A Study on the Estimation of the Number of the Household for the Elderly Living Alone and Living with Spouse Only - Cases in Gyeongsangbuk-Do -

고령1인 및 고령부부가구수의 예측에 관한 연구 - 경상북도를 중심으로 -

  • 배정인 (안동대학교 생활환경복지학과)
  • Published : 2008.04.25

Abstract

Research outcome shows the following: 1. Estimation by the year 2015 on the number of the aged people and on the number of the household of living alone and living with spouse only, per age-cohort by 5 years, per basic self-govern-ins local groups and the city of Daegu. The result is supposed to serve as meaningful basic material in building up future policies in many areas for the aged people living in their homes. 2. Estimation varies according to the areas and the age-cohorts. In urban areas, increase of the numbers of the households of the aged people living alone and living with spouse only is estimated in every age-cohort. In rural areas, variance between two age-groups, old-old and young-old, is observed. Both of the numbers of the households for the aged living alone and the aged living with spouse only have increased continuously by the year 2005. But the hither-to increase tendency is estimated to reverse itself to a decrease starting from the younger within the young-old age group, and the ratio of the old-old age-group in rural population will sharply increase starting from the year 2005. Such increase in the number of the aged people in need of the housing and the social support requires the increasing policy consideration for the issue of housing for the aged living in their homes. In spite of the decreasing tendency in the number of the aged people living alone and living with spouse only in rural areas, still there will continue to be more number of such households than in urban area for the time being. The government of Gyeongsangbuk-Do should pay more consideration to the old-old aged living alone and living with spouse only in rural areas, while being prepared for the sharply increasing households for the aged living alone and living with spouse only in urban areas.

Keywords

References

  1. 박남희.권오정.최령.신혜인(2006), 한국과 일본의 주택개조 관련 정책에 관한 고찰, 한국주거학회논문집, 17(6), 109-118
  2. 배정인(1999), A Statistical Review of Changes in 'One Person & Couple' Households including the Elderly in Japan and Korea, 한국주거학회지, 10(3), 89-102
  3. 배정인(2000), 노인주택공급을 위한 고령자가구구성의 변화에 관한 통계적 연구-서울과 대구를 중심으로, 한국주거학회지, 11(1), 89-102
  4. 배정인(2003),日本 韓國 米國の高齡者を含む世帶構成の變化に關する硏究, 日本建築學會計劃系論文集, 563, 263-268
  5. 배정인(2005), 재래농촌주택의 계승 및 개선의 측면에서 본농촌 고령1인.부부가구 주거에 관한 연구, 한국주거학회논문집, 16(6), 73-82
  6. 이정화.한경혜(2006), 농촌 전기 령자와 후기고령자의 신체적 건강과 의료시설 이용, 한국가족관계학회지, 11(2), 175-197
  7. 이준민.박남희.신화경(2005), 노인주거복지 향상을 위한 의료서비스 지원 방안 연구, 한국주거학회 학술발표 논문집, 16, 367-370
  8. 조인숙.박남희.신화경(2007), Aging in Place를 위한 재가노인복지서비스에 관한 연구, 한국주거학회논문집, 18(1), 95-102
  9. 차승은.한경혜.이정화(2002), 농촌 노인의 지각된 건강과 신체 정신 사회적 건강의 관련성에 관한 연구, 한국노년학, 22(1), 173-190
  10. 통계청 국가통계포털 웹사이트 http://kosis.nso.go.kr/
  11. Kazuo IKEDA, Yoko NADAOKA, Nobuyuki KAMIYA, Masako HIROKADO (2004), 日本におけるがん死亡の動向予測, 東京都健康安全硏究センタ一年報, 55, 347-356
  12. 長沼佐枝(2005), 東京大都市圈における住宅地の非持續性と人口高齡化に 關する地理學的硏究, 東京大學 博士學位論文
  13. 東京都總務局統計部調整課 統計解析係(2005), '年齡階級別就業者數 豫測', (http://www.toukei.metro.tokyo.jp/)
  14. 東京都總務局統計部調整課 統計解析係(2007), 東京都 23個區 26市5町8村の人口豫測, (http://www.toukei.metro.tokyo.jp/)