• 제목/요약/키워드: 매개화

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Assessment of Uncertainty in SWAT Model Derived from Parameter Estimation Using SWAT-CUP (SWAT-CUP 매개변수 추정에 따른 SWAT 모형 불확실성 평가)

  • Yu, Jisoo;Noh, Joonwoo;Cho, Younghyun;Hur, Youngteck;Kim, Yeonsu
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2020.06a
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    • pp.314-314
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    • 2020
  • SWAT (Soil and Water Assessment Tool)은 미국 농무성 농업연구소에서 개발된 준분포형(semi-distributed) 수문 모형으로 복합토지이용유역에서 장기간에 걸친 다양한 종류의 토양, 토지이용 및 토지관리 상태의 변화에 따른 유역의 유출량, 유사량 및 영양물질의 영향을 예측하기 위해 개발되었다. SWAT은 기본적으로 다양한 매개변수에 대한 수동 보정 기능을 제공하고 있지만 매개변수 보정에 따른 모의결과의 불확실성을 수반하게 된다. 이러한 문제를 해결하기 위해 자동보정 기능을 제공하는 SWAT-CUP (Calibration and Uncertainty Program)이 개발되었다. SWAT-CUP에서 제공하는 매개변수의 최적화 과정에서 유사한 모의 결과를 산출하는 수천 개의 매개변수조합이 존재하기 때문에 보정기법의 선택에 따라 최종 매개변수의 값이 달라질 수 있다. 불확실성을 발생시키는 요인으로 (1) 매개변수의 선택, (2) 보정 기법, (3) 목적함수, (4) 매개변수의 초기 범위, (5) 모의(simulation)의 실행(run) 및 반복(iteration) 횟수, (6) 위치, 개수 등 보정 자료의 선택 등이 주로 지목된다. 이러한 요인으로 발생하는 불확실성은 SWAT 모형의 구조 및 입력 자료에서 기인하는 것으로, 사용자의 설정에 따라 크게 좌우된다. 본 연구에서는 SWAT 매개변수 보정 과정에서 발생할 수 있는 불확실성을 평가하고, 효율적인 보정 방안을 제시하기 위해 수행되었다. 낙동강 권역의 내성천 유역을 대상으로 SWAT 모형을 구축하였으며, 내성천 본류에 위치한 수위(유량) 관측소의 자료를 활용하여 검·보정을 수행하였다. 모의 결과는 유량의 크기 뿐 아니라 유량의 발생 시기, 유역의 반응 및 증가·감소 경향성을 함께 고려하여 평가하였다. 그 결과 모형 구조에 따른 불확실성의 전이과정을 정확하게 파악하는 것은 불가능하지만 SWAT 모형의 비고유성(non-uniqueness)에 의한 불확실성을 정량화하여 나타내었다.

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Effects of Young Children's Temperament and Teacher-Child Relationship on Young Children's Problem Behaviors (유아의 기질과 교사-유아 관계가 유아의 문제행동에 미치는 영향)

  • Moon, Sang Hee;Lee, Kyung Nim
    • Korean Journal of Childcare and Education
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    • v.8 no.3
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    • pp.69-89
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    • 2012
  • This study was to examine the effects of young children's temperament and teacher-child relationship on young children's problem behaviors. The subjects of this study were 231 3-, 4- and 5- year old children and their teachers. The collected data were analyzed by correlations and pathway analysis. The results were as follows: First, young children's temperament were found to affect young children's problem behaviors directly and indirectly though teacher-child relationship. 'Negative emotionality' and 'attention span/persistence' temperament were found to be important for externalizing problem behaviors, and 'activity level' temperament to be important for internalizing problem behaviors. Second, teacher-child relationship was found to affect young children's problem behaviors directly and to mediate between young children's temperament and problem behaviors. Additionally teacher-child conflict relationship was found to be the most important variable predicting young children's externalizing and internalizing problem behaviors.

ACDE2: An Adaptive Cauchy Differential Evolution Algorithm with Improved Convergence Speed (ACDE2: 수렴 속도가 향상된 적응적 코시 분포 차분 진화 알고리즘)

  • Choi, Tae Jong;Ahn, Chang Wook
    • Journal of KIISE
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    • v.41 no.12
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    • pp.1090-1098
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    • 2014
  • In this paper, an improved ACDE (Adaptive Cauchy Differential Evolution) algorithm with faster convergence speed, called ACDE2, is suggested. The baseline ACDE algorithm uses a "DE/rand/1" mutation strategy to provide good population diversity, and it is appropriate for solving multimodal optimization problems. However, the convergence speed of the mutation strategy is slow, and it is therefore not suitable for solving unimodal optimization problems. The ACDE2 algorithm uses a "DE/current-to-best/1" mutation strategy in order to provide a fast convergence speed, where a control parameter initialization operator is used to avoid converging to local optimization. The operator is executed after every predefined number of generations or when every individual fails to evolve, which assigns a value with a high level of exploration property to the control parameter of each individual, providing additional population diversity. Our experimental results show that the ACDE2 algorithm performs better than some state-of-the-art DE algorithms, particularly in unimodal optimization problems.

