• 제목/요약/키워드: stochastic control systems

검색결과 239건 처리시간 0.028초

A study of parameter estimation of stochastic volatility model

  • Tsukui, Makiko;Furuta, Katsuhisa
    • 제어로봇시스템학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 제어로봇시스템학회 1991년도 한국자동제어학술회의논문집(국제학술편); KOEX, Seoul; 22-24 Oct. 1991
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    • pp.1858-1863
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    • 1991
  • The theory of stock option pricing has, recently, attracted attention of many researchers interested not only in finance but also in statistics and control theory. In this field, the problem of estimating stock return volatility is, above all, of great importance in calculating actual stock option value. In this paper, we assume that the stock market is represented by the stochastic volatility model which is the same as that of Hull and White. Then, we propose an approximation function of option value. It is a type of Black-Sholes option formula in which the first and the second order moments of logarithmic stock value are modified in a special form from the original model. Finally, an algorithm of estimating the parameters of the stochastic volatility model is given, and parameters are estimated by using Nikkei 225 index option data.

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Stochastic response spectra for an actively-controlled structure

  • Mochio, Takashi
    • Structural Engineering and Mechanics
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    • 제32권1호
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    • pp.179-191
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    • 2009
  • A stochastic response spectrum method is proposed for simple evaluation of the structural response of an actively controlled aseismic structure. The response spectrum is constructed assuming a linear structure with an active mass damper (AMD) system, and an earthquake wave model given by the product of a non-stationary envelope function and a stationary Gaussian random process with Kanai-Tajimi power spectral density. The control design is executed using a linear quadratic Gaussian control strategy for an enlarged state space system, and the response amplification factor is given by the combination of the obtained statistical response values and extreme value theory. The response spectrum thus produced can be used for simple dynamical analyses. The response factors obtained by this method for a multi-degree-of-freedom structure are shown to be comparable with those determined by numerical simulations, demonstrating the validity and utility of the proposed technique as a simple design tool. This method is expected to be useful for engineers in the initial design stage for structures with active aseismic control.

통신 네트워크에서 상태 추정에 의한 군집병합의 원격제어 (Vehicle Platooning Remote Control via State Estimation in a Communication Network)

  • 황태현;최재원;김영호
    • 제어로봇시스템학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 제어로봇시스템학회 2000년도 제15차 학술회의논문집
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    • pp.192-192
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    • 2000
  • In this paper, a platoon merging is considered as a remote-controlled system with the state represented by a stochastic process. In this system, it becomes to encounter situations where a single decision maker controls a large number of subsystems, and observation and control signals are sent over a communication channel with finite capacity and significant transmission delays. Unlike classical estimation problem in which the observation is a continuous process corrupted by additive noise, there is a constraint that the observation must be coded and transmitted over a digital communication channel with finite capaci쇼. A recursive coder-estimator sequence is a state estimation scheme based on observations transmitted with finite communication capacity constraint. Using the coder-estimator sequence, the remote control station designs a feedback controller. In this paper, we introduce a stochastic model for the lead vehicle in a platoon of vehicles considering the angle between a road surface and a horizontal plane as a stochastic process. The simulation results show that the inter-vehicle distance and the deviation from the desired inter-vehicle distance are well regulated.

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(s, S) 재고관리 시스템에 대한 확률최적화 기법의 응용 (Application of Stochastic Optimization Method to (s, S) Inventory System)

  • Chimyung Kwon
    • 한국시뮬레이션학회논문지
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    • 제12권2호
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    • pp.1-11
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    • 2003
  • In this paper, we focus an optimal policy focus optimal class of (s, S) inventory control systems. To this end, we use the perturbation analysis and apply a stochastic optimization algorithm to minimize the average cost over a period. We obtain the gradients of objective function with respect to ordering amount S and reorder point s via a combined perturbation method. This method uses the infinitesimal perturbation analysis and the smoothed perturbation analysis alternatively according to occurrences of ordering event changes. Our simulation results indicate that the optimal estimates of s and S obtained from a stochastic optimization algorithm are quite accurate. We consider that this may be due to the estimated gradients of little noise from the regenerative system simulation, and their effect on search procedure when we apply the stochastic optimization algorithm. The directions for future study stemming from this research pertain to extension to the more general inventory system with regard to demand distribution, backlogging policy, lead time, and review period. Another directions involves the efficiency of stochastic optimization algorithm related to searching procedure for an improving point of (s, S).

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유체운동에 의한 불규칙 가진을 받는 비선형계의 확률제어 (A Stochastic Control for Nonlinear Systems under Random Disturbance Based on a Fluid Motion)

  • 오수영;김용관;조경래;최영섭;허훈
    • 한국소음진동공학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국소음진동공학회 2001년도 춘계학술대회논문집
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    • pp.892-896
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    • 2001
  • 백색잡음 불규칙 과정으로 모델링된 난류형태의 유체운동에 의하여 가진되는 비선형 시스템의 특성과 제어기법에 대해 연구하였다. 고려된 물리적인 모델은 주질량과 끝단 집중질량을 갖는 보형태의 구조물이다. 그 지배방정식은 확률론적 관점에서 F-P-K 접근법으로 유도되었고, 비선형 해석법으로 Gaussian Closure방법을 이용하였다. 비선형 시스템의 제어기법으로는 슬라이딩 모드 제어기를 최초로 확률영역에서 설계하고 그 효과를 확률영역 및 시간영역에서 고찰하였다.

