• Title/Summary/Keyword: weighted average

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Study on Estimation of the Appropriate Social Discount Rate for Evaluating Public Investment Project (공공투자사업 평가의 적정 사회적할인율 추정에 관한 연구)

  • Jang, Byeong-Cheol;Son, Ui-Yeong;O, Mi-Yeong
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.28 no.2
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    • pp.65-75
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    • 2010
  • When the cost-benefit analysis is applied for social discount rate(SDR), the choice of SDR to be used in analysis is critical. One of the important issues when public investment project evaluate what is the SDR theory, so there have studied about SDR and no exact answer it so far. In this study, there are three of SDR theories that be estimated social time preference rate, social investment returns and the weighted average method from 1990s, 2000 to 2003 and 2004 to 2008.. First, social time preference method computes consumer's interest rate and the model of Pearce and Ulph(1999). Second, social investment returns method computes private returns of capital. Third, the weighted average method computes the model of Squire, L., Herman G. van der Tak(1975) and private consumption expense and the private investment expense. SDR is estimated in the rage between 2.4% and 3.9% from 2004 to 2008. It is not appropriate that the interest rate was unstable. But it is consider for social equity from present to future generations. Considering this things, downward need to the value of current SDR 5.5%.

A Spatio-Temporal Variation Pattern of Oiling Status Using Spatial Analysis in Mallipo Beach of Korea (공간분석 기법을 이용한 만리포 유분의 시·공간 변동 패턴 분석)

  • Kim, Tae-Hoon;Choi, Hyun-Woo;Kim, Moon-Koo;Shim, Won-Joon
    • Journal of the Korean Association of Geographic Information Studies
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    • v.15 no.4
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    • pp.90-103
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    • 2012
  • Mallipo is a representative beach contaminated by Hebei Spirit oil spill accident in December 2007. This study aims to compare the differences of two seasons (winter and summer) for the spatio-temporal variation patterns of oiling status in the whole area and divided five regions of Mallipo beach. In the whole area, the decreasing rate of average TPH (total petroleum hydrocarbon) in winter was twice greater than summer during four years. According to the spatial variation pattern analysis of oiling status using weighted mean center and weighted standard distance, the oil concentration was clustered on southwestern region in winter, however, the TPH was dispersed in the whole area in summer. Temporal variation pattern of TPH in each of Mallipo's five regions showed that TPH had been consistently decreased in winter, but oil concentration had not been changed in summer since 2009 except the southwestern region. Therefore, in order to evaluate and predict the progress of oiling status, it is needed to analyze the spatio-temporal variation pattern of TPH using spatial analysis after separating data into seasons (e.g., winter and summer). In addition, time series analysis is useful in the regional scales through spatial partitioning rather than the whole beach area for the understanding of temporal variation pattern.

A MODIFIED SOLUTION PROCEDURE FOR THE ELLIPTIC-TYPE CONDITIONAL MOMENT CLOSURE MODEL IN NONPREMIXED TURBULENT REACTING FLOW

  • Liu, Tao;Huh, Kang-Yul
    • 한국연소학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 1997.06a
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    • pp.113-122
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    • 1997
  • The conditional moment closure formulation considering the molecular and turbulent diffusion is derived. A simplified solution procedure is proposed to reduce the computational burden due to the increased dimensionality of the conditionally averaged variables. A conditionally averaged variable is expressed as a linear weighted average of the two extremes, 'no reaction' and 'equilibrium' states. The modified elliptic-type conditional moment closure formulation is implemented to simulate a two dimensional nonpremixed mixing layer reacting flow. Results show good agreement for the conditional averages of the species concentration in Bilger et al.

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Impact of Special Causes on EWMA Feedback Process Adjustment (EWMA 피드백 공정 조정에서 이상원인의 영향)

  • 이재준;전상표;이종선
    • Journal of Korean Society for Quality Management
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    • v.31 no.2
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    • pp.183-193
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    • 2003
  • A special cause producing temporary deviation in the underlying process can influence on process adjustment in responsive feedback control system. In this paper, the impact of special causes on the EWMA(Exponentially Weighted Moving Average) forecasts and the process adjustment that is based on the EWMA forecasts are derived. For some special causes with patterned type of contamination, the influence of the causes on the output process are explicitly investigated. A data set, contaminated by a special cause of level shift, is analyzed to evaluate the impact numerically.

