• Proceedings of the Korea Information Processing Society Conference
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• 2010.04a
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• pp.1027-1030
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• 2010

소프트웨어 테스팅에서 리스크 기반 테스팅은 리스크 식별, 리스크 분석, 리스크 계획, 리스크 추적의 4 단계로 전개되며, 특히 마지막 단계인 리스크 추적 단계에서는 식별된 리스크가 테스팅 진행과정을 거치면서 어느 정도 완화되었는지를 확인하고 현재의 리스크 완화 정도에 따라 적절하게 대응하는지를 모니터링 해야 하는 중요한 단계이다. 하지만 리스크 추적 단계에서 필요한 리스크 완화 수치가 정의되지 않아 사용자들은 테스트 실행율 또는 결함 해결율 등을 리스크 완화 수치의 대안으로 사용하고 있다. 본 논문에서는 리스크 추적 단계에서 사용할 수 있는, 리스크의 완화 정도를 수치화한 "리스크 해결 지수"의 산출 과정을 수식과 함께 제시하고 그 의미를 설명하였다. 그리고 예시를 통해 리스크 수치화에 대한 이해를 돕고, 리스크 수치화 관련 차트를 몇 가지 제시하여 실무에의 응용 통찰력을 제공한다. 리스크를 수치화한 "리스크 지수"는 테스팅 조직의 의사결정에 활용할 수 있는 객관적이고 설득력있는 정보로서 프로젝트 전반에 걸쳐 그 활용 가치가 높다.

• Journal of Navigation and Port Research
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• v.40 no.3
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• pp.147-157
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• 2016

The trend of globalization and the development of the communication-Information technology have led the organization of a complex supply chains which are more vulnerable to risks. The impact of risk on the supply chain can be adverse so importance of risk management on a supply chain has increased. In order to analyze the risk factors of transport system, this study described about the definition of transport risk and investigated the relationship between likelihood index and effect index of each risk factor. We identified risk factors on transport system and measured likelihood index and effect index of each risk factor. Finally, a numerical risk index, which is a value of total transport system, has been resulted by aggregating all indices. In addition, a case study using the proposed method has done on a heavy vehicle transport context with a transport company.

• Proceedings of the Korean Society of Disaster Information Conference
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• 2023.11a
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• pp.228-229
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• 2023

이동식크레인은 높은 사망률에 기여하는 기계로 최근 6년간(2016~2021) 사고사망사례 중 건설업 2,574건을 분석한 고위험 요인(SIF)정보에서 이동식크레인의 사고는 총 61건의 재해가 발생하였다. 현장의 안전대책에도 불구하고 제대로 활용이 안되고 있다. 본 연구에서는 표준 리스크 평가 지수를 제시하여 사고예방에 기여하고자 한다

• Proceedings of the Korean Institute Of Construction Engineering and Management
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• autumn
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• pp.217-221
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• 2003

This study proposes a new classification system and analysis methodology for time delay risk of apartment projects. And this study proposes the classification of major trades and risk level and risk index by performing expert-oriented interview and survey report on a national scale. The purpose of this study is to present basic data for time delay risk management system through the analysis of risk level, risk index and rank of major 5 trades(earth work, structure work, masonry work, window and door/glass work, and interior finish work) in apartment projects.

• Journal of the Society of Disaster Information
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• v.19 no.3
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• pp.719-728
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• 2023

Purpose: Mobile cranes are machines that contribute to high mortality, and the High Risk Factor (SIF) information, which analyzed 2,574 accidental deaths in the construction industry in the past 6 years (2016~2021), resulted in a total of 61 mobile crane accidents. Despite safety measures in the field, it is not used properly. In this study, we present standard risk assessment indicators that contribute to accident prevention. Method: Through expert interviews, fatal accident case analysis, field analysis, and literature research, we present the standard risk assessment index method of the 4M risk assessment method. Result: As a result of analyzing the risk assessment of eight sites, it was concluded that it cannot make a significant contribution to disaster prevention and should be applied as an improvement measure of the Standard Risk Assessment Index Law. Conclusion: Switching to the standard risk assessment index method at construction sites has been proposed to make it easier for health and safety personnel and workers to use, contributing to the reduction of accidents.

