• The Transactions of the Korean Institute of Electrical Engineers A
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• v.49 no.3
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• pp.124-135
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• 2000

This paper presents reasonable evaluation technique to determine system configuration of underground distribution system. To set up reasonable evaluation for a certain object region, it is necessary for methodology to access accurately factors such as economics, reliability, customer interruption cost, implementation and flexibility about proposed various configuration of underground distribution system. But it is difficult to evaluate factors as above-mentioned since there is no criterion to assess them in our country. Accordingly, having completed the technical and economical analysis and customer interruption cost of various types of system, this paper presents the most reasonable results to get the optimal configuration of underground distribution system. Also, this paper presents possible methodology which can be applied other areas having a different load characteristics by application actually making a selection Myungdong as sample area.

• The Transactions of the Korean Institute of Electrical Engineers A
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• v.52 no.8
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• pp.450-456
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• 2003

This paper proposes a multiple time-series model with dummy variables for one-hour ahead load forecasting. We used 11 dummy variables that were classified by day characteristics such as day of the week, holiday, and special holiday. Also, model specification and selection of input variables including dummy variables were made by test statistics such as AIC(Akaike Information Criterion) and t-test statistics of each coefficient. OLS (Ordinary Least Squares) method was used for estimation and forecasting. We found out that model specifications for each hour are not identical usually at 30％ of optimal significance level, and dummy variables reduce the forecasting error if they are classified properly. The proposed model has much more accurate estimates in forecasting with less MAPE (Mean Absolute Percentage Error).

• Advances in environmental research
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• v.3 no.2
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• pp.131-149
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• 2014

Two different model selection indices, the Akaike information criterion (AIC) and the coefficient of determination ($R^2$), are used to discriminate competing isotherm equations for aqueous pollutant removal systems. The former takes into account model accuracy and complexity while the latter considers model accuracy only. The five types of isotherm shape in the Brunauer-Deming-Deming-Teller (BDDT) classification are considered. Sorption equilibrium data taken from the literature were correlated using isotherm equations with fitting parameters ranging from two to five. For the isotherm shapes of types I (favorable) and III (unfavorable), the AIC favors two-parameter equations which can easily track these simple isotherm shapes with high accuracy. The $R^2$ indicator by contrast recommends isotherm equations with more than two parameters which can provide marginally better fits than two-parameter equations. To correlate the more intricate shapes of types II (multilayer), IV (two-plateau) and V (S-shaped) isotherms, both indices favor isotherm equations with more than two parameters.

• Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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• v.29 no.5
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• pp.513-532
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• 2022

In this paper, the use of Bayes factors and the deviance information criterion for model selection are compared in a Bayesian accelerated life testing setup. In Bayesian accelerated life testing, the most used tool for model comparison is the deviance information criterion. An alternative and more formal approach is to use Bayes factors to compare models. However, Bayesian accelerated life testing models with more than one stressor often have mathematically intractable posterior distributions and Markov chain Monte Carlo methods are employed to obtain posterior samples to base inference on. The computation of the marginal likelihood is challenging when working with such complex models. In this paper, methods for approximating the marginal likelihood and the application thereof in the accelerated life testing paradigm are explored for dual-stress models. A simulation study is also included, where Bayes factors using the different approximation methods and the deviance information are compared.

• The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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• v.31 no.4
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• pp.463-473
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• 2018

Variable selection algorithms for linear regression models of large data are considered. Many algorithms are proposed focusing on the speed and the robustness of algorithms. Among them variance inflation factor (VIF) regression is fast and accurate due to the use of a streamwise regression approach. But a VIF regression is susceptible to outliers because it estimates a model by a least-square method. A robust criterion using a weighted estimator has been proposed for the robustness of algorithm; in addition, a robust VIF regression has also been proposed for the same purpose. In this article a fast and robust variable selection method is suggested via a VIF regression with detecting and removing potential outliers. A simulation study and an analysis of a dataset are conducted to compare the suggested method with other methods.

• Journal of the Korean Institute of Intelligent Systems
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• v.7 no.4
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• pp.82-92
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• 1997

In this paper, a fuzzy measure and integral-based model fnr interactive systems is proposed. The processes of model identification consists of the following three steps : (i) structure identification (ii) parameter identification and (iii) selection of an optimal model. An algorithm for the model structure identification using the well-known genetic algorithm ((;A) with a modified selection operator is proposed. A method for the identification of par;imetcrs corresponding to fuzzy measures is presented. A statistical model selection criterion is used for the selection of an optimal model among the candidates. Finally, experimental results obtained hy applying the proposed model to the subjective evaluation data set and the well-known time series data are presented to show the validity of the proposed model.

