• Title/Summary/Keyword: sub-population

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Factors affecting regional population of Korea using Bayesian quantile regression (베이지안 분위회귀모형을 이용한 지역인구에 영향을 미치는 요인분석)

  • Kim, Minyoung;Oh, Man-Suk
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.34 no.5
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    • pp.823-835
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    • 2021
  • Identification of factors influencing regional population is critical for establishing government's population policies as well as for improving residents' social, economic and cultural well-being in the region. In this study we analysed the data from 2019 Population Housing Survey in Korea to identify the factors affecting the population size in each of the three regions: Seoul, metropolitan cities, and provincial regions. We applied a Bayesian quantile regression to account for asymmetry and heteroscedasticity of data. The analysis results showed that the effects of factors vary greatly between the three regions of Seoul, metropolitan cities, and provincial regions as well as between sub regions within the same region. These results suggest that population-related variables have very heterogeneous characteristics from region to region and therefore it is important to establish customized population policies that suit regional characteristics rather than uniform population policies that apply to every region.

Analyzing an Optimality of Urban Population Size for Metropolitan Area of Korea (우리나라 광역시 인구규모의 적정성 분석)

  • Park, Joo-Hyung;Kim, Eui-June;Choi, Myoung-Sub
    • Journal of the Economic Geographical Society of Korea
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    • v.13 no.3
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    • pp.487-497
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    • 2010
  • This paper estimates theoretically optimal sizes of urban population for major metropolitan areas using an urban economy system with utility maximizing household, profit maximizing producer and government providing public goods. This finds that the optimal size of urban population is determined by technological levels and public services. The population sizes of Seoul, Busan, Daegu and Incheon are higher than their optimal levels, while Gwangju, Daejeon and Ulsan need to increase the population for production efficiency.

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Quantitative analysis of the effect of fraction of inspired oxygen on peripheral oxygen saturation in healthy volunteers

  • Kang, Bong Jin;Kim, Myojung;Bang, Ji-Yeon;Lee, Eun-Kyung;Choi, Byung-Moon;Noh, Gyu-Jeong
    • Journal of Dental Anesthesia and Pain Medicine
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    • v.20 no.2
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    • pp.73-81
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    • 2020
  • Background: The international organization for standardization (ISO) 80601-2-61 dictates that the accuracy of a pulse oximeter should be assessed by a controlled desaturation study. We aimed to characterize the relationship between the fraction of inspired oxygen (FiO2) and peripheral oxygen saturation (SpO2) using a turnover model by retrospectively analyzing the data obtained from previous controlled desaturation studies. Materials and Methods: Each volunteer was placed in a semi-Fowler's position and connected to a breathing circuit to administer the hypoxic gas mixture containing medical air, oxygen, nitrogen, and carbon dioxide. Volunteers were exposed to various levels of induced hypoxia over 70-100% arterial oxygen saturation (SaO2). The study period consisted of two rounds of hypoxia and the volunteers were maintained in room air between each round. FiO2 and SpO2 were recorded continuously during the study period. A population pharmacodynamic analysis was performed with the NONMEM VII level 4 (ICON Development Solutions, Ellicott City, MD, USA). Results: In total, 2899 SpO2 data points obtained from 20 volunteers were used to determine the pharmacodynamic characteristics. The pharmacodynamic parameters were as follows: kout = 0.942 1/min, Imax = 0.802, IC50 = 85.3%, γ = 27.3. Conclusion: The changes in SpO2 due to decreases in FiO2 well explained by the turnover model with inhibitory function as a sigmoidal model.

Estimate of the Basic Reproduction Number for COVID-19: A Systematic Review and Meta-analysis

  • Alimohamadi, Yousef;Taghdir, Maryam;Sepandi, Mojtaba
    • Journal of Preventive Medicine and Public Health
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    • v.53 no.3
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    • pp.151-157
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    • 2020
  • Objectives: The outbreak of coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) is one of the main public health challenges currently facing the world. Because of its high transmissibility, COVID-19 has already caused extensive morbidity and mortality in many countries throughout the world. An accurate estimation of the basic reproduction number (R0) of COVID-19 would be beneficial for prevention programs. In light of discrepancies in original research on this issue, this systematic review and meta-analysis aimed to estimate the pooled R0 for COVID-19 in the current outbreak. Methods: International databases (including Google Scholar, Science Direct, PubMed, and Scopus) were searched to identify studies conducted regarding the R0 of COVID-19. Articles were searched using the following keywords: "COVID-19" and "basic reproduction number" or "R0." The heterogeneity among studies was assessed using the I2 index, the Cochran Q test, and T2. A random-effects model was used to estimate R0 in this study. Results: The mean reported R0 in the identified articles was 3.38±1.40, with a range of 1.90 to 6.49. According to the results of the random-effects model, the pooled R0 for COVID-19 was estimated as 3.32 (95% confidence interval, 2.81 to 3.82). According to the results of the meta-regression analysis, the type of model used to estimate R0 did not have a significant effect on heterogeneity among studies (p=0.81). Conclusions: Considering the estimated R0 for COVID-19, reducing the number of contacts within the population is a necessary step to control the epidemic. The estimated overall R0 was higher than the World Health Organization estimate.

