급격히 증가하였고, 지구온난화로 인해 전 세계적으로 홍수, 가뭄, 태풍 등 이상기후로 인한 극한 수문 현상들의 변화가 두드러지게 나타나고 있다. 수공구조물의 설계에 있어 적절한 확률강우량의 추정은 매우 중요한 과정 중의 하나이다. 확률강우량의 추정은 일반적으로 확보된 강우자료를 지속시간별로 연최대자료를 추출하여 빈도해석을 통해 산정하게 된다. 그러나 기후변화의 영향으로 집중호우와 잦은 홍수로 인한 피해가 증가함에따라 과거 강우자료를 바탕으로 확률강우강도를 활용하여 확률강우량을 추정하는 것이 매우 어려워졌다. 따라서, 이번 연구에서는 기후변화 시나리오 중 하나인 RCP 시나리오를 활용하며, 우리나라 온실가스 저감정책을 잘 반영하고 있는 것으로 보고되는 RCP 4.5시나리오와 RCP 8.5 시나리오를 선정하여 1975년도부터 2020년도까지의 모의자료와 2021년도부터 2100년도까지의 미래강우량 자료를 통해 강원지역을 대상으로 비정상성 GEV 모형을 활용하여 지역빈도해석을 수행하고 미래 설계강우량 산정을 위한 비정상성 IDF 곡선을 유도하여 분석하고자 한다.

• Journal of Korea Port Economic Association
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• v.34 no.1
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• pp.35-49
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• 2018

Busan Port handles more than 75% of the domestic freight volume and is ranked at 6th for global shipping in the world. This paper aims to estimate ship emission in North Port that is the center of Busan Port and located near the residential area. The emission for each type of ship is calculated applying a emission model proposed by U.S. EPA and the atmospheric diffusion pattern of the exhaust gas according to the season, the weather condition and the time was identified using CALPUFF Model. As a result, the major pollutants of $NO_x$, $SO_x$ and PM10 were 30,853 tons, 36,281 tons and 6,856 tons, respectively, and the highest rate was 42% in oil tankers. On clear days, air pollution was stagnant around the harbor, spread widely on windy days, and tended to be thinner on rainy days. The research contributes to recognizing the seriousness of air pollution and can be used as basic data for policy making in the future.

• KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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• v.30 no.6B
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• pp.551-560
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• 2010

This study presents the export of constituent transport loads through a river system. The proposed constituent transport load estimating procedure can be operated with the on-going Korean TMDL monitoring system. This study firstly discusses the use of a hydrologic simulation model (TANK) to estimate stream-flow for the 40 sub-catchments. Model parameters are estimated from 8-days intervals flow data which has been monitored by NIER since 2004. Constituent transport loads are estimated with the 7-parameter log linear model whose parameters are estimated by the minimum variance unbiased estimator. Results from Nakdong river basin reveals that the proposed procedure provides satisfactory TN, TP and SS transport load estimates. As an application, a representative load duration curve is derived to represent the overall hydrologic flux of TN, TP and SS at Nakdong river basin.

• Journal of Environmental Policy
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• v.10 no.4
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• pp.3-37
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• 2011

This paper investigates the existence of the environmental Kuznets curve (EKC) for carbon dioxide $CO_2$ emissions and its causal relationships with economic growth and openness by using time series data (1971-2006) from China (an emerging market), Korea (a newly industrialized country), and Japan (a developed country). The sample countries span a whole range of development stages from industrialized to newly industrialized and emerging market economies. The environmental consequences according to openness and economic growth do not show uniform results across the countries. Depending on the national characteristics, the estimated EKC show different temporal patterns. China shows an N-shaped curve while Japan has a U-shaped curve. Such dissimilarities are also found in the relationship between $CO_2$ emissions and openness. In the case of Korea, and Japan it represents an inverted U-shaped curve while China shows a U-shaped curve. We also analyze the dynamic relationships between the variables by adopting a vector auto regression or vector error correction model. These models through the impulse response functions allow for analysis of the causal variable's influence on the dynamic response of emission variables, and it adopts a variance decomposition to explain the magnitude of the forecast error variance determined by the shocks to each of the causal variables over time. Results show evidence of large heterogeneity among the countries and variables impacts.

• The Journal of The Korea Institute of Intelligent Transport Systems
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• v.12 no.3
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• pp.114-128
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• 2013

Greenhouse gas emissions have been an important issue in different countries because of their effects on global warming. The government has to organize greenhouse gas reduction measures suitable to regional characteristics by establishing annual implementation plans and comprehensive policies based on the UNFCCC. The transportation sector is one of the major contributors of air pollution; hence increasing need to estimate current and future traffic emissions precisely. Under these circumstances, a number of emission models have been developed recently. However, current methods of estimation cannot carry out effective analyses because it does not reflect vehicle movement characteristics. This study aims to present a new method for calculating road traffic emissions in Goyang city. A travel demand model is utilized to carry out GHG emission estimates according the traffic data (fleet composition, vehicle kilometers travelled, traffic intensity, road type, emission factors and speed). This study evaluates two approaches to estimate the road traffic emissions in Goyang City: Pollution-Emis and the Handbook of Emission Factors for Road Transport (HBEFA v.3.1) which is representative of the "average speed" and the "traffic situation" model types. The evaluation of results shows that the proposed emission estimation method may be a good practice if vigilant implementation of model inputs is observed.

