• Title/Summary/Keyword: semi-distributed model

Search Result 102, Processing Time 0.051 seconds

Parameter and Modeling Uncertainty Analysis of Semi-Distributed Hydrological Model using Markov-Chain Monte Carlo Technique (Markov-Chain Monte Carlo 기법을 이용한 준 분포형 수문모형의 매개변수 및 모형 불확실성 분석)

  • Choi, Jeonghyeon;Jang, Suhyung;Kim, Sangdan
    • Journal of Korean Society on Water Environment
    • /
    • v.36 no.5
    • /
    • pp.373-384
    • /
    • 2020
  • Hydrological models are based on a combination of parameters that describe the hydrological characteristics and processes within a watershed. For this reason, the model performance and accuracy are highly dependent on the parameters. However, model uncertainties caused by parameters with stochastic characteristics need to be considered. As a follow-up to the study conducted by Choi et al (2020), who developed a relatively simple semi-distributed hydrological model, we propose a tool to estimate the posterior distribution of model parameters using the Metropolis-Hastings algorithm, a type of Markov-Chain Monte Carlo technique, and analyze the uncertainty of model parameters and simulated stream flow. In addition, the uncertainty caused by the parameters of each version is investigated using the lumped and semi-distributed versions of the applied model to the Hapcheon Dam watershed. The results suggest that the uncertainty of the semi-distributed model parameters was relatively higher than that of the lumped model parameters because the spatial variability of input data such as geomorphological and hydrometeorological parameters was inherent to the posterior distribution of the semi-distributed model parameters. Meanwhile, no significant difference existed between the two models in terms of uncertainty of the simulation outputs. The statistical goodness of fit of the simulated stream flows against the observed stream flows showed satisfactory reliability in both the semi-distributed and the lumped models, but the seasonality of the stream flow was reproduced relatively better by the distributed model.

Development of a Hybrid Watershed Model STREAM: Model Structures and Theories (복합형 유역모델 STREAM의 개발(I): 모델 구조 및 이론)

  • Cho, Hong-Lae;Jeong, Euisang;Koo, Bhon Kyoung
    • Journal of Korean Society on Water Environment
    • /
    • v.31 no.5
    • /
    • pp.491-506
    • /
    • 2015
  • Distributed models represent watersheds using a network of numerous, uniform calculation units to provide spatially detailed and consistent evaluations across the watershed. However, these models have a disadvantage in general requiring a high computing cost. Semi-distributed models, on the other hand, delineate watersheds using a simplified network of non-uniform calculation units requiring a much lower computing cost than distributed models. Employing a simplified network of non-uniform units, however, semi-distributed models cannot but have limitations in spatially-consistent simulations of hydrogeochemical processes and are often not favoured for such a task as identifying critical source areas within a watershed. Aiming to overcome these shortcomings of both groups of models, a hybrid watershed model STREAM (Spatio-Temporal River-basin Ecohydrology Analysis Model) was developed in this study. Like a distributed model, STREAM divides a watershed into square grid cells of a same size each of which may have a different set of hydrogeochemical parameters reflecting the spatial heterogeneity. Like many semi-distributed models, STREAM groups individual cells of similar hydrogeochemical properties into representative cells for which real computations of the model are carried out. With this hybrid structure, STREAM requires a relatively small computational cost although it still keeps the critical advantage of distributed models.

Development of Semi-Distributed TOPMODEL (준분포형 TOPMODEL 개발)

  • Bae, Deg-Hyo;Kim, Jin-Hoon
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
    • /
    • v.38 no.10 s.159
    • /
    • pp.895-906
    • /
    • 2005
  • The diversity of observed hydrologic data and the development of geographic information system leads significant progress for developing distributed runoff models in the world. One of the typical examples is TOPMODEL, but the spatial coverage of its application Is limited on small headwater basins. The purpose of this study attempts to overcome its limitation and consequently develops a semi-distributed TOPMODEL. The developed model is composed of two components: a watershed runoff component for a lumped representation of hydrologic runoff process on the catchment scale and a kinematic wave type hydraulic channel routing component lot routing the catchment outflows. The application basin is the $2,703km^2$ upper Soyang dam site and several daily and hourly events are selected for model calibrations and verifications. The model parameters are estimated on 1990 daily event. The model performance on correlation coefficient between observed and computed flows are above 0.90 for the verification events. It is concluded that the developed model in this study can be used for flood analysis in large drainage basins.

