Journal of Digital Convergence (디지털융복합연구)

The Society of Digital Policy and Management (한국디지털정책학회)
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Monthly Enrollment Change of Childcare Centers in South Korea

2015학년도 어린이집 월별 정원충족률 변화 분석을 통한 월별 통계자료 제공 필요성 논의

  • Yoo, Jae-Eon (Dept. of Human Development and Family Studies, Iowa State University)
  • 유재언 (아이오와주립대 인간발달가족학과)
  • Received : 2017.01.17
  • Accepted : 2017.03.20
  • Published : 2017.03.28
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Abstract

Enrollment rate of childcare centers is an important indicator that regulates supply and demand of childcare services in South Korea, but monthly enrollment rate difference of childcare centers has not been studied. This study examines monthly enrollment rate difference from March 2015 to February 2016. Data for this study is drawn from the Korean Childcare Centers database and includes information about 39,775 childcare centers. Enrollment rate had increased steadily from 71.8% in March 2015 to 84.4% in January 2016, whereas it decreased by 50.3% in February 2016. The result showed that enrollment rate difference between March 2015 and January 2016 is about 13%p, and even those of between January and February 2016 is 32%p. Taken together, these findings suggest that the supply and demand of childcare services need to be regulated based on monthly enrollment information.

본 연구에서는 공공데이터인 보육통합정보시스템의 자료를 활용하여 2015학년도에 지속적으로 운영된 어린이집 39,775개소(합동 관측사례 477,300개)의 월별 정원충족률 변화를 이원오차성분(혼합)모형으로 분석하였다. 분석 결과, 정원충족률은 2015년 3월 71.8%에서 2016년 1월 84.4%까지 꾸준히 상승하다가, 2016학년도를 앞둔 2016년 2월(50.3%)에만 일시적으로 급락하였다. 2015학년도 내에서도 3월과 이듬해 1월의 정원충족률은 12.5%p까지 차이가 났고, 1월과 2월의 정원충족률 차이는 32.2%p까지 벌어지는 것이다. 이는 각 년도 12월 말의 단일 시점에서의 어린이집 이용 현황만으로 작성되는 보건복지부 보육통계가 향후 월별 통계로 변경될 필요가 있다는 점을 시사한다. 또한, 어린이집 이용정도에 관한 월별 통계자료는 보육통합정보시스템의 공공데이터를 활용하여 구축 및 제공될 수 있을 것이다.

Keywords

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