• Title/Summary/Keyword: var model

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Series Line Compensation through Voltage Source Inverter (전압원 인버터에 의한 선로의 직렬보상)

  • 한병문;한경희;신익상;강중구
    • Proceedings of the KIPE Conference
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    • 1997.07a
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    • pp.299-302
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    • 1997
  • This paper describes a dynamic var compensator to compensate the line reactance for power transmission and distribution system. The compensator consists of a voltage source inverter with dc capacitor, coupling transformers, and control circuit. The operation of compensator was verified by computer simulations with EMPT and experimental works with a scaled hardware model. The advantage of the proposed system is rapid and continuous regulation of the reactive power.

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Development reactive power compensation system model for power factor (역률제어용 무효전력 보상설비 모델 개발)

  • Choi, Ho-Seok
    • Proceedings of the KIPE Conference
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    • 2015.07a
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    • pp.423-424
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    • 2015
  • 전압 안정도를 향상 시키고 무효전력을 보상하는 방법 중 하나로 정지형 무효전력보상설비(SVC, Static Var Compensator)를 사용한다. 특히, 전기로(EAF, Electric Arc Furnace) 등 비선형 부하가 주를 이루는 철강 민수 사업자의 부하는 단시간 내에 전류 변화가 급격히 일어나며 큰 전압 변동을 일으키므로 무효전력 보상설비를 적용하여 안정적인 전력을 공급하고 전력 품질을 확보해야 할 필요가 있다. 본 논문에서는 LS-Nikko 동제련 온산 공장에 역률 보상을 목적으로 무효전력을 제어하기 위한 ${\pm}100[MVar]$ SVC 시스템 모델을 소개하고, 그 특성에 대한 이해를 돕고자 한다.

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A Study on the Seasonal Effects of the Tourism Demand Forecasting Models (관광 수요 예측 모형의 계절효과에 대한 연구)

  • Kim, Sahm;Lee, Ju-Hyoung
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.24 no.1
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    • pp.93-102
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    • 2011
  • In this paper, we compared the performance of the several time series models for tourism demand forecasting. We showed that seasonal effects in the data(Japan, China, USA, and Philippines) exist in the tourism data and the forecasting accuracies are compared by the RMSE criterion.

Modeling Knot Properties for Mongolian Pine in Northeast China

  • Jia, Weiwei;Li, Fengri;Jiang, Lichun
    • Journal of Korean Society of Forest Science
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    • v.97 no.5
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    • pp.485-491
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    • 2008
  • This study was performed in 14 unthinned Mongolian pine (Pinus sylvestris L. var. mongolica Litvin) plantations in northeast China. Data were collected on 70 sample trees of different canopy position with diameter at breast height (DBH) ranging from 6.9 cm to 34.5 cm. Diameter and length of knots per whorl below the living crown were studied by different vertical levels divided by relative knot height (RHK) in this paper. Models taking DBH and height to the crown base (HCB) as independent variables were developed to predict knot diameter (KD) in a sample whorl. According to the vertical distribution tendency and range of sound knot length (KLsound), KLsound was modeled as multiple linear function of DBH, KD and relative knot height (RHK). The loose knot length (KLloose) was described as a function of DBH, KD and height above the ground for knots (HK) in a mixed log-linear model. Results from this study can provide abundant knot information so as to describe the knot size and vertical distribution tendency of Mongolian pine plantation.

An Empirical Analysis on the Relationship Between Income Inequality and Economic Growth (소득불평등과 경제성장의 상호영향력 분석)

  • Yoon, Jai-Hyung
    • Asia-Pacific Journal of Business
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    • v.8 no.2
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    • pp.15-30
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    • 2017
  • This study analyzes the relationship between income inequality and economic growth. Gini coefficient (market income), the deciles income inequality index and per capita real GDP were analyzed. Furthermore, various cointegration tests were tried to improve the reliability of the test results. From the weak exogeniety test of between per capita real GDP and the Gini coefficient (market income), per capita real GDP has a weak exogeneity while the Gini coefficient is endogenous. From the various cointegration tests, we found out that there is a cointegration between Gini coefficient and per capita real GDP. Moreover, it is estimated that per capita real GDP has a positive effect on the Gini coefficient (market income). In the VAR Granger causal analysis, per capita real GDP affects the Gini coefficient (market income), but it is difficult to say that the Gini coefficient (market income) always has an effect on per capita real GDP. Also, the impulse-response function of the VAR model shows that per capita real GDP temporarily reduces the Gini coefficient (market income), and then increases it over time. Accordingly, it is necessary for the policies to improve not only the distribution structure but also income distribution through economic growth.

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The Effect of Exchange Rates and Interest Rates of Four Large Economies on the Health of Banks in ASEAN-3

  • PURWONO, Rudi;TAMTELAHITU, Jopie;MUBIN, M. Khoerul
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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    • v.7 no.10
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    • pp.591-599
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    • 2020
  • This study examines how the health of the banks in ASEAN-3 countries namely Indonesia, Malaysia and Thailand respond to the change in exchange rates and foreign interest rates in four large economies. The transmissions of the two external factors through domestic factors in each ASEAN-3 countries eventually affects Non-Performing Loan (NPL) of commercial banks. This study uses the monthly time series data and the renowned Structural Vector Autoregressive (VAR) model comprising five variables, namely exchange rate, foreign interest rate, domestic interest rate, money supply, and non-performing loan (NPL). The results indicate that there are different effects between ASEAN-3 countries, which can be classified as short-run effect and long-run effect. In the long run effect, external factors have a dominant role in determining NPL in ASEAN-3 countries. Yuan has the biggest effect on Malaysia's NPL, while Indonesia is more affected by European interest rates rather than the fluctuation of the US currency and China's interest rates. Among ASEAN-3 countries, Malaysia is the one that is the most vulnerable to external factors. While Thailand's NPL is affected dominantly by domestic factors. This study shows that the Fed Funds Rate (US official interest rate) is not always the dominant factor affecting the health of domestic banks in ASEAN-3.

