• 제목/요약/키워드: runoff behavior

검색결과 75건 처리시간 0.023초

기후변화 시나리오 편의보정 기법에 따른 강우-유출 특성 분석 (Analysis of Rainfall-Runoff Characteristics on Bias Correction Method of Climate Change Scenarios)

  • 금동혁;박윤식;정영훈;신민환;류지철;박지형;양재의;임경재
    • 한국물환경학회지
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    • 제31권3호
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    • pp.241-252
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    • 2015
  • Runoff behaviors by five bias correction methods were analyzed, which were Change Factor methods using past observed and estimated data by the estimation scenario with average annual calibration factor (CF_Y) or with average monthly calibration factor (CF_M), Quantile Mapping methods using past observed and estimated data considering cumulative distribution function for entire estimated data period (QM_E) or for dry and rainy season (QM_P), and Integrated method of CF_M+QM_E(CQ). The peak flow by CF_M and QM_P were twice as large as the measured peak flow, it was concluded that QM_P method has large uncertainty in monthly runoff estimation since the maximum precipitation by QM_P provided much difference to the other methods. The CQ method provided the precipitation amount, distribution, and frequency of the smallest differences to the observed data, compared to the other four methods. And the CQ method provided the rainfall-runoff behavior corresponding to the carbon dioxide emission scenario of SRES A1B. Climate change scenario with bias correction still contained uncertainty in accurate climate data generation. Therefore it is required to consider the trend of observed precipitation and the characteristics of bias correction methods so that the generated precipitation can be used properly in water resource management plan establishment.

대유역 홍수예측을 위한 연속형 강우-유출모형 개발 (Development of Continuous Rainfall-Runoff Model for Flood Forecasting on the Large-Scale Basin)

  • 배덕효;이병주
    • 한국수자원학회논문집
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    • 제44권1호
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    • pp.51-64
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    • 2011
  • 본 연구에서는 대유역의 홍수모의가 가능한 연속형 강우-유출모형을 개발하고자 하는데 그 목적이 있다. 이를 위해 가변저류변수와 유출곡선지수를 기반으로 하는 시단위 지표유출량 산정방법을 개발하였으며 수문성분을 토양수분에 대한 연속방정식에 적용하여 연속적인 강우에 대한 토양수분 모의가 가능하도록 모형을 구성하였다. 또한 유출수문성분과 유역 저류함수모형을 연계하여 유역에 대한 연속적인 유출모의가 가능하도록 하였으며 하도 저류함수모형을 이용하여 대유역에 대한 유출모의가 가능하도록 모형을 개발하였다. 대상유역은 낙동강 유역을 채택하였으며 2006년(보정기간) 및 2007~2008년(검증기간)의 홍수기간 동안 본류와 지류에 위치한 8개 유량관측지점에 대해서 모형의 정확도 평가를 수행하였다. 모든 평가지점에서 모의유량이 관측유량과 유사한 결과를 보이며 보정기간과 검증기간의 모형효율성계수는 각각 0.81~0.95와 0.70~0.94 범위의 우수한 결과를 보이는 것으로 나타났다. 또한 강우에 대한 토양수분의 거동과 수문 성분 발생량에서도 합리적인 결과를 도출하는 것으로 확인되었다. 이상의 결과로부터 본 연구에서 개발된 연속형 강우-유출모형은 대유역의 홍수예측에 활용이 가능할 것으로 판단된다.

격자기반 운동파 강우유출모형 KIMSTORM의 개선(II) - 적용 및 분석 - (A Modified grid-based KIneMatic wave STOrm Runoff Model (ModKIMSTORM) (II) - Application and Analysis -)

  • 정인균;신형진;박진혁;김성준
    • 대한토목학회논문집
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    • 제28권6B호
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    • pp.709-721
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    • 2008
  • 본 연구에서는 격자기반 운동파 강우유출모형 KIMSTORM을 개선한 ModKIMSTORM을 유역면적 $2,293km^2$의 남강댐 유역을 대상으로 적용성을 검토하였다. 공간해상도 500 m의 GIS 입력자료(DEM, 토지피복도, 유효토심도, 토양종류도 등)를 구축하였으며, 5개 태풍(2000년 사오마이, 2002년 루사, 2003년 매미, 2004년 메기, 2006년 에위니아) 및 2개 강우사상 (2003년 5월, 2004년 7월)을 적용하여 모형을 검보정하였다. 모형의 자동평가 기능을 이용하여 모의유량을 실측유량과 비교하였으며, 유역의 출구지점에 대한 매개변수 보정결과 결정계수($R^2$), 모형효율(E), 유출용적편차($D_v$), 첨두유량의 상대오차 ($EQ_p$), 첨두시간의 절대오차($ET_p$)의 평균은 각각 0.984, 0.981, 3.63%, 0.003, 0.48 hr로, 검정에서는 $R^2$, E, $D_v$, $EQ_p$, $ET_p$의 평균이 각각 0.937, 0.895, 8.08%, 0.138, 0.73 hr로 분석되었다. 매개변수와 관련하여 초기토양수분함량이 유출용적에 민감하였고, 하천조도계수가 첨두유량에 가장 민감한 변수로 나타났다. 호우기간동안의 공간적인 결과로부터 수문학적 요소의 작용을 살펴봄으로써 호우시 유역관리에 대한 정보를 얻을 수 있었다.

