• Title/Summary/Keyword: $CBr_4$

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Optimization of Multiclass Support Vector Machine using Genetic Algorithm: Application to the Prediction of Corporate Credit Rating (유전자 알고리즘을 이용한 다분류 SVM의 최적화: 기업신용등급 예측에의 응용)

  • Ahn, Hyunchul
    • Information Systems Review
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    • v.16 no.3
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    • pp.161-177
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    • 2014
  • Corporate credit rating assessment consists of complicated processes in which various factors describing a company are taken into consideration. Such assessment is known to be very expensive since domain experts should be employed to assess the ratings. As a result, the data-driven corporate credit rating prediction using statistical and artificial intelligence (AI) techniques has received considerable attention from researchers and practitioners. In particular, statistical methods such as multiple discriminant analysis (MDA) and multinomial logistic regression analysis (MLOGIT), and AI methods including case-based reasoning (CBR), artificial neural network (ANN), and multiclass support vector machine (MSVM) have been applied to corporate credit rating.2) Among them, MSVM has recently become popular because of its robustness and high prediction accuracy. In this study, we propose a novel optimized MSVM model, and appy it to corporate credit rating prediction in order to enhance the accuracy. Our model, named 'GAMSVM (Genetic Algorithm-optimized Multiclass Support Vector Machine),' is designed to simultaneously optimize the kernel parameters and the feature subset selection. Prior studies like Lorena and de Carvalho (2008), and Chatterjee (2013) show that proper kernel parameters may improve the performance of MSVMs. Also, the results from the studies such as Shieh and Yang (2008) and Chatterjee (2013) imply that appropriate feature selection may lead to higher prediction accuracy. Based on these prior studies, we propose to apply GAMSVM to corporate credit rating prediction. As a tool for optimizing the kernel parameters and the feature subset selection, we suggest genetic algorithm (GA). GA is known as an efficient and effective search method that attempts to simulate the biological evolution phenomenon. By applying genetic operations such as selection, crossover, and mutation, it is designed to gradually improve the search results. Especially, mutation operator prevents GA from falling into the local optima, thus we can find the globally optimal or near-optimal solution using it. GA has popularly been applied to search optimal parameters or feature subset selections of AI techniques including MSVM. With these reasons, we also adopt GA as an optimization tool. To empirically validate the usefulness of GAMSVM, we applied it to a real-world case of credit rating in Korea. Our application is in bond rating, which is the most frequently studied area of credit rating for specific debt issues or other financial obligations. The experimental dataset was collected from a large credit rating company in South Korea. It contained 39 financial ratios of 1,295 companies in the manufacturing industry, and their credit ratings. Using various statistical methods including the one-way ANOVA and the stepwise MDA, we selected 14 financial ratios as the candidate independent variables. The dependent variable, i.e. credit rating, was labeled as four classes: 1(A1); 2(A2); 3(A3); 4(B and C). 80 percent of total data for each class was used for training, and remaining 20 percent was used for validation. And, to overcome small sample size, we applied five-fold cross validation to our dataset. In order to examine the competitiveness of the proposed model, we also experimented several comparative models including MDA, MLOGIT, CBR, ANN and MSVM. In case of MSVM, we adopted One-Against-One (OAO) and DAGSVM (Directed Acyclic Graph SVM) approaches because they are known to be the most accurate approaches among various MSVM approaches. GAMSVM was implemented using LIBSVM-an open-source software, and Evolver 5.5-a commercial software enables GA. Other comparative models were experimented using various statistical and AI packages such as SPSS for Windows, Neuroshell, and Microsoft Excel VBA (Visual Basic for Applications). Experimental results showed that the proposed model-GAMSVM-outperformed all the competitive models. In addition, the model was found to use less independent variables, but to show higher accuracy. In our experiments, five variables such as X7 (total debt), X9 (sales per employee), X13 (years after founded), X15 (accumulated earning to total asset), and X39 (the index related to the cash flows from operating activity) were found to be the most important factors in predicting the corporate credit ratings. However, the values of the finally selected kernel parameters were found to be almost same among the data subsets. To examine whether the predictive performance of GAMSVM was significantly greater than those of other models, we used the McNemar test. As a result, we found that GAMSVM was better than MDA, MLOGIT, CBR, and ANN at the 1% significance level, and better than OAO and DAGSVM at the 5% significance level.

Heavy Carbon Incorporation into High-Index GaAs (고농도로 탄소 도핑된 높은 밀러 지수 GaAs)

  • Son, Chang-Sik
    • Korean Journal of Materials Research
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    • v.13 no.11
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    • pp.717-720
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    • 2003
  • Heavily $p^{ +}$-typed ($10^{20}$ $cm^{-3}$ ) GaAs epilayers have been grown on high-index GaAs substrates with various crystallographic orientations from (100) to (111)A by a low-pressure metalorganic chemical vapor deposition. Carbon (C) tetrabromide (CBr$_4$) was used as a C source. At moderate growth temperatures and high V/III ratios, the hole concentration of C-doped GaAs epilayers shows the crystallographic orientation dependence. The bonding strength of As sites on a growing surface plays an important role in the C incorporation into the high-index GaAs substrates.

