• Title/Summary/Keyword: 다중로짓회귀분석

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Comparison of Multinomial Logit and Logistic Regression on Disability Pensioners' Characteristic (다범주 자료의 다항로짓 모형과 로지스틱 회귀모형 비교;장애연금 특성분석 중심으로)

  • Kim, Mi-Jung
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.21 no.4
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    • pp.589-602
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    • 2008
  • This article studies on disability pensioners' characteristic with multinomial logit and logistic regression model. Seven factors are examined on whether each factor is reflected in degree of disability in the disability pension. By incorporating multinomial logit and logistic regression model, effectiveness and characteristic of the seven factors are investigated on the degree of disability. Result shows all the seven factors are significant on the degree of disability, while among the seven, five factors, age, sex, type of coverage, type of category, insured duration show a trend in degree of disability and the other two, cause of disability and class of standard monthly income are not effective on trend in degree of disability. Results from analyses might be useful for disability pension management.

Effects of the Residential Area and Personal Characteristics of Households on the Preference of Residential Location Factors (가구의 거주지역 및 인적 특성요인이 주거입지 선호에 미치는 영향)

  • Park, Wonseok
    • Journal of the Economic Geographical Society of Korea
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    • v.20 no.2
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    • pp.173-188
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    • 2017
  • This paper aims to analyze the effects of the residential area and personal characteristics of households on the preference of residential location factors. The main results of this study are as follows. Firstly, considering the results of multiple regression analysis, it can be seen that preference of location factors is differentiated according to the residential area and personal characteristics of households by individual location factors. Secondly, considering the results of binomial logistic regression analysis, it can be also elucidated that the preferred location factors are differentiated according to the residential area and personal characteristics of the households. Therefore, it is judged that the residential area and personal characteristics of household and the location factors of the household are mutually influencing each other.

The regular physical activity impact on the individuals involved euphoria and determinants of engagement (규칙적 체육활동 참여가 개인의 행복감에 미치는 영향과 참여유도 결정요인)

  • Kim, Mi-Ok;Huh, Ji-Jung
    • Journal of Digital Convergence
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    • v.14 no.12
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    • pp.667-675
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    • 2016
  • This study aims to investigate the effects of regular participation in physical activity on personal happiness by analyzing the "2014 National Leisure Sports Participation Survey". By using cross-tabulation and the binary logit model, it is found that there is a positive correlation between those two variables. The effect of positive affect on happiness index was found to be influenced by age, education level, occupation, income, marital status, appear. The results of the analysis of the relationship between the presence of sports facilities and the participation of regular physical activity using crosstab analysis and the analysis of physical activity showed positive relationship between two variables. Hence, it is expected that providing more opportunities to participate in sports programs can lead the public to more regular participation in physical activity.

Multiple Regression Analysis between Weather Factor and Line Outage using Logit Model (로짓(Logit) 모델을 이용한 날씨요소와 송전선로 고장의 다중회귀분석)

  • Shin, Dong-Suk;Lee, Youn-Ho;Kim, Jin-O;Lee, Baek-Seok;Bang, Min-Jae
    • Proceedings of the KIEE Conference
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    • 2004.11b
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    • pp.187-189
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    • 2004
  • This paper investigates the effect of weather factors(such as winds, rain, snows, temperature, clouds and humidity) on transmission line outages. The result shows that weather variables have significant effects on the transmission line historical outages and the relationship between them is nonlinear. Multiple regression analysis using Logit model is proved to be appropriate in forecasting line failure rate in KEPCO systems. It could also provide system operators with useful informations about system operation and planing.

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The Effect of Information Conditions on Mental Health among Elderly (노인의 정보기기 접근 수준이 정신건강 영역에 미치는 영향)

  • Lee, Yoon-Jung
    • Journal of Digital Convergence
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    • v.11 no.10
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    • pp.17-29
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    • 2013
  • The major aim of this research is to examine the effect of computer and internet literacy and cellular phone possession on depression and suicidal ideation among elderly. This study used data of 2011 national survey results on the elderly life conditions. To determine the effectiveness of computer and internet literacy and cellular phone possession, a total of 6,774 respondents over 60 years of age was selected. The SPSS package was used to analyze the data. Multiple linear regression and logit analysis was run to verify influence of information conditions(computer and internet literacy and cellular phone possession) on depression and suicidal ideation. The results are as follows. First, the elder who is male, younger, has higher education and economic level and lives with spouce is in good information conditions. On the contrary to this, the elder who is female, older, low level of education and economic, single and lives with grandchildren is in information minority group. They have high level of depression and rate of suicidal ideation. Second, computer and internet literacy and cellular phone possession associate with level of depression significantly. Third, computer and internet literacy do not associate with suicidal ideation significantly. The results of this study provide significant source to plan informatization policy and welfare services for socially isolated older people.