Control and Aggregation (I)

  • Han, Sung-Shin
    • Journal of the Korean Statistical Society
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    • v.8 no.2
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    • pp.139-163
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    • 1979
  • Utilization of the aggregation concept applied in economics has been a traditional way of describing the state of an economic system and of predicting the future economic conditions. In addition, certain aggregate variables have also played a crucial role as indicators of the business cycle. Quick examples would be the price index, the productivity changes, the industrial production index, GNP, and so on. The methods of aggregation could be either simple summations, like GNP, or sophisticated weighted average, like the price index.

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Estimating method of Customer Baseline Load for an Evaluation of Demand Response Program (수요반응 프로그램 평가를 위한 CBL 추정 방법)

  • Wi, Young-Min;Kim, Ji-Hui;Joo, Sung-Kwan
    • Proceedings of the KIEE Conference
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    • 2009.07a
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    • pp.551_552
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    • 2009
  • 본 논문에서는 수요반응 프로그램 설계 시 프로그램의 효과를 평가할 때 사용되는 CBL (Customer Baseline Load)의 추정방법으로 일기보정을 고려한 가중이동평균법 (Weighted Moving Average)을 제시하였다. 또한 제안된 방법을 PJM에서 관리하는 지역 전력 수요 데이터를 이용한 사례연구 수행 결과를 예시하였다.

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Stability Analysis of Networked Control Systems with Packet Dropouts (패킷 손실을 고려한 네트워크 제어 시스템의 안정성 분석)

  • Kim, Jae-Man;Park, Jin-Bae;Choi, Yoon-Ho
    • Proceedings of the KIEE Conference
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    • 2009.07a
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    • pp.1731_1732
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    • 2009
  • This paper presents a stability analysis of networked control systems with packet dropouts. The packet dropouts are modeled as a linear function of the stochastic variable satisfying Bernoulli random binary distribution and weighted moving average (WMA). The observer based controller scheme is designed to exponentially mean square stabilize the NCS. Simulation results is provided to show the applicability of the proposed method.

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Optimal channel allocation for cellular mobile system with nonuniform traffic distribution

  • Kim, Sehun;Chang, Kun-Nyeong
    • Proceedings of the Korean Operations and Management Science Society Conference
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    • 1994.04a
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    • pp.303-312
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    • 1994
  • The problem of optimally allocating available communication channels in a cellular mobile system with nonuniform traffic distribution is considered. This problem is to minimize the weighted average blocking probability subject to cochannel interference constraints. We use the concept of pattern to deal with the problem more conveniently. Using Lagrangian relaxation and subgradient optimization techniques, we obtain high-quality solutions with information about their deviations from true optimal solutions. Computational experiments show that our method works very well.

Exact Variance of Location Estimator in One-Way Random Effect Models with Two Distint Group Sizes

  • Lee, Young-Jo;Chung, Han-Yeong
    • Journal of the Korean Statistical Society
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    • v.18 no.2
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    • pp.118-124
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    • 1989
  • In the one-way random effect model, we often estimate the variance components by the ANOVA method and then estimate the population mean. Whe there are only two distint group sizes, the conventional mean estimator is represented as a weighted average of two normal means with weights being the function of variance component estimators. In this paper, we will study a method which can compute the exact variance of the mean estimator when we set the negative variance component estimate to zero.

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New Splitting Criteria for Classification Trees

  • Lee, Yung-Seop
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.8 no.3
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    • pp.885-894
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    • 2001
  • Decision tree methods is the one of data mining techniques. Classification trees are used to predict a class label. When a tree grows, the conventional splitting criteria use the weighted average of the left and the right child nodes for measuring the node impurity. In this paper, new splitting criteria for classification trees are proposed which improve the interpretablity of trees comparing to the conventional methods. The criteria search only for interesting subsets of the data, as opposed to modeling all of the data equally well. As a result, the tree is very unbalanced but extremely interpretable.

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