• Title/Summary/Keyword: the estimation of policy

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A Study on Cost Estimation for Smart Mobility Service (스마트 모빌리티 서비스를 위한 비용추정)

  • Cheon, Seohyung;Kim, Dongyeon;Ahn, Jae-Hyeon;Park, Kyuhong
    • Journal of Digital Convergence
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    • v.19 no.11
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    • pp.301-313
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    • 2021
  • The automotive industry is facing a paradigm shift, changing from owning to sharing and from manufacturing to service. However, it is hard to conclude that the economic value of smart mobility service is always positive to users. Cost related to owing or share a vehicle is very hard to estimate from the perspective of potential users as well as the benefit of the service. Focusing on the cost side of the story, this study develops a cost estimating model based on three main factors: electrification, advanced driving assistant systems (ADAS) function, and participation of ride-sharing service. As a result of the model analysis, low cost was estimated as a result when receiving cost benefits such as electrification and ride-sharing participation. Various factors were analyzed through sensitivity analysis also. These results can provide useful insights into the cost prediction and strategies for potential users and manufacturers on smart mobility service market.

The Comparative Software Cost Model of Considering Logarithmic Fault Detection Rate Based on Failure Observation Time (로그형 관측고장시간에 근거한 결함 발생률을 고려한 소프트웨어 비용 모형에 관한 비교 연구)

  • Kim, Kyung-Soo;Kim, Hee-Cheul
    • Journal of Digital Convergence
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    • v.11 no.11
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    • pp.335-342
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    • 2013
  • In this study, reliability software cost model considering logarithmic fault detection rate based on observations from the process of software product testing was studied. Adding new fault probability using the Goel-Okumoto model that is widely used in the field of reliability problems presented. When correcting or modifying the software, finite failure non-homogeneous Poisson process model. For analysis of software cost model considering the time-dependent fault detection rate, the parameters estimation using maximum likelihood estimation of inter-failure time data was made. In this research, Software developers to identify the best time to release some extent be able to help is considered.

An Exploratory Study of Collective E-Petitions Estimation Methodology Using Anomaly Detection: Focusing on the Voice of Citizens of Changwon City (이상탐지 활용 전자집단민원 추정 방법론에 관한 탐색적 연구: 창원시 시민의 소리 사례를 중심으로)

  • Jeong, Ha-Yeong
    • Informatization Policy
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    • v.26 no.4
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    • pp.85-106
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    • 2019
  • Recently, there have been increasing cases of collective petitions filed in the electronic petitions system. However, there is no efficient management system, raising concerns on side effects such as increased administrative workload and mass production of social conflicts. Aimed at suggesting a methodology for estimating electronic collective petitions using anomaly detection and corpus linguistics-based content analysis, this study conducted the followings: i) a theoretical review of the concept of collective petitions, ii) estimation of electronic collective petitions using anomaly detection based on nonparametric unsupervised learning, iii) a content similarity analysis on petitions using n-gram cosine angle distance, and iv) a case study on the Voice of Citizens of Changwon City, through which the utility of the proposed methodology, policy implications and future tasks were reviewed.

A Study on Parents' Preference and estimate Parents' Willingness to Pay for After-school Rural Experience Program in Daegu City (방과 후 농촌체험프로그램에 대한 대구시 학부모 선호 및 지불의사금액 추정)

  • Kwon, Chung-Sub;Lin, Qing-Long;Jang, Woo-Whan
    • Journal of Korean Society of Rural Planning
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    • v.19 no.2
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    • pp.163-172
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    • 2013
  • The purpose of this study is to survey on parents' preference and estimate parents' Willingness to pay(WTP) for after-school rural experience program in daegu city by choice experiment(CE). The results of this study are as follows; First, we divided after-school rural experience program into three types, namely: nature seeing, play exercise and learning experience. Second, the study has shown that parents prefer learning experience among those after-school rural experience programs. Among attributes which form a experience program, instructor certificates, consuming time and expense for participant are statistically effecting significant impact. Third, the result of estimation on willingness to pay for development of after-school rural experience program is as follow. The willingness to pay for learning experience is 6,337won, willingness to pay for instructor certificates is 14,102won and it for consuming time is 2,926won. Therefore, composition centering learning experience is better and instructor who has expert certificate is required. It is much better to compose that the consuming time is longer and the expense for experience is lower. But there is limitation because this survey was conducted based on an assumption, so it could read over estimation problem. The result of this study may provide useful information to develop after-school rural experience program using rural resources and to improve rural tourism policy.

