• Korean Journal of Construction Engineering and Management
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• v.16 no.2
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• pp.38-45
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• 2015

The risk analysis phase of construction risk management process is subdivided into the qualitative risk analysis that plays a major role, and the quantitative risk analysis acting as a supportive role. The traditional calculation method for quantifying a risk value that has been applied so far is an equation to multiply a probability by an impact simply, but its result shows the low risk value biased distribution. Although another equation that shows the high risk biased distribution as an alternative of traditional method was proposed, both of the low or high risk biased equations do not match with the statistical general knowledge that most natural phenomenons are close to the normal distribution. This study proposes a new risk value calculation method that is concentrated to the moderate risk value. Because the risk value distribution by a new method shows a normal shape similar to natural phenomenon, it helps to choose a middle level not biased to the low or high levels when choosing the level of risk response. Furthermore, it could contribute to improve the flexibility and rationality of risk analysis method by providing additional options for the risk value calculation.

• Journal of Navigation and Port Research
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• v.36 no.10
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• pp.857-864
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• 2012

Reviewing the statistics of harbor shipment of hazardous and noxious substance and the past spill accidents of HNS enabled us to assess the potential risks of transportation of HNS through the major harbors in Korea. Ulsan, Yeosu, Daesan port are relatively evaluated high risk in fire, health and environment disaster. Through the analysis of domestic preparedness to HNS accidents, the supplement of expertise resource to respond the vulnerability of the explosion, the fire and the physiological hazard, is required. Based on this risk assessment and review of the advanced case of Japan in building up HNS response system, a resource model at a national level was proposed which differentiates the sea areas for the proper allocation of resources to respond effectively to HNS accidents in the future.

• Journal of the Korean Geotechnical Society
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• v.30 no.6
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• pp.61-68
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• 2014

The main objective of this study is to evaluate the preliminary landslide hazard based on the identification of geomorphological features, which are believed to be critical values in the initial state of landslides. Two methods, SINMAP and Planarity analyses, are used to simulate those characteristics where landslides are actually located. Results showed that both methods well discriminate geomorphic features between stable and unstable domains in the landslide areas. SINMAP analysis which is the consecutive model considering external factors like infiltration identifies the landslide hazard especially for debris flow type landslides better than plararity analysis focusing on a specific area. This analysis combined with other methods dealing with specific characteristics of geomorphological feature, the accurate landslide hazard will be evaluated.

• Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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• 2021.06a
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• pp.281-281
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• 2021

본 연구에서는 재해와 홍수 발생에 대한 대응성을 높이고자 강우레이더 격자 기반으로 홍수 및 침수 위험도 정도를 산정하고자 한다. 홍수 위험 지수는 중소하천 상류 지역에 내린 비로 인해 하류 지점의 홍수 위험도가 얼마나 변화하는지 상대적으로 파악하기 위한 지표이며, 침수 위험 지수는 내수침수에 대한 위험도를 나타내는 것으로 단기간 강한 비에 의한 상대적인 침수 위험도의 증가를 파악하기 위한 지표를 말한다. 강우레이더 기반 전국 단위 홍수 및 침수 위험 지수 개발을 통해 기존 하천홍수예보에 국한된 홍수예보의 제공 범위를 중소하천유역 및 도시지역까지 확대할 수 있을 것으로 예상된다.

• Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Navigation and Port Research Conference
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• 2022.06a
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• pp.169-170
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• 2022

In this study, in order to select the element items for risk assessment for autonomous ships, a survey was conducted on the maritime traffic control workers and the risk assessment element items were analyzed. The top five element items for risk assessment were identified, and the detailed value of risk elements according to the size of the vessel could be confirmed.

• Journal of Korean Society for Atmospheric Environment
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• v.8 no.2
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• pp.100-104
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• 1992

The research in this paper centers on a comparative risk assessment for nearby air pollution by carcinogenic metal emission from municipal solid waste incinerators. If a substance is identified as a potential human carcinogen, the carcinogenicity may be related to the chemical form of a substance and the route of exposure. This type of information with regard to carcinogenic uncertainty is incorporated into hazard quantification. In addition to the dioxin emission, the metal emission from municipal solid waste incineration is found to be a major contributor to human cancer risk via the inhalation route. The magnitude of risk by metals is about 5 times greater than that of risk by dioxins. Hexavalent form of chromium and cadmium compounds are major contributors to cancer risk from metal emission. In addition, hexavalent chromium is known to be human carcinogen while 2,3,7,8-TCDD is known to be only probable human carcinogen.

• KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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• v.39 no.5
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• pp.561-568
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• 2019

Recently, Korea has suffered from severe droughts due to climate change. Therefore, we need to pay attention to the change of drought risk to develop appropriate drought mitigation measures. In this study, we investigated the changes of hydrologic risk of extreme drought using the current observed data and the projected data according to the RCP 4.5 and 8.5 climate change scenarios. The bivariate frequency analysis was performed for the paired data of drought duration and severity extracted by the threshold level method and by eliminating pooling and minor droughts. Based on the hydrologic risk of extreme drought events Jeonbuk showed the highest risk and increased by 51 % than the past for the RCP 4.5 scenario, while Gangwon showed the highest risk and increased by 47 % than the past for the RCP 8.5 scenario.

• Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Intelligent Systems Conference
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• 2001.05a
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• pp.153-156
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• 2001

최근 들어 두드러지고 있는 승조원의 승선 기피현상에 따른 항해인력 부족현상을 근원적으로 해결하기 위하여 선박 항해 전반에 걸친 자동화 및 지능화에 대한 연구가 활발히 진행되고 있다. 특히 선박의 자동화된 항해를 위해서는 영역전문자 수준의 안전성과 정확성이 보장된 충돌회피 시스템이 요구된다. 충돌회피는 자선에서 이루어지는 해상 장애물들에 대한 피항 행위로 그 판단 기준은 각 장애물에 대한 충돌 위험도에 기반한다. 본 연구에서는 DCPA와 TCPA를 이용한 기존의 기법에 변침도(VDH: Variation Degree of Heading)의 개념을 추가하여 새로운 충돌 위험도 산출 기법을 제안한다. 입력변수가 되는 DCPA, TCPA, VDH의 퍼지 소속함수를 산출하고, 이를 기반으로 퍼지 규칙을 이용하여 세부적인 충돌 위험도를 산출한다. 본 연구에서 제안하는 기법은 충돌 위험도 산출시 장애물의 직선운항뿐만 아니라 곡선운항에 대한 경로예측이 가능하다는 장점을 지닌다. 과거의 변침도가 다음시점의 변침에 영향을 끼침으로써 장애물의 이동 경로에 대한 예측이 이루어지고, 이를 기반으로 보다 세분화된 충돌위험도 산출이 이루어진다. 제안된 기법은 DCPA와 TCPA만으로 충돌위험도를 산출해 낸 연구와 비교.평가하여 성능을 검증한다.

• 한국공간정보시스템학회:학술대회논문집
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• 2007.06a
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• pp.212-216
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• 2007

본 연구의 목적은 도시 지역에서 지진 발생시 중요한 대피로 역할을 하는 도로의 위험평가요소를 분석하고 데이터베이스(Database, DB)를 구축하는데 있다. 현재 우리나라는 도로의 체계적인 유지관리를 위해 도로관리통합시스템이 개발되어 있으나, 이는 도로대장전산화, 포장관리시스템, 교랑관리시스템, 도로절개면유지관리시스템 등에 한정되어 있다. 다시 말해서 재난 시 사람들이 신변의 안전을 확보할 수 있는 대피나 구급을 위한 통로로써의 도로에 대한 이해가 부족한 실정이다. 따라서 본 연구에서는 선행연구의 분석을 토대로 방재관점의 도로관리를 위한 항목들을 자연환경, 시회환경, 도로 및 시설물, 유발요인 등으로 제안하고, 서울대학교 부근을 대상지역으로 하여 이들 요인을 DB화하였다. 이는 도로와 주변 환경 등을 동시에 고려하여 재난 발생 시 대피와 구조 활동을 위한 방재계획은 물론, 지역별 위험도평가 및 재해위험도작성에 기초 자료로 이용될 것으로 기대된다. 그러나 본 연구에서는 기구축된 GIS 자료가 아닌 현장 조사를 바탕으로 구축된 DB로, 방재관점의 통합된 DB의 필요성을 제시하는데 그 의미가 있을 것이다.

• Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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• v.21 no.5
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• pp.73-81
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• 2003

The Government presented improvement plans such as "Traffic Accident Frequent Point" and "Hazardous Roads" to reduce traffic accidents on the increase after 1980s. In case of the hazardous roads, they are expressed by grades which are marked by geometric elements such as width, radius, grade. sight distance. and other environmental factors. As each business for improving roads goes by only focusing on improvement of geometric elements, excessive expense can be invested too much nowadays causing economical waste. Therefore, as improvement plans approached by economic access are needed, this paper shows the cost-effective improvement of the business to keep safety related to traffic accident and economical waste. The hazardous roads which authorized by Gwang-ju National Road Preservation Office of Construction and Transportation Ministry in 1995 for business for improvement of roads, were investigated before 1999. First of all, estimating traffic accident models are presented by using existed data statistically. The models help to maximize traffic accident decrease through control of the presented factor. Secondly, optimum construction cost of improvement is presented to prevent overcapitalization. However, this paper is limited because it was difficult to sort the data with various areas and to approach various ways.