• Title/Summary/Keyword: statistical verification

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A Comparative Model Study on the Intermittent Demand Forecast of Air Cargo - Focusing on Croston and Holts models - (항공화물의 간헐적 수요예측에 대한 비교 모형 연구 - Croston모형과 Holts모형을 중심으로 -)

  • Yoo, Byung-Cheol;Park, Young-Tae
    • Journal of Korea Port Economic Association
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    • v.37 no.1
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    • pp.71-85
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    • 2021
  • A variety of methods have been proposed through a number of studies on sophisticated demand forecasting models that can reduce logistics costs. These studies mainly determine the applicable demand forecasting model based on the pattern of demand quantity and try to judge the accuracy of the model through statistical verification. Demand patterns can be broadly divided into regularity and irregularity. A regular pattern means that the order is regular and the order quantity is constant. In this case, predicting demand mainly through regression model or time series model was used. However, this demand is called "intermittent demand" when irregular and fluctuating amount of order quantity is large, and there is a high possibility of error in demand prediction with existing regression model or time series model. For items that show intermittent demand, predicting demand is mainly done using Croston or HOLTS. In this study, we analyze the demand patterns of various items of air cargo with intermittent patterns and apply the most appropriate model to predict and verify the demand. In this process, intermittent optimal demand forecasting model of air cargo is proposed by analyzing the fit of various models of air cargo by item and region.

The Effects of the Recognition of Collaborative Classes between Native English Speakers and Korean English Teachers on the Definition Factors of the Learner (원어민과 한국인 영어교사의 협동수업에 대한 인식이 학습자의 정의적 요인에 미치는 영향)

  • Lee, Young-Eun
    • The Journal of the Korea Contents Association
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    • v.19 no.8
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    • pp.572-583
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    • 2019
  • This study sought to find out what the most ideal and appropriate native English speakers-Korean English teacher cooperative class model and the defining factors for organizing effective cooperative classes in the English education environment of our country. To achieve this goal, a total of 165 sixth graders of five elementary schools in Seoul were subject to the study. For about a month from April 1 to April 30, 2019, the survey and statistical analysis were conducted, including multiple return analysis, correlation analysis, cross analysis, and t/F verification. In summary, the results of the study are as follows. First, it was found that among the recognition of cooperative classes between native English speakers and Korean English teachers, it affected the defining factors in the order of class-related skills, task orientation, teaching-learning strategies, and motivation. Second, based on learner characteristics, the difference in perception of cooperative classes between native English speakers and Korean English teachers was verified, and the perception of native-Korean English teachers' cooperative classes was different depending on gender and the type of English cooperative classes currently participating, but the recognition of native-Korean English-Korean English cooperative classes, which were statistically significant, was not confirmed. Third, according to learner characteristics, the difference in the definition factors of the learner was verified and the difference between the sexes occurred, but the learner-defined factors according to the current type of English cooperative class did not occur. Also, there was no difference in the definition factors of scholars according to the type of English cooperative classes desired.

Verification of the relationship between problematic toenails recognition and nail salon recommendations (문제성 발톱 인식과 네일샵 추천의도의 관계 검증)

  • Kim, Seon-Hee;Kim, Eun-Sook
    • Journal of the Korea Convergence Society
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    • v.10 no.9
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    • pp.301-309
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    • 2019
  • This research's purpose is figuring out the influencing factor on nail salon visitors recommendation intention. For this research, survey data of 305 men and women in their 10s to 50s were gathered in the area. Gathering the surveys, 170 people who did not have insincere response and problematic toenails were excluded. The rest 135 was used for the study. After analyzing the outcome (F=5.588, p<.01), from problematic toenails in the ingrown toenails there was a statistical significant difference. In foot care and location, the difference effectiveness is care/home remedy/pharmacy.(F=4.319, p<.01). Looking at recommendation intention for problematic toenails at the nail salon (F=15.152, p<.01). In addition, is it possible for the nail salon to improve as well as to prevent problematic toenails, can the nail salon care for problematic toenails, foot care behavior, intention of visiting nail salon on recognition of professionalism influences on nail salon recommendation intention by statically appeared to be significant (F=16.847, p<.001). Therefore, this research recognizes and raises the nail salon visitors quality on problematic toenails. Following problematic toenails type, we can further extend to improve as well as to prevent judging from the given data.

