• Title/Summary/Keyword: 광역모형

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A Spatial-Temporal Correlation Analysis of Housing Prices in Busan Using SpVAR and GSTAR (SpVAR(공간적 벡터자기회귀모델)과 GSTAR(일반화 시공간자기회귀모델)를 이용한 부산지역 주택가격의 시공간적 상관성 분석)

  • Kwon, Youngwoo;Choi, Yeol
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.44 no.2
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    • pp.245-256
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    • 2024
  • Since 2020, quantitative easing and easy money policies have been implemented for the purpose of economic stimulus. As a result, real estate prices have skyrocketed. In this study, the relationship between sales and rental prices by housing type during the period of soaring real estate prices in Busan was analyzed spatio-temporally. Based on the actual transaction price data, housing type, transaction type, and monthly data of district units were constructed. Among the spatio-temporal analysis models, the SpVAR, which is used to understand the temporal and spatial effects of variables, and the GSTAR, which is used to understand the effects of each region on those variables, were used. As a result, the sales price of apartment had positive effect on the sale price of apartment, row house, and detached house in the surrounding area, including the target area. On the other hand, it was confirmed that demand was converted to apartment rental due to an increase in apartment sales prices, and the sale price fell again over time. The spatio-temporal spillover effect of apartments was positive, but the positive effect of row house and detached house were concentrated in the original downtown area.

Development of Bicycle Accident Prediction Model and Suggestion of Countermeasures on Bicycle Accidents (자전거 사고예측모형 개발 및 개선방안 제시에 관한 연구)

  • Kwon, Sung-Dae;Kim, Yoon-Mi;Kim, Jae-Gon;Ha, Tae-Jun
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.35 no.5
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    • pp.1135-1146
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    • 2015
  • This thesis aims to improve the safety of bicycle traffic for activating the use of bicycle, main means of non-powered and non-carbon transportation in order to cope with worldwide crisis such as climate change and energy depletion and to implement sustainable traffic system. In this regard, I analyzed the problem of bicycle roads currently installed and operated, and developed the bicycle accident forecasting model. Following are the processes for this. First, this study presented the current status of bicycle road in Korea as well as accident data, collect the data on bicycle traffic accidents generated throughout the country for recent 3 years (2009~2011) and analyzed the features of bicycle traffic accidents based on the data. Second, this study selected the variable affecting the number of bicycle accidents through accident feature analysis of bicycle accidents at Jeollanam-do, and developed accident forecast model using the multiple regression analysis of 'SPSS Statistics 21'. At this time, the number of accidents due to extension per road types (crossing, crosswalk, other single road) was used. To verify the accident forecast model deduced, this study used the data on bicycle accident generated in Gwangju, 2011, and compared the prediction value with actual number of accidents. As a result, it was found out that reliability of accident forecast model was secured through reconciling with actual number of cases except certain data. Third, this study carried out field survey on the bicycle road as well as questionnaire on satisfaction of bicycle road and use of bicycle for analysis of bicycle road problems, and presented safety improvement measures for the problems deduced as well as bicycle activation plans. This study is considered to serve as the fundamental data for planning and reorganizing of bicycle road in the future, and expected to improve safety of bicycle users and to promote activation of bicycle use as the means of transportation.

Development of Estimation Models for Parking Units -Focused on Gwangju Metropolitan City Condominium Apartments- (주차원단위 산정 모형 개발에 관한 연구 -광주광역시 공동 주택 아파트를 대상으로-)

  • Kwon, Sung-Dae;Ko, Dong-Bong;Park, Je-Jin;Ha, Tae-Jun
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.34 no.2
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    • pp.549-559
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    • 2014
  • The rapid expansion of cities led to the shortage of housing in urban areas. The government compensated for this shortage through large scale residential developments that increased the housing supply. The supply of condominium apartments remains above 83% of the entire housing supply, and the proportion of apartments are at a steady increase, at about 50%. Due to the increase, illegally parked cars resulting from the shortage of parking spaces within the apartment complex have become increasingly problematic as they block the transit of emergency vehicles, and heighten the tension among neighboring residents in obtaining a parking space. Especially, the future residents are considered to plan the parking based on the estimated demand for parking. However, the parking unit method utilized to estimate the parking demand accounts for the exclusive use of space, which is believed to be far from the parking demands in reality. The reason for this discrepancy is that, as the number of households decrease, and area of exclusive space is expanded, the planned parking increases. On the other hand, when the number of households increase, and the area of exclusive space is reduced, the planned parking decreases, thus methods to recalculate the parking units based on estimated parking demand is an urgent concern. To estimate the parking units based on condominium apartments, this study first examined the existing research literature, and appointed the field of investigation to collect the necessary data. In addition, field study data and surveys collected and analyzed, in order to identify the problems underlying parking units, and problems regarding the current traffic impact assessment parking unit calculation method were deduced. Through identifying the influential factors on parking demand estimates, and performing a factorial analysis based on the collected data, the variables were selected in relation to the parking demand estimates, to develop the parking unit estimate model. Finally, through comparing and verifying the existing traffic impact assessment parking unit estimate against the newly developed model using collected data, a far more realistic parking unite estimate was suggested, reflecting the characteristics of the residents. The parking unit estimate model developed in this study is anticipated to serve as the guidelines for future parking lot legislature, as wel as the basis to provide a more realistic estimate of parking demands based on the resident characteristics of an apartment complex.

