• Title/Summary/Keyword: weather change

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Computation of Criterion Rainfall for Urban Flood by Logistic Regression (로지스틱 회귀에 의한 도시 침수발생의 한계강우량 산정)

  • Kim, Hyun Il;Han, Kun Yeun
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.39 no.6
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    • pp.713-723
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    • 2019
  • Due to the climate change and various rainfall pattern, it is difficult to estimate a rainfall criterion which cause inundation for urban drainage districts. It is necessary to examine the result of inundation analysis by considering the detailed topography of the watershed, drainage system, and various rainfall scenarios. In this study, various rainfall scenarios were considered with the probabilistic rainfall and Huff's time distribution method in order to identify the rainfall characteristics affecting the inundation of the Hyoja drainage basin. Flood analysis was performed with SWMM and two-dimensional inundation analysis model and the parameters of SWMM were optimized with flood trace map and GA (Genetic Algorithm). By linking SWMM and two-dimensional flood analysis model, the fitness ratio between the existing flood trace and simulated inundation map turned out to be 73.6 %. The occurrence of inundation according to each rainfall scenario was identified, and the rainfall criterion could be estimated through the logistic regression method. By reflecting the results of one/two dimensional flood analysis, and AWS/ASOS data during 2010~2018, the rainfall criteria for inundation occurrence were estimated as 72.04 mm, 146.83 mm, 203.06 mm in 1, 2 and 3 hr of rainfall duration repectively. The rainfall criterion could be re-estimated through input of continuously observed rainfall data. The methodology presented in this study is expected to provide a quantitative rainfall criterion for urban drainage area, and the basic data for flood warning and evacuation plan.

A Statistical Analysis of External Force on Electric Pole due to Meteorological Conditions (기상현상에 의한 전주 외력의 통계적 분석)

  • Park, Chul Young;Shin, Chang Sun;Cho, Yong Yun;Kim, Young Hyun;Park, Jang Woo
    • KIPS Transactions on Computer and Communication Systems
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    • v.6 no.11
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    • pp.437-444
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    • 2017
  • Electric Pole is a supporting beam used for power transmission/distribution which is sensitive to external force change of environmental factors. Therefore, power facilities have many difficulties in terms of maintenance/conservation from external environmental changes and natural disasters that cause a great economic impact. The aerial wire cause elasticity due to the influence of temperature, or factors such as wind speed and wind direction, that weakens the electric pole. The situation may lead to many safety risk in day-to-day life. But, the safety assessment of the pole is carried out at the design stage, and aftermath is not considered. For the safety and maintenance purposes, it is very important to analyze the influence of weather factors on external forces periodically. In this paper, we analyze the acceleration data of the sensor nodes installed in electric pole for maintenance/safety purpose and use Kalman filter as noise compensation method. Fast Fourier Transform (FFT) is performed to analyze the influence of each meteorological factor, along with the meteorological factors on frequency components. The result of the analysis shows that the temperature, humidity, solar radiation, hour of daylight, air pressure, wind direction and wind speed were influential factors. In this paper, the influences of meteorological factors on frequency components are different, and it is thought that it can be an important factor in achieving the purpose of safety and maintenance.

Flood Forecasting and Warning System using Real-Time Hydrologic Observed Data from the Jungnang Stream Basin (실시간 수문관측자료에 의한 돌발 홍수예경보 시스템 -중랑천 유역을 중심으로-)

  • Lee, Jong-Tae;Seo, Kyung-A;Hur, Sung-Chul
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.43 no.1
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    • pp.51-65
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    • 2010
  • We suggest a simple and practical flood forecasting and warning system, which can predict change in the water level of a river in a small to medium-size watershed where flash flooding occurs in a short time. We first choose the flood defense target points, through evaluation of the flood risk of dike overflow and lowland inundation. Using data on rainfall, and on the water levels at the observed and prediction points, we investigate the interrelations and derive a regression formula from which we can predict the flood level at the target points. We calculate flood water levels through a calibrated flood simulation model for various rainfall scenarios, to overcome the shortage of real water stage data, and these results as basic population data are used to derive a regression formula. The values calculated from the regression formula are modified by the weather condition factor, and the system can finally predict the flood stages at the target points for every leading time. We also investigate the applicability of the prediction procedure for real flood events of the Jungnang Stream basin, and find the forecasting values to have close agreement with the surveyed data. We therefore expect that this suggested warning scheme could contribute usefully to the setting up of a flood forecasting and warning system for a small to medium-size river basin.