The Correlation Between Achievement Goal Orientation and Learning Flow in Beauty Specialized High School Students:A Focus on Mediating Effects of Learning Attitude (미용특성화고등학교 학생들의 성취목표지향성과 학습몰입의 상관관계: 학습태도의 매개효과를 중심으로)

  • Kang, Eun-Ju
    • Journal of the Korea Convergence Society
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    • v.10 no.10
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    • pp.275-281
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    • 2019
  • This study aimed to analyse the mediating effects of learning attitudes in respect to the correlation between achievement goal orientation and learning flow. For the purpose, this study surveyed achievement goal orientation, learning flow and learning attitude of beauty specialized high school students located in Jeonnam with the use of a questionnaire. 335 copies of the answers were analysed with the use of the SPSS(PASW, ver 21.0). The results are presented as follows: Mastery approach of the achievement goal orientation and learning attitude had a significant effect on learning flow. It was discovered that learning attitude had a partial effect on the relations between mastery approach and learning flow, but it was reported that it had a complete mediating effect on the relations between performance avoidance and learning flow.

Sensitivity of Parameters for Elasto-plastic Constitutive Model (탄.소성 구성 모델의 초질매개변수 예민성)

  • Jeong, Jin-Seop;Kim, Chan-Gi;Lee, Mun-Su
    • Geotechnical Engineering
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    • v.8 no.2
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    • pp.81-96
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    • 1992
  • This paper dealt with the influence of experimental error generated inevitably during performing experiments on the granular soil behaviour analysis selecting Lade's Single Work-Hardening constitutive model. Several isotropic compression-expansion tests and a series of drained conventional triaxial tests with various confining pressures for Baekma river sands were performed and the values of parameters for the above model were determined using computer program developed for this study based on regression analysis. By finding the range of the upper and lower bound for deviator stress and volumetric strain versus axial strain dependant on the increase and decrease of the standard deviation from mean value of parameters, sensitivities of all the parameters were examined. Practical use of program to determine the parameters and capability to predict the behaviour of granular soil by Lade's Single Work -Hardening model verified.

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Comparison Study of Uncertainty between Stationary and Nonstationary GEV Models using the Bayesian Inference (베이지안 방법을 이용한 정상성 및 비정상성 GEV모형의 불확실성 비교 연구)

  • Kim, Hanbeen;Joo, Kyungwon;Jung, Younghun;Heo, Jun-Haeng
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2016.05a
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    • pp.298-298
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    • 2016
  • 최근 기후변화의 영향으로 시간에 따라 자료 및 통계적 특성이 변하는 비정상성이 다양한 수문자료에서 관측됨에 따라 비정상성 빈도해석에 대한 연구가 활발히 진행되고 있다. 비정상성 빈도해석에 사용되는 비정상성 확률 모형은 기존의 매개변수를 시간에 따라 변하는 공변량이 포함된 함수의 형태로 나타내기 때문에, 정상성 확률 모형에 비해 매개변수의 개수가 많으며 복잡한 형태를 가지게 된다. 따라서 본 연구에서는 비정상성 고려 시 모형이 복잡해짐에 따라 매개변수 및 확률 수문량의 불확실성이 어떻게 변하는지 알아보고자 하였다. 베이지안 방법은 매개변수 추정 및 확률 수문량의 산정 뿐 아니라 이에 대한 불확실성을 정량화할 수 있는 방법 중 하나이다. 따라서 베이지안 방법에서 매개변수 추정에 주로 쓰이는 Monte Carlo Markov Chain (MCMC) 방법 중 하나인 Metropolis-Hastings 알고리즘을 이용하여 정상성 및 비정상성 GEV모형에 대한 매개변수 및 확률수문량의 사후분포를 산정하였다. 산정된 사후분포의 사후구간을 통해 각 모형의 불확실성을 정량화하였으며, 계산된 불확실성의 비교를 통해 모형의 복잡성이 불확실성에 미치는 영향을 평가하였다.

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Development of Stochastic Rainfall Downscaling using Bayesian Neyman-Scott Rectangular Pulse Model(NSRPM) (Bayesian NSRP 모형을 이용한 추계학적 Downscaling 기법 개발)

