• Title/Summary/Keyword: 델파이법

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A Study on the Hardware Cost Estimation Equation of Professional Service Robot (전문서비스 로봇 하드웨어 비용추정 관계식 개발에 관한 연구)

  • Lee, Jungsoo;Min, Jeongtack;Choi, Yeon-Seo;Park, Myeongjun;Sohn, Dongseop
    • Journal of Digital Convergence
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    • v.16 no.7
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    • pp.89-96
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    • 2018
  • In this paper, we proposed a parametric estimation method for estimating H/W cost by using the development data of professional service robot in Korea. In addition, we derived the factors and weights that we can estimate the costs depending on the application environmental conditions of the robot. For the analysis, we developed the equation of professional service robot cost estimation using parametric method. We also derived the adjustment factors and following weights through FGI and Delphi for environmental conditions. We have developed a cost estimation equation that reflects the weight, volume, and manufacturing difficulty, and can derive a relational equation that reflects the environmental factors(dust/water, heat/cold, safety, test, technology innovation). This provides an objective basis for estimating the cost of professional service robots and will lead to ongoing research for estimating the H/W development cost of professional service robots. In the future, we will increase reliability by collecting abundant data, and will strengthen models through finding functional factors.

Analysis on Response System against International Maritime Terrorism : Using Analytic Hierarchy Process(AHP) Method (국제해상테러 대응체계의 우선순위 분석 : 계층적 의사결정기법(AHP)을 이용하여)

  • Oh, Tae Kon
    • International Area Studies Review
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    • v.17 no.4
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    • pp.181-202
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    • 2013
  • After the Cold War, international terrorism and related issues have been the most urgent problems. However, Korea hasn't recognized this seriousness due to relatively slight damage. Yet the interest about the international maritime terrorism and related issues is increasing as the maritime terrorism issues emerged. This is because Korea is located next to three oceans and majority of international trades depend largely on international maritime transportation due to its scarce natural resources. Therefore this study has the purpose that it reviews the advanced researches and documents, analyzes the priority about response system against international maritime terrorism, suggests the practical solutions. For these purposes, it conducted Delphi technique to international maritime terrorism experts with response system factors selected among the advanced researches and documents. As the result of analysis, this study figured out that legal and institutional countermeasures are needed as international measures, strategic countermeasures are needed as domestic measures to set up the response system against international maritime terrorism. Synthetically, for the efficient and practical counteract against international maritime terrorism, the response institute against international maritime terrorism and the awareness of relevant experts are preferentially necessary.

Assessing the Impact of 'Marine Invasive and Harmful Species': A Semi-Quantitative Tool and Protocol for Environmental and Socio-Economic Evaluation ('해양교란유해종'의 영향 평가: 환경 및 사회경제적 평가를 위한 준정량 도구 및 프로토콜)

  • KWANG YOUNG KIM
    • The Sea:JOURNAL OF THE KOREAN SOCIETY OF OCEANOGRAPHY
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    • v.29 no.2
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    • pp.116-138
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    • 2024
  • This study presents a new tool and protocol to assess the impact of 'Marine Invasive and Harmful Species' (MIHS) on marine environments and socio-economic aspects. It addresses shortcomings in the Marine Ecosystems Conservation and Management Act in South Korea by proposing an impact assessment framework divided into marine environmental and socio-economic groups. Six distinct evaluation categories are included in each group, and a semi-quantitative five-step scale is utilized to provide a flexible approach, addressing a variety of issues from ecological disturbances to effects on health and property. The assessment tool is applied through a systematic five-stage process based on the Delphi method. This approach posters collaboration among a diverse sets of experts and stakeholders, enabling a comprehensive evaluation that incorporates various perspectives. The study also examines strategies to effectively manage uncertainties and improve the consistency of the outcomes. The application of this assessment protocol is expected to be crucial in quantifying the ecological damage caused by MIHS and in identifying management and prevention priorities. The ultimate aim of this evaluation process is to aid decision-makers in developing strategies to preserve the marine ecosystem and mitigate socio-economic impacts.