A Study on TBT Estimation between Korea and China based on Price Wedge Approach (가격차 모형에 기초한 한국과 중국간 기술무역장벽(TBT) 추정에 관한 연구)

  • Ha, Tae Jeong;Moon, Sunung
    • International Commerce and Information Review
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    • v.16 no.4
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    • pp.307-330
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    • 2014
  • The purpose of this study is to estimation of Technical Barriers of Trade(TBT) between Korea and China. TBT is one of the key issues in which both governments are interested since the Korea-China FTA negotiations had launched in 2012. In this paper, we aggregate nine country HS codes from World Bank and AIO codes from JETRO. Our estimation model based on modified price wedge approach differentiate previous researches in the sense that it covers all manufacture industries and uses nine country data set. Estimation results confirm the importance of TBT showing that TBT high ranking items significantly overlap high ranking export items. We also find that the size of Chinese TBT are much larger than that of Korean TBT, implying that Korean government needs smart and well prepared strategy for key items in TBT/FTA negotiation with Chinese government.

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A Study on the Reliability Analysis of Anti-ship missile using Field Data (야전 운용자료를 이용한 대함유도탄의 신뢰도 분석 연구)

  • Kim, Seok-Kon;Wang, Young-Jin;Kim, Yong-Jin;Kim, Sung-Ouk;Lee, In-Hyun;Lee, Key-Seo
    • The Journal of the Korea institute of electronic communication sciences
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    • v.6 no.6
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    • pp.881-887
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    • 2011
  • In this paper, age exploration of ${\bigcirc}{\bigcirc}$ anti-ship missiles which were deployed on RoKN ships were analysed using parametric estimation method. Additionally, Life distribution and failure pattern of ${\bigcirc}{\bigcirc}$ anti-ship missile were analysed by using field data such as collected inspection, fail, maintenance record for 6 years. Storage failure and MTBF of missile and components were analysed by using reliability analysis s/w Weibull++ v7. The results were compared with maintenance policy including periodic inspection and MTBF which were analysed during development phase. Finally, the suggested methodology using field data analysis of oo anti-ship missile will be applied on re-estabilishment of maintenance policy of ${\bigcirc}{\bigcirc}$ anti-ship missile for TLCSM(Total Life Cost System Management) effectively.

A Study on Realtime Cost Estimation Model of PC Laboratory Service based on Public Cloud (공용 클라우드 기반 PC 실습실 서비스의 실시간 비용 예측 모델 연구)

  • Cho, Kyung-Woon;Shin, Yong-Hyeon
    • The Journal of the Institute of Internet, Broadcasting and Communication
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    • v.19 no.3
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    • pp.17-23
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    • 2019
  • IaaS is well known as a very cost effective computing service which enables required infrastructures to be rented on demand without ownership of real hardwares. It is very suitable for price sensitive services due to pay-per-use style. Operators of such services would want to adjust utilization policy quickly by estimating costs for cloud infrastructures as soon as possible. However, swift response is not possible due to that cloud service providers provide a dozen or so hours delayed billing information. Our work proposes a realtime IaaS cost estimation model based on usages monitored by virtual machine instance. We operate PC laboratory service on a public cloud during full semester to validate our suggested model. From that experiment, an averaged disparity between estimation and actual cost is less than 5.2%.