Design and Analysis of ATM-based Video Stream Switch for Supporting Digital Video Library Service (디지털 비디오 라이브러리 서비스를 지원하는 ATM-기반 비디오 스트림 스위치의 설계 및 분석)

  • Park, Byeong-Seop;Kim, Seong-Su
    • The KIPS Transactions:PartC
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    • v.8C no.2
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    • pp.164-172
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    • 2001
  • 최근 인터넷의 확산과 더불어 디지털 비디오 라이브러리(DVL : Digital Video Library) 서비스에 대한 관심이 고조되고 있다. 그러나 현재의 통신망 대역폭과 스위칭 환경 하에서는 종단간 QoS 보장하는데 많은 제약사항이 존재한다. 따라서 본 논문에서는 비디오 스트림 처리를 효율적으로 수행하여, 지연-처리율 특성을 만족할 수 있는 스트림 스위칭 구조를 제안하고 이에 대한 성능을 분석하였다. 제안된 ATM-기반 스트림 스위치는 각각 다중화되는 CBR(Constant Bit Rate) 및 VBR(Variable Bit Rate) 스트림의 QoS(Quality of Service)를 보장해야만 한다. 성능분석 결과는 제안된 스위치의 처리율이 r=4일 때 약 0.996의 값을 보였으며, 지연시간도 부하가 0.7 이하일 때 2미만으로 특정되었다. 이 결과는 제안된 구조가 적당한 입력 스트림의 그룹핑을 통하여 비디오 응용을 위한 처리율 및 지연 요구사항 QoS를 보장할 수 있음을 보여준다.

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A Study on Utilization Method of Paper Ash in Industrial Waste (산업폐기물인 제지회의 활용방안에 관한 연구)

  • Heo, Y.;Lee, C.K.;Lee, M.W.;Ahn, K.K.
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Safety
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    • v.14 no.4
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    • pp.135-141
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    • 1999
  • This study is an experimental study to investigate the possibility of the utilization of paper ash as the cover, liner in waste disposal landfill and other construction materials. The sample used in these tests was obtained from Daehan paper mill. A series of tests were peformed to evaluate basic properties, compaction, permeability, compressive strength, consolidation, leaching, and CBR of paper ash. In order to investigate the soil engineering properties of paper ash, the test results were compared with those obtained of fly ash. The results of unconfined compression tests show that paper ash had a larger strength than the fly ash. Also, the maximum dry unit weight of paper ash was approximately 59~76.9% less than that of the fly ash. It was found from the results of leaching test that paper ash is classified as non-detrimental general wastes according to the waste management law.

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The Estimation of Link Travel Speed Using Hybrid Neuro-Fuzzy Networks (Hybrid Neuro-Fuzzy Network를 이용한 실시간 주행속도 추정)

  • Hwang, In-Shik;Lee, Hong-Chul
    • Journal of Korean Institute of Industrial Engineers
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    • v.26 no.4
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    • pp.306-314
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    • 2000
  • In this paper we present a new approach to estimate link travel speed based on the hybrid neuro-fuzzy network. It combines the fuzzy ART algorithm for structure learning and the backpropagation algorithm for parameter adaptation. At first, the fuzzy ART algorithm partitions the input/output space using the training data set in order to construct initial neuro-fuzzy inference network. After the initial network topology is completed, a backpropagation learning scheme is applied to optimize parameters of fuzzy membership functions. An initial neuro-fuzzy network can be applicable to any other link where the probe car data are available. This can be realized by the network adaptation and add/modify module. In the network adaptation module, a CBR(Case-Based Reasoning) approach is used. Various experiments show that proposed methodology has better performance for estimating link travel speed comparing to the existing method.

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A WF-KMS Framework on the Semantic Web (시맨틱 웹을 이용한 워크플로우 기반의 지식관리 시스템 프레임워크)

  • Kwon Hyung-Cheol;Choi Doug-Won;Lee Dong-Cheol
    • Journal of Korean Society of Industrial and Systems Engineering
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    • v.27 no.4
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    • pp.69-76
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    • 2004
  • A framework for knowledge management system has been explored which enables the semantic search of knowledge on the web. Knowledge representation by RDF and RDF schema enables machine cognition of knowledge documents. Dublin core was adopted for structured metadata representation. Thereby, it enables the CBR and rule based reasoning for intelligent knowledge retrieval. Grafting of the WFMS technique unto the KMS facilitates the effective utilization of process knowledge and creation of new knowledge.

