• Title/Summary/Keyword: 데이터 불확실성 분석

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An Analysis of the methods to alleviate the cost of data labeling in Deep learning (딥 러닝에서 Labeling 부담을 줄이기 위한 연구분석)

  • Han, Seokmin
    • The Journal of the Convergence on Culture Technology
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    • v.8 no.1
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    • pp.545-550
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    • 2022
  • In Deep Learning method, it is well known that it requires large amount of data to train the deep neural network. And it also requires the labeling of each data to fully train the neural network, which means that experts should spend lots of time to provide the labeling. To alleviate the problem of time-consuming labeling process, some methods have been suggested such as weak-supervised method, one-shot learning, self-supervised, suggestive learning, and so on. In this manuscript, those methods are analyzed and its possible future direction of the research is suggested.

Systemic Analysis of Research Activities and Trends Related to Artificial Intelligence(A.I.) Technology Based on Latent Dirichlet Allocation (LDA) Model (Latent Dirichlet Allocation (LDA) 모델 기반의 인공지능(A.I.) 기술 관련 연구 활동 및 동향 분석)

  • Chung, Myoung Sug;Lee, Joo Yeoun
    • Journal of Korea Society of Industrial Information Systems
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    • v.23 no.3
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    • pp.87-95
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    • 2018
  • Recently, with the technological development of artificial intelligence, related market is expanding rapidly. In the artificial intelligence technology field, which is still in the early stage but still expanding, it is important to reduce uncertainty about research direction and investment field. Therefore, this study examined technology trends using text mining and topic modeling among big data analysis methods and suggested trends of core technology and future growth potential. We hope that the results of this study will provide researchers with an understanding of artificial intelligence technology trends and new implications for future research directions.

Developing an Entropic Drawdown-at-Risk (EDaR) Fluctuation Forecasting Model for Commodity Futures Market Using Entropy-Based Dependency and Causality Network Modularity (엔트로피 기반 인과관계 네트워크의 모듈성을 활용한 상품 선물 시장의 EDaR 변동 예측 모형 개발)

  • Choi, Insu;Kim, Woo Chang
    • Annual Conference of KIPS
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    • 2022.05a
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    • pp.370-373
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    • 2022
  • 본 연구에서는 전이 엔트로피 개념을 활용하여 주요 상품 선물의 하방 리스크 지수의 정보 흐름을 바탕으로 한 인과관계 네트워크를 구성하였다. 그리고 구성된 네트워크를 활용하여 금융 시장을 분석하였으며, 또한 정보 흐름의 존재 여부를 바탕으로 상품 선물의 하방 리스크 지수의 예측력이 개선될 수 있는지 확인하고자 하였다. 이를 위하여 정보 불확실성의 감소량을 측정하는 전이 엔트로피를 인과관계의 측정 지표로 상정하였으며, 전이 엔트로피 측정 시 발생할 수 있는 유한크기효과(finite size effect)를 조정하는 데 있어서 효과적인 지표인 효율적 전이 엔트로피를 활용하여 정보 흐름 네트워크를 구성하였으며 이를 이용하여 금융 지수 간의 인과관계를 분석하고 EDaR 의 등락 예측에 활용하였다. 그 결과, 금융 시장 지수를 효율적 전이 엔트로피를 이용한 인과관계 네트워크를 활용하여 금융 시장의 복잡계 네트워크 분석이 가능함을 확인하였고, 구성된 네트워크를 활용하여 국내 금융 시장 등락 예측에 있어 더 적은 데이터 열을 활용하여 거의 유사한 예측 결과를 냄으로써 상품 선물 시장 관련 예측의 데이터 열 선택에 활용할 수 있음을 확인하였다.

