• Title/Summary/Keyword: statistical regression modeling

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Modeling of etch microtrenching using generalized regression neural network and genetic algorithm (일반화된 회귀신경망과 유전자 알고리즘을 이용한 식각 마이크로 트렌치 모델링)

  • Lee, Duk-Woo;Kim, Byung-Whan
    • Proceedings of the KIEE Conference
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    • 2005.05a
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    • pp.27-29
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    • 2005
  • Using a generalized regression neural network, etch microtrenching was modeled. All neurons in the pattern layer were equipped with multi-factored spreads and their complex effects on the prediction performance were optimized by means of a genetic algorithm. For comparison, GRNN model was constructed in a conventional way. Comparison result revealed that GA-GRNN model was more accurate than GRNN model by about 30%. The microtrenching data were collected during the etching of silicon oxynitride film and the etch process was characterized by a statistical experimental design.

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A Clustering Approach to Wind Power Prediction based on Support Vector Regression

  • Kim, Seong-Jun;Seo, In-Yong
    • International Journal of Fuzzy Logic and Intelligent Systems
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    • v.12 no.2
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    • pp.108-112
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    • 2012
  • A sustainable production of electricity is essential for low carbon green growth in South Korea. The generation of wind power as renewable energy has been rapidly growing around the world. Undoubtedly wind energy is unlimited in potential. However, due to its own intermittency and volatility, there are difficulties in the effective harvesting of wind energy and the integration of wind power into the current electric power grid. To cope with this, many works have been done for wind speed and power forecasting. It is reported that, compared with physical persistent models, statistical techniques and computational methods are more useful for short-term forecasting of wind power. Among them, support vector regression (SVR) has much attention in the literature. This paper proposes an SVR based wind speed forecasting. To improve the forecasting accuracy, a fuzzy clustering is adopted in the process of SVR modeling. An illustrative example is also given by using real-world wind farm dataset. According to the experimental results, it is shown that the proposed method provides better forecasts of wind power.

The Factor Analysis of Land Surface Temperature(LST) Change using MODIS Imagery and Panel Data (MODIS 영상 자료와 패널 자료를 이용한 지표면온도변화 요인분석)

  • BAE, Da-Hye;KIM, Hong-Myung;HA, Sung-Ryong
    • Journal of the Korean Association of Geographic Information Studies
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    • v.21 no.1
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    • pp.46-56
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    • 2018
  • This paper aimed to identify main factors of community characters, which have an effect on the land surface temperature(LST) change and estimate the impacting coefficient(ratio) of factors in a significant level of statistics. Chungcheongbuk-do province was selected and then partitioned into city and county areas for the sake of convenience of modeling. LST time series data and the community character data were developed based on Terra Satellite MODIS data and collected from the National Statistical Office, respectively. By the cause and effect relationship between community characters and LST, regression coefficients were estimated using a penal model. In a panel modeling, LST and community characters were used as a dependent variable and explanatory variables, respectively. Panel modeling analysis was carried out using statistical package STATA14 and one-way fixed effect model was selected as the most suitable model to evaluate the regression coefficients in the study area. The impacting ratio of LST change by any explanatory variable derived from the regression coefficients of the panel model fixed. Impacting ratios for industrial areas, elevation ${\times}$ building, energy usage, average window speed, non-urban management area, agricultural, nature and environmental conservation, average precipitation were 3.746, 2.856, 2.742, 0.553, 0.102, 0.071 and 0.003, respectively.