Estimating the Economic Effects of Smart Tourism Mobility in Seoul: Using RAS Method (RAS 기법을 활용한 서울 스마트관광 모빌리티의 경제적 파급효과 분석)

  • Hyunae Lee;Hyunji Kim;Namho Chung
    • Knowledge Management Research
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    • v.24 no.4
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    • pp.131-152
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    • 2023
  • One of the key domains within a smart tourism city, smart mobility, encompasses advanced transportation means and services rooted in Information and Communication Technology (ICT). This includes shared bicycles, scooters, car-sharing services, smart transportation infrastructure, and more, aiming to surpass limitations of conventional transport and improve the movement of people and goods. It also serves tourists as an affordable and convenient mode of transport between attractions while also enhancing the overall travel experience. This study has defined 'smart tourism mobility' as a form of mobility grounded in ICT, exhibiting exceptional connectivity, serving public interest, and serving as a mode of transport for both residents and tourists in a smart tourism city. The research aimed to outline the scope of smart tourism mobility-related industries through expert Delphi surveys and estimate their economic effects within a smart tourism city. Specifically, this study updated 2015 input-output table and made 2020 regional input-output table of Seoul adopting RAS method and location quotient method. The results showed that the about 2.8 billion KRW investment of Seoul in smart tourism mobility may create more than 4.1 billion KRW in production inducement effect which is expected to create more than 1.6 billion KRW of income-inducing effect, 3.6 billion KRW of value-added-inducing effect, and 54 employment across all industries in Seoul in 2022.

Development of an Appropriate Deposit-Estimation System for Restoration of Land-Use-Changed Forest Lands Using the Delphi Technique (델파이 기법을 활용한 적정 산지복구비 산출체계의 개발)

  • Koo, Kiwoon;Kweon, Hyeongkeun;Lee, Sang In;Kwon, Semyung;Seo, Jung Il
    • Journal of Korean Society of Forest Science
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    • v.110 no.4
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    • pp.630-647
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    • 2021
  • We determined the current problem of the restoration deposit-estimation system, stipulated by the Mountainous Districts Management Act, using the Delphi technique. Consequently, we proposed a standard model for forest land restoration to derive a reasonable deposit-estimation system. With the result of the Delphi survey, the inappropriateness of land-use type and slope gradient classifications was shown; the insufficiency of standard works was a significant problem in the current system. A way to solve these problems was devised, to reorganize the current land-use type into the subject of the site. The specific subjects included the following: (i) to permit or report forest land-use change and temporary use of forest land, (ii) to report temporary use of forest land, (iii) to permit stone collection or sale for mineral mining, and (iv) to allow sediment collection. The current slope gradient subdivision into (a) θ<10°, (b) 10°≦θ<15°, (c) 15°≦θ<20°, (d) 20°≦θ<25°, (e) 25°≦θ<30°, and (f) θ≧30° and the reorganization of 17 standard works into 22 standard works were deemed as solutions, along with seven additional works. We developed 24 standard models for the forest land restoration project based on the aforementioned results. The deposits estimated by these models ranged from 34,185,000 (Korean) won to 607,403,000 won. If additional works, premiums, discounts, and supervision fees are added to the models, the deposit increases to an estimated 668,143,000 won subject to permission for stone collection or sale and mineral mining. Experts agree on the distribution of the restoration deposits estimated by these models at a high level in the Delphi survey. Our findings are expected to contribute to securing the appropriateness of the restoration cost deposited for the smooth performance of the vicariously executed restoration project.