Vulnerability Analysis in the Nakdong River Basin for the Utilization of Flood Risk Mapping (홍수위험지도 활용을 위한 낙동강 유역에서의 홍수취약도 분석)

  • Kim, Tae-Hyung;Han, Kun-Yeun;Cho, Wan-Hee
    • Journal of the Korean Association of Geographic Information Studies
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    • v.14 no.3
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    • pp.203-222
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    • 2011
  • The characteristics of flood damages have been increasingly strengthened and take the form of unpredictable and unusual weather phenomena caused by climate change and climate anomalies. To prevent inundation damage caused by breach of hydraulic structure such as dam or levee, and trouble of drainage of inner basin, the prediction necessity of flood inundation area, flood risk analysis, and drawing flood risk maps have been on the rise, and the national flood risk maps have been produced. In this study, the quantitative flood vulnerability analysis was performed, which represents population living within flood-affected areas, types of economic activities, facilities affected by flood, in order to extend flood risk mapping from simple hazard concept into risk based idea. By applying it to Nakdong River basin, the flood vulnerability indices were estimated to draw flood risk maps subdivided into administrative districts. The result of this study can be applied to establish the disaster prevention measures and priority decision of disaster prevention project.

Development of an Integrated DB Management System for GIS-Based Client/Server Data Sharing in Climate and Environment Fields (GIS기반의 기후·환경 분야 자료 공유를 위한 Client/Server 방식의 통합DB 관리시스템 개발)

  • Choi, Yong-Kuk;Kim, Kye-Hyun;Lee, Chol-Young
    • Journal of the Korean Association of Geographic Information Studies
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    • v.17 no.2
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    • pp.32-43
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    • 2014
  • To identify major causes of the global environment changes arising from extreme and unusual weather patterns occurring these days, and to foresee future environmental changes, it is highly important to shed light on the correlation between climate changes and global environment system. To investigate the correlation between climate changes and global environment system, it calls for establishing an integrated climate-environment DB for analyzing comparatively the data on climatic changes and global environment system. In the preceding studies, we researched an XML-based integrated climate-environment DB and developed a management system for the DB. However, the existing integrated climate-environment DB, designed and installed only for individual PCs, does not allow multiple users 'simultaneous access. Accordingly, it fails to systematically update and sharing data which is being generated continuingly. Hence, this study aims to develop an easy-to-use GIS-based integrated DB management system by improving the existing integrated climate-environment DB through the adoption of the client/server model. For this, this study collected and analyzed climate and environment data prior to designing and building a DBMS-based integrated DB. In addition, in order for multidisciplinary researchers to easily get access and apply the integrated DB, this study designed and developed a GIS-based integrated DB management system using a client/server model which facilitates connections with multiple PCs. The GIS-based integrated climate-environment DB management system makes it easier to efficiently manage and locate scattered climate-environment data. It is also expected that the DB system will bring the effects in saving time and cost by avoiding the overlapping generation of data in the areas of integrated climate-environment research.

