• Title/Summary/Keyword: unbiasedness

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Mixed $H_2/H_{\infty}$ Finite Memory Controls for Output Feedback Controls of Discrete-time State-Space Systems

  • Ahn, Choon-Ki;Han, Soo-Hee;Kwon, Wook-Hyun
    • 제어로봇시스템학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 2005.06a
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    • pp.529-534
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    • 2005
  • In this paper, a new type of output feedback control, called a $H_2/H_{\infty}$ fnite memory control (FMC), is proposed for deterministic state space systems. Constraints such as linearity, unbiasedness property, and finite memory structure with respect to an input and an output are required in advance to design $H_2/H_{\infty}$ FMC in addition to the performance criteria in both $H_2$ and $H_{\infty}$ sense. It is shown that $H_2$, $H_{\infty}$, and mixed $H_2/H_{\infty}$ FMC design problems can be converted into convex programming problems written in terms of linear matrix inequalities (LMIs) with some linear equality constraints. Through simulation study, it is illustrated that the proposed $H_2/H_{\infty}$ FMC is more robust against uncertainties and faster in convergence than the existing $H_2/H_{\infty}$ output feedback control schemes.

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Doubly Robust Imputation Using Auxiliary Information (보조 정보에 의한 이중적 로버스트 대체법)

  • Park, Hyeon-Ah;Jeon, Jong-Woo;Na, Seong-Ryong
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.18 no.1
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    • pp.47-55
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    • 2011
  • Ratio and regression imputations depend on the model of a survey variable and the relation between the survey variable and auxiliary variables. If the model is not true, the unbiasedness of the estimator using the ratio or regression imputation cannot be guaranteed. In this paper, we develop the doubly robust imputation, which satisfies the approximate unbiasedness of the estimator, whether the model assumption is valid or not. The proposed imputation increases the efficiency of estimation by using the population information of the auxiliary variables. The simulation study establishes the theoretical results of this paper.

A PNN approach for combining multiple forecasts (예측치 결합을 위한 PNN 접근방법)

  • Jun, Duk-Bin;Shin, Hyo-Duk;Lee, Jung-Jin
    • Journal of Korean Institute of Industrial Engineers
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    • v.26 no.3
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    • pp.193-199
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    • 2000
  • In many studies, considerable attention has been focussed upon choosing a model which represents underlying process of time series and forecasting the future. In the real world, however, there may be some cases that one model can not reflect all the characteristics of original time series. Under such circumstances, we may get better performance by combining the forecasts from several models. The most popular methods for combining forecasts involve taking a weighted average of multiple forecasts. But the weights are usually unstable. In cases the assumptions of normality and unbiasedness for forecast errors are satisfied, a Bayesian method can be used for updating the weights. In the real world, however, there are many circumstances the Bayesian method is not appropriate. This paper proposes a PNN(Probabilistic Neural Net) approach as a method for combining forecasts that can be applied when the assumption of normality or unbiasedness for forecast errors is not satisfied. In this paper, PNN method, which is similar to Bayesian approach, is suggested as an updating method of the unstable weights in the combination of the forecasts. The PNN method has been usually used in the field of pattern recognition. Unlike the Bayesian approach, it requires no assumption of a specific prior distribution because it gets probabilities by using the distribution estimated from given data. Empirical results reveal that the PNN method offers superior predictive capabilities.

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The Measurement and Comparison of the Relative Efficiency for Currency Futures Markets : Advanced Currency versus Emerging Currency (통화선물시장의 상대적 효율성 측정과 비교 : 선진통화 대 신흥통화)

