• Title/Summary/Keyword: 경제적 불확실성

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Studies on the Influence Factors of E-commerce Adoption: The Perspective of Suppliers' E-commerce (전자상거래 도입 영향요인들에 관한 통합적 연구: 공급업체 전자상거래를 중심으로)

  • Choe, Jong-Min
    • Information Systems Review
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    • v.15 no.1
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    • pp.1-24
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    • 2013
  • This study empirically investigated inter-relationships among the influence factors on the adoption of e-commerce, which are classified as cause factor (i.e., perceived environmental uncertainty and competition), facilitators (i.e., perceived economic benefits, inter-organizational trust, suppliers' pressure and capability and asset specificity) and support factor (i.e., top management's support and organizational resource capability). The results of regression analyses showed that competition, inter-organizational trust, suppliers' pressure and capability, top management's support, and organizational resource capability have a positive impact on the adoption of e-commerce. In the analyses of inter-relationships among the influence factors, it was found that perceived environmental uncertainty positively influences suppliers' pressure and capability and perceived economic benefits, and competition has a positive impact on asset specificity. It was also observed that perceived economic benefits, inter-organizational trust and suppliers' pressure and capability positively affect top management's support, and inter-organizational trust and suppliers' pressure and capability have a positive impact on organizational resource capability. With mediating regression analyses, it was found that competition has an indirect impact on the adoption of e-commerce through the effect on perceived economic benefits, suppliers' pressure and capability, organizational resource capability and top management's support. The results of mediating regression analyses also showed that suppliers' pressure and capability and perceived economic benefits have indirect effects on the adoption of e-commerce through the effects on top management's support and organizational resource capability. From these results, it is concluded that intense competition causes the activation of facilitators, and the facilitators contribute to both the enhancement of top management support and the creation of organizational resource capability, which are directly linked to the adoption of e-commerce.

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Adjustment effect of the suitability factors of strategy between Information Technology Outsourcing(ITO)'s influence and outcome factors in Government offices (전략의 적합성 요인이 ITO 영향요인과 성과요인 간에 미치는 조절효과 - 공공기관 중심으로)

  • Jun, Je-Man;Yi, Seon-Gyu
    • Journal of Digital Convergence
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    • v.11 no.12
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    • pp.29-40
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    • 2013
  • This study analyzed that adjustment roles of the organization and Information System strategy suitability factors between influence and introduction outcome factors in the IT outsourcing in government offices. Influence factors of IT outsourcing are organization factor(information system maturity, CEO's support), trade factor(asset speciality, uncertainty, using degree of information system), risk factor(risk of security, risk of increase in cost, risk of losing autonomy). And outcome factors are set as economic effect and technology effect. We analyzed that organization and IS strategy suitability factors as moderator variables. Results are the followings. It was analyzed that organization and IS strategy suitability factors are in charge of adjusting role among information system maturity which is lower variable of organization factor, CEO's support, uncertainty of trade factor's lower variable, risk of security which is risk factor's lower variable, risk of increase in cost, loss of autonomy. Therefore, in order for organization to increase the outcome of information technology, organization strategy and IS strategy should be promoted in combined manner. However, it was analyzed that strategy suitability could not take the adjusting role between asset specialty and introduction outcome.

Detecting Weak Signals of Emerging Technologies (미래 유망기술의 Weak Signal 탐지 방안)

  • Choi, S.G.;Kim, K.Y.;Oh, J.T.
    • Electronics and Telecommunications Trends
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    • v.31 no.2
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    • pp.18-27
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    • 2016
  • 국가 경제의 지속적인 발전이 가능하게 하려면 미래 유망기술의 발굴이 중요함은 널리 알려져 있다. 하지만, 과학기술의 융 복합화와 불확실성의 증가 그리고 기존 기술의 틀을 깨는 혁신적 기술의 등장 등으로 인해서 실효성 높은 미래 유망기술의 발굴이 어려워지고 있다. 미래 유망기술 선점을 위해서는 fast follower 전략에서 first mover 형으로 전환이 필요하며, 이를 위해서는 기술태동 초기의 weak signal을 파악해야 한다. 지금까지 weak signal 탐지는 주로 전문가 기반으로 이루어져 왔으나 분석 시간이 오래 걸릴 뿐만 아니라 대상 분야가 넓어지고 분석할 데이터의 양이 급격히 증가하면서 정량적 데이터 분석을 보완적으로 사용하는 방향으로 패러다임의 변화가 일어나고 있다. 하지만, 텍스트 분석을 통한 weak signal 탐지기술은 아직 기초적인 수준에 머물러 있어서 관련 연구에 대한 투자가 필요하다.

