• Title/Summary/Keyword: statistical learning theory

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The Optimal Hydrologic Forecasting System for Abnormal Storm due to Climate Change in the River Basin (하천유역에서 기후변화에 따른 이상호우시의 최적 수문예측시스템)

  • Kim, Seong-Won;Kim, Hyeong-Su
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2008.05a
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    • pp.2193-2196
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    • 2008
  • In this study, the new methodology such as support vector machines neural networks model (SVM-NNM) using the statistical learning theory is introduced to forecast flood stage in Nakdong river, Republic of Korea. The SVM-NNM in hydrologic time series forecasting is relatively new, and it is more problematic in comparison with classification. And, the multilayer perceptron neural networks model (MLP-NNM) is introduced as the reference neural networks model to compare the performance of SVM-NNM. And, for the performances of the neural networks models, they are composed of training, cross validation, and testing data, respectively. From this research, we evaluate the impact of the SVM-NNM and the MLP-NNM for the forecasting of the hydrologic time series in Nakdong river. Furthermore, we can suggest the new methodology to forecast the flood stage and construct the optimal forecasting system in Nakdong river, Republic of Korea.

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Disaggregation Approach of the Pan Evaporation using SVM-NNM (SVM-NNM을 이용한 증발접시 증발량자료의 분해기법)

  • Kim, Seong-Won
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2010.05a
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    • pp.1560-1563
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    • 2010
  • The goal of this research is to apply the neural networks model for the disaggregation of the pan evaporation (PE) data, Republic of Korea. The neural networks model consists of support vector machine neural networks model (SVM-NNM). The disaggregation means that the yearly PE data divides into the monthly PE data. And, for the performances of the neural networks model, it is composed of training and test performances, respectively. The training and test performances consist of the historic, the generated, and the mixed data, respectively. From this research, we evaluate the impact of SVM-NNM for the disaggregation of the nonlinear time series data. We should, furthermore, construct the credible data of the monthly PE from the disaggregation of the yearly PE data, and can suggest the methodology for the irrigation and drainage networks system.

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On Robust Principal Component using Analysis Neural Networks (신경망을 이용한 로버스트 주성분 분석에 관한 연구)

  • Kim, Sang-Min;Oh, Kwang-Sik;Park, Hee-Joo
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.7 no.1
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    • pp.113-118
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    • 1996
  • Principal component analysis(PCA) is an essential technique for data compression and feature extraction, and has been widely used in statistical data analysis, communication theory, pattern recognition, and image processing. Oja(1992) found that a linear neuron with constrained Hebbian learning rule can extract the principal component by using stochastic gradient ascent method. In practice real data often contain some outliers. These outliers will significantly deteriorate the performances of the PCA algorithms. In order to make PCA robust, Xu & Yuille(1995) applied statistical physics to the problem of robust principal component analysis(RPCA). Devlin et.al(1981) obtained principal components by using techniques such as M-estimation. The propose of this paper is to investigate from the statistical point of view how Xu & Yuille's(1995) RPCA works under the same simulation condition as in Devlin et.al(1981).

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Fuzzy Clustering Model using Principal Components Analysis and Naive Bayesian Classifier (주성분 분석과 나이브 베이지안 분류기를 이용한 퍼지 군집화 모형)

  • Jun, Sung-Hae
    • The KIPS Transactions:PartB
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    • v.11B no.4
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    • pp.485-490
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    • 2004
  • In data representation, the clustering performs a grouping process which combines given data into some similar clusters. The various similarity measures have been used in many researches. But, the validity of clustering results is subjective and ambiguous, because of difficulty and shortage about objective criterion of clustering. The fuzzy clustering provides a good method for subjective clustering problems. It performs clustering through the similarity matrix which has fuzzy membership value for assigning each object. In this paper, for objective fuzzy clustering, the clustering algorithm which joins principal components analysis as a dimension reduction model with bayesian learning as a statistical learning theory. For performance evaluation of proposed algorithm, Iris and Glass identification data from UCI Machine Learning repository are used. The experimental results shows a happy outcome of proposed model.

Application of Social Network Analysis on Learner Interaction in a GBS Learning Environment (GBS 학습 환경 하에서 상호작용 연구를 위한 사회 연결망 분석 기법의 적용)

  • Jo, Il-Hyun
    • The Journal of Korean Association of Computer Education
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    • v.6 no.2
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    • pp.81-93
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    • 2003
  • The purpose of the study was to explore the potential of the Social Network Analysis as an analytical tool for scientific investigation of learner-learner, or learner-tutor interaction within an e-Learning environment. Theoretical and methodological implication of the Social Network Analysis had been discussed. Following theoretical analysis, an exploratory empirical study was conducted to test statistical correlation between traditional performance measures such as achievement and team contribution index, and the centrality measure, one of the many quantitative measures the Social Network Analysis provides. Results indicate the centrality measure was correlated with the higher order learning performance and peer-evaluated contribution indices. An interpretation of the results and their implication to instructional design theory and practices were provided along with some suggestions for future research.

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A Study on the e-Learning Communities Interaction Under the CSCL by Using Network Mining (컴퓨터지원협동학습 환경 하에서 네트워크 마이닝을 통한 학습자 상호작용연구)

  • Chung, Nam-Ho
    • Journal of Intelligence and Information Systems
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    • v.11 no.2
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    • pp.17-29
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    • 2005
  • The purpose of the study was to explore the potential of the Social Network Analysis as an analytical tool for scientific investigation of learner-learner, or learner-tutor interaction within a Computer Supported Corporative Learning (CSCL) environment. Theoretical and methodological implication of the Social Network Analysis had been discussed. Following theoretical analysis, an exploratory empirical study was conducted to test statistical correlation between traditional performance measures such as achievement and team contribution index, and the centrality measure, one of the many quantitative measures the Social Network Analysis provides. Results indicate the centrality measure was correlated with the higher order teaming performance and the peer-evaluated contribution indices. An interpretation of the results and their implication to instructional design theory and practices were provided along with some suggestions for future research.