Inverse Estimation of Fatigue Life Parameter based on Bayesian Approach (베이지안 접근법을 이용한 피로수명 파라미터의 역 추정)

  • Heo, Chan-Young;An, Da-Wn;Choi, Joo-Ho;Jeon, Jeong-Il
    • Proceedings of the Computational Structural Engineering Institute Conference
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    • 2010.04a
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    • pp.620-623
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    • 2010
  • 구조요소의 설계에서 유한요소해석은 매우 효과적인 방법이며 정확한 해석 기술을 요구한다. 그러나 제조 공정이나 환경에 따라 달라지는 재료 물성이나 불확실성을 내포하는 피로 물성을 확정적인 값으로 이용하는 등 입력 변수의 부정확한 정보로 인해 유한요소해석 결과를 신뢰하지 못하는 경우가 자주 발생한다. 실제 시험을 통해 설계의 결과를 예측하는 것은 경제적인 측면과 시간소요 면에서 한계가 따르기에 신뢰할 수 있는 유한요소해석 방법이 요구된다. 본 연구에서는 고주기의 피로 해석을 위해 유한요소해석을 이용하여 스프링의 응력-수명(S-N) 파라미터를 역 추정하고 수명을 예측해 보았다. 이를 위해 실제 산업현장에서 쓰이는 자동차 서스펜션 코일 스프링을 예제로 사용하였다. 시험 모델에 대해 불확실성을 고려한 베이지안 접근법을 이용하여 입력변수의 파라미터를 역 추정하였으며, 마코프체인몬테카를로(Markov Chain Monte Carlo) 기법을 이용하여 얻어진 피로 물성 파라미터의 샘플 데이터를 이용해서 유한요소해석을 실시하고 신뢰수준 내에서 새로운 구조요소의 피로수명을 예측하였다.

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An Analysis of the Secret Routing Algorithm for Secure Communications (안전한 통신을 위한 비밀 경로 알고리즘의 분석)

  • Yongkeun Bae;Ilyong Chung
    • Journal of the Korea Institute of Information Security & Cryptology
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    • v.7 no.3
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    • pp.105-116
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    • 1997
  • Routing security is related to the confidentiality of the route taken by the data transmitted over the network. If the route is detected by the adversary, the probability is higher that the data are lost or the data can be intercepted by the adversary. Therefore, the route must be protected. To accomplish this, we select an intermediate node secretly and transmit the data using this intermediate node, instead of sending the data to the destination node using the shortest path. Furthermore, if we use a number of secret routes from the starting node to the destination node, data security is much stronger since we can transmit partial data rather than the entire data along a secret route. In this paper, the routing algorithm for multiple secret paths on MRNS(Mixed Radix Number System) Network, which requires O(1) for the time complexity where is the number of links on a node, is presented employing the HCLS(Hamiltonian Circuit Latin Square) and is analyzed in terms of entropy.

Formation of Weak Ties in Social Media (소셜미디어에서 약한 유대관계의 형성)

  • Park, Chala;Lim, Seongtaek;Yun, Sang;Lee, Inseong;Kim, Jinwoo
    • The Journal of the Korea Contents Association
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    • v.14 no.4
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    • pp.97-109
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    • 2014
  • Social media is a general term for online services by which users share opinions, perspectives, and experiences. It supports interactions between users in sharing contents on it and weak ties among them play an important role in the process. This exploratory study attempts to identify crucial factors of establishing weak ties between social media users in the perspective of social network theory and uncertainty reduction theory. We collected data through diary study and in-depth interview and analyzed it following grounded theory approach. As a result, social media users more actively interacted each other or shared contents based on weak ties, compared to strong ties. In addition, similarity, self-disclosure, and relevance appeared to facilitate establishment of weak ties, by reducing psychological distance between social media users and perceived uncertainty of them.

Economic Evaluation of Port Hinterlands Using Real Option -Focusing on the Case Study for Hinterland of Busan New Port- (실물옵션을 이용한 항만배후단지의 가치평가 -부산신항 배후단지 사례분석을 중심으로-)