A Study on Factors Influencing Needs for Personal Assistance Service in the Workplace for People with Severe Disabilities (중증장애인의 근로지원인서비스 욕구에 영향을 미치는 요인에 관한 연구)

  • Han, Kyung-Sung
    • Korean Journal of Social Welfare
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    • v.63 no.3
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    • pp.29-53
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    • 2011
  • This paper analyzed factors to affect needs for personal assistance service in the workplace for people with disabilities. The statistical analyses adapted in this study were the Frequency Analysis, Ordered Logit Analysis, Multiple Regression Analysis. The results of analysis are summarized as follows. First, through the Frequency Analysis many people with severe disabilities in the workplace found to have a high desire of the personal assistance service in the workplace, and factors like types of disability, the degree of disability, income basis found to include in the selection criteria of personal assistance service in the workplace. Second, through Ordered Logit Analysis and Multiple Regression Analysis factors to affect needs for personal assistance service in the workplace for people with disabilities found to include factors like residential district, age, level of education, assistance activities of family. By the results of analysis, it is suggested practical implications and policy implications.

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An Analysis of the Household Characteristics by Residential Type and Region: Focused on Income and Wealth Effects (지역별 거주유형별 가구특성에 관한 연구: 소득효과와 자산효과를 중심으로)

  • Jeong, Ye-Eun;Sim, Seung-Gyu;Hong, Gihoon
    • Land and Housing Review
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    • v.13 no.1
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    • pp.55-65
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    • 2022
  • This paper investigates the distinct characteristics of freehold and leasehold households living in the seven largest cities and the other areas. We employ the two-stage logit regression analysis to identify the marginal effects of wealth and income after controlling for the other one. We document the following results. First, households with more net wealth are more likely to reside in their own houses, regardless of living areas. Second, the pure income effect after controlling for wealth and other variables lowers the tendency of freeholders to live in the seven largest cities while increasing the tendency to live in the other areas. Furthermore, the income effects reduce the tendency to live in the former regions. Our results suggest that the pure income effects enhance preferences for a better living environment (e.g., larger spaces, better school districts, etc.), whereas the wealth effect increases the likelihood of freeholds.

Corporate Default Prediction Model Using Deep Learning Time Series Algorithm, RNN and LSTM (딥러닝 시계열 알고리즘 적용한 기업부도예측모형 유용성 검증)

  • Cha, Sungjae;Kang, Jungseok
    • Journal of Intelligence and Information Systems
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    • v.24 no.4
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    • pp.1-32
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    • 2018
  • In addition to stakeholders including managers, employees, creditors, and investors of bankrupt companies, corporate defaults have a ripple effect on the local and national economy. Before the Asian financial crisis, the Korean government only analyzed SMEs and tried to improve the forecasting power of a default prediction model, rather than developing various corporate default models. As a result, even large corporations called 'chaebol enterprises' become bankrupt. Even after that, the analysis of past corporate defaults has been focused on specific variables, and when the government restructured immediately after the global financial crisis, they only focused on certain main variables such as 'debt ratio'. A multifaceted study of corporate default prediction models is essential to ensure diverse interests, to avoid situations like the 'Lehman Brothers Case' of the global financial crisis, to avoid total collapse in a single moment. The key variables used in corporate defaults vary over time. This is confirmed by Beaver (1967, 1968) and Altman's (1968) analysis that Deakins'(1972) study shows that the major factors affecting corporate failure have changed. In Grice's (2001) study, the importance of predictive variables was also found through Zmijewski's (1984) and Ohlson's (1980) models. However, the studies that have been carried out in the past use static models. Most of them do not consider the changes that occur in the course of time. Therefore, in order to construct consistent prediction models, it is necessary to compensate the time-dependent bias by means of a time series analysis algorithm reflecting dynamic change. Based on the global financial crisis, which has had a significant impact on Korea, this study is conducted using 10 years of annual corporate data from 2000 to 2009. Data are divided into training data, validation data, and test data respectively, and are divided into 7, 2, and 1 years respectively. In order to construct a consistent bankruptcy model in the flow of time change, we first train a time series deep learning algorithm model using the data before the financial crisis (2000~2006). The parameter tuning of the existing model and the deep learning time series algorithm is conducted with validation data including the financial crisis period (2007~2008). As a result, we construct a model that shows similar pattern to the results of the learning data and shows excellent prediction power. After that, each bankruptcy prediction model is restructured by integrating the learning data and validation data again (2000 ~ 2008), applying the optimal parameters as in the previous validation. Finally, each corporate default prediction model is evaluated and compared using test data (2009) based on the trained models over nine years. Then, the usefulness of the corporate default prediction model based on the deep learning time series algorithm is proved. In addition, by adding the Lasso regression analysis to the existing methods (multiple discriminant analysis, logit model) which select the variables, it is proved that the deep learning time series algorithm model based on the three bundles of variables is useful for robust corporate default prediction. The definition of bankruptcy used is the same as that of Lee (2015). Independent variables include financial information such as financial ratios used in previous studies. Multivariate discriminant analysis, logit model, and Lasso regression model are used to select the optimal variable group. The influence of the Multivariate discriminant analysis model proposed by Altman (1968), the Logit model proposed by Ohlson (1980), the non-time series machine learning algorithms, and the deep learning time series algorithms are compared. In the case of corporate data, there are limitations of 'nonlinear variables', 'multi-collinearity' of variables, and 'lack of data'. While the logit model is nonlinear, the Lasso regression model solves the multi-collinearity problem, and the deep learning time series algorithm using the variable data generation method complements the lack of data. Big Data Technology, a leading technology in the future, is moving from simple human analysis, to automated AI analysis, and finally towards future intertwined AI applications. Although the study of the corporate default prediction model using the time series algorithm is still in its early stages, deep learning algorithm is much faster than regression analysis at corporate default prediction modeling. Also, it is more effective on prediction power. Through the Fourth Industrial Revolution, the current government and other overseas governments are working hard to integrate the system in everyday life of their nation and society. Yet the field of deep learning time series research for the financial industry is still insufficient. This is an initial study on deep learning time series algorithm analysis of corporate defaults. Therefore it is hoped that it will be used as a comparative analysis data for non-specialists who start a study combining financial data and deep learning time series algorithm.