Status and Improvement of Metropolitan Government Urban Agriculture Ordinances for the Enhancement of Multifunctionality in Urban Agriculture (도시농업의 다원적 기능 활성화를 위한 광역지방자치단체 도시농업 조례 현황 및 개선 방향)

  • Ji-Won Choe;Choong-Hyeon Oh
    • Korean Journal of Environment and Ecology
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    • v.38 no.1
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    • pp.90-107
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    • 2024
  • This study analyzed the status of urban agricultural regulation of metropolitan governments on supporting multi-dimensional values to suggest a direction for improving urban agriculture regulations. Moreover, a Delphi survey was conducted to derive ways to identify improvement opportunities for functions that showed relatively insufficient support for urban agricultural regulations. As a result of the study, 12 out of 17 metropolitan governments and 116 of 226 municipalities have enacted urban agricultural regulations. However, the enactment of urban agricultural regulations has generally declined since 2011. Analysis of the contents of the urban agricultural regulations showed that they focused on matters relating to the creation and expansion of the foundation of urban agriculture. Among the multi-dimensional values of urban agricultural regulations, the foundation for supporting the securing of green spaces and utilizing food production functions was most widely available. On the other hand, the foundation for support of resource recycling, healing and health, social welfare, economic imbalance mitigation, and job creation functions has been shown to be relatively insufficient. A Delphi survey conducted to determine potential measures to improve urban agricultural regulations to support these functions found that 17 of the 18 ordinance improvement measures were valid. Therefore, to revitalize the multi-dimensional values of urban agriculture, it is first necessary to enact new ordinances. Also, to revitalize the multi-dimensional values of urban agriculture evenly, it is necessary to revise the ordinances to include resource recycling, healing and health, social welfare, mitigation of economic imbalances, and job creation functions. In this process, the development of urban agriculture technology, legal review of various urban farming spaces, and fostering of industries related to urban agriculture are necessary. Above all, steady interest in the multi-dimensional values of urban agriculture and the efforts of local governments to foster urban agriculture must be supported.

A Study on the Improvement of Delay Compensation System in Defense Industry R&D (방위산업 R&D 지체상금 제도 개선방안 연구)

  • Kim, Sun-Young
    • Industry Promotion Research
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    • v.5 no.3
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    • pp.37-44
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    • 2020
  • Currently, the delayed compensation system, which does not reflect the R&D characteristics of the defense industry, is being applied, causing problems such as worsening management of defense companies and delayed power generation. The purpose of this study is to contribute to the development of the defense industry and the efficient promotion of combat capability by studying the improvement plan of the delayed compensation system reflecting the R&D characteristics of the defense industry. The research analyzed the defense industry R&D characteristics, national R&D, delayed compensation rate, reduction and exemption procedures and existing studies. Further, the Delphi technique was applied based on the status of the delayed compensation and the analysis of the cause of delay. It has been studied that it is not appropriate to apply the 'manufacturing and purchasing' standard of commercial products to defense industry R&D where the latest technology is applied and the success is unclear. Four measures were drawn to prevent delays, including the selection of excellent technology companies, and three measures to reduce delay compensation and apply differentials for rational treatment in case of delays. Just as the defense industry R&D is carried out under the Defense Acquisition Program Act due to the nature of the R&D industry, the defense industry will develop if the delayed compensation system is improved to reflect the R&D characteristics of the defense industry, and it will contribute to the acquisition of an efficient and economic weapons system.

A Study on the Procedure of Technology Assessment Applicable to the Defense Industry Technology Decision (방위산업기술 판정을 위한 기술검토방안 연구)