  • Kim, Jang-Gyeong;Ban, Woo-Sik;Kwon, Hyun-Han
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2018.05a
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    • pp.9-9
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    • 2018
  • 추계학적 강우생성모형 중 포아송 클러스터(Poisson Cluster) 모형은 단일지점에 대하여 시간강우량의 관측연한 문제점을 해결하기 위한 강우모형으로 강우 단계별 계층적 구조를 이해하는데 유용한 모형이다. 특히 강우 특성을 계절, 지역 등과 같이 비교하는 기준에 따라 5~6개의 비교적 적은 매개변수들로 모의 강우시계열을 생성할 수 있다는 점에서 장기간 강우분석에 필요한 관측연한 문제를 보완할 수 있다. 그러나 매개변수 최적해가 수렴되지 않는 사례가 많고, 매개변수들이 강우의 물리적 특성을 반영하는 것에 비해 내포된 불확실성에 관한 연구는 미흡하다. 본 연구에서는 포아송 클러스터 강우생성모형 중 Neyman-Scott Rectangular Pulse(NSRP) 모형을 Bayesian 모형과 연계한 Bayesian NSRP 모형을 개발하여 매개변수간 물리적 상관성을 고려한 최적화 기법을 개발하였다. Bayesian 모형은 물리적 범위가 다른 매개변수간의 결합확률분포를 산정하여 사후분포(posterior)를 추정하므로 매개변수 최적화와 불확실성 정량화 문제를 동시에 해결할 수 있다. 최종적으로 Bayesian NSRP 모형에 기후변화 시나리오의 통계적 특성을 고려한 시간단위 강우시계열 생성 모의 기법의 활용 가능성을 평가하고자 한다.

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Aesthetic Expansion from Information Visualization to Performance : Research on Sensorium in Perspective of Audience (정보시각화에서 퍼포먼스로의 미학적 확장 : 관객시각에서 하이퍼매개센소리엄 요소 고찰)

  • Kim, Eung-Suk;Yoon, Joon-Sung;Lim, Kyung-Ho
    • The Journal of the Korea Contents Association
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    • v.12 no.10
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    • pp.35-42
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    • 2012
  • This study will research the possibility about the extension from aesthetic artwork of information visualization to performance area. In information visualization fields, the function of transmitting information is important factor. In addition, the relationship with the audience concerning immersion and interactivity is also significant. Therefore, if an artwork in information visualization can extend to a performance, this study proposes that it is necessary to consider what elements are needed to intensify sensorium for the audience in that artwork. In order to solve that question, this study introduces and analyzes the installation artworks by Ben Rubin and Mark hansen in 2001. From this case study, we suggest three elements-the performing self, the performing interface and the dramatic pattern-to amplify sensorium by hypermediacy for the audience. This research would contribute to the understanding aesthetic artworks based on information visualization in terms of performing arts.

JND based Illumination and Color Restoration Using Edge-preserving Filter (JND와 경계 보호 평탄화 필터를 이용한 휘도 및 색상 복원)

  • Han, Hee-Chul;Sohn, Kwan-Hoon
    • Journal of the Institute of Electronics Engineers of Korea SP
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    • v.46 no.6
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    • pp.132-145
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    • 2009
  • We present the framework for JND based Illumination and Color Restoration Using Edge-preserving filter for restoring distorted images taken under the arbitrary lighting conditions. The proposed method is effective for appropriate illumination compensation, vivid color restoration, artifacts suppression, automatic parameter estimation, and low computation cost for HW implementation. We show the efficiency of the mean shift filter and sigma filter for illumination compensation with small spread parameter while considering the processing time and removing the artifacts such as HALO and noise amplification. The suggested CRF (color restoration filter) can restore the natural color and correct color distortion artifact more perceptually compared with current solutions. For the automatic processing, the image statistics analysis finds suitable parameter using JND and all constants are pre-defined. We also introduce the ROI-based parameter estimation dealing with small shadow area against spacious well-exposed background in an image for the touch-screen camera. The object evaluation is performed by CMC, CIEde2000, PSNR, SSIM, and 3D CIELAB gamut with state-of-the-art research and existing commercial solutions.

The Effects of Technology Commercialization Capability and Competitive Strategy of Venture Companies on Growth Prospects: Focused on Mediating Effect of Business Model Innovation (벤처기업의 기술사업화역량과 경쟁전략이 성장전망에 미치는 영향: 비즈니스모델 혁신의 매개효과를 중심으로)

  • Ahn, Mun Hyoung
    • Journal of Industrial Convergence
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    • v.20 no.8
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    • pp.1-13
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    • 2022
  • Although the number of venture start-ups has increased significantly, it is difficult to judge the success or failure based on short-term performance alone. The survival of a company cannot be guaranteed if it does not show sustainable growth prospects. As a growth factor for venture companies, the level of technology commercialization capability and competitive strategies are considered important. Recently, the emergence of innovative business models is creating new opportunities and driving the growth of numerous venture start-ups. This study tried to investigate the mediating effect of business model innovation in the relationship between technology commercialization capability, competitive strategy and the growth prospects of venture companies. For this, empirical analysis was conducted using the original data of the Research on the Precision Status of Venture Firms 2021. As a result, production, manufacturing, marketing capability, cost leadership and product differentiation had a positive(+) effect on growth prospects. The mediating effect of business model innovation between all factors except for manufacturing capacity and growth prospects was verified. This study expanded the scope of research by shedding new light on the factors influencing the long-term growth prospects of venture companies and revealing business model innovation as a new mediating variable. In future research, it is necessary to develop an objective measurement tool and to identify differences according to industrial characteristics.