• Title/Summary/Keyword: simple random model

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Semiparametric Approach to Logistic Model with Random Intercept (준모수적 방법을 이용한 랜덤 절편 로지스틱 모형 분석)

  • Kim, Mijeong
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.28 no.6
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    • pp.1121-1131
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    • 2015
  • Logistic models with a random intercept are useful to analyze longitudinal binary data. Traditionally, the random intercept of the logistic model is assumed to be parametric (such as normal distribution) and is also assumed to be independent to variables. Such assumptions are very strong and restricted for application to real data. Recently, Garcia and Ma (2015) derived semiparametric efficient estimators for logistic model with a random intercept without these assumptions. Their estimator shows the consistency where we do not assume any parametric form for the random intercept. In addition, the method is computationally simple. In this paper, we apply this method to analyze toenail infection data. We compare the semiparametric estimator with maximum likelihood estimator, penalized quasi-likelihood estimator and hierarchical generalized linear estimator.

Random effect models for simple diffusions (단순 확산과정들에 대한 확률효과 모형)

  • Lee, Eun-Kyung;Lee, In Suk;Lee, Yoon Dong
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.31 no.6
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    • pp.801-810
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    • 2018
  • Diffusion is a random process used to model financial and physical phenomena. When we construct statistical models for repeatedly observed diffusion processes, the idea of random effects needs to be considered. In this research, we introduce random parameters for an Ornstein-Uhlenbeck diffusion model and geometric Brownian motion diffusion model. In order to apply the maximum likelihood estimation method, we tried to build likelihoods in closed-forms, by assuming appropriate distributions for random effects. We applied the random effect models to data consisting of Dow Jones Industrial Average indices recorded daily over 27 years from 1991 to 2017.

Simple Graphs for Complex Prediction Functions

  • Huh, Myung-Hoe;Lee, Yong-Goo
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.15 no.3
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    • pp.343-351
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    • 2008
  • By supervised learning with p predictors, we frequently obtain a prediction function of the form $y\;=\;f(x_1,...,x_p)$. When $p\;{\geq}\;3$, it is not easy to understand the inner structure of f, except for the case the function is formulated as additive. In this study, we propose to use p simple graphs for visual understanding of complex prediction functions produced by several supervised learning engines such as LOESS, neural networks, support vector machines and random forests.

Allocation of aircraft under demand by Wets' approach to stochastic programs with simple recourse

  • Sung, Chang-Sup
    • Journal of the Korean Operations Research and Management Science Society
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    • v.4 no.1
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    • pp.59-64
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    • 1979
  • The application of optimization techniques to the planning of industrial, economic, administrative and military activities with random technological coefficients has been extensively studied in the literature. Stochastic (linear) programs with simple recourse essentially model the allocation of scarce resources under uncertainty with linear penalties associated with shortages or surplus. This work on a problem with a discrete random resource vector, "The allocation of aircraft under uncertain demand" given in (1), is easily and efficiently handled by the application of the recently developed Wets' algorithm (8) for solving stochastic programs with simple recourse, which approves that such class of stochastic problems can be solved with the same efficiency as solving linear programs of the same size. It is known that the algorithm is also applicable to stochastic programs with continuous random demands for their approximate solutions.

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Comparison of Some Nonparametric Statistical Inference for Logit Model (로짓모형의 비모수적 추론의 비교)

  • 정형철;김대학
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.15 no.2
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    • pp.355-366
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    • 2002
  • Nonparametric statistical inference for the parameter of logit model were examined. Usually nonparametric approach is milder than parametric approach based on normal theory assumption. We compared the two nonparametric methods for legit model, the bootstrap and random permutation in the sense of coverage probability. Monte Carlo simulation is conducted for small sample cases. Empirical power of hypothesis test and coverage probability for confidence interval estimation were presented for simple and multiple legit model respectively. An example were also introduced.

A Class of Limited Sensing Random Access Algorithms with Resistance to Feedback Errors and Effective Delay Control

  • Burrell Anthony T.;Papantoni Titsa P.
    • Journal of Communications and Networks
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    • v.8 no.1
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    • pp.21-27
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    • 2006
  • We present and analyze a class of limited sensing random access algorithms with powerful properties. The algorithms are implementable in wireless mobile environments and their operational properties are simple. Their throughput in the worst case of the limit Poisson user model is 0.4297, while this throughput degrades gracefully in the presence of channel feedback errors.

