• 제목/요약/키워드: stable population

검색결과 366건 처리시간 0.026초

제주도 한라산 노루 적정 개체수에 관한 시스템 다이내믹스 모델링 (System Dynamics Modeling for Management of Roe Deer Population in Jejudo)

  • 김도훈;홍영교
    • 한국시스템다이내믹스연구
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    • 제9권2호
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    • pp.45-75
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    • 2008
  • Roe Deer has been preserved for 25 years by the local government and the residents in Jejudo. However, the damage and harm of crops of the residents by Roe Deer are increasing as well. So, some experts worry about the unstability of ecosystem in Mt. Halla where Roe Deer live. This paper discuss the suitable number of Roe Deer population in Jejudo to protect the ecosystem in Mt. Halla and minimize the damage of residents in Jejudo. With system dynamics modeling and simulation, the population of Roe Deer at present is estimated about 2,300. However, the population of Roe Deer stays 'unstable balance'. So, a little change such as poaching and the increase of wild dogs may make the balance of ecosystem broken. According to the result of policy test simulation, we should keep on watching the poaching and maintain the number of wild dogs at about 100, so that the ecosystem in Jejudo can be stable. To reduce the moving of Roe Deer to low region, moreover, we should protect the Mt. Halla which is Roe Deer's habitat. If we are indifferent about these efforts, the ecosystem of Roe Deer in Mt. Halla will be ruined.

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A Population Viability Analysis (PVA) for Re-introduction of the Oriental White Stork (Ciconia boyciana) in Korea

  • Sung, Ha-Cheol;Park, Shi-Ryong;Cheong, Seokwan
    • 환경생물
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    • 제30권4호
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    • pp.307-313
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    • 2012
  • The Oriental White Stork (Ciconia boyciana) is a representative wetland species distributed across East Asia. The species has been declined to face the threat of species extinctions with estimation of at about 3000 individuals. In order to re-introduce the endangered storks in the field, we developed a baseline model using the program VORTEX, performed sensitivity test, and finally suggested an ideal model based on results of the sensitivity test. The baseline model predicted 12.5% extinction probability with mean time to first extinction of 82.0 year. Sensitivity test revealed that two demographic variables (first-year mortality and percent of adult female breeding) had the greatest impacts on population persistence. Thus, corrected model improved the population persistence, where the extinction probability decreased to 1.0% in 100 years by changing values of two variables within a range of applicable to the population. Our models for stork re-introduction suggest this population will be stable by improving first-year mortality and adult female fecundity.

Temporal Variation in Tiger Population in a Semi-Arid Habitat in India

  • Singh, Randeep;Pandey, Puneet;Qureshi, Qamar;Sankar, Kalyanasundaram;Krausman, Paul R.;Goyal, Surendra Prakash
    • Proceedings of the National Institute of Ecology of the Republic of Korea
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    • 제3권3호
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    • pp.154-164
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    • 2022
  • Understanding temporal variations in wildlife populations is a prerequisite for conservation planning of wide-ranging species such as tigers (Panthera tigris). We determined the temporal variation in abundance, population growth, and sex ratios at different age and sex stages for a tiger population in Ranthambhore Tiger Reserve, India from November 2007 to February 2011 using motion-sensing cameras. We identified 19 male and 21 female tigers from stripe patterns during 16,110 trap nights within an area covering 233 km2. The annual abundance of the population varied from 34.9 (mean)±3.8 (SE) to 23.9±1.5, with a declining trend in the mean annual change of abundance (-12%). The density of adult females remained stable across the study duration, but the densities of adult males and non-breeding tigers fluctuated. The sex ratio was female-biased (0.58 males/female) for breeding tigers and male-biased (1.74 males/female) for non-breeding tigers. Our results reinforce the importance of long-term studies for monitoring the naturally occurring processes in populations to develop population indicators and identify reliable baseline information for conservation and management planning of populations.

멸종위기종 붉은박쥐의 개체군 경향과 보호 관리 - 동면처의 장기 모니터링 결과를 중심으로 (The Population Trend and Management for Conservation in Myotis formosus)