Neural-based Blind Modeling of Mini-mill ASC Crown

  • Lee, Gang-Hwa;Lee, Dong-Il;Lee, Seung-Joon;Lee, Suk-Gyu;Kim, Shin-Il;Park, Hae-Doo;Park, Seung-Gap
    • Journal of the Korean Institute of Intelligent Systems
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    • v.12 no.6
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    • pp.577-582
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    • 2002
  • Neural network can be trained to approximate an arbitrary nonlinear function of multivariate data like the mini-mill crown values in Automatic Shape Control. The trained weights of neural network can evaluate or generalize the process data outside the training vectors. Sometimes, the blind modeling of the process data is necessary to compare with the scattered analytical model of mini-mill process in isolated electro-mechanical forms. To come up with a viable model, we propose the blind neural-based range-division domain-clustering piecewise-linear modeling scheme. The basic ideas are: 1) dividing the range of target data, 2) clustering the corresponding input space vectors, 3)training the neural network with clustered prototypes to smooth out the convergence and 4) solving the resulting matrix equations with a pseudo-inverse to alleviate the ill-conditioning problem. The simulation results support the effectiveness of the proposed scheme and it opens a new way to the data analysis technique. By the comparison with the statistical regression, it is evident that the proposed scheme obtains better modeling error uniformity and reduces the magnitudes of errors considerably. Approximatly 10-fold better performance results.

Nonlinear finite element based parametric and stochastic analysis of prestressed concrete haunched beams

  • Ozogul, Ismail;Gulsan, Mehmet E.
    • Structural Engineering and Mechanics
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    • v.84 no.2
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    • pp.207-224
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    • 2022
  • The mechanical behavior of prestressed concrete haunched beams (PSHBs) was investigated in depth using a finite element modeling technique in this study. The efficiency of finite element modeling was investigated in the first stage by taking into account a previous study from the literature. The first stage's findings suggested that finite element modeling might be preferable for modeling PSHBs. In the second stage of the research, a comprehensive parametric study was carried out to determine the effect of each parameter on PSHB load capacity, including haunch angle, prestress level, compressive strength, tensile reinforcement ratio, and shear span to depth ratio. PSHBs and prestressed concrete rectangular beams (PSRBs) were also compared in terms of capacity. Stochastic analysis was used in the third stage to define the uncertainty in PSHB capacity by taking into account uncertainty in geometric and material parameters. Standard deviation, coefficient of variation, and the most appropriate probability density function (PDF) were proposed as a result of the analysis to define the randomness of capacity of PSHBs. In the study's final section, a new equation was proposed for using symbolic regression to predict the load capacity of PSHBs and PSRBs. The equation's statistical results show that it can be used to calculate the capacity of PSHBs and PSRBs.

Joint penalization of components and predictors in mixture of regressions (혼합회귀모형에서 콤포넌트 및 설명변수에 대한 벌점함수의 적용)

  • Park, Chongsun;Mo, Eun Bi
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.32 no.2
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    • pp.199-211
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    • 2019
  • This paper is concerned with issues in the finite mixture of regression modeling as well as the simultaneous selection of the number of mixing components and relevant predictors. We propose a penalized likelihood method for both mixture components and regression coefficients that enable the simultaneous identification of significant variables and the determination of important mixture components in mixture of regression models. To avoid over-fitting and bias problems, we applied smoothly clipped absolute deviation (SCAD) penalties on the logarithm of component probabilities suggested by Huang et al. (Statistical Sinica, 27, 147-169, 2013) as well as several well-known penalty functions for coefficients in regression models. Simulation studies reveal that our method is satisfactory with well-known penalties such as SCAD, MCP, and adaptive lasso.

Assessment through Statistical Methods of Water Quality Parameters(WQPs) in the Han River in Korea

  • Kim, Jae Hyoun
    • Journal of Environmental Health Sciences
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    • v.41 no.2
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    • pp.90-101
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    • 2015
  • Objective: This study was conducted to develop a chemical oxygen demand (COD) regression model using water quality monitoring data (January, 2014) obtained from the Han River auto-monitoring stations. Methods: Surface water quality data at 198 sampling stations along the six major areas were assembled and analyzed to determine the spatial distribution and clustering of monitoring stations based on 18 WQPs and regression modeling using selected parameters. Statistical techniques, including combined genetic algorithm-multiple linear regression (GA-MLR), cluster analysis (CA) and principal component analysis (PCA) were used to build a COD model using water quality data. Results: A best GA-MLR model facilitated computing the WQPs for a 5-descriptor COD model with satisfactory statistical results ($r^2=92.64$,$Q{^2}_{LOO}=91.45$,$Q{^2}_{Ext}=88.17$). This approach includes variable selection of the WQPs in order to find the most important factors affecting water quality. Additionally, ordination techniques like PCA and CA were used to classify monitoring stations. The biplot based on the first two principal components (PCs) of the PCA model identified three distinct groups of stations, but also differs with respect to the correlation with WQPs, which enables better interpretation of the water quality characteristics at particular stations as of January 2014. Conclusion: This data analysis procedure appears to provide an efficient means of modelling water quality by interpreting and defining its most essential variables, such as TOC and BOD. The water parameters selected in a COD model as most important in contributing to environmental health and water pollution can be utilized for the application of water quality management strategies. At present, the river is under threat of anthropogenic disturbances during festival periods, especially at upstream areas.