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A Study on the Decision Making Process of Social Venture: The case of Goyohan Taxi (소셜벤처의 의사결정 프로세스에 관한 연구: 고요한택시 사례)

  • Kim, Jinyoung;Sung, Changsoo;Cho, Hanjun;Moon, Kanghyun
    • Asia-Pacific Journal of Business Venturing and Entrepreneurship
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    • v.15 no.4
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    • pp.83-96
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    • 2020
  • Traditionally social problems had been largely left to be handled by non-profit organizations, not because of lack of interests in social causes but mostly because of lack of innovative ideas to solve them in commercially viable ways. This market failure has recently been fixed by social enterprises, which manage to provide both solutions for social issues and commercially viable business models. As a result, we have been witnessing a sudden spike of public interests in these social enterprises as well as a call for empirical investigation on social enterprises by prior studies. However, empirically investigating a social enterprise has been a challenging endeavor mostly due to the insufficient number of successful social enterprises. Answering to the call in this study, we empirically investigate Goyohan Taxi, a successful social enterprise that partners with visually impaired cabdrivers and offers a taxi service, by both longitudinally interviewing the founder and adopting in vivo observation throughout the entrepreneurial journey of Goyohan Taxi. Based on the single case study method, we find that Goyohan Taxi adopts two distinctive decision-making mechanisms, the de-escalation of commitment and the orthogonality of commercial and social goals. Although generalizability of the our finding is minimal due to the limitation of single case study method, our finding contributes to the research of social entrepreneurship by offering new avenue of research in decision-making process of social entrepreneurs.

Effects of Exchange Rate Risk and Industrial Activity Uncertainty on Import Container Volume in Korea (환위험과 경기 불확실성이 우리나라의 수입물동량에 미치는 영향)

  • Kim, Chang-Beom
    • Journal of Korea Port Economic Association
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    • v.26 no.4
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    • pp.88-100
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    • 2010
  • This paper investigates the influence of industrial activity volatility and exchange rate volatility on import container volume of the Korea during the 1999:1- 2010:9. Conditional variance from the GARCH(1, 1) model is applied as the volatility. The Johansen multivariate cointegration method and the error correction (general-to-specific) method are applied to study the relationship between import volume and its determinants. The empirical results show that volatility has statistically significant negative effect on import volume.

Inverse Estimation of Fatigue Life Parameter based on Bayesian Approach (베이지안 접근법을 이용한 피로수명 파라미터의 역 추정)

  • Heo, Chan-Young;An, Da-Wn;Choi, Joo-Ho;Jeon, Jeong-Il
    • Proceedings of the Computational Structural Engineering Institute Conference
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    • 2010.04a
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    • pp.620-623
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    • 2010
  • 구조요소의 설계에서 유한요소해석은 매우 효과적인 방법이며 정확한 해석 기술을 요구한다. 그러나 제조 공정이나 환경에 따라 달라지는 재료 물성이나 불확실성을 내포하는 피로 물성을 확정적인 값으로 이용하는 등 입력 변수의 부정확한 정보로 인해 유한요소해석 결과를 신뢰하지 못하는 경우가 자주 발생한다. 실제 시험을 통해 설계의 결과를 예측하는 것은 경제적인 측면과 시간소요 면에서 한계가 따르기에 신뢰할 수 있는 유한요소해석 방법이 요구된다. 본 연구에서는 고주기의 피로 해석을 위해 유한요소해석을 이용하여 스프링의 응력-수명(S-N) 파라미터를 역 추정하고 수명을 예측해 보았다. 이를 위해 실제 산업현장에서 쓰이는 자동차 서스펜션 코일 스프링을 예제로 사용하였다. 시험 모델에 대해 불확실성을 고려한 베이지안 접근법을 이용하여 입력변수의 파라미터를 역 추정하였으며, 마코프체인몬테카를로(Markov Chain Monte Carlo) 기법을 이용하여 얻어진 피로 물성 파라미터의 샘플 데이터를 이용해서 유한요소해석을 실시하고 신뢰수준 내에서 새로운 구조요소의 피로수명을 예측하였다.

