• 제목/요약/키워드: the estimation of policy

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위해성을 고려한 대기오염물질의 관리 방향 (Direction for the management of air pollutants based on health risk in Korea)

  • 김영주;김용표
    • 한국입자에어로졸학회지
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    • 제13권2호
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    • pp.43-52
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    • 2017
  • Policy direction for the management of air quality in Korea has been on the reduction of the average concentrations of the criteria air pollutants such as sulfur dioxide and fine particles. However, recently, risk based management of air pollutants becomes an important issue. In this study, to develop an effective air quality management policy direction in Korea, (1) the fourth Multiple Air Toxics Exposure Study (MATES IV) carried out in the South Coast Air Quality Management District (SQAQMD) in the USA is reviewed and (2) the results are compared with in these in Seoul and (3) policy directions are suggested. It was found that (1) systematic integrated study comprising of measurement, modeling, emission inventory estimation, and risk assessment was essential to estimate the health risk of air pollutants reliably, (2) cancer risk of diesel particle was dominant over other air pollutants, and (3) health risk based emissions were different from amount based emissions. It was suggested that (1) reducing the exposure from hot spots might important to reduce health risk from air pollutants and (2) an integrated air quality management administration system is important for the efficient management of air pollution.

Developing SMEs' Export Success Factors for Distribution Reinforcement

  • Coo, Byung-Mo
    • 유통과학연구
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    • 제15권10호
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    • pp.65-80
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    • 2017
  • Purpose - The purpose of the present study is to discover success factors for small and medium-sized exporting enterprises and to derive factors that can positively influence the export of small and medium-sized enterprises. The ultimate goal is to contribute to the problem solution mentioned above. Research design, data, and methodology - A total of 258 filled-in questionnaires were collected; afterwards, frequency and cross tabulation analyses were conducted. The PPML analytic technique was applied to the core factors analyzed in Stages 1 and 2 to conduct regression analysis (cause and effect analysis and estimation method), thereby deriving success factors. Result - Based on detailed factors, a total of 15 success factors directly/indirectly involved in the success of export in small and medium-sized enterprises comprising 9 success factors, three positive effect factors for export, and three governments support policy factors were identified. Conclusions - The present paper is a rare empirical study paper that found and presented three detailed factors that positively influence on export and three government support policy factors, in addition to the above factors. Therefore, the results can be used by small and medium-sized enterprises that require not only previous studies, but also actual export success factor.

Parametric Estimation of a Renewal Function

  • Jeong, Hai-Sung;Na, Myung-Hwan
    • International Journal of Reliability and Applications
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    • 제1권1호
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    • pp.81-87
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    • 2000
  • One of the most important quantities in reliability theory is the expected number of renewals of a system during a given interval. This quantity, the renewal function, is used to determine the optimal preventive maintenance policy and to estimate the cost of a warranty. In this paper we study a parametric approach for a renewal function. The simulation study is presented to compare the relative performance of the introduced estimators of a renewal function. And we show that the proposed parametric estimator performs well.

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Power Interruption Costs to Commercial Customers of Electricity in Korea

  • Kim, Dong-Sub;Kim, Kil-Sin
    • Journal of Electrical Engineering and Technology
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    • 제9권5호
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    • pp.1495-1500
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    • 2014
  • This paper presents the result of the estimation of the power interruption costs of Korean commercial customers. Commercial customers are usually located in urban areas and considered very important because a power interruption on them can expand to additional damage to related users. Their power interruption costs were calculated through a survey with the process of data selection. Also, the power interruption cost for each customer's business type was calculated and compared with that of foreign cases.

The Effect of R&D on High-Tech Product Export Competitiveness: Empirical Evidence from Panel Data of East Asian Economies

  • Alemu, Aye Mengistu
    • STI Policy Review
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    • 제3권1호
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    • pp.46-62
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    • 2012
  • This study investigates the effects of the two most important indicators of a nation's state of scientific infrastructure: R&D investment and the number of R&D researchers engaged in high-tech product export competitiveness for a panel of 11 countries/economies from East Asia from 1994 to 2010. A GMM panel estimation method was employed to account for the dynamic effect of trade and to control for un-observed country specific effects that may arise due to an inter-country differences and intra-country dynamics. Accordingly, the empirical results reveal that (once controlled for the influence of per capita income) physical capital and infrastructure, a 1% increase in a country's expenditure on the ratio of R&D to GDP may increase high-tech product export performance by approximately $397 million per year. Other factors constant, a 1% increase in the number of R&D researchers is expected to increase the ability to export high-tech products by approximately $67 million. The East Asian development experience demonstrates how latecomers can follow systematic industrialization and join the handful of economies that have come a long way toward closing the knowledge gap with the global technological leaders. However, this does not mean that the policy approaches and overall commitments pursued by each East Asian economy in relation to R&D investment and acquisition of an adequate pool of researchers, and their ultimate achievements in high-tech product export competitiveness were uniform. As a result, there is still a significant variation among countries/economies in terms of performance. This study recommended a number of potential tools and policy instruments that may assist policy makers to foster R&D as an engine to enhance the high-tech product export competitiveness.

RELIABILITY PREDICTION BASED ON DEGRADATION DATA

  • Kim, Jae-Joo;Jeong, Hai-Sung;Na, Myung-Hwan
    • 한국신뢰성학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국신뢰성학회 2000년도 춘계학술대회 발표논문집
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    • pp.177-183
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    • 2000
  • As monitoring, testing, and measuring techniques develop, predictive control of components and complete systems have become more practical and affordable. In this paper we develop a statistics-based approach assuming nonlinear degradation paths and time-dependent standard deviation. This approach can be extended to provide reliability estimates and limit value determination in the censoring case fur predictive maintenance policy.

