• The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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• v.16 no.2
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• pp.377-393
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• 2003

Several confidence interval estimates for the difference of two binomial proportions were introduced. Bootstrap confidence interval is also suggested. We examined the over estimation property of approximate intervals and under estimation trend of exact intervals for the difference of proportions. We compared these confidence intervals based on the average coverage probability, expected width and skewness measure. Particularly actual coverage probability were calculated by using the prior distribution of parameters. Monte Carlo simulation for small sample size is conducted. Some interesting contour plots of average coverage probability and marginal plots for several interval estimates are presented.

• Journal of Educational Research in Mathematics
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• v.24 no.3
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• pp.375-385
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• 2014

This study compares the confidence interval estimation of population mean with that of population ratio, and considers whether these two estimations ensures consistency. As a result, this study suggests the following acquisition method of consistency : dealing with population mean and population ratio in the same mode, substituting the observed or experimental value of sample standard deviation for standard deviation in population in setting a confidence interval of both population mean and population ratio, and distinguishing population ratio $\hat{P}$ from its observed vale $\hat{p}$.

• The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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• v.19 no.1
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• pp.171-181
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• 2006

The Wald confidence interval has been considered as a standard method for the difference of proportions. However, the erratic behavior of the coverage probability of the Wald confidence interval is recognized in various literatures. Various alternatives have been proposed. Among them, Agresti-Caffo confidence interval has gained the reputation because of its simplicity and fairly good performance in terms of coverage probability. It is known however, that the Agresti-Caffo confidence interval is conservative. In this note, a confidence interval is developed using the weighted Polya posterior which was employed to obtain a confidence interval for the binomial proportion in Lee(2005). The resulting confidence interval is simple and effective in various respects such as the closeness of the average coverage probability to the nominal confidence level, the average expected length and the mean absolute error of the coverage probability. Practically it can be used for the interval estimation of the difference of proportions for any sample sizes and parameter values.

• Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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• v.19 no.3
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• pp.405-414
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• 2012

In a stratified sample, the sampling frame is divided into non-overlapping groups or strata (e.g. geographical areas, age-groups, and genders). A sample is taken from each stratum, if this sample is a simple random sample it is referred to as stratified random sampling. In this paper, we study the bootstrap inference (including confidence interval) and test for a stratified population mean. We also introduce the bootstrap consistency based on limiting distribution related to the plug-in estimator of the population mean. We suggest three bootstrap confidence intervals such as standard bootstrap method, percentile bootstrap method and studentized bootstrap method. We also suggest a bootstrap test method computing the $ASL_{boot}$(Achieved Significance Level). The results of estimation are verified using simulation.

• The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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• v.19 no.2
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• pp.217-230
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• 2006

e discuss proper confidence intervals for interval estimation of a low binomial proportion. A large sample surveys are practically executed to find rates of rare diseases, specified industrial disaster, and parasitic infection. Under the conditions of 0 < p ${\leq}$ 0.1 and large n, we compared 6 confidence intervals with mean coverage probability, root mean square error and mean expected widths to search a good one for interval estimation of population proportion p. As a result of comparisons, Mid-p confidence interval is best and AC, score and Jeffreys confidence intervals are next.

• The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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• v.20 no.1
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• pp.159-165
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• 2007

The statistics chapter in High School Mathematics I as implemented in The 7th Curriculum is reviewed critically. In views from mathematical integrity or logic, the current contents are not satisfactory in several key issues. Specific instances are the law of large numbers, normal distribution and confidence intervals for population mean. We suggest alternative teaching points to handle such difficulties and propose re-structuring the course syllabus with reduced items.

• Journal of the Korean School Mathematics Society
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• v.21 no.3
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• pp.247-266
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• 2018

In this paper, three main concepts are chosen for this statistical estimation study, based on previous studies: confidence interval and reliability, sampling distribution of mean and population mean estimation, and relationships between elements of confidence interval. The main objectives of this study are as follows: 1. How are the attitudes that future math teachers and high school students have to ward the statistical estimation? 2. Is there some difference in the awareness of misconceptions about the statistical estimation that future math teachers and high school students have? A study result shows that both groups have difficulties in understanding statistical concepts and their meaning used in Unit Statistical Estimation. They tend to wrongly think that the meaning of reliability is the same as that of probability. They also have difficulties in understanding sample variance in the sampling distribution of mean, which makes it impossible to connect with population mean estimation. It is shown that relationships between elements consisting of confidence interval are not consistent.