Overhand Grip or Underhand Grip, which one is more Effective on Conventional Deadlift Movement? (오버핸드 그립과 언더핸드 그립, 무엇이 컨벤셔널 데드리프트에 효과적일까?)

  • Kim, Jaeho;Yoon, Sukhoon
    • Korean Journal of Applied Biomechanics
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    • v.31 no.2
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    • pp.133-139
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    • 2021
  • Objective: This study aims to verify the conventional deadlift motions using by two different grips, thereby elucidating the grounds for effective training methods that can minimize the risk of injury. Method: Total of 18 healthy young adults were recruited for this study (age: 25.11±2.19 yrs., height: 175.67±5.22 cm, body mass: 78.5±8.09 kg, 1-RM: 125.75±19.48 kg). All participants were asked to perform conventional deadlift with two types of grips which are overhand grip (OG) and underhand grip (UG). In each grip, participant perform the deadlift with 50% and 80% of the pre-measured 1-RM. A 3-dimensional motion analysis with 8 infrared cameras and 3 channels of EMG was performed in this study. A two-way ANOVA (group × load) with repeated measure was used for statistical verification. The significant level was set at α=.05. Results: There were significant differences in grip type and weight on the right shoulder joint, and only significant difference in grip on the left shoulder joint (p<.05). The hip joint ROM was significantly increased as the weight increased in both types of grips on phase 1, while the ROM of hip joint was significantly decreased as the weight increased only in the case of OG on phase 2 (p<.05). In case of the OG, as the weight, increased significantly increased L1 ROM and L3 ROM were revealed on phase 1 and phase 2, respectively (p<.05). Moreover, as the weight increased, UG revealed significantly decreased L5 ROM on phase 1, while both grips showed significantly increased ROM on phase 2 (p<.05). In addition, the erector spinae and the biceps femoris, which are synergist for the motion, showed a significant difference in both types of grip according to the weight (p<.05). The muscle activity ratio of gluteus maximus/biceps femoris showed a significant difference only in the UG according to the weight (p<.05). Conclusion: In conclusion, beginners might be suggested to use the UG for maintaining the neutral state of the lumbar spine and focus on the gluteus maximus muscle, which is the main activation muscle. For the experts, it may recommend alternative use of the OG and UG according to the training purpose to minimize the compensation effect.

Analysis of Spatial Distribution and Estimation of Carbon Emissions in Deforestation Using GIS and Administrative Data (GIS와 행정 자료를 이용한 산림전용지의 공간분포 및 탄소배출량 분석 - 강원도 원주시를 대상으로 -)

  • Park, Jinwoo;Lee, Jungsoo
    • Journal of Korean Society of Forest Science
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    • v.100 no.3
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    • pp.466-475
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    • 2011
  • This study purposed to analyze the spatial pattern and the amount of carbon emission at the deforestation area based on the administrative and GIS data. The total size of deforestation area in last nine years (2000-2008) was about 649 ha, and it was occurred annually about 72 ha. The occurrence rate of deforestation per administrative area in Wonju was about 0.74%. It was 0.34% higher than that of Kwangwondo, and 0.06% less than that of National rate. On the other hand, the forms of deforestation by purpose were not related to the administrative district unit. The number of deforestation forms was highest at settlements. second most frequent form is other land. Grassland showed the lowest score. In addition, the deforestations were more occurred which is closed to the existing housing and building rather than roads. The number of deforestation was 1.2 times higher based on 300m. Seventy percent of deforestation was occurred which is less than 0.5 ha in size, and it increased to 91% when the size is less than 1ha. The total size of theoretical carbon emission based on deforestation area was estimated at 23,424 tc, and average annual carbon emission was estimated by 2,603 tc. Carbon emission per ha was 36.1 tC/ha. This study results will be useful to construct the greenhouse gas statistical verification system against the Post-2012 by GIS.