The Impact of COVID-19 on Individual Industry Sectors: Evidence from Vietnam Stock Exchange

  • TU, Thi Hoang Lan;HOANG, Tri M.
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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    • v.8 no.7
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    • pp.91-101
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    • 2021
  • The paper examines the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on the stock market prices. The vector autoregression model (VAR) has been used in this analysis to survey 341 stocks on the Ho Chi Minh City Stock Exchange (HOSE) for the period from January 23, 2020 to December 31, 2020. The empirical results obtained from the analysis of 11 economic sectors suggest that there is a statistically significant impact relationship between COVID-19 and the healthcare and utility industries. Additional findings show a statistically significant negative impact of COVID-19 on the utility share price at lag 1. Analysis of impulse response function (IRF) and forecast error variance decomposition (FEVD) show an inverse reaction of utility stock prices to the impact of COVID-19 and a gradual disappearing shock after two steps. Major findings show that there is a clear negative effect of the COVID-19 pandemic on share prices, and the daily increase in the number of confirmed cases, indicate that, in future disease outbreaks, early containment measures and positive responses are necessary conditions for governments and nations to protect stock markets from excessive depreciation. Utility stocks are among the most severely impacted shares on financial exchanges during a pandemic due to the high risk of immediate or irreversible closure of manufacturing lines and poor demand for basic amenities.

The Effect of Trade Openness on Foreign Direct Investment in Vietnam

  • LIEN, Nguyen Thi Kim
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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    • v.8 no.3
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    • pp.111-118
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    • 2021
  • The purpose of this paper is to study the impact of trade openness on foreign direct investment (FDI) inflows into Vietnam, an emerging country with relatively high trade openness in recent years. The study used the vector autoregression (VAR) model to examine the impact of trade openness on FDI in Vietnam, in the period from 2005 to 2019. The research data are time-series data, with quarterly frequency, from 2005:Q4 to 2019:Q3. The FDI data were collected by International Financial Statistics. The data of trade openness were calculated based on Vietnam's export, import, and GDP data collected by the General Statistics Office of Vietnam. The estimated result shows that the trade openness has a positive effect on FDI. The current FDI is heavily influenced by FDI in the past with an average explanation of 74%. The main findings indicate that trade openness has a positive effect on FDI inflows into Vietnam. The findings also show that FDI in Vietnam is significantly affected by the shocks of the FDI itself in the past. The findings of the study suggest the Vietnamese Government improves the quality of trade openness and FDI, continues and maintains economic relations with other countries to increase trade openness.

The Relationship Between Oil Price Fluctuations, Power Sector Returns, and COVID-19: Evidence from Pakistan

  • AHMED, Sajjad;MOHAMMAD, Khalil Ullah
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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    • v.9 no.3
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    • pp.33-42
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    • 2022
  • Oil prices have become more volatile as a result of global economic contraction and control measures. Before and during the COVID-19 crisis, this study examines the relationship between oil price swings and daily stock returns in the power sector. The impact is investigated using a panel Vector Autoregressive (VAR) model. Granger causality tests are used to see if oil prices are effective in predicting returns. The dynamic impact of supply shocks is studied using Impulse Response Functions (IRFs). From January 2011 to May 2021, the study used daily data from all listed power sector enterprises on the Pakistan stock exchange. To investigate the differences in reactions between the Pre-COVID and COVID eras, the sample was separated into two groups. Oil shocks are inversely associated with daily firm stock returns. The conclusions are further supported by the lack of impact of stock prices on oil prices. The relationship, however, deteriorates during the COVID pandemic. We could not uncover any evidence of a significant relationship. In developing countries that rely on oil imports, the study sheds light on the utility of oil price shocks in daily stock return predictions.

A Causality Analysis of the Hairtail Price by Distribution Channel Using a Vector Autoregressive Model (VAR 모형을 이용한 유통단계별 갈치가격의 인과성 분석)

  • Kim, Cheol-Hyun;Nam, Jong-Oh
    • The Journal of Fisheries Business Administration
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    • v.46 no.1
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    • pp.93-107
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    • 2015
  • This study aims to analyze causalities among Hairtail prices by distribution channel using a vector autoregressive model. This study applies unit-root test for stability of data, uses Granger causality test to know interaction among Hairtail Prices by distribution channel, and employes the vector autoregressive model to estimate statistical impacts among t-2 period variables used in model. Analyzing results of this study are as follows. First, ADF, PP, and KPSS tests show that the change rate of Hairtail price by distribution channel differentiated by logarithm is stable. Second, a Granger causality test presents that the producer price of Hairtail leads the wholesale price and then the wholesale price leads the consumer price. Third, the vector autoregressive model suggests that the change rate of Hairtail producer price of t-2 period variables statistically, significantly impacts change rates of own, wholesale, and consumer prices at current period. Fourth, the impulse response analysis indicates that impulse responses of the structural shocks with a respectively distribution channel of the Hairtail prices are relatively more powerful in own distribution channel than in other distribution channels. Fifth, a forecast error variance decomposition of the Hairtail prices points out that the own price has relatively more powerful influence than other prices.