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시간 기반 소프트웨어 재활 방식의 가용도 분석 (Availability Analysis of Systems with Time-Based Software Rejuvenation)

  • 이유태;김형석
    • 한국정보통신학회논문지
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    • 제23권2호
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    • pp.201-206
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    • 2019
  • 소프트웨어 노화에 따른 시스템의 예기치 않은 장애 발생은 재활 기능을 주기적으로 수행함으로써 줄일 수 있다. 이 시스템 재활 기능은 주로 시스템이 가장 한가한 시간에 수행하는 것이 효과적이다. 이를 통해 시스템 가용도를 높일 수 있다. 재활 기법은 크게 시간 기반과 조건 기반의 두 가지 종류로 나눌 수 있다. 시간 기반 재활은 정해진 시간 간격마다 수행되고, 조건 기반 재활은 시스템 상태가 특정 조건을 만족할 때 수행된다. 조건 기반 방식은 시스템 감시와 정보의 수집 및 통계적 분석을 통해 재활 시점을 추정해야하기 때문에 추가적인 비용이 발생한다. 본 논문은 시간 기반 소프트웨어 재활 기법을 분석할 수 있는 확률 모형을 제시한다. 제시한 모형은 재활을 주기적으로 수행하는 시간 간격을 일정하게 유지할 수 있는 현실적인 상황을 반영한다. 해당 확률 모형을 수학적으로 분석하여, 정상 상태에서의 시스템 가용도와 사용자 인지 가용도 및 이에 따른 비용을 분석한다.

GIS기반 산사태재해의 정량적 피해 산정을 위한 고려사항 분석 (Considerations for Quantitative Risk Assessment of Landslides using GIS)

  • 김정옥;김지영;김효중;김용일
    • 한국방재학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국방재학회 2008년도 정기총회 및 학술발표대회
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    • pp.645-648
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    • 2008
  • This study provides considerations for quantitative risk assessment of landslide on GIS technology. It shows how the landslide possibility analysis is linked by GIS modeling to provide loss estimation tools for landslide hazards in support of socio-economic loss reduction efforts. Those risk assessment results can deliver factual damage situation prediction to policy making for the landslide damage mitigation.

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선택실험법을 이용한 해역수질 속성의 비시장적 가치 추정: 인천특별관리해역을 중심으로 (Using a Choice Experiment to Measure the Non-market Value of Sea Water Quality with a Focus on the Incheon Special Area Management Plan)

  • 진세준;박소연;유승훈
    • 해양환경안전학회지
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    • 제24권4호
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    • pp.451-458
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    • 2018
  • 인천연안은 인천광역시, 경기도 김포시 시흥시 안산시 일대로, 양식장에서 발생하는 쓰레기, 어업활동 후 버려진 어구 어망, 육상에서부터 한강을 타고 흘러오는 쓰레기 때문에 인천연안의 해양생태계의 변화가 우려되고 있다. 인천연안이 심각하게 오염되자 해양수산부는 인천연안을 특별관리해역으로 지정하여 해양환경 자산인 해역수질을 보존하고 있다. 이러한 배경 하에서 본 연구는 인천연안 해역수질의 비시장 가치를 선택실험법(choice experiment)을 이용하여 평가한다. 이를 위해, 전국 1,000 가구를 대상으로 면대면 설문조사를 실시하였고, 속성 각각의 한계지불의사액(MWTP, marginal willingness to pay)을 추정한다. 인천연안 해역수질의 속성별 가치(가구당 연간 한계지불의사액)를 추정한 결과, 가구당 연간 해역수질 1 %p 개선의 MWTP는 75원, 동물종의 다양성 증가의 MWTP는 135원, 식물종 다양성 증가의 MWTP는 309원, 해양쓰레기 1 %p 저감의 MWTP는 72원으로 나타났다. 모든 추정결과는 유의수준 1 %에서 유의한 것으로 나타났다. 본 논문의 주요 결과는 정책당국에 해양환경 관리정책 수립과 평가에 유용하게 활용될 수 있다.

고령1인 및 고령부부가구수의 예측에 관한 연구 - 경상북도를 중심으로 - (A Study on the Estimation of the Number of the Household for the Elderly Living Alone and Living with Spouse Only - Cases in Gyeongsangbuk-Do -)

  • 배정인
    • 한국주거학회논문집
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    • 제19권2호
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    • pp.31-42
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    • 2008
  • Research outcome shows the following: 1. Estimation by the year 2015 on the number of the aged people and on the number of the household of living alone and living with spouse only, per age-cohort by 5 years, per basic self-govern-ins local groups and the city of Daegu. The result is supposed to serve as meaningful basic material in building up future policies in many areas for the aged people living in their homes. 2. Estimation varies according to the areas and the age-cohorts. In urban areas, increase of the numbers of the households of the aged people living alone and living with spouse only is estimated in every age-cohort. In rural areas, variance between two age-groups, old-old and young-old, is observed. Both of the numbers of the households for the aged living alone and the aged living with spouse only have increased continuously by the year 2005. But the hither-to increase tendency is estimated to reverse itself to a decrease starting from the younger within the young-old age group, and the ratio of the old-old age-group in rural population will sharply increase starting from the year 2005. Such increase in the number of the aged people in need of the housing and the social support requires the increasing policy consideration for the issue of housing for the aged living in their homes. In spite of the decreasing tendency in the number of the aged people living alone and living with spouse only in rural areas, still there will continue to be more number of such households than in urban area for the time being. The government of Gyeongsangbuk-Do should pay more consideration to the old-old aged living alone and living with spouse only in rural areas, while being prepared for the sharply increasing households for the aged living alone and living with spouse only in urban areas.