Effect of Restaurant Meal Replacement Product Selection Attributes on Brand Image and Satisfaction (RMR(레스토랑간편식) 상품의 선택속성이 브랜드이미지, 만족도에 미치는 영향)

  • Kim, Chan-Woo;Lee, Kang-Yeon
    • The Journal of the Korea Contents Association
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    • v.20 no.12
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    • pp.471-481
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    • 2020
  • This study aims to investigate the relationship between the factors of RMR product selection attributes, brand image, and satisfaction as the interest and frequency of use of RMR products of dining out consumers increase recently. Convenience sampling was used for consumers with experience in using RMR products launched in catering companies and restaurants. The investigation period was conducted for about 20 days from August 10, 2020. The final 291 copies were used for research analysis, and the SPSS 21.0 statistical package program was used for hypothesis verification. As a result of the analysis, the hygiene (��=.160), menu (��=.203), and packaging (��=.291) of Hypothesis 1 had a significant effect on reliability. Hypothesis 2's menu (��=.270), convenience (��=.201), and packaging (��=.195) were found to have a significant effect on differentiation. The reliability (��=.328) and differentiation (��=.443) of the brand image of Hypothesis 3 were found to have a significant effect on satisfaction (��=.428). Hygiene (��=.388), menu (��=.229), and convenience (��=.243) of Hypothesis 4 were analyzed to have a significant effect on satisfaction. Lastly, this study is expected to be provided as basic research data related to RMR products, and is intended to be presented as a theoretical basis for the use of marketing and direction in RMR product development of food service companies and restaurants.

An Empirical Formula of Bearing Capacity on Prebored and Precast Steel Piles (강관 매입말뚝의 지지력 공식 제안)

  • Park, Jong-Jeon;Kim, Do-Hyun;Jung, Gyung-Ja;Jeong, Sang-Seom
    • Journal of the Korean Geotechnical Society
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    • v.37 no.6
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    • pp.5-20
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    • 2021
  • In this study, a modified empirical formula for estimating the bearing capacity of the steel pipe prebored and precast pile was proposed by performing 20 cases of real-scale field pile loading tests. The proposed formula will be based on expanded SPT N-value in order to consider the realistic condition of the surrounding soil. The formula is proposed based on a statistic approach of the data points from the field pile loading test, in order to ensure safe engineering practice while finding a reliable formula. The statistical analysis of the data points from the loading test indicated that the existing formula has been underestimated the bearing capacity of the prebored and precast pile. The proposed formula estimates 15% and 20% higher pile End bearing capacity (qt=230Pdriven(kN/m2)) and the shaft resistance (fmax=3.0NsE(kN/m2)) compared to the existing formula. The accuracy and the stability of the proposed formula was verified by comparing the estimated results with additional field test data. The verification process showed that the proposed formula was estimated to be more accurate than the existing formula.

Regression Analysis-based Model Equation Predicting the Concentration of Phytoncide (Monoterpenes) - Focusing on Suri Hill in Chuncheon - (피톤치드(모노테르펜) 농도 예측을 위한 회귀분석 기반 모델식 -춘천 수리봉을 중심으로-)

