• Title/Summary/Keyword: stationary state distribution

Search Result 47, Processing Time 0.031 seconds

A Model for a Continuous State System with (s,S) Repair Policy

  • Park, Won-J.;Kim, Eui-Yong;Kim, Hong-Gie
    • Journal of the Korean Statistical Society
    • /
    • v.25 no.1
    • /
    • pp.111-122
    • /
    • 1996
  • A model for a system whose state changes continuously with time is introduced. It is assumed that the system is modeled by a Brownian motion with negative drift and an absorbing barrier at the origin. A repairman arrives according to a Poisson process and repairs the system according to an (s,S) policy, i.e., he increases the state of the system up to S if and only if the state is below s. A partial differential equation is derived for the distribution function of X(t), the state of the system at time t, and the Laplace-Stieltjes transform of the distribution function is obtained by solving the partial differential equation. For the stationary case the explicit expression is deduced for the distribution function of the stationary state of the system.

  • PDF

STATIONARY SOLUTIONS FOR ITERATED FUNCTION SYSTEMS CONTROLLED BY STATIONARY PROCESSES

  • Lee, O.;Shin, D.W.
    • Journal of the Korean Mathematical Society
    • /
    • v.36 no.4
    • /
    • pp.737-746
    • /
    • 1999
  • We consider a class of discrete parameter processes on a locally compact Banach space S arising from successive compositions of strictly stationary random maps with state space C(S,S), where C(S,S) is the collection of continuous functions on S into itself. Sufficient conditions for stationary solutions are found. Existence of pth moments and convergence of empirical distributions for trajectories are proved.

  • PDF

A Random Shock Model for a Linearly Deteriorating System

  • Lee, Ji-Yeon;Lee, Eui-Young
    • Journal of the Korean Statistical Society
    • /
    • v.24 no.2
    • /
    • pp.471-479
    • /
    • 1995
  • A random shock model for a linearly deteriorating system is introduced. The system deteriorating linearly with time is subject to random shocks which arrive according to a Poisson process and decrease the state of the system by a random amount. The system is repaired by a repairmen arriving according to another Poisson process if the state when he arrives is below a threshold. Explicit expressions are deduced for the characteristic function of the distribution function of X(t), the state of the system at time t, and for the distribution function of X(t) if X(t) is over the threshold. The stationary case is briefly discussed.

  • PDF

Prediction of Return Periods of Sewer Flooding Due to Climate Change in Major Cities (기후변화에 따른 주요 도시의 하수도 침수 재현기간 예측)

  • Park, Kyoohong;Yu, Soonyu;Byambadorj, Elbegjargal
    • Journal of Korean Society of Water and Wastewater
    • /
    • v.30 no.1
    • /
    • pp.41-49
    • /
    • 2016
  • In this study, rainfall characteristics with stationary and non-stationary perspectives were analyzed using generalized extreme value (GEV) distribution and Gumbel distribution models with rainfall data collected in major cities of Korea to reevaluate the return period of sewer flooding in those cities. As a result, the probable rainfall for GEV and Gumbel distribution in non-stationary state both increased with time(t), compared to the stationary probable rainfall. Considering the reliability of ${\xi}_1$, a variable reflecting the increase of storm events due to climate change, the reliability of the rainfall duration for Seoul, Daegu, and Gwangju in the GEV distribution was over 90%, indicating that the probability of rainfall increase was high. As for the Gumbel distribution, Wonju, Daegu, and Gwangju showed the higher reliability while Daejeon showed the lower reliability than the other cities. In addition, application of the maximum annual rainfall change rate (${\xi}_1{\cdot}t$) to the location parameter made possible the prediction of return period by time, therefore leading to the evaluation of design recurrence interval.

BMAP/M/N/O Queueing System in Random Environments

  • Kim, Che-Soong
    • Proceedings of the Korean Society for Quality Management Conference
    • /
    • 2007.04a
    • /
    • pp.461-465
    • /
    • 2007
  • The BMAP/M/N/O queueing system operating in Markovian random environment is investigated. The stationary distribution of the system is calculated. Loss probability and other performance measures are calculated. Numerical experiments which show the necessity of taking into account the influence of random environment and correlation in input flow are presented.