• Journal of Korea Port Economic Association
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• v.39 no.2
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• pp.25-39
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• 2023

As the scope of supply chains expands globally, unpredictable risks continue to arise. The occurrence of these supply chain risks affects port cargo throughput and hinders port operation. In order to examine the impact of global supply chain risks on port container throughput, this study conducted an empirical analysis on the impact of variables such as the Global Supply Chain Pressure Index (GSCPI), Shanghai Container Freight Index (SCFI), Industrial Production Index, and Retail Sales Index on port traffic using the vector autoregressive(VAR) model. As a result of the analysis, the rise in GSCPI causes a short-term decrease in the throughput of Busan Port, but after a certain point, it acts as a factor increasing the throughput and affects it in the form of a wave. In addition, the industrial production index and the retail sales index were found to have no statistically significant effect on the throughput of Busan Port. In the case of SCFI, the effect was almost similar to that of GSCPI. The results of this study reveal how risks affect port cargo throughput in a situation where supply chain risks are gradually increasing, providing many implications for establishing port operation policies for future supply chain risks.

• Proceedings of the Korea Information Processing Society Conference
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• 2015.04a
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• pp.518-521
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• 2015

최근 건설 프로젝트의 대형화 및 다양한 신공법들의 도입으로 불확실한 위험도 요인들이 점점 증가함으로써 일련의 시스템적 절차에 따른 리스크 관리(Risk Management) 체계를 수립하여 활용하고 있다. 하지만 국내 시공사와 발주사들은 과거 자신의 경험과 직관에 의존하여 리스크를 다루고 있을 뿐 공사와 관련된 요인을 체계적으로 분류하고 수치화하여 관리하는 곳은 거의 찾아 볼 수가 없는 실정이다. 따라서 본 논문에서는 건설 리스크 관리수준 향상을 위해 건설실패지수를 활용한 기업단위의 정량화 시스템을 설계하고, 이를 표준화하기 위한 정부 연계 시스템 구성에 대해 연구하였다.

• Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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• v.55 no.1
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• pp.85-97
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• 2022

In this study, a method for an integrated flood risk mapping was proposed that simultaneously considers the flood inundation map indicating the degree of risk and the disaster vulnerability index. This method creates a new disaster map that can be used in actual situations by providing various and specific information on a single map. In order to consider the human, social and economic factors in the disaster map, the study area was divided into exposure, vulnerability, responsiveness, and recovery factors. Then, 7 indicators for each factor were extracted using the GIS tool. The data extracted by each indicator was classified into grades 1 to 5, and the data was selected as a disaster vulnerability index and used for integrated risk mapping by factor. The risk map for each factor, which overlaps the flood inundatoin map and the disaster vulnerability index factor, was used to establish an evacuation plan by considering regional conditions including population, assets, and buildings. In addition, an integrated risk analysis method that considers risks while converting to a single vulnerability through standardization of the disaster vulnerability index was proposed. This is expected to contribute to the establishment of preparedness, response and recovery plans for providing detailed and diverse information that simultaneously considers the flood risk including social, humanistic, and economic factors.

• Proceedings of the Korean Society of Disaster Information Conference
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• 2016.11a
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• pp.400-401
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• 2016

본 논문은 재난 리스크 평가를 위한 집계구 통계자료의 활용방안에 대한 연구를 수행하였다. 인구통계자료, 주택통계자료, 전국사업체 자료는 재난취약성분석과 리스크 평가를 위한 필수 요소이다. 재난의 분석과 평가를 위하여 GIS에 구축하는 자료로는 인구의 총인구, 평균나이, 인구밀도, 노령화지수, 교육수준 등이 있다. 이 자료들을 공간정보로 구축함으로써 기존의 넓은 수준의 데이터를 활용하는 것 보다 정밀한 분석이 가능하다고 판단된다. 또한, 인구와 관련된 데이터뿐만 아니라 집계구 통계 자료는 주택의 건축년도와, 주택의 유형(다세대, 아파트, 연립, 영업용건물주택의 정보를 가지고 있다. 이는 건물의 경제적 평가를 위한 자료로 활용될 것이다. 또한 선정된 지역의 사업체를 분류하여 각 폴리곤의 주요 사업체를 조사하여 공간정보를 구축함. 구축된 공간정보는 리스크 평가를 위한 자료로서 활용될 수 있다 판단된다.

• Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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• v.25 no.6
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• pp.1333-1343
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• 2014

Hansen and Lund (2005) documented that a univariate GARCH(1,1) model is no worse than other sophisticated GARCH models in terms of prediction errors such as MSPE and MAE. Here, we extend Hansen and Lund (2005) by considering multivariate GARCH models and incorporating risk management measures such as VaR and fail percentage. Our Monte Carlo simulations study shows that multivariate GARCH(1,1) model also performs well compared to asymmetric GARCH models. However, we suggest that actual model selection should be done with care in light of risk management. It is applied to the realized volatilities of KOSPI, NASDAQ and HANG SENG index for recent 10 years.