The Selection of Optimal Distributions for Distributed Hydrological Models using Multi-criteria Calibration Techniques (다중최적화기법을 이용한 분포형 수문모형의 최적 분포형 선택)

  • Kim, Yonsoo;Kim, Taegyun
    • Journal of Wetlands Research
    • /
    • v.22 no.1
    • /
    • pp.15-23
    • /
    • 2020
  • The purpose of this study is to investigate how the degree of distribution influences the calibration of snow and runoff in distributed hydrological models using a multi-criteria calibration method. The Hydrology Laboratory-Research Distributed Hydrologic Model (HL-RDHM) developed by NOAA-National Weather Service (NWS) is employed to estimate optimized parameter sets. We have 3 scenarios depended on the model complexity for estimating best parameter sets: Lumped, Semi-Distributed, and Fully-Distributed. For the case study, the Durango River Basin, Colorado is selected as a study basin to consider both snow and water balance components. This study basin is in the mountainous western U.S. area and consists of 108 Hydrologic Rainfall Analysis Project (HRAP) grid cells. 5 and 13 parameters of snow and water balance models are calibrated with the Multi-Objective Shuffled Complex Evolution Metropolis (MOSCEM) algorithm. Model calibration and validation are conducted on 4km HRAP grids with 5 years (2001-2005) meteorological data and observations. Through case study, we show that snow and streamflow simulations are improved with multiple criteria calibrations without considering model complexity. In particular, we confirm that semi- and fully distributed models are better performances than those of lumped model. In case of lumped model, the Root Mean Square Error (RMSE) values improve by 35% on snow average and 42% on runoff from a priori parameter set through multi-criteria calibrations. On the other hand, the RMSE values are improved by 40% and 43% for snow and runoff on semi- and fully-distributed models.

Development of Parsimonious Semi-Distributed Hydrologic Partitioning Model Based on Soil Moisture Storages (토양수분 저류 기반의 간결한 준분포형 수문분할모형 개발)

  • Choi, Jeonghyeon;Kim, Ryoungeun;Kim, Sangdan
    • Journal of Korean Society on Water Environment
    • /
    • v.36 no.3
    • /
    • pp.229-244
    • /
    • 2020
  • Hydrologic models, as a useful tool for understanding the hydrologic phenomena in the watershed, have become more complex with the increase of computer performance. The hydrologic model, with complex configurations and powerful performance, facilitates a broader understanding of the effects of climate and soil in hydrologic partitioning. However, the more complex the model is, the more effort and time is required to drive the model, and the more parameters it uses, the less accessible to the user and less applicable to the ungauged watershed. Rather, a parsimonious hydrologic model may be effective in hydrologic modeling of the ungauged watershed. Thus, a semi-distributed hydrologic partitioning model was developed with minimal composition and number of parameters to improve applicability. In this study, the validity and performance of the proposed model were confirmed by applying it to the Namgang Dam, Andong Dam, Hapcheon Dam, and Milyang Dam watersheds among the Nakdong River watersheds. From the results of the application, it was confirmed that despite the simple model structure, the hydrologic partitioning process of the watershed can be modeled relatively well through three vertical layers comprising the surface layer, the soil layer, and the aquifer. Additionally, discussions were conducted on antecedent soil moisture conditions widely applied to stormwater estimation using the soil moisture data simulated by the proposed model.

Regional Hydrological Analysis using SLURP Model - Soyanggang-dam watershed - (SLURP 모형을 이용한 광역적 수문분석 - 소양강댐 유역을 대상으로 -)

  • Lim, Hyuk-Jin;Kwon, Hyung-Joong;Jang, Cheol-Hee;Kim, Seong-Joon
    • Proceedings of the Korean Society of Agricultural Engineers Conference
    • /
    • 2003.10a
    • /
    • pp.523-526
    • /
    • 2003
  • This study is to test the applicability of SLURP (Semi-distributed Land Use-based runoff Process) model that is a semi-distributed, continuous hydrologic model developed by Kite (1997). The Soyanggang-dam watershed ($2,694km^2$) was selected. The DEM, land-cover map, monthly NDVI from NOAA/AVHRR and daily meteorological data of 2001 were prepared. By using the parameter optimization technique, SCE-UA (Shuffled Complex Evolution-University of Arizona), the model was calibrated and the Nash-Sutcliffe efficiency was 0.73.