Evaluation of Future Water Deficit for Anseong River Basin Under Climate Change (기후변화를 고려한 안성천 유역의 미래 물 부족량 평가)

  • Lee, Dae Wung;Jung, Jaewon;Hong, Seung Jin;Han, Daegun;Joo, Hong Jun;Kim, Hung Soo
    • Journal of Wetlands Research
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    • v.19 no.3
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    • pp.345-352
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    • 2017
  • The average global temperature on Earth has increased by about $0.85^{\circ}C$ since 1880 due to the global warming. The temperature increase affects hydrologic phenomenon and so the world has been suffered from natural disasters such as floods and droughts. Therefore, especially, in the aspect of water deficit, we may require the accurate prediction of water demand considering the uncertainty of climate in order to establish water resources planning and to ensure safe water supply for the future. To do this, the study evaluated future water balance and water deficit under the climate change for Anseong river basin in Korea. The future rainfall was simulated using RCP 8.5 climate change scenario and the runoff was estimated through the SLURP model which is a semi-distributed rainfall-runoff model for the basin. Scenario and network for the water balance analysis in sub-basins of Anseong river basin were established through K-WEAP model. And the water demand for the future was estimated by the linear regression equation using amounts of water uses(domestic water use, industrial water use, and agricultural water use) calculated by historical data (1965 to 2011). As the result of water balance analysis, we confirmed that the domestic and industrial water uses will be increased in the future because of population growth, rapid urbanization, and climate change due to global warming. However, the agricultural water use will be gradually decreased. Totally, we had shown that the water deficit problem will be critical in the future in Anseong river basin. Therefore, as the case study, we suggested two alternatives of pumping station construction and restriction of water use for solving the water deficit problem in the basin.

A Study on the Assertive Behavior Among Non-smoking College Students Under Secondhand Smoke Exposure (간접흡연 노출에 대한 비흡연 대학생의 주장행위에 관한 연구 -건강신념모형과 ASE model 적용을 중심으로-)

  • Kim, Myoung-Soo;Kim, Yun-Hee
    • Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
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    • v.13 no.11
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    • pp.5187-5195
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    • 2012
  • This study was performed to investigate the factors related to assertive behavior among non-smoking college students under secondhand smoke exposure. Data were collected from 246 non-smoking college students at one university in B city from October to November, 2011 and analyzed by multiple logistic regression. The factors related to assertive behavior were men(OR 3.173, 95% CI 1.676-6.005), with another smoker in household(OR 1.679, 95% CI 1.056-2.983), high level of perceived benefit(OR 2.821, 95% CI 1.044-7.623), high level of social influence(OR 3.753, 95% CI 1.845-7.634), high level of self efficacy(OR 4.140, 95% CI 2.159-7.941). It is necessary to develop and evaluate the health promotion program for enhancing of assertive behavior of non-smoking college students regarding of perceived benefit, social influence and self efficacy.

An Analysis of Efficiency and Productivity of Metropolitan Urban Railway Corporation (광역도시권 철도운영기관의 효율성 및 생산성 분석 연구)

  • Kim, Haegon;Lee, Jinsun
    • Journal of the Korean Society for Railway
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    • v.19 no.3
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    • pp.397-407
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    • 2016
  • This study analyzed the efficiency change and the factors affecting productivity change for the six railway operation corporations that are local public enterprises; study was performed with the DEA-CCR Model and Malmquist Productivity Index, using data collected from 2010 to 2014. Since it was not feasible to collect data on the operating expenses and the number of employees of each of the lines, the efficiencies of each operation corporation were analyzed by integrating the operation corporations, and the Malmquist Productivity Index was used to investigate the trend of the periodical productivity change. Average efficiency for urban railway operation corporations was found to be higher in the case of the bigger corporations. In 2014, the Seoul Metro and the Daejeon Metropolitan Express Transit Corporations were analyzed and found to be the most efficient operation corporations. The Malmquist Productivity Index was used to determine the periodical change; the average MPI was 1.06, with a continuous increase of productivity. The analysis showed that changes of technology were generally more obvious than change of technology efficiency for all six operation corporations.