Cause-based Categorization of the Riparian Vegetative Recruitment and Corresponding Research Direction (하천식생 이입현상의 원인 별 유형화 및 연구 방향)

  • Woo, Hyoseop;Park, Moonhyeong
    • Ecology and Resilient Infrastructure
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    • v.3 no.3
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    • pp.207-211
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    • 2016
  • This study focuses on the categorization of the phenomenon of vegetative recruitment on riparian channels, so called, the phenomenon from "white river" to "green river", and proposes for the corresponding research direction. According to the literature review and research outputs obtained from the authors' previous research performed in Korea within a limited scope, the necessary and sufficient conditions for the recruitment and retrogression of riparian vegetation may be the mechanical disturbance (riverbed tractive stress), soil moisture (groundwater level, topography, composition of riverbed material, precipitation etc.), period of submergence, extreme weather, and nutrient inflow. In this study, two categories, one for the reduction in spring flood due to the change in spring precipitation pattern in unregulated rivers and the other for the increase in nutrient inflow into streams, both of which were partially proved, have been added in the categorization of the vegetative recruitment and retrogression on the riparian channels. In order to scientifically investigate further the phenomenon of the riparian vegetative recruitment and retrogression and develop the working riparian vegetative models, it is necessary to conduct a systematic nationwide survey on the "white to green" rivers, establishment of the categorization of the vegetation recruitment and retrogression based on the proof of those hypotheses and detailed categorization, development of the working mathematical models for the dynamic riparian vegetative recruitment and retrogression, and adaptive management for the river changes.

Time-series Analysis of Pyroclastic Flow Deposit and Surface Temperature at Merapi Volcano in Indonesia Using Landsat TM and ETM+ (Landsat TM과 ETM+를 이용한 인도네시아 메라피 화산의 화산쇄설물 분포와 지표 온도 시계열 분석)

  • Cho, Minji;Lu, Zhong;Lee, Chang-Wook
    • Korean Journal of Remote Sensing
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    • v.29 no.5
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    • pp.443-459
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    • 2013
  • Located on Java subduction zone, Merapi volcano is an active stratovolcano with a volcanic activity cycle of 1-5 years. Merapi's eruptions were relatively small with VEI 1-3. However, the most recent eruption occurred in 2010 was quite violent with VEI 4 and 386 people were killed. In this study, we have attempted to study the characteristics of Merapi's eruptions during 18 years using optical Landsat images. We have collected a total of 55 Landsat images acquired from July 6, 1994 to September 1, 2012 to identify pyroclastic flows and their temporal changes from false color images. To extract areal extents of pyroclastic flows, we have performed supervised classification after atmospheric correction by using COST model. As a result, the extracted dimensions of pyroclastic flows are nearly identical to the CVP monthly reports. We have converted the thermal band of Landsat TM and ETM+ to the surface temperature using NASA empirical formula and calculated time-series of the mean surface temperature in the area of peak temperature surrounding the crater. The mean surface temperature around the crater repeatedly showed the tendency to rapidly rise before eruptions and cool down after eruptions. Although Landsat satellite images had some limitations due to weather conditions, these images were useful tool to observe the precursor changes in surface temperature before eruptions and map the pyroclastic flow deposits after eruptions at Merapi volcano.

Analysis of runoff speed depending on the structure of stormwater pipe networks (우수관망 구조에 따른 유출 속도 분석)

  • Lee, Jinwoo;Chung, Gunhui
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.51 no.2
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    • pp.121-129
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    • 2018
  • Rainfall falling in the impervious area of the cities flows over the surface and into the stormwater pipe networks to be discharged from the catchment. Therefore, it is very important to determine the size of stormwater pipes based on the peak discharge to mitigate urban flood. Climate change causes the severe rainfall in the small area, then the peak rainfall can not be discharged due to the capacity of the stormwater pipes and causes the urban flood for the short time periods. To mitigate these type of flood, the large stormwater pipes have to be constructed. However, the economic factor is also very important to design the stormwater pipe networks. In this study, 4 urban catchments were selected from the frequently flooded cities. Rainfall data from Seoul and Busan weather stations were applied to calculate runoff from the catchments using SWMM model. The characteristics of the peak runoff were analyzed using linear regression model and the 95% confidence interval and the coefficient of variation was calculated. The drainage density was calculated and the runoff characteristics were analyzed. As a result, the drainage density were depended on the structure of stormwater pipe network whether the structures are dendritic or looped. As the drainage density become higher, the runoff could be predicted more accurately. it is because the possibility of flooding caused by the capacity of stormwater pipes is decreased when the drainage density is high. It would be very efficient if the structure of stormwater pipe network is considered when the network is designed.