  • Yang, Younggyu;Yang, Jeong-Eun;Yu, Na-yeong
    • Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
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    • v.21 no.11
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    • pp.357-363
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    • 2020
  • With the emphasis on protecting Defense Industry Technology, the Defense Industry Technology Protection Act (DITPA) was enacted (in 2015) and implemented. According to article 7 of the DITPA, a target institution may apply to the Director of the Defense Acquisition Program Administration (DAPA) for a decision as to whether the technology it possesses belongs to the Defense Industry Technology. The Director of the DAPA shall make a decision through a technical review and notify the applicant in writing of the result. On the other hand, as detailed procedures and standards for the decision are not stipulated, the objectivity of the decision result may deteriorate, and it is necessary to prepare a procedure suitable for the characteristics of the decision. In this study, a technology assessment procedure that can be applied to the Defense Industry Technology Decision is proposed through domestic and international technology protection regulations and case analysis. The procedure consists of three-stage: fundamental review, technical attribute review, comprehensive review. As a result of this study, it is expected that the objectivity of a technology assessment for the Technology Industry Technology Decision will be secured, and the efficiency will be improved.

A Study on Importance Setting of Activation Elements in Domestic Tourist Destinations Regeneration Consequent on the Cause of Stagnation or Decline (정체·쇠퇴원인에 따른 국내 관광지 재생 활성화 요소의 중요도 설정 연구)

  • Kim, Jung Jae;Lee, Kyung Jin
    • Journal of the Korean Institute of Landscape Architecture
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    • v.44 no.6
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    • pp.107-119
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    • 2016
  • Currently, 230 domestic tourist destinations have been designated, established, and operated in accordance with the Tourism Promotion Act. According to the results of preceding research, more than 30% of them have been getting into the stagnation or decline stage. This is becoming a burden to local governments operating and managing tourist destinations, making it necessary to seek resolution measures. Thus, this study determined the activation elements of stagnant/declined tourist destinations regeneration to deal with problems of domestic stagnant or declined tourist destinations and also to regenerate rational and sustainable tourist destinations. This study conducted a survey with experts based on causes for stagnation and decline of domestic tourist destinations suggested by preceding research. Based on the survey results, the activation elements of stagnant/declined tourist destinations regeneration were drawn through the Delphi Technique and Analytic Hierarchy Process. And then the priority and weight of the drawn activation elements of stagnant/declined tourist destinations regeneration were drawn for the sake of reasonable project progress of tour site regeneration. In the results of the analysis, as activation elements of stagnant/declined tourist destinations regeneration, a total of seven upper-attributes, 23 sub-attributes, and 66 detailed-elements were drawn. It would be possible to raise the efficiency of projects and rational decision-making when executing future tourist destinations regeneration projects by using the activation elements drawn. Also, the drawn elements could be applied to the actual tourist destinations regeneration projects as measures for the stagnant/declined domestic tourist destinations' contribution to the vitalization of local economy based on sustainability, prohibition of thoughtless development of domestic tourism projects, and also efficient use of tourism resources.

Derivation of Important Factors the Resilience of Purchased Land in the Riparian Zone Using AHP Analysis (AHP분석을 활용한 수변구역 매수토지의 회복탄력성 중요인자 도출)

  • Back, Seung-Jun;Lee, Chan;Jang, Jae-Hoon;Kang, Hyun-Kyung;Lee, Soo-Dong
    • Korean Journal of Environment and Ecology
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    • v.35 no.4
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    • pp.387-397
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    • 2021
  • This study aims to present reference data necessary for developing evaluation indicators to analyze the actual resilience of purchased land by investigating the factors that affect the restoration of the purchased land in the riparian zone and quantitatively calculating its importance. The main results are as follows. Firstly, this study identified 34 potential resilience factors through a literature review encompassing domestic and overseas studies and derived seven ecological responsiveness factors, six physical responsiveness factors, and four managerial responsiveness factors through the Delphi survey. Secondly, reliability analysis and Analytic Hierarchy Process (AHP) analysis derived the following important factors: structural stability of the vegetation restored in the purchased land, species diversity of wildlife, structural stability of wildlife, the size of restored wetland after purchase, number of plant species, and the land cover status adjacent to the purchased land. The study results are expected to be helpful information for ecological restoration and management plans reflecting reinforcing factors for resilience at each stage of land purchase, restoration, and management.