• 제목/요약/키워드: time variability

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남한지역 일단위 강우량 공간상세화를 위한 BCSA 기법 적용성 검토 (Application of Bias-Correction and Stochastic Analogue Method (BCSA) to Statistically Downscale Daily Precipitation over South Korea)

  • 황세운;정임국;김시호;조재필
    • 한국농공학회논문집
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    • 제63권6호
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    • pp.49-60
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    • 2021
  • BCSA (Bias-Correction and Stochastic Analog) is a statistical downscaling technique designed to effectively correct the systematic errors of GCM (General Circulation Model) output and reproduce basic statistics and spatial variability of the observed precipitation filed. In this study, the applicability of BCSA was evaluated using the ASOS observation data over South Korea, which belongs to the monsoon climatic zone with large spatial variability of rainfall and different rainfall characteristics. The results presented the reproducibility of temporal and spatial variability of daily precipitation in various manners. As a result of comparing the spatial correlation with the observation data, it was found that the reproducibility of various climate indices including the average spatial correlation (variability) of rainfall events in South Korea was superior to the raw GCM output. In addition, the needs of future related studies to improve BCSA, such as supplementing algorithms to reduce calculation time, enhancing reproducibility of temporal rainfall patterns, and evaluating applicability to other meteorological factors, were pointed out. The results of this study can be used as the logical background for applying BCSA for reproducing spatial details of the rainfall characteristic over the Korean Peninsula.

가쪽 발목 염좌 경험이 있는 유소년 운동선수의 착지 점프 시 하지 움직임 패턴 및 가변성 (Lower Extremity Movement Patterns and Variability in Adolescent Athletes with Lateral Ankle Sprain History during Drop Vertical Jump)

  • Sunghe Ha;Inje Lee;Joo-Nyeon Kim
    • 한국운동역학회지
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    • 제33권3호
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    • pp.85-93
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    • 2023
  • Objective: This study examined differences in joint kinematics and movement variability of lower extremity between adolescent athletes with and without lateral ankle sprain (LAS) history during drop vertical jump. Method: Fourteen adolescent athletes with LAS history and 14 controls participated in this study. The independent variable was group while dependent variables were 3D joint kinematics and movement variability of hip, knee, and ankle joint. Ensemble curve analyses were conducted to identify differences in movement strategies between two groups. Results: The LAS group showed that greater eversion during jump phase compared with the control group. Additionally, less movement variability was found in the LAS group during the pre-landing and jump phases in ankle and hip joints compared with the control group. Conclusion: The LAS group may adapt the environmental constraints by reducing the movement variability in ankle and hip joints. However, training programs focusing on recovery of ankle function should be emphasized after LAS because excessive pronation for prevention of LAS during the jump phase may result in reduced performance.

음이항분포의 특성을 이용한 조달기간 수요 분석 (Diagnosis of Lead Time Demand Based on the Characteristics of Negative Binomial Distribution)

  • 안선응;김우현
    • 산업경영시스템학회지
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    • 제28권2호
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    • pp.146-151
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    • 2005
  • Some distributions have been used for diagnosing the lead time demand distribution in inventory system. In this paper, we describe the negative binomial distribution as a suitable demand distribution for a specific retail inventory management application. We here assume that customer order sizes are described by the Poisson distribution with the random parameter following a gamma distribution. This implies in turn that the negative binomial distribution is obtained by mixing the mean of the Poisson distribution with a gamma distribution. The purpose of this paper is to give an interpretation of the negative binomial demand process by considering the sources of variability in the unknown Poisson parameter. Such variability comes from the unknown demand rate and the unknown lead time interval.

음이항분포의 특성을 이용한 조달기간 수요 분석 (Diagnosis of Lead Time Demand Based on the Characteristics of Negative Binomial Distribution)

  • 안선응;김우현
    • 산업경영시스템학회지
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    • 제28권4호
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    • pp.79-84
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    • 2005
  • Some distributions have been used for diagnosing the lead time demand distribution in inventory system. In this paper, we describe the negative binomial distribution as a suitable demand distribution for a specific retail inventory management application. We here assume that customer order sizes are described by the Poisson distribution with the random parameter following a gamma distribution. This implies in turn that the negative binomial distribution is obtained by mixing the mean of the Poisson distribution with a gamma distribution. The purpose of this paper is to give an interpretation of the negative binomial demand process by considering the sources of variability in the unknown Poisson parameter. Such variability comes from the unknown demand rate and the unknown lead time interval.