  • Kim, Tae-Hyuk;Eom, Cheol-Jun;Kang, Seok-Kyu
    • The Korean Journal of Financial Management
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    • v.25 no.1
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    • pp.1-22
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    • 2008
  • This study is to evaluate, to the extent to, which advanced currency futures and emerging currency futures markets can predict accurately the future spot rate. To this end, Johansen's the maximum-likelihood cointegration method(1988, 1991) is adopted to test the unbiasedness and efficiency hypothesis. Also, this study is to estimate and compare a quantitative measure of relative efficiency as a ratio of the forecast error variance from the best-fitting quasi-error correction model to the forecast error variance of the futures price as predictor of the spot price in advanced currency futures with in emerging currency futures market. Advanced currency futures is British pound and Japan yen. Emerging currency futures includes Korea won, Mexico peso, and Brazil real. The empirical results are summarized as follows : First, the unbiasedness hypothesis is not rejected for Korea won and Japan yen futures exchange rates. This indicates that the emerging currency Korea won and the advanced currency Japan yen futures exchange rates are likely to predict accurately realized spot exchange rate at a maturity date without the trader having to pay a risk premium for the privilege of trading the contract. Second, in emerging currency futures markets, the unbiasedness hypothesis is not rejected for Korea won futures market apart from Mexico peso and Brazil real futures markets. This indicates that in emerging currency futures markets, Korea won futures market is more efficient than Mexico peso and Brazil real futures markets and is likely to predict accurately realized spot exchange rate at a maturity date without risk premium. Third, this findings show that the results of unbiasedness hypothesis tests can provide conflicting finding. according to currency futures class and forecasts horizon period, Fourth, from the best-fitting quasi-error correction model with forecast horizons of 14 days, the findings suggest the Japan yen futures market is 27.06% efficient, the British pound futures market is 26.87% efficient, the Korea won futures market is 20.77% efficient, the Mexico peso futures market is 11.55%, and the Brazil real futures market is 4.45% efficient in the usual order. This indicates that the Korea won-dollar futures market is more efficient than Mexico peso, and Brazil real futures market. It is therefore possible to concludes that the Korea won-dollar currency futures market has relatively high efficiency comparing with Mexico peso and Brazil real futures markets of emerging currency futures markets.

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Historical Study on Density Smoothing in Nonparametric Statistics (비모수 통계학에서 밀도 추정의 평활에 관한 역사적 고찰)

  • 이승우
    • Journal for History of Mathematics
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    • v.17 no.2
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    • pp.15-20
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    • 2004
  • We investigate the unbiasedness and consistency as the statistical properties of density estimators. We show histogram, kernel density estimation, and local adaptive smoothing as density smoothing in this paper. Also, the early and recent research on nonparametric density estimation is described and discussed.

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Simultaneous Estimation of Parameters from Power Series Distributions under Asymmetric Loss

  • Chung, Youn-Shik;Dipak K. Dey
    • Journal of the Korean Statistical Society
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    • v.23 no.1
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    • pp.151-166
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    • 1994
  • Let $X_1, \cdot, X_p$ be p independent random variables, where each $X_i$ has a distribution belonging to one parameter discrete power series distribution. The problem is to simultaneously estimate the unknown parameters under an asymmetric loss. Several new classes of dominating estimators are obtained by solving certain difference inequality.

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Asymptotic Properties of Least Square Estimator of Disturbance Variance in the Linear Regression Model with MA(q)-Disturbances

  • Jong Hyup Lee;Seuck Heum Song
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.4 no.1
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    • pp.111-117
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    • 1997
  • The ordinary least squares estimator $S^2$ for the variance of the disturbances is considered in the linear regression model with sutocorrelated disturbances. It is proved that the OLS-estimator of disturbance variance is asymptotically unbiased and weakly consistent, when the distrubances are generated by an MA(q) process. In particular, the asymptotic unbiasedness and consistency of $S^2$ is satisfied without any restriction on the regressor matrix.

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A Child Labour Estimator for Lahore Based on Literacy and Poverty Variables

  • Siddiqi, Ahmed F.
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.21 no.5
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    • pp.889-900
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    • 2008
  • Child labour is a disturbing issue for any society. It is attempted here in this article to develop an estimator to assess the numerical strength of this menace in Lahore division. A Horvitz and Thompson (1952) type of estimator is developed where weights are calculated on the basis of poverty and illiteracy to increase the sampling efficiency. Different characteristic features of this estimator, like its unbiasedness, variance, probability distribution, confidence intervals are also developed for its study from different angles.

Usage of auxiliary variable and neural network in doubly robust estimation

  • Park, Hyeonah;Park, Wonjun
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.24 no.3
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    • pp.659-667
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    • 2013
  • If the regression model or the propensity model is correct, the unbiasedness of the estimator using doubly robust imputation can be guaranteed. Using a neural network instead of a logistic regression model for the propensity model, the estimators using doubly robust imputation are approximately unbiased even though both assumed models fail. We also propose a doubly robust estimator of ratio form using population information of an auxiliary variable. We prove some properties of proposed theory by restricted simulations.

On scaled cumulative residual Kullback-Leibler information

  • Hwang, Insung;Park, Sangun
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.24 no.6
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    • pp.1497-1501
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    • 2013
  • Cumulative residual Kullback-Leibler (CRKL) information is well defined on the empirical distribution function (EDF) and allows us to construct a EDF-based goodness of t test statistic. However, we need to consider a scaled CRKL because CRKL is not scale invariant. In this paper, we consider several criterions for estimating the scale parameter in the scale CRKL and compare the performances of the estimated CRKL in terms of both power and unbiasedness.