• Title/Summary/Keyword: 로짓모델

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An Analysis on an Action about Port Choice of Shipper using Fuzzy-Neural Network (퍼지-뉴로를 이용한 화주의 항만선택 행동 분석)

  • Jang, Woon-Jae;Keum, Jong-Soo
    • Journal of Navigation and Port Research
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    • v.31 no.8
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    • pp.725-731
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    • 2007
  • This paper aims to analyze an action about a port choice of shipper between two ports. For this propose, this paper analyzed a port choice action for Kwangyang and Busan port using a fuzzy logic and neural network. Also, this paper compared classification performance of fuzzy-neural network to Logit model, and analyzed a port choice action into change Para-meta such as freight volumes and service standard.

Effects of Multicollinearity in Logit Model (로짓모형에 있어서 다중공선성의 영향에 관한 연구)

  • Ryu, Si-Kyun
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.26 no.1
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    • pp.113-126
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    • 2008
  • This research aims to explore the effects of multicollinearity on the reliability and goodness of fit of logit model. To investigate the effects of multicollinearity on the multinominal logit model, numerical experiments are performed. The exploratory variables(attributes of utility functions) which have a certain degree of correlations from (rho=) 0.0 to (rho=) 0.9 are generated and rho-squares and t-statistics which are the indices of goodness of fit and reliability of logit model are traced. From the well designed numerical experiments, following findings are validated : 1) When a new exploratory variable is added, some of rho-squares increase while the others decrease. 2) The higher relations between generic variables lead a logit model worse with respect to goodness of fit. 3) Multicollinearity has a tendency to produce over-evaluated parameters. 4) The reliability of the estimated parameter has a tendency to decrease when the correlations between attributes are high. These results suggest that we have to examine the existence of multicollinearity and perform the proper treatments to diminish multicollinearity when we develop logit model.

Formulating the Landscape Preference Model Using a Mixed Conditional Logit (조건부 로짓함수를 이용한 경관선호 모델: 지리산 국립공원 방문자를 대상으로)

  • Lee, Deokjae
    • Journal of Korean Society of Forest Science
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    • v.95 no.6
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    • pp.768-777
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    • 2006
  • The purpose of this study lies in formulating the landscape preference model using a conditional logit that involves the effect of visual elements as well as landscape itself on landscape preferences. To measure landscape preferences, a photo-questionnaire composed of paired photographs of the Cairngorms National Park of Scotland and the Jirisan National Park of Korea was distributed to visitors to the Jirisan National Park of Korea. Visual elements of landscape quantitatively measured by photogrammetry were reduced to orthogonal principal components that were subsequently used as explanatory variables in a conditional logit. As a result, the mixed conditional logit including the effect of landscape itself satisfied the Independence of Irrelevant Alternatives (IIA) property and showed reliable goodness of fit (${\rho}^2=0.25$). It was concluded that the mixed conditional logit including the effect of landscape itself was appropriate for landscape preference model rather than usual conditional logit excluding the effect.

The Analysis of Older Driver's Traffic Accident Characteristic at Express-way using Logit model (로짓모델을 이용한 고령운전자 고속도로 교통사고 특성 분석 연구)

  • Park, Jun-Tae;Kim, Young-Suck;Lee, Soo-Beom
    • International Journal of Highway Engineering
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    • v.11 no.4
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    • pp.1-7
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    • 2009
  • Traffic accident by aging drivers is expected to be on the rise rapidly as the number of aging drivers is rising along with the aging trend being progressed. In this study, traffic accident features depending on the classification of aging population and non aging one was evaluated. As a result of this evaluation, effect factors influencing over the aging population was found to be expressed differently from that of the non aging one. Odds ratio between the aging population and non aging one was evaluated through logit model and a model with potential accident probability of the aged drivers was developed. Accident risk of the aged drivers under the condition of curved road, cutting section and moistured road was revealed to be higher than that of the non aging population.

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A Gap-acceptance Model Considering Driver's Propensity at Uncontrolled Intersection (운전자 특성 등을 고려한 무통제교차로의 간격수락 모델)

  • Jang, Jeong-Ah;Lee, Jung-Woo;Choi, Kee-Choo
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.26 no.6
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    • pp.71-80
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    • 2008
  • Typically uncontrolled intersections are characterized by the absence of signal, stop and yield sign, and by very light traffic volume. In this study, a gap acceptance model for such uncontrolled intersections has been modeled. The motivation is to identify the behavior of drivers so that the traffic flow phenomena can be easily understood. For this, actual traffic survey was accomplished at intersections in Suwon and the data have been fed into modeling process. The logit model was used and the results showed that total delay experienced by drivers, turning right movement, age, sex, and the existence of passenger affected gap acceptance. For example, male drivers, with experiencing longer delay and having passenger(s) with them, accepted shorter gaps. These identified characteristics regarding gap acceptance could be used for facility design and/or safety oriented traffic information dissemination near uncontrolled intersections.