  • 김선숙;최유성
    • 생태와환경
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    • 제50권4호
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    • pp.411-421
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    • 2017
  • 온대지역에서 동면박쥐에 대한 분포와 생태정보는 대상 종의 보전 및 서식지 보호 관리의 효율성을 높인다. 본 연구에서 멸종위기종인 붉은박쥐 개체군 경향 분석과 생태적 요구 조건을 파악하여 보호 관리 방안을 제시하고자 하였다. 2007년부터 2016년까지 조사를 수행한 결과, 전국 58개의 동면처에서 붉은박쥐 570개체가 확인되었다. 붉은박쥐가 이용한 동면처의 유형은 자연동굴에 비해 폐광산이 많았으며, 폐광산에서 보다 더 많은 붉은박쥐 개체가 동면하는 것이 확인되었다. 붉은박쥐의 동면처는 평균 $12.13{\sim}15.07^{\circ}C$의 온도와 92% 이상의 습도가 동면기간 동안 안정되게 유지되었다. 장기적인 모니터링 자료를 바탕으로 멸종위기종인 붉은박쥐의 개체군의 변화를 평가하기 위하여 TRIM을 이용하여 분석한 결과, 붉은박쥐 개체군의 변화는 안정적인 것으로 평가되었다. 그럼에도 불구하고 일부 동면처 사례를 통하여 동면처의 구조 및 환경 변화로 인한 붉은박쥐 개체수가 급감되는 사실을 확인하였다. 본 연구는 장기 모니터링 결과에 근거한 개체군 경향분석 결과와 현장 사례를 분석을 통하여 멸종위기종인 붉은박쥐의 보전 및 서식지 보호 관리 방향을 제시한다. 따라서 멸종위기종인 붉은박쥐의 서식지 보호 관리 방안은 방향은 종의 온도 선호도 및 서식지 환경이 변화되지 않도록 유지하는 것과 서식지 내 인위적인 간섭요인을 차단하는 것은 중요 사항이 될 것이다.

Multivariate analysis of longitudinal surveys for population median

  • Priyanka, Kumari;Mittal, Richa
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • 제24권3호
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    • pp.255-269
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    • 2017
  • This article explores the analysis of longitudinal surveys in which same units are investigated on several occasions. Multivariate exponential ratio type estimator has been proposed for the estimation of the finite population median at the current occasion in two occasion longitudinal surveys. Information on several additional auxiliary variables, which are stable over time and readily available on both the occasions, has been utilized. Properties of the proposed multivariate estimator, including the optimum replacement strategy, are presented. The proposed multivariate estimator is compared with the sample median estimator when there is no matching from a previous occasion and with the exponential ratio type estimator in successive sampling when information is available on only one additional auxiliary variable. The merits of the proposed estimator are justified by empirical interpretations and validated by a simulation study with the help of some natural populations.

산림 생태계에서 소척추동물 군집과 잔목의 관계 (Relationships between Small Mammal Community and Coarse Woody Debris in Forest Ecosystem)

  • 이상돈
    • The Korean Journal of Ecology
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    • 제20권4호
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    • pp.251-258
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    • 1997
  • Few attempts have been made to discover the ecological function of coarse woody debris (CWD) despite its importance to small mammal population. Twenty-five pitfall traps and a hundred live traps were placed in three sites with high amounts of CWD and three sites with low amounts of CWD. Eleven species were caught, and Peromyscus maniculatus was the most abundant (45.6%, n=605). Among 11 speices, abundance of Tamias townsendii and Clethronomys gapperi were higher in sites with high amounts of CWD than in sites with low amounts of CWD. Home range size was larger in breeding season than in non-breeding season indicating mating search. Resident time of Peromyscus maniculatus was longer in sites with high amounts of CWD implying better stability in population. The increasing amount of coarse woody debris (CWD) enhanced the habitat use by small mammals, and animals in high amounts of CWD were more abundant and stable in population fluctuation. This study, therefore, concludes that CWD is a critical habitat element for small mammals in forest ecosystem.

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Characterization analysis of Rongchang pig population based on the Zhongxin-1 Porcine Breeding Array PLUS

  • Dong Leng;Liangpeng Ge;Jing Sun
    • Animal Bioscience
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    • 제36권10호
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    • pp.1508-1516
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    • 2023
  • Objective: To carry out a comprehensive production planning of the existing Rongchang pig population from both environmental and genetic aspects, and to establish a closed population with stable genetic diversity and strict pathogen control, it is necessary to fully understand the genetic background of the population. Methods: We genotyped 54 specific pathogen free (SPF) Rongchang pigs using the Zhongxin-1 Porcine Breeding Array PLUS, calculated their genetic diversity parameters and constructed their families. In addition, we also counted the runs of homozygosity (ROH) of each individual and calculated the value of inbreeding coefficient based on ROH for each individual. Results: Firstly, the results of genetic diversity analysis showed that the effective population size (Ne) of this population was 3.2, proportion of polymorphic markers (PN) was 0.515, desired heterozygosity (He) and observed heterozygosity (Ho) were 0.315 and 0.335. Ho was higher than He, indicating that the heterozygosity of all the selected loci was high. Secondly, combining the results of genomic relatedness analysis and cluster analysis, it was found that the existing Rongchang pig population could be divided into four families. Finally, we also counted the ROH of each individual and calculated the inbreeding coefficient value accordingly, whose mean value was 0.09. Conclusion: Due to the limitation of population size and other factors, the genetic diversity of this Rongchang pig population is low. The results of this study can provide basic data to support the development of Rongchang pig breeding program, the establishment of SPF Rongchang pig closed herd and its experimental utilization.