Effects on Mathematical Thinking Ability of Mathematising Learning with RME -Based on measurement region for fifth grade in elementary school- (RME를 적용한 수학화 학습이 수학적 사고능력에 미치는 효과 -초등학교 5학년 측정 영역을 중심으로-)

  • Baek, In su;Choi, Chang Woo
    • Journal of Elementary Mathematics Education in Korea
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    • v.19 no.3
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    • pp.323-345
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    • 2015
  • This study is intended to establish and apply a program created with RME for mathematising instruction and learning and identify how it influences on the mathematical thinking process in the field. In order to deal with this study inquiries, related theories have been analyzed establishing a program for mathematising instruction and learning method based on a model of them and RME theory principles and re-organizing education courses for instruction on the fields concerned. Study subjects were limited to two classes consisting of fifth graders in S elementary school located in the city of Daegu and divided them in an experiment group and a control group. An experiment group was given a mathematising learning method applied with RME, while a control group had a class with regular methods of learning and instruction during the period of experiment. As a summary of aforementioned results of the study, mathematising learning method applied with RME had an effect on improving mathematical thinking ability for students and also on promoting mathematising outcome through a repetitive experience in each procedure obtained on a regular basis.

Development and Evaluation of Real-time Travel Time Forecasting Model: Nonparametric Regression Analysis for the Seoul Transit System (비모수 회귀분석을 이용한 실시간 통행시간 예측 기법 개발 및 평가 (서울시 버스를 중심으로))

  • Park, Sin-Hyeong;Jeong, Yeon-Jeong;Kim, Chang-Ho
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.24 no.1 s.87
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    • pp.109-120
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    • 2006
  • Since the 1st of July, 2004, the public transport system of the Seoul metropolitan area has been rearranged. In the new system, bus lines are divided into 4 classes-wide area, arterial road, branch, and rotation lines with renewed fare system based on the total distance travelled. Since central control center known as the Bus Management System (BMS) integrates the entire system operation. it now becomes feasible to collect travel information and provide it to the users scientifically and systematically. The Purpose of this study is to forecast transit travel time using real-time traffic data coming from both buses and subway. This is significant contribution since provision of real-time transit information and easy access to it would most likely boost the use of mass transit system, alleviating roadway congestion in the metropolitan area.

Evaluation on Impedance to Access and Transfer for Deep Underground Railway Network (대심도 철도의 접근과 환승 저항 평가에 관한 연구)

  • Park, Kil-Hyun;Kim, Hyun
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.32 no.3D
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    • pp.283-289
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    • 2012
  • Because railways themselves are not enough to provide door-to-door service, they need to be complemented by a transportation system access the stations and a convenient transfer system to access other railway lines. User friendly service policies include a faster, interconnected, and intermodal transportation system. It becomes more important to use deep subterranean space from an economical standpoint in order to promote railway construction projects. In this research, the authors dealt with construction plan for strengthening capacity of deep subterranean railways. Since deep subterranean railways are situated deeper underground than other railways, they are more difficult to access and transfer to, in addition to psychological pressure. Moreover, deep subterranean railways with high speed add access difficulties as the distance between stations increases. Therefore, the authors discuss not only systemization for uniting deep subterranean railways and other transportation facilities but also reinforcement strategies. The purpose of these strategies is so that deep subterranean railways provide mobility while established railways provide accessibility to overcome this problem.

A Study on the Youth Job Creation Problem Solving with a Co-creation Approach: Focusing on the Busan City (청년층 일자리 창출문제에서 Co-creation적 해결방안에 관한 연구: 부산광역시를 중심으로)

  • Hong, Soon-Goo;Lee, Hyun-Mi;Han, Se-Eok;Kim, Jong-Weon
    • Journal of Korea Society of Industrial Information Systems
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    • v.20 no.1
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    • pp.91-102
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    • 2015
  • The growth of Korean economy has continuously declined since 2000, which resulted in the reduction of employment creation opportunity. Futhermore, these circumstances are aggravating the youth job creation. This study investigates the co-creation approach for solving the youth job creation problem. By using the grounded theory on recent newspapers for a year, the study proposes a paradigm model for the youth job creation. Based upon this result, the study creates the conceptual model for the youth job creation, which includes three factors such as process, environment, and institution. This study will contribute not only to the extension of qualitative study on the grounded theory in research, but also to the political implications for the youth job creation in practice.