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Current Status and Characterization of CANDU Spent Fuel for Geological Disposal System Design (심지층 처분시스템 설계를 위한 중수로 사용후핵연료 현황 및 선원항 분석)

  • Cho, Dong-Keun;Lee, Seung-Woo;Cha, Jeong-Hun;Choi, Jong-Won;Lee, Yang;Choi, Heui-Joo
    • Journal of Nuclear Fuel Cycle and Waste Technology(JNFCWT)
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    • v.6 no.2
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    • pp.155-162
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    • 2008
  • Inventories to be disposed of, reference turnup, and source terms for CANDU spent fuel were evaluated for geological disposal system design. The historical and projected inventory by 2040 is expected to be 14,600 MtU under the condition of 30-year lifetime for unit 1 and 40-year lifetime for other units in Wolsong site. As a result of statistical analysis for discharge burnup of the spent fuels generated by 2007, average and stand deviation revealed 6,987 MWD/MtU and 1,167, respectively. From this result, the reference burnup was determined as 8,100 MWD/MtU which covers 84% of spent fuels in total. Source terms such as nuclide concentration for a long-term safety analysis, decay heat, thermo-mechanical analysis, and radiation intenity and spectrum was characterized by using ORIGEN-ARP containing conservativeness in the aspect of decay heat up to several thousand years. The results from this study will be useful for the design of storage and disposal facilities.

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Valuation and Optimal Timing of the Investment on Photovoltaic Generating Using Real Options (실물옵션을 이용한 태양광 발전사업 투자가치 평가 및 최적투자시기 결정)

  • Lee, Yong-Hyuk;Kim, Ji-Pyo
    • 한국IT서비스학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 2008.11a
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    • pp.108-111
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    • 2008
  • 최근 급격한 증가세를 보이고 있는 신재생에너지 사업중의 하나인 태양광 발전사업은 아직까지는 기술적, 사회적으로 초기 발전단계를 지나고 있다. 또한 원자재를 포함한 글로벌 실물경제의 변동성이 심하고 에너지 산업분야의 기술수준 역시 급변하고 있으며, 에너지 산업이 과거와 달리 자유경쟁 체제로 변화하고 있어서 태양광 발전사업의 가치를 평가하여 사업에 진입하고자 하는 의사결정을 갈수록 어렵게 하고 있다. 본 논문에서는 실물옵션 기반의 투자가치 평가방법을 적용하여 태양광 발전사업의 사업 투자가치와 최적투자시점을 분석한다. 전력판매가격과 초기투자비용 등의 불확실성에 대해 사업자가 대응 가능하도록 이항격자 모형을 통한 분석을 시도하고, 기존의 현금흐름할인법을 기반으로 한 사업성분석 결과와 비교하였다.

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A Study on the Korea's Digital Policy to Strengthen National Competitiveness (한국의 국가경쟁력 강화를 위한 디지털 정책 방안에 대한 연구)

  • Kyung-Hye PARK
    • Journal of Digital Convergence
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    • v.21 no.3
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    • pp.41-48
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    • 2023
  • As the 4th Industrial Revolution accelerates, the future of the economy faces new uncertainties, particularly around digital transformation. This shift is crucial in today's ICT-centric world. Korea, a significant contributor to global Manufacturing Value Added (MVA), is poised to expand its share. This paper examines Korea's digital transformation and its global economic competitiveness. By referencing world-renowned analyses, it compares Korea's competitive stance. As industries and economies are on the verge of a technological upheaval, understanding and preparing for these changes is vital for maximizing benefits. This paper also delves into the opportunities and policy challenges presented by digitization in the 4th Industrial Revolution era.

Trust Building Level and Linkage's Spatial Characteristics on Logistics & Storage Industry in the City of Busan (부산시 물류창고업의 신뢰형성 수준과 연계의 공간적 특성)

  • Sung, Sin-Je;Lee, Hee-Yul
    • Journal of the Economic Geographical Society of Korea
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    • v.12 no.4
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    • pp.454-476
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    • 2009
  • The purpose of this paper is to examine relation between trust building level and linkages's spatial characteristics on the logistics & storage industry of Busan. As a result, First, long-term & repeated interaction, information sharing & reciprocity, and interdependence & asset specificity have an important effect upon the micro trust which implies the highest trust. Proximity and uncertainty impact on the meso trust, the trust of middle level. Culture, norm, and formal institution of firms affect the macro trust, the lowest level of trust. Second, the micro, the meso, and the macro trusts mainly form in the local scale where spatial proximity is great. The higher the trust building levels become, the more spatial dimensions by linkage expand to national and international dimension, respectively. Third, these results appear more clearly in the output linkage than input linkage, in the service areas-many firm, in the horizontal linkage than vertical linkage, in the advanced evolution phases of firm connection, and in the supply chain management than outsourcing.

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