• Title/Summary/Keyword: statistical estimate

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ON THE EMPIRICAL MEAN LIFE PROCESSES FOR RIGHT CENSORED DATA

  • Park, Hyo-Il
    • Journal of the Korean Statistical Society
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    • v.32 no.1
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    • pp.25-32
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    • 2003
  • In this paper, we define the mean life process for the right censored data and show the asymptotic equivalence between two kinds of the mean life processes. We use the Kaplan-Meier and Susarla-Van Ryzin estimates as the estimates of survival function for the construction of the mean life processes. Also we show the asymptotic equivalence between two mean residual life processes as an application and finally discuss some difficulties caused by the censoring mechanism.

A Statistical Method on the Estimation of the Maintenance Manpower of Aircraft (통계적 방법을 이용한 항공기 정비인력산정)

  • 송근우;최석철
    • Journal of the military operations research society of Korea
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    • v.26 no.1
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    • pp.70-88
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    • 2000
  • In this research we consider a statistical model to estimate the optimal maintenance manpower of aircraft which we use at present. We design a multiple regression model, apply to three types of aircraft to estimate the optimal maintenance manpower of aircraft. This paper provides reasonable results about maintenance manpower of aircraft, and contributes accomplishment of mission for air and air support operations.

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The Region of Positivity and Unimodality in the Truncated Series of a Nonparametric Kernel Density Estimator

  • Gupta, A.K.;Im, B.K.K.
    • Journal of the Korean Statistical Society
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    • v.10
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    • pp.140-144
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    • 1981
  • This paper approximates to a kernel density estimate by a truncated series of expansion involving Hermite polynomials, since this could ease the computing burden involved in the kernel-based density estimation. However, this truncated series may give a multimodal estimate when we are estiamting unimodal density. In this paper we will show a way to insure the truncated series to be positive and unimodal so that the approximation to a kernel density estimator would be maeningful.

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Sequential Shape Modification for Monotone Convex Function: L2 Monotonization and Uniform Convexifiation

  • Lim, Jo-Han;Lee, Sung-Im
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.15 no.5
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    • pp.675-685
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    • 2008
  • This paper studies two sequential procedures to estimate a monotone convex function using $L_2$ monotonization and uniform convexification; one, denoted by FMSC, monotonizes the data first and then, convexifis the monotone estimate; the other, denoted by FCSM, first convexifies the data and then monotonizes the convex estimate. We show that two shape modifiers are not commutable and so does FMSC and FCSM. We compare them numerically in uniform error(UE) and integrated mean squared error(IMSE). The results show that FMSC has smaller uniform error(UE) and integrated mean squared error(IMSE) than those of FCSC.

A Comparative Study of a Robust Estimate Method for Abnormal Traffic Detection (이상 트래픽 탐지를 위한 로버스트 추정 방법 비교 연구)

  • Jung, Jae-Yoon;Kim, Sahm
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.18 no.4
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    • pp.517-525
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    • 2011
  • This paper shows the performance evaluation of a robust estimator based on the GARCH model. We first introduce the method of a robust estimate in the GARCH model and the method of an outlier detection in the GARCH model. The results of the real internet traffic data show the out-performance of the robust estimator over the outlier detection method in the GARCH model. In addition, the method of the robust estimate is less complex than the method of the outlier detection method in the GARCH model.

Use of Random Coefficient Model for Fruit Bearing Prediction in Crop Insurance

  • Park Heungsun;Jun Yong-Bum;Gil Young-Soo
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.12 no.2
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    • pp.381-394
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    • 2005
  • In order to estimate the damage of orchards due' to natural disasters such as typhoon, severe rain, freezing or frost, it is necessary to estimate the number of fruit bearing before and after the damage. To estimate the fruit bearing after the damages are easily done by delegations, but it cost too high to survey every insured farm household and calculate the fruit bearing before the damage. In this article, we suggest to use a random coefficient model to predict the numbers of fruit bearing in the orchards before the damage based on the tree age and the area information.

Bayesian baseline-category logit random effects models for longitudinal nominal data

  • Kim, Jiyeong;Lee, Keunbaik
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.27 no.2
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    • pp.201-210
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    • 2020
  • Baseline-category logit random effects models have been used to analyze longitudinal nominal data. The models account for subject-specific variations using random effects. However, the random effects covariance matrix in the models needs to explain subject-specific variations as well as serial correlations for nominal outcomes. In order to satisfy them, the covariance matrix must be heterogeneous and high-dimensional. However, it is difficult to estimate the random effects covariance matrix due to its high dimensionality and positive-definiteness. In this paper, we exploit the modified Cholesky decomposition to estimate the high-dimensional heterogeneous random effects covariance matrix. Bayesian methodology is proposed to estimate parameters of interest. The proposed methods are illustrated with real data from the McKinney Homeless Research Project.

Estimation of the optimal probability distribution for daily electricity generation by wind power in rural green-village planning (농촌 그린빌리지 계획을 위한 일별 풍력발전량의 적정확률분포형 추정)

  • Kim, Dae-Sik;Koo, Seung-Mo;Nam, Sang-Woon
    • Journal of The Korean Society of Agricultural Engineers
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    • v.50 no.6
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    • pp.27-35
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    • 2008
  • This study aims to estimate the optimal probability distribution of daily electricity generation by wind power, in order to contribute in rural green-village planning. Wind power generation is now being recognized as one of the most popular sources for renewable resources over the country. Although it is also being adapted to rural area for may reasons, it is important to estimate the magnitudes of power outputs with reliable statistical methodologies while applying historical daily wind data, for correct feasibility analysis. In this study, one of the well-known statistical methodology is employed to define the appropriate statistical distributions for monthly power outputs for specific rural areas. The results imply that the assumption of normal distributions for many cases may lead to incorrect decision-making and therefore lead to the unreliable feasibility analysis. Subjective methodology for testing goodness of fit for normal distributions on all the cases in this study, provides possibilities to consider the other various types of statistical distributions for more precise feasibility analysis.

Bayesian Inference for Predicting the Default Rate Using the Power Prior

  • Kim, Seong-W.;Son, Young-Sook;Choi, Sang-A
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.13 no.3
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    • pp.685-699
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    • 2006
  • Commercial banks and other related areas have developed internal models to better quantify their financial risks. Since an appropriate credit risk model plays a very important role in the risk management at financial institutions, it needs more accurate model which forecasts the credit losses, and statistical inference on that model is required. In this paper, we propose a new method for estimating a default rate. It is a Bayesian approach using the power prior which allows for incorporating of historical data to estimate the default rate. Inference on current data could be more reliable if there exist similar data based on previous studies. Ibrahim and Chen (2000) utilize these data to characterize the power prior. It allows for incorporating of historical data to estimate the parameters in the models. We demonstrate our methodologies with a real data set regarding SOHO data and also perform a simulation study.

A two-parameter discrete distribution with a bathtub hazard shape

  • Sarhan, Ammar M.
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.24 no.1
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    • pp.15-27
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    • 2017
  • This paper introduces a two-parameter discrete distribution based on a continuous two-parameter bathtub distribution. It is the only two-parameter discrete distribution that shows a bathtub-shaped hazard function. Some statistical properties of the distribution are discussed. Three different methods are used to estimate its two unknown parameters. The point estimators of the parameters have no closed form. The bootstrap method is used to estimate the distributions of these point estimators. Different approximations of the interval estimations for the two-parameters are discussed. Real data sets are analyzed to show how this distribution works in practice. A simulation study is performed to investigate the properties of the estimations obtained and compare their performances.