농촌 소유역 유출수에서의 영양염류의 거동 (Behavior of Nutrients in Runoff Water from a Small Rural Watershed)

  • 오광영;김진수;오승영
    • 한국농공학회논문집
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    • 제51권2호
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    • pp.51-57
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    • 2009
  • The purpose of this study was to investigate characteristics of behavior of nutrients such as TN (Total nitrogen), TDN (Total dissolved nitrogen), TP (Total phosphorus) TDP (Total dissolved phosphorous) in runoff water from a nonpoint source dominated watershed ($6.67\;km^2$). Regular and intensive flow measurement and water sampling were taken during two years (February 2002 to January 2004) in the Ingyeong River, a tributary of the Han River. The mean concentrations of nutrients during rainy days were significantly (p < 0.05) higher than those during dry days. The mean TDN/TN ratio in rainy days (95%) is almost identical to that in dry days (96%), but mean TDP/TP ratio in rainy days (24%) significantly decreased compared with that in dry days (66%), suggesting that dominant form of TP is shifted from dissolved form to particulate form. Accordingly, the measures (.eg. filter strips, cover crops) to reduce soil erosion for fallow upland in the rainy season should be taken to control particulate phosphorous.

CAT을 이용한 저수지 수위 예측 (Prediction of Reservoir Water Level using CAT)

  • 장철희;김현준;김진택
    • 한국농공학회논문집
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    • 제54권1호
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    • pp.27-38
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    • 2012
  • This study is to analyse the hydrological behavior of agricultural reservoir using CAT (Catchment hydrologic cycle Assessment Tool). The CAT is a water cycle analysis model in order to quantitatively assess the characteristics of the short/long-term changes in watershed. It supports the effective design of water cycle improvement facilities by supplementing the strengths and weaknesses of existing conceptual parameter-based lumped hydrologic models and physical parameter-based distributed hydrologic models. The CAT especially supports the analysis of runoff processes in paddy fields and reservoirs. To evaluate the impact of agricultural reservoir operation and irrigation water supply on long-term rainfall-runoff process, the CAT was applied to Idong experimental catchment, operated for research on the rural catchment characteristics and accumulated long term data by hydrological observation equipments since 2000. From the results of the main control points, Idong, Yongdeok and Misan reservoirs, the daily water levels of those points are consistent well with observed water levels, and the Nash-Sutcliffe model efficiencies were 0.32~0.89 (2001~2007) and correlation coefficients were 0.73~0.98.

수질 환경을 고려한 농경지 토양 탄소 관리 방안 (Agricultural Soil Carbon Management Considering Water Environment)

  • 이경숙;윤광식;최동호;정재운;최우정;임상선
    • 환경영향평가
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    • 제22권1호
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    • pp.1-17
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    • 2013
  • Carbon sequestration on soil is one of the counter measurements against climate change in agricultural sector. Increasing incorporation of organic fertilizer would increase soil organic carbon (SOC) but it could bring high potential of nutrient losses which would result in water quality degradation. In this paper, literature review on soil organic carbon behavior according to agricultural management is presented. The results of field experiment to identify the effect of organic and commercial fertilizer applications on SOC and runoff water quality were also presented. Field experiment confirmed increased SOC and nutrient concentrations in runoff water as application rate of organic fertilizer increase. The potential use of simulation model to develop best agricultural management practice considering carbon sequestration and water quality conservation at the same time is discussed and monitoring and modeling strategies are also suggested to achieve the goal.

비시가화지역에서 비점오염물질과 입자성물질의 유출 상관성 (Correlation of Nonpoint Pollutant and Particulate Matters at a Small Suburban Area)

