• Title/Summary/Keyword: standard error

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Standard Error Analysis of Creep-Life Prediction Parameters of Type 316LN Stainless Steels (Type 316LN 강의 크리프 수명예측 파라메타의 표준오차 분석)

  • Kim, Woo-Gon;Yoon, Song-Nam;Ryu, Woo-Seog
    • Proceedings of the KSME Conference
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    • 2004.04a
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    • pp.19-24
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    • 2004
  • A number of creep data were collected and filed for type 316LN stainless steels through literature survey and experimental data produced in KAERI. Using these data, polynomial equations for predicting creep life were obtained for Larson Miller (L-M), Qrr-Sherby-Dorn (O-S-D) and Manson-Haferd (M-H) parametric methods. In order to find out the suitability for them, the relative standard error (RSE) and standard error of estimate (SEE) values were obtained by statistical process of creep data. The O-S-D parameter showed better fitting to creep-rupture data than the L-M or the M-H parameters, and the three parametric methods did not generate the large difference in the SEE and the RSE values.

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Development of The Standard Current Transformer with Wide Ratio Error and Its Application (광범위 비오차 표준 전류변성기의 개발 및 그 응용)

  • Kwon, Sung-Won;Jung, Jae-Kap;Lee, Sang-Hwa;Kim, Mun-Seog;Kim, Myung-Soo
    • The Transactions of the Korean Institute of Electrical Engineers C
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    • v.55 no.6
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    • pp.302-307
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    • 2006
  • Standard current transformer(CT) with the nominal ratio errors in the range of - 10 % to + 10 % has been developed. Linearity of the CT ratio error measuring system (CT comparator) has been tested by using wide ratio error standard current transformer(WRE CT). The developed WRE CT can be used to evaluate the linearity of the CT comparator by comparing both the theoretical values and experimental values of the WRE CT. The developed method has been successfully applied for calibration and correction in the CT comparator belonging to industry.

Evaluation of the Effect of Errors in Job Characteristics on the Predicted Total Task Time in Standard Data Systems (표준자료 산출시 작업특성치의 오차가 총작업시간의 예측에 미치는 영향평가)

  • Byun, Jai-Hyun;Yum, Bong-Jin
    • Journal of Korean Institute of Industrial Engineers
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    • v.17 no.2
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    • pp.97-105
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    • 1991
  • In developing a regression relationship for a standard data system in work measurement, job characteristics are frequently measured with error when measurements are made in the field under less controlled conditions or when accurate instruments are not available. This paper concerns with the prediction of the total task time when job characteristics are measured with error. Integrated mean square error of prediction(IMSE) is developed as a measure of the effect of errors in job characteristics on the predicted total task time. By evaluating how IMSE is affected by the measurement error in each job characteristic, we can determine which error should be controlled to develop a desirable standard data system.

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Tests of Factor Effect Using Saturated Design in $K^n$ Factorial Design ($K^n$ 요인배치법에서 포화실험에 의한 요인효과의 검정)

  • Choi, Sung-Woon
    • Proceedings of the Safety Management and Science Conference
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    • 2008.04a
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    • pp.295-299
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    • 2008
  • This paper discusses tests of factor effect or contrast by the use of saturated design $k^n$ factorial design. The nine nonparametric rank measures in normality test using normal probability pot are proposed. Length's PSE(Pseduo Standard Error) test [4] which relies on the concept of effect sparsity is also introduced and extended to the margin of error(ME) and Simultaneous margin of error(SME).

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Evaluation for Ratio Error of Voltage Transformer Comparator using Standard Resistors (표준저항기를 이용한 전압변성기 비교기의 비오차 평가)

  • Han, Sang-Gil;Kim, Yoon-Hyoung;Jung, Jae-Kap;Han, Sang-Ok
    • The Transactions of the Korean Institute of Electrical Engineers P
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    • v.57 no.4
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    • pp.412-416
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    • 2008
  • We have developed the calibration technique of the VT comparator using nonreactive standard resistors, which evaluates both accuracy and linearity of the VT comparator by comparing experimental values with theoretical values. The correction values of VT comparator obtained by using both our method and wide ratio error VT are consistent within the expanded uncertainty. Furthermore the specification for ratio error of VT comparator have been revaluated.

Evaluation Technique of Linearity of Ratio Error and Phase Angle Error of Voltage Transformer Comparison Measurement Equipment (전압변성기 비교 측정 장치의 비오차 및 위상각 오차의 직선성 평가기술)

  • 정재갑;박영태;권성원
    • The Transactions of the Korean Institute of Electrical Engineers C
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    • v.53 no.9
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    • pp.470-474
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    • 2004
  • Both ratio error and phase angle error in voltage transformer(VT) depend on values of burden of VT used. A method of evaluation for linearity of ratio error and phase angle error in VT measurement equipment have been developed using the standard resistance burdens, with negligible AC-DC resistance difference less than $10^-6$. These burden consists of five standard resistors, with nominal resistance of 100 $\Omega$, 1 k$\Omega$, 10 k$\Omega$, 100 k$\Omega$, and 1 M$\Omega$. The developed method has been applied in VT measurement equipment of industry and the validity of the developed method has been verified by showing the consistency of the result of linearity obtained using VT with wide ratio error.

