Browse > Article
http://dx.doi.org/10.17663/JWR.2017.19.3.345

Evaluation of Future Water Deficit for Anseong River Basin Under Climate Change  

Lee, Dae Wung (Yeongsan River Survey Division, Hydrological Survey Center)
Jung, Jaewon (Department of Civil Engineering, Inha University)
Hong, Seung Jin (Hydro Science and Engineering Research Institute (HERI), Korea Institute of Civil Engineering and Building Technology)
Han, Daegun (Department of Civil Engineering, Inha University)
Joo, Hong Jun (Department of Civil Engineering, Inha University)
Kim, Hung Soo (Department of Civil Engineering, Inha University)
Publication Information
Journal of Wetlands Research / v.19, no.3, 2017 , pp. 345-352 More about this Journal
Abstract
The average global temperature on Earth has increased by about $0.85^{\circ}C$ since 1880 due to the global warming. The temperature increase affects hydrologic phenomenon and so the world has been suffered from natural disasters such as floods and droughts. Therefore, especially, in the aspect of water deficit, we may require the accurate prediction of water demand considering the uncertainty of climate in order to establish water resources planning and to ensure safe water supply for the future. To do this, the study evaluated future water balance and water deficit under the climate change for Anseong river basin in Korea. The future rainfall was simulated using RCP 8.5 climate change scenario and the runoff was estimated through the SLURP model which is a semi-distributed rainfall-runoff model for the basin. Scenario and network for the water balance analysis in sub-basins of Anseong river basin were established through K-WEAP model. And the water demand for the future was estimated by the linear regression equation using amounts of water uses(domestic water use, industrial water use, and agricultural water use) calculated by historical data (1965 to 2011). As the result of water balance analysis, we confirmed that the domestic and industrial water uses will be increased in the future because of population growth, rapid urbanization, and climate change due to global warming. However, the agricultural water use will be gradually decreased. Totally, we had shown that the water deficit problem will be critical in the future in Anseong river basin. Therefore, as the case study, we suggested two alternatives of pumping station construction and restriction of water use for solving the water deficit problem in the basin.
Keywords
Climate change; RCP 8.5 scenario; SLURP; K-WEAP;
Citations & Related Records
Times Cited By KSCI : 5  (Citation Analysis)
연도 인용수 순위
1 Bronstert, A., Burger, G., Heidenreich, M., Katzenmaier, D., and Kohler, B. (1999). Effects of climate change influencing storm runoff generation: basic considerations and a pilot study in Germany, Proceedings of the International RIBAMOD Workshop, Wallingford.
2 Esraa, H. K. (2015). Climate change impacts on water resources in desert srea considering iIrregularity in rainfall intensity and distribution : a case study in Wajib basin, J. of Environment and Earth Science, 5(14), pp. 34-45.
3 Hong, SJ. (2016). Analysis of drought and water quantity/quality stresses for Han-river basin under climate change, Ph.d. Dissertation, Inha University, Incheon, Korea. [Korean Literature]
4 IPCC (2008). Climate Change 2007-Synthesis Report.
5 Kite, G. W. and Spence. (1995). Land cover, NDVI, LAI and evaportranspiration in hydrological modelling in : applications of remote sensing in hydrology, Proceedings of the Second International Workshop, 18-20 October.
6 Kite, G. W. (2007). Mannual for the SLURP hydrologic model version 12.7.
7 Kim, BJ, Choi, MW, Kim, GH, Kim, HS. (2016). Evaluation and analysis of characteristics for Hazen-Williams C based on measured data in multi-regional water supply systems, J. of Korean Society of Water & Wastewater, 30(2), pp. 197-206. [Korean Literature]   DOI
8 Kim, BK, Kim, BS, Kwon, HH. (2009). Impact assessment of agricultural reservoir on streamflow simulation using semi-distributed hydrologic model, J. of Korean Society of Civil Engineers, 29(1), pp. 11-22. [Korean Literature]
9 Kim, SJ, Jun, HD, Kim, BS, Kim, HS. (2009). The evaluation of future water deficit considering climate change in the Hanriver basin. J. of Korean Water Resources Association, pp. 139-143. [Korean Literature]
10 Kim, CR (2013). Water balance projection in the korean peninsula reflecting climate change information, Master's Thesis, Seoul National University, Seoul, Korea. [Korean Literature]
11 Kim, SJ, Kim, BS, Jun, HD, Kim, HS. (2010). The evaluation of climate change impacts on the water scarcity of the Han river basin in south Korea using high resolution RCM Data, J. of Korean Water Resources Association, 43(3), pp. 295-308. [Korean Literature]   DOI
12 Kim, SJ. (2011). Impact of climate change on water resources and ecological habitat in a river basin, Ph.d. Dissertation, Inha University, Incheon, Korea. [Korean Literature]
13 Mishra, B. K., Herath, S., Sampath, D. S., Fukushi, K., and Weerakoon, S. B. (2015). decision support system for sustainable water resources management, NEAJ, Newsletter, 11.
14 Korea Institute of Civil Engineering and Building Technology (2007). 21st century frontier R&D program-sustainable water resources research: technology for integrated basinwide water budget analysis and water resources planning. [Korean Literature]
15 Kwak, JW, Kim, SJ, Singh, V.P., Kim, HS, Kim, DG, Hong, SJ, Lee, KH. (2015). Impact of climate change on hydrological droughts in the upper Namhan river basin, Korea, KSCE J. of Civil Engineering, 19(2), pp. 376-384. [Korean Literature]   DOI
16 Kyung, MS, Lee, YW, Kim, HS, Kim, BS. (2009). Assessment of climate chanage effect on temperature and drought in Seoul : based on the AR4 SRES A2 Senario, KSCE J. of Civil Engineering, 29(2B), pp. 181-191. [Korean Literature]
17 Ministry of Environment (2008). Feasibility study for securing the clean water sources in Han river basin. [Korean Literature]
18 Moon, JW, Lee, DR, Choi, SJ. (2013). Water shortage estimation by drought frequencies in national water plan, The Korea Spatial Planning Review, Korea Research Institute for Human Settlements, 78, pp. 105-120. [Korean Literature]
19 Ministry of Land, Infrastructure and Transport (2009). Measures for securing the national water security for climate change. [Korean Literature]
20 Ministry of Land, Infrastructure and Transport (2011). Comprehensive water resources plan(2011-2020). [Korean Literature]
21 Tabari, H., Nikbakht, J., Talaee, P.H. (2013). Hydrological drought assessment in Northwestern Iran based on streamflow drought index (SDI), Water Resources Management, 27(1), pp. 137-151.   DOI
22 Seo, SS, Kim, DG, Lee, KH, Kim, HS, Kim, TW. (2009). Estimation of drought damage based on agricultural and domestic water use, J. of Korean Wetlands Society, 11(2), pp. 348-355. [Korean Literature]