• KSII Transactions on Internet and Information Systems (TIIS)
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• v.8 no.12
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• pp.4269-4292
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• 2014

Currently, increasing numbers of access points (AP) are being deployed in enterprise offices, campuses and municipal downtowns for flexible Internet connectivity, but most of these access points are idle or redundant most of the time, which causes significant energy waste. Therefore, with respect to power conservation, applying energy efficient strategies in WIFI networks is strongly advocated. One feasible method is dynamically managing network resources, particularly APs, by powering devices on or off. However, when an AP is powered on, the device is initialized through a long boot time, during which period clients cannot be associated with it; therefore, the network performance would be greatly impacted. In this paper, based on a global view of an entire WLAN, we propose an AP selection technology, known as Temporary Access Selection (TAS). The criterion of TAS is a fusion metric consisting of two evaluation indexes which are based on throughput and battery life, respectively. TAS is both service and clients' preference specific through balancing the data rate, battery life and packet size. TAS also works well independently in traditional WLANs in which no energy efficient strategy is deployed. Moreover, this paper demonstrates the feasibility and performance of TAS through experiments and simulations with Network Simulator version 3 (NS3).

• KSII Transactions on Internet and Information Systems (TIIS)
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• v.8 no.4
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• pp.1406-1423
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• 2014

Multi-mode device which combines multiple access technologies into a device will offer more cost-effective solution than a sole access implementation. Its concurrent multipath transfer (CMT) technology can transmit media flows over multiple end-to-end paths simultaneously, which is essential to select at least two paths from all available paths. At real networks, different paths are likely to overlap each other and even share bottleneck, which can weaken the path diversity gained through CMT. Spurred by this observation, it is necessary to select multiple independent paths as much as possible to avoid underlying shared bottleneck between topologically joint paths. Recent research in this context has shown that different paths with shared bottleneck can weaken the path diversity gained through CMT. In our earlier work, a grouping-based multipath selection (GMS) mechanism is introduced and developed. However, how to estimating the selection is still to be resolved. In this paper, we firstly introduce a Selection Correctness Index (SCI) to evaluate the correctness of selection results in actual CMT experiment. Therefore, this metric is helpful to discuss and validate the accuracy of the output paths. From extensive experiments with a realized prototype, the proposed scheme provides better evaluation tool and criterion in various network conditions.

• Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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• v.22 no.7 s.78
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• pp.155-159
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• 2004

Recently, there are many trials about Artificial neural networks : ANNs structure and studying method of researches for forecasting traffic volume. ANNs have a powerful capabilities of recognizing pattern with a flexible non-linear model. However, ANNs have some overfitting problems in dealing with a lot of parameters because of its non-linear problems. This research deals with the application of a variety of model selection criterion for cancellation of the overfitting problems. Especially, this aims at analyzing which the selecting model cancels the overfitting problems and guarantees the transferability from time measure. Results in this study are as follow. First, the model which is selecting in sample does not guarantees the best capabilities of out-of-sample. So to speak, the best model in sample is no relationship with the capabilities of out-of-sample like many existing researches. Second, in stability of model selecting criterion, AIC3, AICC, BIC are available but AIC4 has a large variation comparing with the best model. In time-series analysis and forecasting, we need more quantitable data analysis and another time-series analysis because uncertainty of a model can have an effect on correlation between in-sample and out-of-sample.

• Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
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• v.13 no.2
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• pp.817-821
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• 2012

In this paper we applied the optimal mixture number estimation technique in GMM(Gaussian mixture model) using BIC(Bayesian information criterion) and MDL(minimum description length) as a model selection criterion for environmental sounds recognition. In the experiment, we extracted 12 MFCC(mel-frequency cepstral coefficients) features from 9 kinds of environmental sounds which amounts to 27747 data and classified them with GMM. As mentioned above, BIC and MDL is applied to estimate the optimal number of mixtures in each environmental sounds class. According to the experimental results, while the recognition performances are maintained, the computational complexity decreases by 17.8% with BIC and 31.7% with MDL. It shows that the computational complexity reduction by BIC and MDL is effective for environmental sounds recognition using GMM.