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http://dx.doi.org/10.12652/Ksce.2015.35.5.1135

Development of Bicycle Accident Prediction Model and Suggestion of Countermeasures on Bicycle Accidents  

Kwon, Sung-Dae (Cheonnam National University)
Kim, Yoon-Mi (Cheonnam National University)
Kim, Jae-Gon (Jeollanamdo Provincial Government)
Ha, Tae-Jun (Cheonnam National University)
Publication Information
KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research / v.35, no.5, 2015 , pp. 1135-1146 More about this Journal
Abstract
This thesis aims to improve the safety of bicycle traffic for activating the use of bicycle, main means of non-powered and non-carbon transportation in order to cope with worldwide crisis such as climate change and energy depletion and to implement sustainable traffic system. In this regard, I analyzed the problem of bicycle roads currently installed and operated, and developed the bicycle accident forecasting model. Following are the processes for this. First, this study presented the current status of bicycle road in Korea as well as accident data, collect the data on bicycle traffic accidents generated throughout the country for recent 3 years (2009~2011) and analyzed the features of bicycle traffic accidents based on the data. Second, this study selected the variable affecting the number of bicycle accidents through accident feature analysis of bicycle accidents at Jeollanam-do, and developed accident forecast model using the multiple regression analysis of 'SPSS Statistics 21'. At this time, the number of accidents due to extension per road types (crossing, crosswalk, other single road) was used. To verify the accident forecast model deduced, this study used the data on bicycle accident generated in Gwangju, 2011, and compared the prediction value with actual number of accidents. As a result, it was found out that reliability of accident forecast model was secured through reconciling with actual number of cases except certain data. Third, this study carried out field survey on the bicycle road as well as questionnaire on satisfaction of bicycle road and use of bicycle for analysis of bicycle road problems, and presented safety improvement measures for the problems deduced as well as bicycle activation plans. This study is considered to serve as the fundamental data for planning and reorganizing of bicycle road in the future, and expected to improve safety of bicycle users and to promote activation of bicycle use as the means of transportation.
Keywords
Traffic safety; Bicycle; Accident prediction model; Multiple regression analysis;
Citations & Related Records
Times Cited By KSCI : 2  (Citation Analysis)
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