The Effects of Enterprise Size and Industry on the Employment Rate of People with Disabilities -Focusing on the Enterprises with Disability Employment Obligation That Hire at Least One Person with Disabilities- (기업의 규모와 산업이 장애인 고용률에 미치는 영향 -장애인 1인 이상 의무고용기업체를 중심으로-)

  • Kwon, Keedon;Kim, Hojin
    • Korean Journal of Social Welfare
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    • v.66 no.1
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    • pp.251-276
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    • 2014
  • This study scrutinizes the common sense in the field of disability employment that the bigger the size of a firm, the lower the employment rate of people with disabilities. This common sense has been established by conventional cross-tabulation and multiple regression analyses without taking into account possible interactions between the sizes of firms and the industries in which they operate. This study shows that the distribution of the disability employment rate violates the linearity and homoscedasticity assumptions of the OLS. In an effort to find models that explain the data better, this study fits the OLS model, the weighted linear regression model, and the multinomial logit model as well as the path analysis which is meant to examine the relationships between firm size and other variables relevant to disability employment. The result shows that, when an interaction term between firm size and industry is added to the model, firm size does not have any significant effect on disability employment rate for those firms with 100 or more regular employees, to the contrary of the findings of prior studies. It also demonstrates that other factors such as job setting, the extent of helpfulness of disability employment employers perceive, employers' care for disability, and employers' awareness of disability policies may matter more than does firm size. This study proposes that future research and policy implementation for disability employment should pay no less attention to industry and other factors mentioned above than to firm size.

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Relations between ICT and Productivity: An Empirical Analysis on SMEs in Korea (정보통신(ICT)과 생산성의 관계 연구: 우리나라 중소기업에 대한 실증분석)

  • Jeong, Woo-Soo;Kim, Seung-Keon
    • The Journal of Korean Institute of Communications and Information Sciences
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    • v.40 no.11
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    • pp.2238-2249
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    • 2015
  • The purpose of this study is to analyze the relations of innovation and productivity following the introduction of ICT and the effects in the process of innovative investments activity-innovation-productivity, not only by finding causes and effects. For this purpose we conducted surveys of SMEs classified into 7 categories by type of business. To put it concretely, this study was performed to find out the foactors which allow companies to secure competitiveness by enhancing of innovative measures through ICT, and to further analyze the political implications for the development of small and medium-size business by conducting an empirical analysis of the process, from the determination of innovative investments all the way through to production. Analysis model used CDM model using econometric methods such as multiple regression analysis and multinominal logit analysis to produce results. Also we established and analyzed models of innovation investment determinants, innovation determinants and productivity determinants to analyze specifically the relations between ICT and productivity.