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스토케스틱 페트리 네트를 이용한 교통 흐름 분석 (Analysis of the traffic flow using stochastic Petri Nets)

  • 조훤;고인선
    • 제어로봇시스템학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 제어로봇시스템학회 1997년도 한국자동제어학술회의논문집; 한국전력공사 서울연수원; 17-18 Oct. 1997
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    • pp.1504-1507
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    • 1997
  • In this paper, we investigate a traffic flow modeled by stochastic Petri nets. The model consists of two parts : the traffic flow model and signal controller model. These models are used for analyzing the flow of the traffic intersection. The results of the evaluation are derived from a Petri Net-based simulation package, Greatspn. Through simulation we compare the performances of the pretimed signal controller with those of the trafic-adaptive signal controller.

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일반화된 확률 페트리 네트의 축소에 관한 연구 (A study on the reduction of generalized stochastic petri net)

  • 홍지민;이기동;이범희
    • 제어로봇시스템학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 제어로봇시스템학회 1993년도 한국자동제어학술회의논문집(국내학술편); Seoul National University, Seoul; 20-22 Oct. 1993
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    • pp.324-329
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    • 1993
  • A reduction method of GSPN (generalized stochastic Petri net) is proposed. A GSPN is basically a SPN (stochastic Petri net) with transition a that are either timed or immediate. Then the proposed method is defined on the basis of the dynamic behavior and the structure of the net. The reduction preserves the properties such as liveness, boundedness, and allows easy analysis of the GSPN.

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확률 페트리 네트를 이용한 객체지향 기반의 표면 실장기 시뮬레이터 개발 (Development of Simulator based on Object-Oriented Programming for Chip Mounter Using Stochastic Petri Nets)

  • 박기범;박태형
    • 제어로봇시스템학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 제어로봇시스템학회 2000년도 제15차 학술회의논문집
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    • pp.57-57
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    • 2000
  • The purpose of this paper is show that an chip mounter can be modeled by stochastic petri nets, and that the simulator to verify a fitness of the program to assemble. The chip mounter can be constructed by using the petri net class (CPetriNet) based on the object-oriented programming. By using this simulator, we can get the information about the description of motion of the chip mounter, and moreover, we can evaluate the productivity.

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Stability and Robust H Control for Time-Delayed Systems with Parameter Uncertainties and Stochastic Disturbances

  • Kim, Ki-Hoon;Park, Myeong-Jin;Kwon, Oh-Min;Lee, Sang-Moon;Cha, Eun-Jong
    • Journal of Electrical Engineering and Technology
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    • 제11권1호
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    • pp.200-214
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    • 2016
  • This paper investigates the problem of stability analysis and robust H controller for time-delayed systems with parameter uncertainties and stochastic disturbances. It is assumed parameter uncertainties are norm bounded and mean and variance for disturbances of them are known. Firstly, by constructing a newly augmented Lyapunov-Krasovskii functional, a stability criterion for nominal systems with time-varying delays is derived in terms of linear matrix inequalities (LMIs). Secondly, based on the result of stability analysis, a new controller design method is proposed for the nominal form of the systems. Finally, the proposed method is extended to the problem of robust H controller design for a time-delayed system with parameter uncertainties and stochastic disturbances. To show the validity and effectiveness of the presented criteria, three examples are included.

Complexity Control Method of Chaos Dynamics in Recurrent Neural Networks

  • Sakai, Masao;Homma, Noriyasu;Abe, Kenichi
    • Transactions on Control, Automation and Systems Engineering
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    • 제4권2호
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    • pp.124-129
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    • 2002
  • This paper demonstrates that the largest Lyapunov exponent λ of recurrent neural networks can be controlled efficiently by a stochastic gradient method. An essential core of the proposed method is a novel stochastic approximate formulation of the Lyapunov exponent λ as a function of the network parameters such as connection weights and thresholds of neural activation functions. By a gradient method, a direct calculation to minimize a square error (λ - λ$\^$obj/)$^2$, where λ$\^$obj/ is a desired exponent value, needs gradients collection through time which are given by a recursive calculation from past to present values. The collection is computationally expensive and causes unstable control of the exponent for networks with chaotic dynamics because of chaotic instability. The stochastic formulation derived in this paper gives us an approximation of the gradients collection in a fashion without the recursive calculation. This approximation can realize not only a faster calculation of the gradient, but also stable control for chaotic dynamics. Due to the non-recursive calculation. without respect to the time evolutions, the running times of this approximation grow only about as N$^2$ compared to as N$\^$5/T that is of the direct calculation method. It is also shown by simulation studies that the approximation is a robust formulation for the network size and that proposed method can control the chaos dynamics in recurrent neural networks efficiently.