• Title/Summary/Keyword: testing a variance change

Search Result 27, Processing Time 0.022 seconds

Testing for a multiple change point residual variance in regression model (잔차 분산을 이용한 선형회귀모형의 다중전환점 검정)

  • Lee, In-Suk;Kim, Jong-Tae;Lee, Kum-Ja
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
    • /
    • v.12 no.1
    • /
    • pp.27-40
    • /
    • 2001
  • The purpose of this study is to test a multiple change point in the regression model with the passage of time, using the estimated residual variance figure suggested by Gasser, Sroka and Jennen - Steinmez (GSJS). As a result of the simulation, it is showed that there is a jump change of the estimated residual variance figure at that time of change point. The way to analyse a intuitive multiple change point through graphics is more effective and accurate than any other existing ways.

  • PDF

The Change Point Analysis in Time Series Models

  • Lee, Sang-Yeol
    • Proceedings of the Korean Statistical Society Conference
    • /
    • 2005.11a
    • /
    • pp.43-48
    • /
    • 2005
  • We consider the problem of testing for parameter changes in time series models based on a cusum test. Although the test procedure is well-established for the mean and variance in time series models, a general parameter case has not been discussed in the literature. Therefore, here we develop a cusum test for parameter change in a more general framework. As an example, we consider the change of the parameters in an RCA(1) model and that of the autocovariances of a linear process. We also consider the variance change test for unstable models with unit roots and GARCH models.

  • PDF

A PARAMETER CHANGE TEST IN RCA(1) MODEL

  • Ha, Jeong-Cheol
    • 한국데이터정보과학회:학술대회논문집
    • /
    • 2005.10a
    • /
    • pp.135-138
    • /
    • 2005
  • In this paper, we consider the problem of testing for parameter change in time series models based on a cusum of squares. Although the test procedure is well-established for the mean and variance in time series models, a general parameter case was not discussed in literatures. Therefore, here we develop the cusum of squares type test for parameter change in a more general framework. As an example, we consider the change of the parameters in an RCA(1) model. Simulation results are reported for illustration.

  • PDF

The Cusum of Squares Test for Variance Changes in Infinite Order Autoregressive Models

  • Park, Siyun;Lee, Sangyeol;Jongwoo Jeon
    • Journal of the Korean Statistical Society
    • /
    • v.29 no.3
    • /
    • pp.351-360
    • /
    • 2000
  • This paper considers the problem of testing a variance change in infinite order autoregressive models. A cusum of squares test based on the residuals from an AR(q) model is constructed analogous to Inclan and Tiao (1994)'s test statistic, where q is a sequence of positive integers diverging to $\infty$. It is shown that under regularity conditions the limiting distribution of the test statistic is the sup of a standard Brownian bridge. Simulation results are given to illustrate the performance of the test.

  • PDF

A Study on Variance Change Point Detection for Time Series Data in Progress (진행중인 시계열데이터에서 분산 변화점 탐지에 관한 연구)

  • Choi Hyun-Seok;Kang Hoon-Kyu;Song Gyu-Moon;Kim Tae-Yoon
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
    • /
    • v.19 no.2
    • /
    • pp.369-377
    • /
    • 2006
  • This paper considers moving variance ratio (MVR) for valiance detection problem with time series data in progress. For testing purpose, parametric method based on F distribution and nonparametric method based on empirical distribution are compared via simulation study.

Tests for Mean Change with the Modified Cusum Statistics

  • Kim, Jae-Hee;Kim, Na-Yeon
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
    • /
    • v.14 no.2
    • /
    • pp.187-199
    • /
    • 2003
  • We deal with the problem of testing a sequence of independent normal random variables with constant, known or unknown, variance for no change in mean versus alternatives with a single change-point. Various tests based on the likelihood ratio and recursive residuals, score statistics and cusums are studied. Proposed tests are modified version of Buckley's cusum statistics. A comparison study of various change-point test statistics is done by Monte Carlo simulation with S-plus software.

  • PDF

Optimal design of partially step-stress life testing for the series systems (부분적 단계충격 수명검사에 관한 직렬형 시스템의 최적 검사계획)

  • 박희창;이석훈
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
    • /
    • v.8 no.2
    • /
    • pp.121-132
    • /
    • 1995
  • In this paper we consider optimal designs of partially step-stress life testing which is deviced for k-component series systems with the considerably long life time. Test items are first run simultaneously at use condition for a specified time, and the surviving items are then run at accelerated condition until a predetermined censoring time. The optimal criterion for the change time to accelerated condition is to minimized either the generalized asymptotic variance of maximum likelihood estimators of the hazard rates at use condition and the acceleration factors or the asymptotic variance of the maximum likelihood estimators of the acceleration factors.

  • PDF

Testing of a discontinuity point in the log-variance function based on likelihood (가능도함수를 이용한 로그분산함수의 불연속점 검정)

  • Huh, Jib
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
    • /
    • v.20 no.1
    • /
    • pp.1-9
    • /
    • 2009
  • Let us consider that the variance function in regression model has a discontinuity/change point at unknown location. Yu and Jones (2004) proposed the local polynomial fit to estimate the log-variance function which break the positivity of the variance. Using the local polynomial fit, Huh (2008) estimate the discontinuity point of the log-variance function. We propose a test for the existence of a discontinuity point in the log-variance function with the estimated jump size in Huh (2008). The proposed method is based on the asymptotic distribution of the estimated jump size. Numerical works demonstrate the performance of the method.

  • PDF

Sequential Test for Parameter Changes in Time Series Models

  • Lee Sangyeol;Ha Jeongcheol
    • Proceedings of the Korean Statistical Society Conference
    • /
    • 2001.11a
    • /
    • pp.185-189
    • /
    • 2001
  • In this paper, we consider the problem of testing for parameter changes in time series models based on a sequential test. Although the test procedure is well-established for the mean and variance change, a general parameter case has not been discussed in the literature. Therefore, we develop a sequential test for parameter changes in a more general framework.

  • PDF