Overview of new developments in satellite geophysics in 'Earth system' research

  • Moon Wooil M.
    • 한국지구물리탐사학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 2004.06a
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    • pp.3-17
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    • 2004
  • Space-borne Earth observation technique is one of the most cost effective and rapidly advancing Earth science research tools today and the potential field and micro-wave radar applications have been leading the discipline. The traditional optical imaging systems including the well known Landsat, NOAA - AVHRR, SPOT, and IKONOS have steadily improved spatial imaging resolution but increasing cloud covers have the major deterrent. The new Earth observation satellites ENVISAT (launched on March 1 2002, specifically for Earth environment observation), ALOS (planned for launching in 2004 - 2005 period and ALOS stands for Advanced Land Observation Satellite), and RADARSAT-II (planned for launching in 2005) all have synthetic aperture radar (SAR) onboard, which all have partial or fully polarimetric imaging capabilities. These new types of polarimetric imaging radars with repeat orbit interferometric capabilities are opening up completely new possibilities in Earth system science research, in addition to the radar altimeter and scatterometer. The main advantage of a SAR system is the all weather imaging capability without Sun light and the newly developed interferometric capabilities, utilizing the phase information in SAR data further extends the observation capabilities of directional surface covers and neotectonic surface displacements. In addition, if one can utilize the newly available multiple frequency polarimetric information, the new generation of space-borne SAR systems is the future research tool for Earth observation and global environmental change monitoring. The potential field strength decreases as a function of the inverse square of the distance between the source and the observation point and geophysicists have traditionally been reluctant to make the potential field observation from any space-borne platforms. However, there have recently been a number of potential field missions such as ASTRID-2, Orsted, CHAMP, GRACE, GOCE. Of course these satellite sensors are most effective for low spatial resolution applications. For similar objects, AMPERE and NPOESS are being planned by the United States and France. The Earth science disciplines which utilize space-borne platforms most are the astronomy and atmospheric science. However in this talk we will focus our discussion on the solid Earth and physical oceanographic applications. The geodynamic applications actively being investigated from various space-borne platforms geological mapping, earthquake and volcano .elated tectonic deformation, generation of p.ecise digital elevation model (DEM), development of multi-temporal differential cross-track SAR interferometry, sea surface wind measurement, tidal flat geomorphology, sea surface wave dynamics, internal waves and high latitude cryogenics including sea ice problems.

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A Study of the Development of a Korea Wind Chill Temperature Index (II) - A Preliminary Study of the Development of the Korea Wind Chill Temperature Index - (한국형 체감온도지수 개발연구(II) - 체감온도지수 개발을 위한 예비실험 -)

  • Park, Jong-Kil;Jung, Woo-Sik;Kim, Byung-Soo;Yoon, Sook-Hee;Lee, Jong-Tae;Nam, Jae-Cheol;Ryoo, Sang-Boom;Kim, Eun-Byul;Park, Gil-Un;Song, Jeong-Hui
    • Journal of the Korean earth science society
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    • v.28 no.7
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    • pp.891-902
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    • 2007
  • This paper aims to develop a Korea wind chill temperature index using an experimental method. For this, the researchers carried out a preliminary experiment in order to of for provisions necessary for the selection and safety of test participants, accuracy of experiment, and readiness for various situations that may occur during experiment. The researchers also investigated test subjects' safety and experiment conditions in which wind speed changes from calm condition into strong wind speed condition under the constant air temperature of $5^{\circ}C$. The results of this study are as follows. With regard to the variation of facial skin temperature such as forehead, cheek, nose, and chin, the skin temperature of cheek closely appears to depend on the change of air temperature and wind speed, exhibit a stable variation trend of skin temperature, and indicate the lowest temperature than any other facial parts. The skin temperature of women tends to be more sensitive than that of man and the skin temperature of human tends to decrease at weak wind speed under constant air temperature. It was also found that it is not necessary to take the influence of standard wind speed into consideration when a wind chill index is developed.