• Journal of Korea Port Economic Association
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• v.25 no.4
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• pp.165-182
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• 2009

This study analyzed the economic analysis on the Cambodian inland waterway from Phnom Penh to Chong Kneas. The social discount rate of 3.5% was applied for the cost and benefit of projects and converted to the current values in 2009. The benefits were supposed as the triangle distribution with minimum, mode, and maximum value corresponding to pessimistic, moderate and optimistic prospect separately. And the distributions of costs were the normal. As the result of probabilistic simulations, the average of B/C for scenario A showed relatively the highest with 0.25 and its 90% confidence interval 0.16~0.35. The average B/C of scenario B is 0.10 with the 90% confidence interval 0.06~0.13 and the one of scenario C is 0.15 with 90% confidence interval 0.12~0.19. Therefore it was concluded as low economic feasibility to install inland waterway aids to navigation along the surveyed waterway. However, the performance of the project should be determined by its political analysis as well as the economic.

• The Transactions of the Korea Information Processing Society
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• v.4 no.1
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• pp.177-183
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• 1997

The cumulative function of the noncentral t distribution calculate power in testing equality of means of two normal populations and confidence intervals for the ratio of population mean to standard deviation. In this paper, the evaluation of the cumulative function of noncentral t distribution is applied to the neural network consists of the multi-layer perception structure and learning process has the algorithm of the backpropagation. Numerical comparisons are made between the Fisher's values and the results obtained by neural network theory.

• Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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• v.20 no.3
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• pp.55-67
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• 2002

구간검지체계를 기반으로 한 첨단교통정보제공시스템(Advanced Traveler Information Systems)은 그 기능 수행시 다음의 중요 고려사항을 지닌다. 첫째는 제공 정보의 신뢰성이며, 둘째는 정보수집비용에 관련한 수집자료수의 한계이다. 본 논문에서는 이러한 한계성 극복을 위해 보다 대표성 있는 교통정보 형태의 설정 및 통계적으로 신뢰성 있는 정보산출을 위해 요구되는 적정표본수의 결정에 대한 연구를 수행하였다. 도시고속도로(올림픽대로)와 도시간선도로(천호대로)의 실측 구간통행시간분포 분석결과 단일교차로 구간의 경우 다른 구간들의 단일봉(unimodal)의 정규분포형태와는 다른 두 개의 봉우리를 지닌 분포형태(bimodal)가 나타났다. 따라서 이러한 구간은 기존과는 다른 새로운 교통정보 형태가 필요하며, 본 논문에서는 모든 통과차량들의 평균통행시간으로 정의되는 한 개의 대표치가 아닌 신호주기에 의한 정지여부에 따라 분리되는 주행시간과 지체시간 또는 주행속도와 통행속도 개념의 세분화된 정보형태를 설정하였다. 또한 중심극한정리를 기초로 한 통계적인 표본수 결정식을 이용하여 설정된 신뢰수준 하에서의 정보산출을 위해 요구되는 적정 표본수를 산출하였다. 그 결과, 교통이 혼잡할수록 요구되는 표본수는 적어지는 것으로 나타났다. 우선 적정 표본수 만큼의 표본추출을 하고 제안된 정보산출 방법에 의해 교통정보를 산출한 후 실측치와의 오차를 비교하였다. 그 결과 산출된 교통정보는 신뢰수준 95%와 허용오차 5㎞/h를 만족하였다. 다음으로 구간검지체계를 이용하여 정보를 산출하는 타시스템 교통정보와의 오차율을 비교하였다. 그 결과, 실측치와 본 연구의 산출방법에 의한 교통정보, 로티스교통정보 및 차량번호판 인식시스템의 교통정보와의 비교 결과 제안된 교통정보형태의 타당성을 볼 수 있었다.