A Multivariate Calibration Procedure When the Standard Measurement is Also Subject to Error (표준 측정치의 오차를 고려한 다변량 계기 교정 절차)

  • Lee, Seung-Hoon
    • Journal of Korean Institute of Industrial Engineers
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    • v.19 no.2
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    • pp.35-41
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    • 1993
  • Statistical calibration is a useful technique for achieving compatibility between two different measurement methods, and it usually consists of two steps : (1) estimation of the relationship between the standard and nonstandard measurements, and (2) prediction of future standard measurements using the estimated relationship and observed nonstandard measurements. A predictive multivariate errors-in-variables model is presented for the multivariate calibration problem in which the standard as well as the nonstandard measurements are subject to error. For the estimation of the relationship between the two measurements, the maximum likelihood (ML) estimation method is considered. It is shown that the direct and the inverse predictors for the future unknown standard measurement are the same under ML estimation. Based upon large-sample approximations, the mean square error of the predictor is derived.

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Bootstrap estimation of the standard error of treatment effect with double propensity score adjustment (이중 성향점수 보정 방법을 이용한 처리효과 추정치의 표준오차 추정: 붓스트랩의 적용)

  • Lim, So Jung;Jung, Inkyung
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.30 no.3
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    • pp.453-462
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    • 2017
  • Double propensity score adjustment is an analytic solution to address bias due to incomplete matching. However, it is difficult to estimate the standard error of the estimated treatment effect when using double propensity score adjustment. In this study, we propose two bootstrap methods to estimate the standard error. The first is a simple bootstrap method that involves drawing bootstrap samples from the matched sample using the propensity score as well as estimating the standard error from the bootstrapped samples. The second is a complex bootstrap method that draws bootstrap samples first from the original sample and then applies the propensity score matching to each bootstrapped sample. We examined the performances of the two methods using simulations under various scenarios. The estimates of standard error using the complex bootstrap were closer to the empirical standard error than those using the simple bootstrap. The simple bootstrap methods tended to underestimate. In addition, the coverage rates of a 95% confidence interval using the complex bootstrap were closer to the advertised rate of 0.95. We applied the two methods to a real data example and found also that the estimate of the standard error using the simple bootstrap was smaller than that using the complex bootstrap.

Creep Life Prediction and Error Analysis for Type 316LN Stainless Steel (Type 316LN 스테인리스강의 크리프 수명예측과 오차분석)

  • Yi W.;Yin S.N.;Kim W.G.;Ryu W.S.
    • Proceedings of the Korean Society of Precision Engineering Conference
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    • 2006.05a
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    • pp.109-110
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    • 2006
  • Various parametric methods, Larson-Miller (L-M), Orr-Sherby-Dorn (O-S-D), Manson-Haferd (M-H) parameters, and minimum commitment method (MCM), were used to predict longer rupture time from short-term creep data. A number of the creep data were collected through literature surveys and experimental data produced in KAERI for predicting the creep type of type 316LN SS. Polynomial equations for predicting the creep life were obtained by the time-temperature parameters (TTP) and the MCM. standard error (SE) and standard error or mean (SEM) values were compared for the each method with temperatures. The TTP methods were good in the creep-life prediction, but the MCM was much superior to the TTP ones at $700^{\circ}C\;and\;750^{\circ}C$. The MCM was found to be lower in the SE values compared to the TTP methods

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Creep-Life Prediction and Its Error Analysis by the Time Temperature Parameters and the Minimum Commitment Method (시간-온도 파라미터법과 최소구속법에 의한 크리프 수명예측과 오차 분석)

  • Yin, Song-Nan;Ryu, Woo-Seog;Yi, Won;Kim, Woo-Gon
    • Transactions of the Korean Society of Mechanical Engineers A
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    • v.31 no.2 s.257
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    • pp.160-165
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    • 2007
  • To predict long-term creep life from short-term creep life data, various parametric methods such as Larson-Mille. (L-M), Orr-Sherby-Dorn (O-S-D), Manson-Haferd (M-H) parameters, and a Minimum Commitment Method (MCM) were suggested. A number of the creep data were collected through literature surveys and experimental data produced in KAERI. The polynomial equations for type 316LN SS were obtained by the time-temperature parameters (TTP) and the MCM. Standard error (SE) and standard error of mean (SEM) values were obtained and compared with the each method for various temperatures. The TTP methods showed good creep-life prediction, but the MCM was much superior to the TTP ones at $700^{\circ}C$ and $750^{\circ}C$. It was found that the MCM were lower in the SE values when compared to the TTP methods.