  • Kim, MyoungHee;Lee, Kihwan
    • Journal of Korea Port Economic Association
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    • v.28 no.3
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    • pp.235-257
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    • 2012
  • Recently the role of ports has been changed to satisfy flexibly needs of demands in global economy. A new concept for ports is not just a place for international trade but an important nodal point in logistics chain. The changing environment like this trend creates a high degree of uncertainty and leaves port managers confused with the question how to respond effectively to dynamic market. The latest studies provide that the port must have a good hinterland to achieve competitive advantages in a logistics chain. Korean Government announced "The Master Development Plan for Port Logistics Parks in Korea" in 2006. This contains the plan of hinterland construction of Busan New Port to achieve the status of logistics hub in Asian market. Previous studies rely solely on traditional DCF(discounted cash flow) analysis for investment of hinterland. However DCF method does not include irreversibility, uncertainty and the choice of timing for investment project. This thesis introduces a ROPM(real options pricing model) which overcomes the limitations of traditional valuation methods. The option valuations in this study utilize the Black-Scholes model, the binomial model and the MonteCarlo simulation to value investment opportunity of a port hinterland. In this thesis, an attempt is made to modify the NPV criterion by incorporating the real options approach, and its application is demonstrated in a hinterland construction investment plan. This research has conducted an empirical analysis by calculating economic value of the investment for a hinterland of Busan New Port.

A Basic Study on the Qualitative Risk Assessment Model for Building Construction Sites Based on Claim Payouts (건설공사 위험 정량화 모델 개발을 위한 기초 연구)

  • Yu, Yeong-Jin;Son, Kiyoung;Kim, Ji-Myong
    • Journal of the Korea Institute of Building Construction
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    • v.16 no.6
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    • pp.487-495
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    • 2016
  • The losses of accidents in the construction industry was significantly increased during the past decades. Therefore, the study of risk management measures in the domestic construction has become very important, and the inherent risk factors need to derive and analyze them based on the quantified method. However, most studies on the construction risk are conducted finding on the qualitative way. This study analysis the accident records from actual construction sites as a quantities study. A correlation analysis and regression analysis are adopted to identify the risk factors and develop a model. The results of this study are expected to be evolve through the accumulated effect and verification of data in the future through continuous feedback.

Comparison of Epistemic Characteristics of Using Primary and Secondary Data in Inquiries about Noise Conducted by Elementary School Preservice Teachers: Focusing on the Cases of Science Inquiry Reports (소음에 대한 초등 예비교사들의 탐구에서 나타나는 1차 데이터와 2차 데이터 활용의 인식적 특징 비교 - 과학탐구 보고서 사례를 중심으로 -)

  • Chang, Jina;Na, Jiyeon
    • Journal of Korean Elementary Science Education
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    • v.43 no.1
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    • pp.81-94
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    • 2024
  • This study explores and conducts an in-depth comparison of the epistemic characteristics in different data types utilized in the science inquiries of preservice teachers regarding noise as a risk in everyday life. Focusing on primary and secondary data in the context of science inquiries about noise, we examined how these data types differ in science inquires in terms of inquiry design, data collection, and analyses. The findings reveal that sensor-based primary data enable direct measurement and observation of key phenomena. Conversely, secondary data rely on predetermined measurement methods within a public data system. These differences require different epistemic considerations during the inquiry process. Based on these findings, we discuss the educational implications concerning teaching approaches for science inquiries, teacher education for inquiry teaching, and the development of risk response competencies in preparation for the VUCA (Volatility, Uncertainty, Complexity, and Ambiguity) era.

A Study on the Application of Cost Risk Exposure methods by the Probabilistic Evaluation on the Construction Projects (확률적 평가에 의한 건설공사 비용 위험도 측정의 적용성에 관한 연구)

  • Cho Jea-Ho;Chun Jae-Youl
    • Korean Journal of Construction Engineering and Management
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    • v.1 no.1 s.1
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    • pp.63-71
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    • 2000
  • The paper considers two non-deterministic methods of analysing the risk exposure in a cost estimate The fist method(referred to as the 'conventional statistical' method) analyses cost data directly, to describe a probability distribution for total cost. The second method(referred to as the 'Monte Carlo simulation' method) interprets cost data directly, to generate a probability distribution for total costs from the descriptions of elemental cost distribution. The common practice of allowing for risk through an all-embracing contingency sum or percentage addition is challenged. Rather than excluding conventional, non-deterministic methods, they are here presented as possibly the only of effective foundation on which to risk management in cost estimating.

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