착물을 형성하는 가지달린 사슬형 아미노포스린류 리간드에 대한 이론적 연구 (Theoretical Studies of Diphosphinoaminoethane Ligands with Methyl Group)

  • 이철재;김동엽;정맹준
    • 한국산업융합학회 논문집
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    • 제15권4호
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    • pp.95-101
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    • 2012
  • In order to explain observed catalytic reactivity of aminophosphine complexes (seven-membered chelate), total energy, net charge, atomic orbital electron population, HOMO and LUMO energy of free ligands are calculated by PM3 methods of HyperChem 6.0. Free ligands are 1,2-bis{(diphosphino)amino}propane{$H_2PNHCH_2CH(CH_3)NHPH_2$;ligand 1},1,2-bis{(dimenylphosphino)amino}propane{$(CH_3)_2PNHCH_2CH(CH_3)NHP(CH_3)_2$;ligand 2},1,2-bis{(diphenylphosphino)amino}propane{$(C_6H_5)_2PNHCH_2CH(CH_3)NHP(C_6H_5)_2$;ligand 3}. The result showed that ligand 3 is stable than ligand 2 and ligand 1 and ligand 2 is stable than ligand 1 in total energy. Net charge of P atom is changed by H atom, methyl groups and phenyl groups in P atoms. Net charge of N atoms in ligands is nagative. The results of atomic orbital electron population are similar net charge data..

산업국가에서의 제2차 인구변천 (The Second Demographic Transition in Industrialized Countries)

  • 정성호
    • 한국인구학
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    • 제32권1호
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    • pp.139-164
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    • 2009
  • 이 글은 유럽을 중심으로 진행된 제2차 인구변천에 관한 논의를 검토하고, 이러한 논의가 한국 사회의 출산력 변천에 어떤 함의를 지니고 있는가를 제시하고자 한다. 제2차 인구변천에 관한 논의는 기본적으로 산업국가에서 출산력 수준이 대체수준 이하로 감소되고 있는 상황을 설명하기 위한 노력에서 출발하였다. 제1차 인구변천과 달리 제2차 인구변천은 종착점으로 인구의 균형상태를 상정하지는 않는다. 오히려 새로운 변화는 대체수준 이하의 출산력, 결혼이 아닌 다양한 형태의 삶의 양식, 결혼과 출산의 무관계성, 안정된 인구의 부재 등을 가져올 것으로 전망한다. 또한 제2차 인구변천은 이민자의 유입이 없으면 인구가 지속적으로 감소할 것이며, 저출산과 평균수명의 연장의 결과로 인해 제1차 인구변천이론에 의해 예측된 인구보다 고령화될 것으로 전망한다. 제2차 인구변천에 대한 논의는 인구변천을 겪고 있는 유럽 국가들의 인구학적 변화를 밝히는데 중요할 뿐만 아니라 한국 사회의 인구학적 변화를 설명하는데 중요한 근거를 제공할 것으로 기대된다. 한국의 제2차 인구변천에서 두드러지게 나타나고 있는 상황은 저출산이다. 저출산 현상은 다양한 요인들이 유기적으로 연결되어 나타난 것이다. 이 중 결혼율의 감소, 초혼 연령의 상승, 이혼율의 상승, 소자녀 가치관 등 가족형성과 관련된 변수들은 저출산에 직접적으로 영향을 주는 변인으로 볼 수 있다. 이들은 제2차 인구변천 내용에 포함된 인구학적 변수들과 크게 다르지 않다. 다만 이러한 변인들에 영향을 주는 요인들이 유럽 사회와 다르게 작동하고 있는 것으로 보인다. 인구학적 변인 이외에 양성평등의 관념, 노동시장의 불안정성, 자녀 양육 및 교육 비용 등은 한국 사회의 저출산을 이해하는데 상대적으로 설명력이 큰 변인으로 볼 수 있다.

한국의료패널의 치과외래 이용 및 의료비 지출에 대한 4년간(2008-2011)의 변화추이 (Dental utilization and expenditures in Korea Health Panel Survey, 2008-2011)

  • 정세환
    • 대한치과의사협회지
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    • 제52권5호
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    • pp.291-301
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    • 2014
  • Korea Health Panel Survey (KHPS) has been conducted to provide nationally representative estimates of health care use and expenditures for non-institutionalized population in Korea since 2008. The aim of this study was to present estimates from KHPS on dental utilization and expenditures from 2008 to 2011. While weighted estimates were presented for each year from 2008 to 2011, the focus of this study was on the 2011 estimates and changes in dental utilization and expenditures between 2008 and 2011. Weighted estimates were obtained using population weights and statistical significances were analysed by independent t-test or ANOVA test using SPSS version 20 for Windows. In 2011, 21.1% of Korean population obtained outpatient dental services from dentists. From 2008 to 2011, the percent of people with a dental visit in each year increased slightly. In 2011, the mean number of dental visits was 4.46. While the mean number of dental visits remained stable by 2010, it increased slightly in 2011. The total annual dental expense in 2011 for people with a visit was about 460,000 Korean Won and 10% higher in 2008. In summary, this study results highlight low rates of dental utilization and high dental expenses in Korean population.