A new approach on Traffic Flow model using Random Trajectory Theory (확률경로 기반의 교통류 분석 방법론)

  • PARK, Young Wook
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.20 no.5
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    • pp.67-79
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    • 2002
  • In this paper, observed trajectories of a vehicle platoon are viewed as one realization of a finite sequence of random trajectories. In this point of view, we develop novel and mathematically rigorous concept of traffic flow variables such as local traffic density, instantaneous traffic flow, and velocity field and investigate their nature on a general probability space of a sequence of random trajectories which represent vehicle trajectories. We present a simple model of random trajectories as an illustrative example and, derive the values of traffic flow variables based on the new definitions in this model. In particular, we construct the model for the sequence of random vehicle trajectories with a system of stochastic differential equations. Each equation of the system nay represent microscopic random maneuvering behavior of each vehicle with properly designed drift coefficient functions and diffusion coefficient functions. The system of stochastic differential equations nay generate a well-defined probability space of a sequence of random vehicle trajectories. We derive the partial differential equation for the expected cumulative plot with appropriate initial conditions. By solving the equation with numerical methods, we obtain the values of expected cumulative plot, local traffic density, and instantaneous traffic flow. In addition, we derive the partial differential equation for the expected travel time to a certain location with appropriate initial and/or boundary conditions, which is solvable numerically. We apply this model to a case of single vehicle trajectory.

Analysis of Degradation Data Using Robust Experimental Design (강건 실험계획법을 이용한 열화자료의 분석)

  • 서순근;하천수
    • Journal of Korean Society for Quality Management
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    • v.32 no.1
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    • pp.113-129
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    • 2004
  • The reliability of the product can be improved by making the product less sensitive to noises. Especially, it Is important to make products robust against various noise factors encountered in production and field environments. In this paper, the phenomenon of degradation assumes a simple random coefficient degradation model to present analysis procedures of degradation data for robust experimental design. To alleviate weak points of previous studies, such as Taguchi's, Wasserman's, and pseudo failure time methods, novel techniques for analysis of degradation data using the cross array that regards amount of degradation as a dynamic characteristic for time are proposed. Analysis approach for degradation data using robust experimental design are classified by assumptions on parametric or nonparametric degradation rate(or slope). Also, a simulation study demonstrates the superiority of proposed methods over some previous works.

Robust Newsvendor Model With Random Yield and Customer Balking (불확실한 수율과 고객이탈행위를 고려한 강건한 뉴스벤더 모델)

  • Jung, Uk;Lee, Se Won
    • Journal of Korean Society for Quality Management
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    • v.40 no.4
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    • pp.441-452
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    • 2012
  • Purpose: In this paper, we have considered a problem of newsvendor model in an environment of random yields in quality and customer balking behavior, in which only the mean and the variance of the demand are known. In practice, the distributional information of the demand is very limited and only the mean and variance are guessed by experience. In addition, due to the customers balking behavior occurring when the available inventory level decreases, the product's demand becomes a function of inventory level so that the classical newsvendor's optimal order quantity is no longer optimal. Methods: We have developed an optimal order quantity model that enables us to incorporate the random yield of a product and the customer balking information such as a threshold inventory level of balking and the corresponding probability of a sale during the balking. Results: We illustrated the concepts developed here through simple numerical examples and showed the robustness of our model in a various setting of parameters. Conclusion: This paper provides a useful analysis showing that our distribution-specific and distribution-free approach to the optimal order quantity in the newsboy model can act as an effective tools to match supply with demand for these product lines.

Random Effects Models for Multivariate Survival Data: Hierarchical-Likelihood Approach

  • Ha Il Do;Lee Youngjo;Song Jae-Kee
    • Proceedings of the Korean Statistical Society Conference
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    • 2000.11a
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    • pp.193-200
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    • 2000
  • Modelling the dependence via random effects in censored multivariate survival data has recently received considerable attention in the biomedical literature. The random effects models model not only the conditional survival times but also the conditional hazard rate. Systematic likelihood inference for the models with random effects is possible using Lee and Nelder's (1996) hierarchical-likelihood (h-likelihood). The purpose of this presentation is to introduce Ha et al.'s (2000a,b) inferential methods for the random effects models via the h-likelihood, which provide a conceptually simple, numerically efficient and reliable inferential procedures.

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