Preliminary Research to Support Air Quality Management Policies for Basic Local Governments in Gyeonggi-do (경기도 기초지자체 대기환경 관리정책 지원을 위한 선행 연구)

  • Chanil Jeon;Jingoo Kang;Minyoung Oh;Jaehyeong Choi;Jonghyun Shin;Chanwon Hwang
    • Journal of Environmental Health Sciences
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    • v.49 no.5
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    • pp.275-288
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    • 2023
  • Background: When basic local governments want to improve their air quality management policies, they need fundamental evidence, such as the effectiveness of current policies or scenario results. Objectives: The purpose of this study is to lay the groundwork for a process to calculate air pollutant reduction from basic local government air quality policies and provide numerical estimates of PM2.5 concentrations following improved policies. Methods: We calculated the amount of air pollutant reduction that can be expected in the research region based on the Gyeonggi-do Air Environment Management Implementation Plan issued in 2021 and guidelines from the Korean Ministry of Environment. The PM2.5 concentration variations were numerically simulated using the CMAQ (photochemical air quality model). Results: The research regions selected were Suwon, Ansan, Yongin, Pyeongtaek, and Hwaseong in consideration of population, air pollutant emissions, and geographical requirements. The expected reduction ratios in 2024 compared to 2018 are CO (3.0%), NOx (7.9%), VOCs (0.7%), SOx (0.1%), PM10 (2.4%), PM2.5 (6.1%), NH3 (0.05%). The reduced PM2.5 concentration ratio was highest in July and lowest in April. The expected concentration reduction of yearly mean PM2.5 in the research region is 0.12 ㎍/m3 (0.6%). Conclusions: Gyeonggi-do is now able to quickly provide air pollutant emission reduction calculations by respective policy scenario and PM2.5 simulation results, including for secondary aerosol particles. In order to provide more generalized results to basic local governments, it is necessary to conduct additional research by expanding the analysis tools and periods.

Genetic Relationships of Sandfish (Arctoscopus japonicas) from Five Different Areas of Korea and Japan Based on Mitochondrial DNA and Microsatellite Analyses (Mitochondrial DNA와 microsatellite marker 분석을 통한 한국과 일본에 서식하는 5 지역의 도루묵(Arctoscopus japonicas)에 대한 유전학적 유연관계 분석)

  • Kim, Eun-Mi;Kang, Hyun-Sook;Kang, Jung-Ha;Kim, Dong-Gyun;An, Cheul Min;Lee, Hae Won;Park, Jung Youn
    • Journal of Life Science
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    • v.25 no.11
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    • pp.1204-1213
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    • 2015
  • A comprehensive analysis of the population structure of the sandfish (Arctoscopus japonicas), the most abundant fishery resource in the East Sea of Korea, has not been carried out, despite its importance in Korea. The present study examined the genetic diversity and differences between five populations (two Japanese and three Korean populations) of A. japonicas captured in the East Sea using both the 401 bp sequence of mitochondrial DNA (mtDNA, cytochrome b) and five microsatellite DNA (msDNA) markers. The results of the analysis using the Cyt b sequence revealed 27 haplotypes. Based on msDNA variations, the estimated expected heterozygosity (HE) in each population ranged from 0.68 (Gampo, Korea) to 0.7765 (Erimo, Japan). Pairwise FST and AMOVA tests using both the Cyt b sequence and msDNA data pointed to significant differences between the Korean and Japanese populations (mtDNA; FST=0.2648, p<0.05, msDNA; FST=0.0814, p<0.05). These results were similar to the results of UPGMA, PCA, and structure analysis. In these analyses, the five populations were assigned to two groups (Korean populations and Japanese populations). These results shed light on the genetic diversity and relationships of A. japonicas and contribute to research on the evaluation, conservation, and utilization of Korean A. japonicas as genetic resources.

Identification and Characterization of Polymorphic Microsatellite DNA Markers Using Next-generation Sequencing in Parapristipoma trilineatum (차세대 염기서열 분석법을 사용한 벤자리(Parapristipoma trilineatum)의 microsatellite 마커의 개발 및 유전학적 특성 분석)

  • Chun Mae Dong;Mi-Nan Lee;Jae Koo Noh;Jin Woo Park;Young-Ok Kim;Eun-Mi Kim
    • Journal of Life Science
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    • v.33 no.8
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    • pp.623-631
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    • 2023
  • This study was conducted to develop microsatellite markers in Parapristipoma trilineatum using next-generation sequencing. A total of 402,244,934 reads were generated on the Illumina Hiseq X Ten System, yielding 60,738,985,034 bp of sequences. The de novo assembly resulted in 1,320,995 contigs. A total of 952,326 contigs (0.016%) including 151 microsatellite loci were derived from the 1,320,995 contigs longer than 640 bp. A total of 34 primer sets were designed from the 151 microsatellite loci. As a result, 15 microsatellite loci were chosen and used for assuming population genetic parameters in the wild and farmed populations. The mean number of effective alleles was 12, ranging from 6 to 25. The observed heterozygosity (HO) and the expected heterozygosity (HE) ranged between 0.530 and 0.873, with an average of 0.750, and from 0.647 to 0.895, with an average of 0.793, respectively. According to these results, the developed set of 15 microsatellite markers is expected to be useful for the analysis of genetic characteristics in the population of P. trilineatum in Korea. There are requirements now for further genetic information, fishery resource management, breeding guidelines, support with the selection of breeds and studies on the effects of release, all of which will improve species conservation, and through future research, we aim to offer genetic foundational data with that goal.