  • Lee, Seog-Jong;Kim, Byoung-Ug;Hong, Young-Kyun;Lee, Yeong-Seob;Go, Young-Hun;Yang, Seung-Pyo;Hyun, Geun-Woo;Yi, Geon-Ho;Kim, Jea-Chul;Kim, Dae-Yeoal
    • Journal of Environmental Health Sciences
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    • v.47 no.6
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    • pp.548-557
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    • 2021
  • Background: Due to the emergence of new diseases such as COVID-19, an increasing number of people are struggling with stress and depression. Interest is growing in forest-based recreation for physical and mental relief. Objectives: A prediction model equation using meteorological factors and data was developed to predict the quantities of medicinal substances generated in forests (monoterpenes) in real-time. Methods: The concentration of phytoncide and meteorological factors in the forests near Chuncheon in South Korea were measured for nearly two years. Meteorological factors affecting the observation data were acquired through a multiple regression analysis. A model equation was developed by applying a linear regression equation with the main factors. Results: The linear regression analysis revealed a high explanatory power for the coefficients of determination of temperature and humidity in the coniferous forest (R2=0.7028 and R2=0.5859). With a temperature increase of 1℃, the phytoncide concentration increased by 31.7 ng/Sm3. A humidity increase of 1% led to an increase in the coniferous forest by 21.9 ng/Sm3. In the deciduous forest, the coefficients of determination of temperature and humidity had approximately 60% explanatory power (R2=0.6611 and R2=0.5893). A temperature increase of 1℃ led to an increase of approximately 9.6 ng/Sm3, and 1% humidity resulted in a change of approximately 6.9 ng/Sm3. A prediction model equation was suggested based on such meteorological factors and related equations that showed a 30% error with statistical verification. Conclusions: Follow-up research is required to reduce the prediction error. In addition, phytoncide data for each region can be acquired by applying actual regional phytoncide data and the prediction technique proposed in this study.

Mediating Effect of Interest in Elderly Job Project and Resilience on the Relationship between MZ and X Generation's Social Support and Retirement Readiness (MZ·X세대의 사회적지지와 노후준비도 관계에서 노인일자리사업 관심도와 회복탄력성의 매개효과)

  • Kim, Geon-hui;Hong, Sang-Ook
    • Industry Promotion Research
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    • v.7 no.4
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    • pp.63-74
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    • 2022
  • The purpose of this study is to examine the mediating effect of interest in the elderly job project and resilience in the relationship between social support and retirement readiness of the MZ·X generation. This survey conducted reliability and frequency analysis, t/f-verification, descriptive statistical analysis, and analysis of reliability and frequency using SPSS 27.0 and AMOS 27.0 programs on the collected data of 359 MZ and X generations of G, Y, and A cities in D and G provinces. Analysis was performed using correlation analysis and structural relationship statistics. As a result of the study, first, it was found that there was a significant correlation between the level of interest in the employment project for the elderly, social support, resilience and readiness for old age. Second, in the relationship between social support and retirement readiness, the degree of interest and resilience of the elderly job project were partially mediated. Therefore, in order to increase the MZ and X generations' interest in and resilience in the job projects for the elderly, the provision of emotional, evaluative, informational, and material support systems as a social support system and the elderly in government agencies such as the Ministry of Health and Welfare, the Ministry of Employment and Labor, and the Ministry of Gender Equality and Family A realistic policy of job business policy is needed.

A Study on Methods for Korean Colleges to Participate in Higher Vocational Education Area of Official Development Assistance (국내 전문대학의 고등직업교육 분야 공적개발원조(Official Development Assistance) 참여방안에 관한 연구)

  • Lee, Tae-Jung;Yun, Woo-Young
    • Journal of Digital Convergence
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    • v.19 no.5
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    • pp.47-55
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    • 2021
  • Firstly, our Technical and Vocational Education and Training(TVET) ODA currently uses 70% of its budget on short-term assistance project works without much consideration for continuity from one project to another. Secondly, TVET ODA budget is much too concentrated on hardware support, lowering impact compared to the amount invested. Lastly, there is a lack of research on the needs of recipient nation which leads to lowering effectiveness of TVET ODA. This Study analyzed the characteristics of Korea's TVET ODA through the statistical data analysis of ODA. This study's main focus is to recommend methods for Korean colleges to overcome tendencies and limitations of TVET within Korea's ODA. Colleges have advantages in training students to fit needs of the market and companies based on decades of experience colleges have on academic-industrial collaboration. Colleges can also transfer qualification verification systems to fit the recipient country and dispatch TVET related personnel to strengthen software support. Additionally, the post project evaluation and post job placement management capabilities of colleges can be actively used for post management of TVET projects. I hope that through this study, ways to increase participation of colleges in TVET ODA can be discussed in more variety.