• Journal of Advanced Navigation Technology
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• v.27 no.5
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• pp.649-657
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• 2023

ICAO adopted the Carbon Offsetting and Reduction Scheme for International Aviation (CORSIA) at the 39th General Assembly in 2016, and 115 countries, including South Korea, expressed their intention to participate in CORSIA as of January 1, 2023. Since carbon generated in the aviation industry is mainly caused by greenhouse gases emitted from aircraft engines, fuel consumption must be reduced to reduce carbon emissions. Prior research, such as simulation, is essential to predict the effectiveness of each plan and to make decisions about its implementation. High-quality data is needed to derive accurate results, but it has been difficult to secure actual fuel consumption data, as they are considered to be classified airline data. Therefore, in this paper, after establishing a model that estimates fuel consumption based on actual fuel consumption data, the model is to be advanced to improve its accuracy.

• Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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• 2016.05a
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• pp.572-572
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• 2016

청미천 유역은 다양한 수계로 구성된 대유역에 해당되며 농업 및 공업활동에 따른 오염원을 가진다. 본 연구에서는 오염원 중 비점오염원이 가지는 특성을 기후변화 시나리오에 따라 모의 및 분석한다. 비점오염원의 모의를 위해서는 SWAT 모형이 이용된다. 기후변화 시나리오로는 RCP4.5 및 RCP8.5 시나리오가 적용된다. SWAT 모형은 유역 모의를 위한 모형으로 대규모의 복잡한 유역에서의 장기간 모의를 수행할 수 있으며 다양한 조건의 토양 및 토지이용 상태를 고려할 수 있는 장점을 가진다. 본 연구에서는 강유-유출모형과 수질모형 등을 GIS와 연계한 호환모형을 이용하며 유출에 따른 비점오염원의 거동을 해석하고자 한다. SWAT 모형을 이용한 모의를 위해 필요한 매개변수는 관측소 현황, 강우, 기온, 습도, 일사량, 풍속 등이다. 이중 일사량에 대한 정보를 가정하여 본 연구를 수행하였고 나머지 매개변수는 청미천 유역의 특성치를 조사하여 입력하였다. 청미천 유역의 수질 오염원에 대한 기여도를 분석하기 위해서 시설용량이 일정 크기 이상인 하수처리장을 조사하였고, 이에 대한 정보가 모의시 검토되었다. 청미천 유역 전체 오염원에 대한 점오원의 비율을 검토한 결과 홍수기에 점오염원의 영향이 낮다는 점을 확인할 수 있다. 이는 홍수기에 불특정 지점에서 유출되는 비점오염원의 기여도가 큰 것으로 이해할 수 있다. 하지만 소규모 산업단지의 배출량 등에 대한 자료가 보완될 때 보다 신뢰성 있는 모의 결과를 얻을 수 있을 것으로 판단된다. 총질소와 총인의 경우에도 하계 홍수기에 크게 증가하는 사실을 확인할 수 있으며 부유물질의 경우는 그 변동 폭이 다른 항목에 비해 크게 나타나며 9월에도 증가하는 경향을 나타낸다. 본 연구를 보다 고도화하기 위해서는 다양한 알고리즘을 통해 매개변수를 보정하는 과정이 필요하며 점오염원을 포함하여 다양한 오염원에 대한 정확한 정보가 구축되는 과정 역시 중요하다.

• Proceedings of the Korea Society of Environmental Toocicology Conference
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• 2003.05a
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• pp.164-164
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• 2003

전국 주요 산단 지역에서 현재 유통되고 있는 화학물질의 스크리닝 수준에서의 생태 위해성 평가를 수행하고, 체계적인 위해도 분석 시스템을 구축하기 위한 수생 및 육상 생태계가 통합된 생태 위해성 예측 모형을 개발하였다. 전국 118개 공단 중 시화반월, 전주, 대전, 대구, 청주, 울산, 구미, 여천공단 등 8개 주요 산단 지역을 program 개발을 위한 비교 대상 지역으로 선정하였고 이들 공단에서 사용되고 있는 약 1700여종의 화학물질의 물리 화학적 특성 자료와 생태 독성값의 문헌치, 추정치를 포함한 database를 구축하였다. 구축된 database를 활용하여 산단별, 화학물질별 생태 위해도를 상대적으로 비교한 결과 어류 만성의 위해도는 청주 공단>울산미포>여천 공단의 순이었고, 물벼룩 만성의 위해도는 시화반월>여천>울산미포 공단의 순이었다. 또한 산단별로 위해도 우선순위 물질을 선정하였으며 styrene, xylene 등의 위해도가 높게 나타났다. 이때 화학 물질의 수계 배출량은 TRI 자료와 사용량과의 상관관계로부터 구한 배출 계수를 적용하여 산정하였으며, 선정된 위해도 우선 순위 물질을 대상으로 실제 공단의 하천 시료를 채취, 분석하여 이 모형에 의해 예측된 생태 위해도의 타당성을 검증하고 보완하는 연구를 지속적으로 수행하여 예측 program의 신뢰도를 높이고자 한다.