Predictive Growth Models of Bacillus cereus on Dried Laver Pyropia pseudolinearis as Function of Storage Temperature (저장온도에 따른 마른김(Pyropia pseudolinearis)의 Bacillus cereus 성장예측모델 개발)

  • Choi, Man-Seok;Kim, Ji Yoon;Jeon, Eun Bi;Park, Shin Young
    • Korean Journal of Fisheries and Aquatic Sciences
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    • v.53 no.5
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    • pp.699-706
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    • 2020
  • Predictive models in food microbiology are used for predicting microbial growth or death rates using mathematical and statistical tools considering the intrinsic and extrinsic factors of food. This study developed predictive growth models for Bacillus cereus on dried laver Pyropia pseudolinearis stored at different temperatures (5, 10, 15, 20, and 25℃). Primary models developed for specific growth rate (SGR), lag time (LT), and maximum population density (MPD) indicated a good fit (R2≥0.98) with the Gompertz equation. The SGR values were 0.03, 0.08, and 0.12, and the LT values were 12.64, 4.01, and 2.17 h, at the storage temperatures of 15, 20, and 25℃, respectively. Secondary models for the same parameters were determined via nonlinear regression as follows: SGR=0.0228-0.0069*T1+0.0005*T12; LT=113.0685-9.6256*T1+0.2079*T12; MPD=1.6630+0.4284*T1-0.0080*T12 (where T1 is the storage temperature). The appropriateness of the secondary models was validated using statistical indices, such as mean squared error (MSE<0.01), bias factor (0.99≤Bf≤1.07), and accuracy factor (1.01≤Af≤1.14). External validation was performed at three random temperatures, and the results were consistent with each other. Thus, these models may be useful for predicting the growth of B. cereus on dried laver.

Pleural Space Elastance and Its Relation to Success Rates of Pleurodesis in Malignant Pleural Effusion

  • Masoud, Hossam Hosny;El-Zorkany, Mahmoud Mohamed;Ahmed, Azza Anwar;Assal, Hebatallah Hany
    • Tuberculosis and Respiratory Diseases
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    • v.84 no.1
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    • pp.67-73
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    • 2021
  • Background: Pleurodesis fails in 10%-40% of patients with recurrent malignant pleural effusions malignant pleural effusion and dyspnea. This study aimed to assess the values of pleural elastance (PEL) after the aspiration of 500 mL of pleural fluid and their relation to the pleurodesis outcome, and to compare the pleurodesis outcome with the chemical characteristics of pleural fluid. Methods: A prospective study was conducted in Kasr El-Aini Hospital, Cairo University, during the period from March 2019 to January 2020. The study population consisted of 40 patients with malignant pleural effusion. The measurement of PEL after the aspiration of 500 mL of fluid was done with "PEL 0.5" (cm H2O/L), and the characteristics of the pleural fluid were chemically and cytologically analyzed. Pleurodesis was done and the patients were evaluated one month later. The PEL values were compared with pleurodesis outcomes. Results: After 4-week of follow-up, the success rate of pleurodesis was 65%. The PEL 0.5 was significantly higher in failed pleurodesis than it was in successful pleurodesis. A cutoff point of PEL 0.5 >14.5 cm H2O/L was associated with pleurodesis failure with a sensitivity and specificity of 93% and 100%, respectively. The patients with failed pleurodesis had significantly lower pH levels in fluid than those in the successful group (p<0.001). Conclusion: PEL measurement was a significant predictor in differentiating between failed and successful pleurodesis. The increase in acidity of the malignant pleural fluid can be used as a predictor for pleurodesis failure in patients with malignant pleural effusion.

ON THE PROBABILITY OF GENOTYPES IN POPULATION GENETICS

  • Choi, Won
    • Korean Journal of Mathematics
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    • v.28 no.1
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    • pp.1-7
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    • 2020
  • A partition X describes that there exists αi kinds of alleles occurring i loci for each i. All genes have multiple alleles, i.e., they exist in more than two allelic forms, although any one diploid organism can carry no more than two alleles. The number of possible genotypes in a multiple allel series depends on the number of alleles. We will deal with an n locus model in which mutation and gene conversion are taken into consideration. In this paper, we firstly find the probability pn(x) of genotype $$p_{n+1}(x)=p_n(x){\sum\limits_{k=1}^{r}}q_{kx}p_n(k)$$ with the rates of mutation and gene conversion. Also we find the probability of genotype without the rates of mutation and gene conversion and we apply this probability to two examples.