심박동수 변이(Heart Rate Variability) 측정법의 개념과 임상적 활용 (The Concept and Clinical Application for the Measurement of Heart Rate Variability)

  • 우종민
    • 정신신체의학
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    • 제12권1호
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    • pp.3-14
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    • 2004
  • 신경심장학의 발전으로 중추신경 활성이 심장의 전기적 활동도에 미치는 영향이 밝혀지고 있고, 심박동수변이(Heart rate variability, HRV)가 정신적 스트레스와 심혈관질환의 기계적 연관성을 나타내는 중요한 지표로 제기되고 있다. HRV란 자율신경계의 정상적 상호작용에 의해 나타나는 생리적인 심박수 변동을 타나내며, 자율신경 기능을 정량화하여 측정할 수 있는 방법론이다. 분석 방법은 시간 영역 분석과 주파수 영역 분석으로 나눌 수 있으며, 측정 시간대에 따라 단기간 측정과 24시간 측정 등의 방법이 확립되어 있다. 임상적으로는 변이 정도, 교감신경과 부교감신경의 활성과 균형도를 파악하여 다양한 질환과 스트레스 등의 진단과 치료 및 예후 판정에 활용되고 있다. HRV를 이용한 바이오피드백도 최근 자율신경 관련 질환의 치료에 활용되고 있다. 향후 다양한 프로토콜의 개발과 임상적 적용이 필요할 것으로 보인다.

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심혈관 신호에 있어서 단기간 beat-to-beat 변이의 비선형 역할에 관한 연구 (Study on Nonlinearites of Short Term, Beat-to-beat Variability in Cardiovascular Signals)

  • Han-Go Choi
    • 대한의용생체공학회:의공학회지
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    • 제24권3호
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    • pp.151-158
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    • 2003
  • 심장혈관 신호에 있어서 단기간의 beat-to-beat 변이(variability)에 대한 여러 연구에서 선형 분석기법들이 사용되었다. 그러나 단기간 beat-to-beat 변이에 대해 선형기법 사용의 타당성에 대한 연구나 선형과 비선형 특성을 비교한 연구는 수행되지 않았다. 본 논문의 목적은 단기간 beat-to-beat 변이의 비선형성 특성을 조사함으로써 선형기법 사용의 적절함을 증명하고자 한다. 이를 위해 선형 ARMA와 비선형 신경망(NN) 모델을 사용하여 예측을 수행하였는데, 과거의 순시 심박(HR)과 평균 혈압(BP)으로부터 현재의 심박과 혈압 예측을 상호 비교하였다. 이러한 예측모델을 평가하기 위해 MIMIC 데이터베이스로부터 HR와 BP 시계열을 사용하였다. 실험결과에 의하면 신경망에 의한 비선형성은 단기간 beat-to-beat 변이를 생성하는 시스템 동특성을 나타내는데 의미있는 역할을 하지 못하였으며, 이 사실은 ARMA 선형 분석기법이 이러한 시스템 동특성을 나타내는데 적절함을 보여주고 있다

Daily Mean Sea Level and Atmospheric Pressure Along the Coasts of the Northwestern Pacific Ocean

  • Oh, Im-Sang;Moon, Il-Ju;Youn, Yong-Hoon
    • Journal of the korean society of oceanography
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    • 제32권4호
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    • pp.171-180
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    • 1997
  • Daily mean sea level variability and its response to atmospheric pressure along the coasts of the northwestern Pacific Ocean are investigated. Daily values of sea level and atmospheric pressure covering the period 1976-1986 from 72 stations are analyzed. The sea level and the air pressure in all the data set have a definite seasonal signal, and higher frequency oscillations at time scales of several days to several weeks are also observed. Among the short-period oscillations of sea level with periods shorter than six months, the period of around 3 or 4 months is dominant in most study stations. According to the statistical analysis of sea level and air pressure, the length scale of sea level variability is smaller than that of air pressure for the present study area. The overall variability of sea level is found to be the smallest around Hokkaido, Japan and the largest in the China coasts. Large short-period (< 6 months) sea level variability is found in the southern coasts of China and Hokkaido, and large long-period (> 6 months) variability in the southern coasts of Japan and Korea along Tsushima Current and Kuroshio. The patterns of air pressure are very similar to those of sea level. The air pressure field is found to account for 31% of the overall sea level variability in the study area. Conside.ins the fact that the results (40%) of Pang and Oh (1995) were obtained through monthly sea level, the present result implies that the short-period sea level variability is less affected by air pressure. Generally the sea level response to air pressure are found to be isostatic, but significantly nonisostatic for the periods around 4 months and for those of 2 to 4 days. In particular, nonisostatic response for higher frequencies seem to be due to the restrictions to water transport necessary for barometric responsein the Korea Strait.