  • 박지영;배상호;윤영한;임현만;박재로;오현제;김원재
    • 대한환경공학회지
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    • 제34권11호
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    • pp.720-728
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    • 2012
  • 강우시 상당 부분의 비점오염물질은 입자성물질에 흡착된 형태로 유출되기 때문에 비점오염물질의 유출 거동을 보다 정확하게 이해하기 위해서는 입자성물질과의 상관성을 정량적으로 파악하는 것이 중요하다. 그러나 강우시 오염물질별 유출특성과 입도분포와의 상관성에 대한 연구사례는 매우 부족한 실정으로, 특히 도시화가 진전되지 않은 비시가화지역을 대상으로 한 국내 연구는 보고된 예가 거의 없다. 본 연구에서는 논, 밭 및 임야 등으로 구성된 소규모 비시가화지역(유역면적 52.8 ha)을 선정하여 다양한 규모의 강우사상별 유출특성을 조사하고, 오염물질의 유출특성과 입자성물질의 거동 사이의 상관관계를 분석하였다. 또한, 비점오염물질의 유출에 미치는 입자성물질의 영향에 대하여 정량적인 분석을 실시하였다. 연구결과, 중소규모 강우에서도 초기유출현상이 관찰되었으며, 입자성물질이 영양염류 및 중금속의 유출과정에 큰 기여를 하고 있는 것으로 나타났다. 특히, $BOD_5$와 TOC의 유기물항목, TN과 TP의 영양염류, Al, Cr, Cu, Fe, Hg 및 Zn의 중금속항목 등이 SS (total), VSS, SS (d < $20{\mu}m$) 및 SS ($20{\mu}m$ $$\leq_-$$ d < $80{\mu}m$)와 높은 상관성을 보여 입자성물질과 유사한 유출거동을 갖는 것으로 나타났다. 한편, $COD_{cr}$, Cd, Mn 및 Pb는 입자성물질의 유출거동과 뚜렷한 상관성을 보이지 않았다. 비시가화지역에서 비점오염물질의 유출과정은 입자성물질의 거동과 상관성이 높을 뿐만 아니라 처리대상물질에 따라서도 상이한 특성을 갖는다는 점을 고려한 비점오염 저감시설의 도입이 이루어져야 할 것으로 판단된다.

수문학적 가뭄전망을 위한 GloSea5의 활용체계 구축 및 예측성 평가 (Construction & Evaluation of GloSea5-Based Hydrological Drought Outlook System)

  • 손경환;배덕효;정현숙
    • 대기
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    • 제25권2호
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    • pp.271-281
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    • 2015
  • The objectives of this study are to develop a hydrological drought outlook system using GloSea5 (Global Seasonal forecasting system 5) which has recently been used by KMA (Korea Meteorological Association) and to evaluate the forecasting capability. For drought analysis, the bilinear interpolation method was applied to spatially downscale the low-resolution outputs of GloSea5 and PR (Predicted Runoff) was produced for different lead times (i.e., 1-, 2-, 3-month) running LSM (Land Surface Model). The behavior of PR anomaly was similar to that of HR (Historical Runoff) and the estimated values were negative up to lead times of 1- and 2-month. For the evaluation of drought outlook, SRI (Standardized Runoff Index) was selected and PR_SRI estimated using PR. ROC score was 0.83, 0.71, 0.60 for 1-, 2- and 3-month lead times, respectively. It also showed the hit rate is high and false alarm rate is low as shorter lead time. The temporal Correlation Coefficient (CC) was 0.82, 0.60, 0.31 and Root Mean Square Error (RMSE) was 0.52, 0.86, 1.20 for 1-, 2-, 3-month lead time, respectively. The accuracy of PR_SRI was high up to 1- and 2-month lead time on local regions except the Gyeonggi and Gangwon province. It can be concluded that GloSea5 has high applicability for hydrological drought outlook.

수리동력학적 분리장치에 의한 교량에서의 비점원 오염물질 처리시 운전변수와 분리효율에 관한 연구 (Operational Variables and Performance of Hydrodynamic Separator Treating Rainfall Runoff from Bridge)

  • 김연석;우강화;김영철
    • 한국물환경학회지
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    • 제27권3호
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    • pp.342-348
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    • 2011
  • A hydrodynamic separator using natural free energy provided by bridge was operated for the treatment of stormwater runoff. The separator was automatically controlled by using electronic valve which is connected with pressure meter. Normally the separator was opened during dry days, but it was closed after the capture of first flush. The results indicated that the average pressure and the flow rate were directly affected by the rainfall intensity. The pressure was more than 3 meters as the rainfall intensity was above 5 mm/hr. The percent volume of underflow decreased as the pressure and flow rate increased, but the percent volume of overflow showed an opposite behavior. The concentration of total suspended solids (TSS) in underflow increased as a function of increasing pressure while it decreased in overflow. The TSS separation efficiency was evaluated based on mass balance. It ranged from 30% to 90% with the pressure ranging from 2 to 10 meters, and it was proportional to pressure and flow rate. The analysis of water balance indicated that around 13% of total runoff was captured by the separator as a first flush, and this runoff was separated as underflow and overflow with the respective percent volume of 29% and 71%. The pollutants budget was also examined based on mass balance. The results showed that the percent of TSS, $COD_{cr}$, TN and TP in underflow were 73%, 59%, 7.6% and 49%, respectively.