Measures for a closer-to-real estimate of dietary exposure to total mercury and lead in total diet study for Koreans

  • Koh, Eunmi;Shin, Hyehyung;Yon, Miyong;Nam, Ji Woon;Lee, Yoonna;Kim, Dohee;Lee, Jeeyeon;Kim, Meehye;Park, Sung-Kug;Choi, Hoon;Kim, Cho-Il
    • Nutrition Research and Practice
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    • v.6 no.5
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    • pp.436-443
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    • 2012
  • Previous Korean total diet studies (KTDSs) have estimated dietary exposure to toxic chemicals based on 110-120 representative foods selected from over 500 foods appeared in the Korea National Health & Nutrition Examination Surveys (KNHANES), which would result in a possible underestimation. In order to find measures for a closer-to-real estimate of dietary exposure to heavy metals, this study examined the feasibility of mapping foods to the representative foods in the KTDS by comparing estimates. In mapping, those foods not analyzed in the 2009 KTDS (443 out of 559 foods appeared in the 2007 KNHANES) were mapped to the 114 representative foods used in the 2009 KTDS based on the closeness in regards to biological systematics and morphological similarity. Dietary exposures to total mercury and lead were re-estimated using the content of total mercury and lead in 114 foods analyzed in the 2009 KTDS, food intake, and individual's own body weight for respondents in the 2007 KNHANES instead of mean body weight of Koreans used in the 2009 KTDS. The re-estimates of exposure with mapping were approximately 50% higher than the original estimates reported in the 2009 KTDS. In addition, mapping enabled the comparison of percentile distribution of the exposure among populations of different age groups. In conclusion, estimates via mapping resulted in a more comprehensive estimation of dietary exposure to heavy metals present in foods that Koreans consume.

Analysis on the Inequality Indicator of the Housing Condition Distribution (주거복지 분배 불평등 지수 연구)

  • Lee, Kang-Hee;Chae, Chang-U
    • KIEAE Journal
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    • v.17 no.2
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    • pp.45-51
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    • 2017
  • Purpose: Housing is the most essential element for well-being in a society. The government would continuously supply decent housings to make a better living condition for people. As various housing policies have been implemented into practice, the effectiveness of policies need to be assessed and improved to rearrange the financial resources. The indicators, such as quality of life, housing supply amount and etc, could be used to estimate housing policy to provide a guidance for a new policy direction. Though various indicators are utilized to assess the policy effect, most of the items are depend upon a relativeness in aspect to assessment goal, items, time and its weighting. Therefore, it needs an absolute indicator to compare the policy effectiveness regardless of time elapse or items. In this paper, it developed the housing welfare indicator to assess the level of living condition, utilizing the Gini coefficient which is used for explanation on income distribution. Method: To suggest an inequity indicator, this paper used Gini coefficient to explain the level of living condition which is used on economics to provide the level of income distribution. Data are collected through the Korea Housing Survey by Ministry of Land, Infrastructure and Transport between 2006 and 2014. Indicators of living condition focused on the development of the estimation model using the frequency of room use. Result: Gini coefficient between 2004 and 2014 is about 1.5 score except in year 2013, and the trend of score has been decreased slowly which means the inequality gradually improved. In this result, it implies the living condition and distribution level would be improved than before.

Development of Advanced Gravity Model Using Accordance Rate Of Observed O-D Value and Derived O-D Value from Gravity Model (실측 O-D값과 중력모형 재현 O-D값의 일치비율을 이용한 개선 중력모형 개발)

  • Ryu, Yeong-Geun
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.33 no.1
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    • pp.287-295
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    • 2013
  • This paper developed advanced gravity model for higher estimation accuracy, that deals with residuals. Previously studied paper using gravity model's residual, residual calculated that observed O-D value minus derived O-D value from gravity model, and this residual added to the target year's estimated value from gravity model. In this paper, residuals calculated on gravity model parameter estimation process, and this residual is revealed the same value that observed O-D value devided by derived O-D value from gravity model. And case study resulted that developed new gravity model that applied accordance rate of observed O-D value and derived O-D value from gravity model has higher estimation accuracy than other gravity models as basic gravity model and residual plused gravity model.