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DETECTING VARIABILITY IN ASTRONOMICAL TIME SERIES DATA: APPLICATIONS OF CLUSTERING METHODS IN CLOUD COMPUTING ENVIRONMENTS

  • 신민수;변용익;장서원;김대원;김명진;이동욱;함재균;정용환;윤준연;곽재혁;김주현
    • 천문학회보
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    • 제36권2호
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    • pp.131.1-131.1
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    • 2011
  • We present applications of clustering methods to detect variability in massive astronomical time series data. Focusing on variability of bright stars, we use clustering methods to separate possible variable sources from other time series data, which include intrinsically non-variable sources and data with common systematic patterns. We already finished the analysis of the Northern Sky Variability Survey data, which include about 16 million light curves, and present candidate variable sources with their association to other data at different wavelengths. We also apply our clustering method to the light curves of bright objects in the SuperWASP Data Release 1. For the analysis of the SuperWASP data, we exploit a elastically configurable Cloud computing environments that the KISTI Supercomputing Center is deploying. Two quite different configurations are incorporated in our Cloud computing test bed. One system uses the Hadoop distributed processing with its distributed file system, using distributed processing with data locality condition. Another one adopts the Condor and the Lustre network file system. We present test results, considering performance of processing a large number of light curves, and finding clusters of variable and non-variable objects.

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봉약침 자극이 사상체질별 건강인의 심박변이도, 맥파, 뇌혈류에 미치는 영향 (Effects of bee venom acupuncture on heart rate variability, pulse wave, and cerebral blood flow for types of Sasang Constitution)

  • 이상민;김구;오승윤;권영미;주종천
    • 대한약침학회지
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    • 제12권1호
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    • pp.35-42
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    • 2009
  • 1. Objectives To evaluate effects of bee venom acupuncture on cardiovascular system and differences according to each constitution. 2. Methods Heart rate variability, pulse wave and the velocity of cerebral blood flow were measured before bee venom acupuncture(BVA), right after and after 30 minuets, had been applied to 20 subjects. 3. Results 1. BVA did not have effects on measurement variables of heart rate variability. 2. BVA had effects on pulse wave, showing total time, radial augmentation index up and height of percussion wave, time to percussion wave, sum of pulse pressure down. 3. BVA did not have effects on the cerebral blood flow velocity when considering not Sasang Constitution. 4. Considering Sasang Constitution, BVA demonstrates different responses in time to preincisura wave, mean blood flow velocity, peak systolic velocity and end diastolic velocity. 4.Conclusion From those results, the following conclusions are obtained. Cause BVA alters pulse wave and makes differences in the cerebral blood flow velocity according to Sasang Constitution. Various methods of BVA treatment are needed considering Sasang Constitution.

Quantification of future climate uncertainty over South Korea using eather generator and GCM

  • Tanveer, Muhammad Ejaz;Bae, Deg-Hyo
    • 한국수자원학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국수자원학회 2018년도 학술발표회
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    • pp.154-154
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    • 2018
  • To interpret the climate projections for the future as well as present, recognition of the consequences of the climate internal variability and quantification its uncertainty play a vital role. The Korean Peninsula belongs to the Far East Asian Monsoon region and its rainfall characteristics are very complex from time and space perspective. Its internal variability is expected to be large, but this variability has not been completely investigated to date especially using models of high temporal resolutions. Due to coarse spatial and temporal resolutions of General Circulation Models (GCM) projections, several studies adopted dynamic and statistical downscaling approaches to infer meterological forcing from climate change projections at local spatial scales and fine temporal resolutions. In this study, stochastic downscaling methodology was adopted to downscale daily GCM resolutions to hourly time scale using an hourly weather generator, the Advanced WEather GENerator (AWE-GEN). After extracting factors of change from the GCM realizations, these were applied to the climatic statistics inferred from historical observations to re-evaluate parameters of the weather generator. The re-parameterized generator yields hourly time series which can be considered to be representative of future climate conditions. Further, 30 ensemble members of hourly precipitation were generated for each selected station to quantify uncertainty. Spatial map was generated to visualize as separated zones formed through K-means cluster algorithm which region is more inconsistent as compared to the climatological norm or in which region the probability of occurrence of the extremes event is high. The results showed that the stations located near the coastal regions are more uncertain as compared to inland regions. Such information will be ultimately helpful for planning future adaptation and mitigation measures against extreme events.

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