  • PDF

Application of a Distribution Rainfall-Runoff Model on the Nakdong River Basin

  • Kim, Gwang-Seob;Sun, Mingdong
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
    • /
    • 2012.05a
    • /
    • pp.976-976
    • /
    • 2012
  • The applicability of a distributed rainfall-runoff model for large river basin flood forecasts is analyzed by applying the model to the Nakdong River basin. The spatially explicit hydrologic model was constructed and calibrated by the several storm events. The assimilation of the large scale Nakdong River basin were conducted by calibrating the sub-basin channel outflow, dam discharge in the basin rainfall-runoff model. The applicability of automatic and semi-automatic calibration methods was analyzed for real time calibrations. Further an ensemble distributed rainfall runoff model has been developed to measure the runoff hydrograph generated for any temporally-spatially varied rainfall events, also the runoff of basin can be forecast at any location as well. The results of distributed rainfall-runoff model are very useful for flood managements on the large scale basins. That offer facile, realistic management method for the avoiding the potential flooding impacts and provide a reference for the construct and developing of flood control facilities.

  • PDF

Analysis of Impact of Climate Change on River Flows in an Agricultural Watershed Using a Semi-distributed Watershed Model STREAM (준분포형 유역모델 STREAM을 이용한 기후변화가 농업유역의 하천유량에 미치는 영향 분석)

  • Jeong, Euisang;Cho, Hong-Lae
    • Journal of Korean Society on Water Environment
    • /
    • v.35 no.2
    • /
    • pp.131-144
    • /
    • 2019
  • Climate Change affects the hydrological cycle in agricultural watersheds through rising air temperature and changing rainfall patterns. Agricultural watersheds in Korea are characterized by extensive paddy fields and intensive water use, a resource that is under stress from the changing climate. This study analyzed the effects of climate change on river flows for Geum Cheon and Eun-San Choen watershed using STREAM, a semi-distributed watershed model. In order to evaluate the performance and improve the reliability of the model, calibration and validation of the model was done for one flow observation point and three reservoir water storage ratio points. Climate change scenarios were based on RCP data provided by the Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) and bias corrections were done using the Quantile Mapping method to minimize the uncertainties in the results produced by the climate model to the local scale. Because of water mass-balance, evapotranspiration tended to increase steadily with an increase in air temperature, while the increase in RCP 8.5 scenario resulted in higher RCP 4.5 scenario. The increase in evapotranspiration led to a decrease in the river flow, particularly the decrease in the surface runoff. In the paddy agricultural watershed, irrigation water demand is expected to increase despite an increase in rainfall owing to the high evapotranspiration rates occasioned by climate change.

Application and Evaluation of Remotely Sensed Data in Semi-Distributed Hydrological Model (준 분포형 수문모형에서의 원격탐사자료의 적용 및 평가)

  • Kim, Byung-Sik;Kim, Kyung-Tak;Park, Jung-Sool;Kim, Hung-Soo
    • Journal of the Korean Association of Geographic Information Studies
    • /
    • v.9 no.2
    • /
    • pp.144-159
    • /
    • 2006
  • Hydrological models are tools intended to realistically represent the basin's complex system in which hydrological characteristics result from a number of physical, vegetative, climatic, and anthropomorphic factors. Spatially distributed hydrological models were first developed in the 1960s, Remote sensing(RS) data and Geographical Information System(GIS) play a rapidly increasing role in the field of hydrology and water resources development. Although very few remotely sensed data can applied in hydrology, such information is of great. One of the greatest advantage of using RS data for hydrological modeling and monitoring is its ability to generate information in spatial and temporal domain, which is very crucial for successful model analysis, prediction and validation. In this paper, SLURP model is selected as semi-distributed hydrological model and MODIS Leaf Area Index(LAI), Normalized Difference Vegetation Index(NDVI) as Remote sensing input data to hydrological modeling of Kyung An-chen basin. The outlet of the Kyung An stage site was simulated, We evaluated two RS data, based on ability of SLURP model to simulate daily streamflows, and How the two RS data influence the sensitivity of simulated Evapotranspiration.

  • PDF

Effects of Mobility-Gap States on the Performance of a-Si:H Field-Effect Transistors (이동도갭 상태들의 수소화된 비결정 실리콘 전계효과 트랜지스터 성능에 대한 영향)

  • 제갈장
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Electrical and Electronic Material Engineers Conference
    • /
    • 1995.11a
    • /
    • pp.52-57
    • /
    • 1995
  • An accurate and efficient single-integral semi-numerical model is developed and applied to analyse effects of localized electronic states in the mobility gap on the drain-current versus gale-voltage characteristics of hydrogenated amorphous field-effect transistors. It is shown that the low-density deep-gap states distributed in the midgap also sensitively and largely influence the device electronic performance as well as well as the large-density tail states distributed near the conduction band edge.

  • PDF