A Profit Prediction Model in the International Construction Market - focusing on Small and Medium Sized Construction Companies (CBR을 활용한 해외건설 수익성 예측 모델 개발 - 중소·중견기업을 중심으로 -)

  • Hwang, Geon Wook;Jang, woosik;Park, Chan-Young;Han, Seung-Heon;Kim, Jong Sung
    • Korean Journal of Construction Engineering and Management
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    • v.16 no.4
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    • pp.50-59
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    • 2015
  • While the international construction industry for Korean companies have grown in market size exponentially in the recent years, the profit rate of small and medium sized construction companies (SMCCs) are incomparably lower than those of large construction companies. Furthermore, small and medium size companies, especially subcontractor, lacks the judgement of project involvement appropriateness, which leads to an unpredictable profit rate. Therefore, this research aims to create a profit rate prediction model for the international construction project focusing on SMCCs. First, the factors that influence the profit rate and the area of profit zone are defined by using a total of 8,637 projects since the year 1965. Seconds, an extensive literature review is conducted to derive 10 influencing factors. Multiple regression analysis and corresponding judgement technique are used to derive the weight of each factor. Third, cased based reasoning (CBR) methodology is applied to develop the model for profit rate analysis in the project participation review stage. Using 120 validation data set, the developed model showed 11% (14 data sets) of error rate for type 1 and type 2 error. In utilizing the result, project decision makers are able to make decision based on authentic results instead of intuitive based decisions. The model additionally give guidance to the Korean subcontractors when advancing into the international construction based on the model result that shows the profit distribution and checks in advance for the quality of the project to secure a sound profit in each project.

Prediction Model for Gas-Energy Consumption using Ontology-based Breakdown Structure of Multi-Family Housing Complex (온톨로지 기반 공동주택 분류체계를 활용한 가스에너지 사용량 예측 모델)

  • Hong, Tae-Hoon;Park, Sung-Ki;Koo, Choong-Wan;Kim, Hyun-Joong;Kim, Chun-Hag
    • Korean Journal of Construction Engineering and Management
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    • v.12 no.6
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    • pp.110-119
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    • 2011
  • Global warming caused by excessive greenhouse gas emission is causing climate change all over the world. In Korea, greenhouse gas emission from residential buildings accounts for about 10% of gross domestic emission. Also, the number of deteriorated multi-family housing complexes is increasing. Therefore, the goal of this research is to establish the bases to manage energy consumption continuously and methodically during MR&R period of multi-family housings. The research process and methodologies are as follows. First, research team collected the data on project characteristics and energy consumption of multi-family housing complexes in Seoul. Second, an ontology-based breakdown structure was established with some primary characteristics affecting the energy consumption, which were selected by statistical analysis. Finally, a predictive model of energy consumption was developed based on the ontology-based breakdown structure, with application of CBR, ANN, MRA and GA. In this research, PASW (Predictive Analytics SoftWare) Statistics 18, Microsoft EXCEL, Protege 4.1 were utilized for data analysis and prediction. In future research, the model will be more continuous and methodical by developing the web-base system. And it has facility manager of government or local government, or multi-family housing complex make a decision with definite references regarding moderate energy consumption.

Design and performance evaluation of G.983.1 based on Dynamic UC Protocol for ATM-PON (ATM-PON에서의 G.983.1을 이용한 Dynamic MAC Protocol의 설계 및 성능평가)

  • Jang, Seong-Ho;Jang, Jong-Uk
    • The KIPS Transactions:PartC
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    • v.9C no.4
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    • pp.523-530
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    • 2002
  • Earlier efforts on optical access concentrated on the design of PONs for the collection and distribution portion of the access network. PON architecture is very simple but it requires MAC protocol for control of upstream traffic. This paper proposes a MAC protocol for a broadband access network using an ATM Passive Optical Network supporting CBR/rtYBR, nrtYBR, UBR and ABR traffic. For the proposed MAC scheme, we present grant field format, minislot format, and bandwidth allocation algorithm. From the simulation result, we have confirmed that our proposed scheme can reduce the average cell delay in comparison to that of conventional MAC schemes.

A Study on the Planning of Civil Defense Shelter and Design 4 - Focusing on the Applicability of Existing Facility - (민방위 대피시설 계획 및 설계 방안에 관한 연구 4 - 기존 시설물에 대한 활용가능성을 중심으로 -)

  • Park, Namkwun
    • Journal of the Society of Disaster Information
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    • v.11 no.3
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    • pp.400-405
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    • 2015
  • Operating system of CBRNE(Chemical, Biological, Radiological, Nuclear, and High-yield explosive)) weapon in North Korea has reached an internationally significant level. In preparation against the CBRNE weapon attack, the US is securing various forms of defense shelters and operating it based on classification by disaster characteristics. However, it is currently difficult to expect an efficient protective ability from South Korea due to the reckless designation of defense shelters without consideration of disaster characteristics. At this, this study examined the present condition of formerly used facilities, analyzed the characteristics of each facilities for the sorting of defense shelters that are possible of conversion into shelter against CBRNE weapon, and presented results and proposals gained through this study research.