Machine Learning Approaches to Corn Yield Estimation Using Satellite Images and Climate Data: A Case of Iowa State

  • Kim, Nari;Lee, Yang-Won
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Surveying, Geodesy, Photogrammetry and Cartography
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    • v.34 no.4
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    • pp.383-390
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    • 2016
  • Remote sensing data has been widely used in the estimation of crop yields by employing statistical methods such as regression model. Machine learning, which is an efficient empirical method for classification and prediction, is another approach to crop yield estimation. This paper described the corn yield estimation in Iowa State using four machine learning approaches such as SVM (Support Vector Machine), RF (Random Forest), ERT (Extremely Randomized Trees) and DL (Deep Learning). Also, comparisons of the validation statistics among them were presented. To examine the seasonal sensitivities of the corn yields, three period groups were set up: (1) MJJAS (May to September), (2) JA (July and August) and (3) OC (optimal combination of month). In overall, the DL method showed the highest accuracies in terms of the correlation coefficient for the three period groups. The accuracies were relatively favorable in the OC group, which indicates the optimal combination of month can be significant in statistical modeling of crop yields. The differences between our predictions and USDA (United States Department of Agriculture) statistics were about 6-8 %, which shows the machine learning approaches can be a viable option for crop yield modeling. In particular, the DL showed more stable results by overcoming the overfitting problem of generic machine learning methods.

Formulating Regional Relevance Index through Covariance Structure Modeling (공분산구조분석을 이용한 자체충족률 모형 검증)

  • 장혜정;김창엽
    • Health Policy and Management
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    • v.11 no.2
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    • pp.123-140
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    • 2001
  • Hypotheses In health services research are becoming increasingly more complex and specific. As a result, health services research studies often include multiple independent, intervening, and dependent variables in a single hypothesis. Nevertheless, the statistical models adopted by health services researchers have failed to keep pace with the increasing complexity and specificity of hypotheses and research designs. This article introduces a statistical model well suited for complex and specific hypotheses tests in health services research studies. The covariance structure modeling(CSM) methodology is especially applied to regional relevance indices(RIs) to assess the impact of health resources and healthcare utilization. Data on secondary statistics and health insurance claims were collected by each catchment area. The model for RI was justified by direct and indirect effects of three latent variables measured by seven observed variables, using ten structural equations. The resulting structural model revealed significant direct effects of the structure of health resources but indirect effects of the quantity on RIs, and explained 82% of correlation matrix of measurement variables. Two variables, the number of beds and the portion of specialists among medical doctors, became to have significant effects on RIs by being analyzed using the CSM methodology, while they were insignificant in the regression model. Recommendations for the CSM methodology on health service research data are provided.

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A Study on Deriving the Statistical Weight Estimation Formula for an Aircraft Wing (항공기 날개의 통계적 중량 예측식 도출 연구)

  • Kim, Seok-Beom;Jeong, Han-Gyu;Hwang, Ho-Yon
    • Journal of the Korean Society for Aeronautical & Space Sciences
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    • v.46 no.1
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    • pp.32-40
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    • 2018
  • In this research, a method of deriving statistical weight prediction formula which is used during the conceptual design phase was studied and it was programmed using Microsoft Excel and verified by applying to jet transport aircraft. The database was built while referencing the variables of conventional wing weight estimation formulas and it was used for modeling the jet transport wing weight regression equation. The model was evaluated using the K-fold cross validation method to solve the overfitting problem of the model.