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Improving the Decision-Making Process in the Higher Learning Institutions via Electronic Records Management System Adoption

  • Mukred, Muaadh;Yusof, Zawiyah M.;Mokhtar, Umi Asma';Sadiq, Ali Safaa;Hawash, Burkan;Ahmed, Waleed Abdulkafi
    • KSII Transactions on Internet and Information Systems (TIIS)
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    • v.15 no.1
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    • pp.90-113
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    • 2021
  • Electronic Records Management System (ERMS) is a computer program or set of applications that is utilized for keeping up to date records along with their storage. ERMS has been extensively utilized for enhancing the performance of academic institutions. The system assists in the planning and decision-making processes, which in turn enhances the competencies. However, although ERMS is significant in supporting the process of decision-making, the majority of organizations have failed to take an initiative to implement it, taking into account that are some implementing it without an appropriate framework, and thus resulted in the practice which does not meet the accepted standard. Therefore, this study identifies the factors influencing the adoption of ERMS among employees of HLI in Yemen and the role of such adoption in the decision-making process, using the Unified Theory of Acceptance and Use of Technology (UTAUT) along with Technology, Organization and Environment (TOE) as the underpinning theories. The study conducts a cross-sectional survey with a questionnaire as the technique for data collection, distributed to 364 participants in various Yemeni public Higher Learning Institutions (HLI). Using AMOS as a statistical method, the findings revealed there are significant and positive relationships between technology factors (effort expectancy, performance expectancy, IT infrastructure and security), organizational factors (top management support, financial support, training, and policy),environmental factors (competitiveness pressure, facilitating conditions and trust) and behavioral intention to adopt ERMS, which in return has a significant relationship with the process of decision-making in HLI. The study also presents a variety of theoretical and empirical contributions that enrich the body of knowledge in the field of technology adoption and the electronic record's domain.

Causal inference from nonrandomized data: key concepts and recent trends (비실험 자료로부터의 인과 추론: 핵심 개념과 최근 동향)

  • Choi, Young-Geun;Yu, Donghyeon
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.32 no.2
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    • pp.173-185
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    • 2019
  • Causal questions are prevalent in scientific research, for example, how effective a treatment was for preventing an infectious disease, how much a policy increased utility, or which advertisement would give the highest click rate for a given customer. Causal inference theory in statistics interprets those questions as inferring the effect of a given intervention (treatment or policy) in the data generating process. Causal inference has been used in medicine, public health, and economics; in addition, it has received recent attention as a tool for data-driven decision making processes. Many recent datasets are observational, rather than experimental, which makes the causal inference theory more complex. This review introduces key concepts and recent trends of statistical causal inference in observational studies. We first introduce the Neyman-Rubin's potential outcome framework to formularize from causal questions to average treatment effects as well as discuss popular methods to estimate treatment effects such as propensity score approaches and regression approaches. For recent trends, we briefly discuss (1) conditional (heterogeneous) treatment effects and machine learning-based approaches, (2) curse of dimensionality on the estimation of treatment effect and its remedies, and (3) Pearl's structural causal model to deal with more complex causal relationships and its connection to the Neyman-Rubin's potential outcome model.

A Study on the Factors Affecting Flow in e-Learning Environment - Focusing on Interaction Factors and Affordance - (이러닝 환경에서 몰입에 영향을 미치는 요인 연구 -상호작용 요인과 어포던스 요인을 중심으로-)

  • Lee, So-Young;Kim, Hyung-Jun
    • The Journal of the Korea Contents Association
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    • v.19 no.10
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    • pp.522-534
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    • 2019
  • The purpose of this study is to investigate the interaction factors(learning motivation, concrete feedback, learner's control) and affordance factors (aesthetics, playfulness, stability) that influence flow in e - learning. This study collected 236 survey data from e-learning users. The data was analyzed the statistical relationships among the variables using the SPSS21 and AMOS21. The measurement model was reliable and valid, and the structual model was good. The result shows that interaction factors (concrete feedback, learner's control) and affordance factor (playfulness) influence on flow. Flow has a significant effect on satisfaction. Especially the effect of playfulness on flow is meaningful. Playfulness is one of the most important factors leading to the flow state of humans. The contribution of this study is to find the factors influencing flow in the interaction between learners and computer in e-learning. It can be used to provide an entertainment experience that can enhance the satisfaction of consumers in the Internet environment by finding the antecedents that affect the flow in computer - human interaction.

Anomaly Detection Model Using THRE-KBANN (THRE-KBANN을 이용한 이상현상탐지모델)

  • Shim, Dong-Hee
    • Journal of the Institute of Electronics Engineers of Korea CI
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    • v.38 no.5
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    • pp.37-43
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    • 2001
  • Since Internet has been used anywhere, illegal intrusion to a certain host or network become the ciritical factor in security. Although many anomaly detection models have been proposed using the statistical analysis, data mining, genetic algorithm/programming to detect illegal intrusions, these models has defects to detect new types of intrusions. THRE-KBANN (theory-refinement knowledge-based artificial neural network) which can learn continuously based on KBANN, is proposed for the anomaly detection model in this paper. The performance of this model is compared with that of the model based on data mining using the experimental data. The ability of continual learning for the detection of new types of intrusions is also evaluated.

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