  • PDF

Analysis of BMAP/M/N/0 Queueing System for Telecommunication Network Traffic Control (통신망 트래픽 제어를 위한 BMAP/M/N/0 대기행렬모형 분석)

  • Lee, Seok-Jun;Kim, Che-Soong
    • Journal of Korean Society of Industrial and Systems Engineering
    • /
    • v.30 no.4
    • /
    • pp.39-45
    • /
    • 2007
  • The BMAP/M/N/0 queueing system operating in Markovian random environment is investigated. The stationary distribution of the system is derived. Loss probability and other performance measures of the system also are calculated. Numerical experiments which show the necessity of taking into account the influence of random environment and correlation in input flow are presented.

An extension of Markov chain models for estimating transition probabilities (추이확률의 추정을 위한 확장된 Markov Chain 모형)

  • 강정혁
    • Korean Management Science Review
    • /
    • v.10 no.2
    • /
    • pp.27-42
    • /
    • 1993
  • Markov chain models can be used to predict the state of the system in the future. We extend the existing Markov chain models in two ways. For the stationary model, we propose a procedure that obtains the transition probabilities by appling the empirical Bayes method, in which the parameters of the prior distribution in the Bayes estimator are obtained on the collaternal micro data. For non-stationary model, we suggest a procedure that obtains a time-varying transition probabilities as a function of the exogenous variables. To illustrate the effectiveness of our extended models, the models are applied to the macro and micro time-series data generated from actual survey. Our stationary model yields reliable parameter values of the prior distribution. And our non-stationary model can predict the variable transition probabilities effectively.

  • PDF

An Adaptive Approach to Learning the Preferences of Users in a Social Network Using Weak Estimators

  • Oommen, B. John;Yazidi, Anis;Granmo, Ole-Christoffer
    • Journal of Information Processing Systems
    • /
    • v.8 no.2
    • /
    • pp.191-212
    • /
    • 2012
  • Since a social network by definition is so diverse, the problem of estimating the preferences of its users is becoming increasingly essential for personalized applications, which range from service recommender systems to the targeted advertising of services. However, unlike traditional estimation problems where the underlying target distribution is stationary; estimating a user's interests typically involves non-stationary distributions. The consequent time varying nature of the distribution to be tracked imposes stringent constraints on the "unlearning" capabilities of the estimator used. Therefore, resorting to strong estimators that converge with a probability of 1 is inefficient since they rely on the assumption that the distribution of the user's preferences is stationary. In this vein, we propose to use a family of stochastic-learning based Weak estimators for learning and tracking a user's time varying interests. Experimental results demonstrate that our proposed paradigm outperforms some of the traditional legacy approaches that represent the state-of-the-art technology.

A Study on Heat Transfer Characteristics of Laser Cutting for the CSP 1N Sheet Using High-power CW Nd:YAG Laser (고출력 CW Nd:YAG 레이저를 이용한 CSP 1N 박판 절단공정의 열전달 특성 분석)

  • Ahn, Dong-Gyu;Kim, Min-Su
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Manufacturing Process Engineers
    • /
    • v.5 no.1
    • /
    • pp.51-58
    • /
    • 2006
  • The objective of this research work is to investigate into heat transfer characteristics of the laser cutting of CSP 1N sheet using high power CW Nd:YAG laser. In order to investigate the heat transfer characteristics, three dimensional quasi stationary and steady-state heat transfer analysis has been carried out. The laser heat source is assumed as a volumetric heat source with a gaussian heat distribution in a plane. Through the comparison of the results of analyses with those of experiments, the proper finite element model has been obtained. In addition, characteristics of the three-dimensional heat transfer and temperature distribution have been estimated by the finite element model. Finally, the minimum temperature at the center for cutting of the material has been estimated.

  • PDF

A Model for a State-Dependent Deteriorating System

  • Lee, Ji-Yeon
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
    • /
    • v.6 no.2
    • /
    • pp.433-442
    • /
    • 1999
  • A model for a system whose deteriorating rate depends on the state is introduced. A repairman arrives according to Poisson process and increases the state of the system by the random amount if the state is below a threshold. If the system fails at arrival of the repairman it is assumed that the system is replaced by new one. The stationary distribution function of the state of the system and the expected life length of the system are deduced.

  • PDF