Changes in National-Level Locational Pattern of Professional Sports Franchises in the U.S. during 1950-2001 : Focusing on Four Major Sports Leagues (미국 프로스포츠 프랜차이즈의 입지패턴과 그 변화양상(1950-2001))

  • Pillsung Byun;Ahn, Young-Jin
    • Journal of the Korean Geographical Society
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    • v.37 no.5
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    • pp.498-510
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    • 2002
  • This study has the following two focuses to analyze the changes in national-level locational pattern of the U.S. professional sports franchises during 1950-2001. The first is to empirically clarify spatial orientation in the changing locational pattern of sports franchises. The second is to identify compared characteristics of the relocation cases reflecting the orientation to other cases, for the variables indicative of franchises' and leagues' pursuits of their relocation-related interests ultimately affecting franchises' relocations, by employing a legit model. As a result of the analyses, sports franchises and leagues, respectively have shown spatial orientation toward relocating to and toward locating new franchises in southern and western areas, responding to the changes in U.S. urbanization pattern. And, relocation cases reflecting the orientation have displayed a feature of the higher annual population growth rate in destination urban area than in origin area, in comparison to other cases.

Analyzing the Impact for Housing Occupied Form of HouseNomad ('하우스노마드족'의 주거점유형태에 미치는 요인 분석)

  • Yun, Jin-Young;Oh, Jongryul
    • The Journal of the Korea Contents Association
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    • v.14 no.11
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    • pp.955-963
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    • 2014
  • According to the "Population and Housing Census of 2010", announced by the National Statistical Office, "House Nomad group" was increased by more than 70% compared to 2005. Emergence of House Nomad tribe about the cause of the increase of influence and House Nomad tribe give the housing market, but prior to the discussion often, there is no place that still it became clearly evident in the research. The purpose of this study, are looking for the emergence and increasing cause of House Nomad group in terms of consumption behavior of the house. For this reason, We use the Population and Housing Census 1% of the data 2010. and Multinomial Logit Models., is a useful method that can be utilized when there is no rank and order the consumer choice. The results were as follows. House Nomad group was found to be higher probability of living place and good environmental characteristics of housing that has been expressed in the properties of the housing. Also appeared to have a relatively longer time commuting. And that residential mobility is high.

A Study on Trip Chain Typed Selection Behavior (통행사슬유형 선택행태에 관한 연구)

  • Bin, Mi-Yeong
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.29 no.3
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    • pp.7-19
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    • 2011
  • Using 2006 metropolitan household travel survey data, this study analyzes trip behaviors based on a concept of trip chains using both trip purpose and number of trip linkages. For the analysis, trip chains are classified into two groups depending on including commute trips. Each group is further classified into a single linkage (i.e., Origin-Destination trips without any intermediate stop-by) and multiple linkages (Origin-Destination trip with at least one intermediate stop-by). The analysis is conducted using the two-step Nested Logit Model. Computational results identifying the characteristics of single and multiple linkages show that the young, male and office employee drivers tend to have more multiple linkages than single linkages in their trips. In contrast, it is shown that a driver whose monthly income is less than 3,000,000 Korean Won with a longer commute time more likely to make a trip chain with single linkages (p<0.0001).

The Determinants of Selection as IT New Industry and its SWOT Analysis (IT 신산업의 선정 결정요인 및 SWOT 분석)

  • Kim, Hong-Kee;Min, Wan-Ghi;Lee, Jang-Woo;Jang, Song-Ja
    • Journal of Korea Technology Innovation Society
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    • v.7 no.1
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    • pp.64-88
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    • 2004
  • This paper aims at investigating which factors play important roles in selecting government's new core IT industries and how competitive they are. We surveyed 6 competitiveness factors and 17 IT industries for the expert group. The logit and probit models were estimated and SWOT analysis was performed. The empirical results show that government put emphasis on marketability, externality and technology, not publicity, when selecting IT new core industry. The skilled human resources turn out to be a threat factor in the government selected IT new core industries such as home-network, third generation semi-conductor. Therefore, training or education system for skilled labors is required to develop and nurture such industries. The contribution to small medium venture industry and publicity are lower in the several industries such as intelligent service robots, post PC, embodied S/W, next generation battery, which are selected by government, not by standardized data based criterion. in such industries, marketabilities, technology, skilled human resources are threats factors to such industries. Therefore every effort for enhancing the marketability and R&D investment and education system for skilled labor are necessary to develop the industries.

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A Study on Estimation of Bottled Tap Water Market Size ('병입 수돗물' 시장규모 추정연구)

  • Kim, Shang Moon;Ryu, Mun Hyun
    • Journal of Korean Society of Water and Wastewater
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    • v.23 no.6
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    • pp.753-761
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    • 2009
  • Bottled water market is growing at a rate of 10% per year in Korea. However, bottled water exhausts ground water. Korean government proposed to provide 'bottled tap water' at a low price in 2008. This study is the estimation of 'bottled tap water' market scale using binary logit model. we calculate that 'bottled tap water' market scale is from at least 92 billion won to 154 billion won by 150, 250 won per a bottled water, respectively. This paper indicates that scale of 'bottled tap water' market is a half of 'bottled water' market in 2007. This result provides that policy-makers with available and responsible information regarding the scale of 'bottled tap water' market.